Small Wars Journal

12/6/22 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Tue, 12/06/2022 - 9:08am

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. Support slipping for indefinite U.S. aid to Ukraine, poll finds
2. Fake parts: A Pentagon supply chain problem hiding in plain sight
3. The failure of integrated deterrence, and what to do about China
4. The 2022 War On The Rocks Holiday Reading List
5. Irregular War's War on Thinking About War
6. NATO prepares for cyberwarfare integrated with military operations
7. Is the US Military's Favorite Novel a Timeless Classic or Overrated Drivel? Yes.
8. No, Iran didn’t ban morality police — it duped press, and Biden administration
9. This week in Congress: Final NDAA compromise expected to be unveiled
10. Am I willing to sacrifice my son's life for Taiwan?
11. Opinion | A week in the life of Vladimir Putin
12. Xi’s Shattered Illusion of Control
13. The Global Zeitenwende – How to Avoid a New Cold War in a Multipolar Era
14. 12 Psychological Warfare Strategies Used Throughout History
15. Ukraine appears to expose Russian air defence gaps with long-range strikes
16. Pentagon, Chinese analysts agree US can’t win in Taiwan Strait
17. Japan’s Ruling Coalition Approves Counterstrike Capability
18. Russian commander 'executed' following mass desertions of his unit: Report
19. Robert Louis Stevenson knew about guerrilla warfare

Korean News Content:

1.  N. Korea fires artillery shells into sea to protest S. Korea-U.S. drills near border
2. U.N. agency head says N. Korea's human rights situation in 'black box'
3. Korea Becomes World's 6th Largest Trading Country
4. Phony artillery war between Koreas raises tensions – and questions
5. North Korea Fires Artillery Near Border With South Korea
6. Golden jubilee for closer Korea-India ties
7. North Korea’s first daughter emerges. Could women one day run the country?
8. Opinion | Vexing Issue: Can the Korean Peninsula be De-nuclearised?
9. Crypto hacking behind N. Korea’s renewed nuclear ambition

12/5/22 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Mon, 12/05/2022 - 9:22pm

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. Irregular warfare will win ‘strategic competition’
2. Irregular Warfare Campaigning and the Irregular Warfare Center
3. Buying time to avoid war over Taiwan
4. How Biden Can Help Zelensky
5. Dispatch from Kherson: Inside Ukraine’s battle to win the infrastructure war
6. U.S.-Australia Work to Strengthen Alliance
7. Special Operations News Update - December 5, 2022
8. U.S. Altered Himars Rocket Launchers to Keep Ukraine From Firing Missiles Into Russia
9. Would a NATO vs. Russia Conflict Really be 'World War III'?
10. Rogue Superpower: China Is A Global Pariah and Shows No Remorse
11. Defense authorization bill enters final stretch
12. Bell Textron's Valor wins Army’s FLRAA competition to replace Black Hawk
13. Major power outage after vandals sabotage multiple electrical substations
14. China’s Covid protests not as meaningful as portrayed
 

Korean News Content:

1. N. Korea fires some 130 artillery shells into inter-Korean maritime 'buffer zones'
2. S. Korea to revive 'enemy' expression for N.K. regime, military in defense white paper: sources
3. N. Korea accelerates efforts to raise status of the Kim dynasty’s next generation
4. North fires big guns, bigger insults at unification minister
5. Cooperation critical to dealing with N. Korea, economic challenges: envoys
6. 71st Operation Christmas Drop begins, Korea joins U.S. and its allies
7. Trump Owed Hidden Debt While In Office (alleged north Korea link)
8.  Korea, Vietnam elevate ties to comprehensive, strategic partnership

12/4/22 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Sun, 12/04/2022 - 4:47pm

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, DECEMBER 3
2. US intel chief thinking 'optimistically' for Ukraine forces
3. U.S. Not Seeking Decoupling From China, Commerce Chief Says
4. Iran to disband morality police amid ongoing protests, says attorney general
5. Iran locked into ‘vicious cycle’ over protests and arming Russia, says US
6. Iran Disbands Morality Police, Considers Changing Hijab Laws, Official Says
7. Why China Is In Crisis (And Might Never Be a Superpower Afterall)
8.  Iran Should Be Scared: Israel and The U.S. Hold Joint Military Drills
9. Calls for more US economic engagement in Indo-Pacific region at US security forum
10. South China Sea: as US eyes a Subic Bay return, was Chinese ‘coercion’ of Philippines the reason?
11. Is AUKUS floundering?
12. Strong Deterrence Enables U.S. to Ensure Global Rules, Rights
 

Korean News Content:

1. North Korea’s Powerful New Missile Has Shortcomings as a Weapon
2. U.N. agency concerned about worsening of N. Korea's human rights situation amid escalated tensions
3. S. Korea's trade chief to visit U.S. for talks on Inflation Reduction Act
4. Seoul arrests ex-top security official over border killing
5. A Win for Ukraine Against Russia Means Trouble for China and North Korea
6. Tyrant of the year 2022: Kim Jong-un, North Korea - Index on Censorship
7. Could Yoon be a Thatcher?
8. New book on Korean history
9. North Korea publicly executes 2 teenagers for distributing South Korean movies
10. Mission: Return to North Korea to retrieve remains of US Navy’s first Black aviator
11. Faltering exports hurt Korea's growth momentum, no improvement in sight
12. Will ex-president Moon be targeted over border killing ‘cover-up'?

12/3/22 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Sat, 12/03/2022 - 12:29pm

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, DECEMBER 2
2. The Crimea question: Why Ukraine’s final battle might be the Western alliance’s toughest test
3. Ukraine wa Is Putin Sending Animal Eyeballs to Ukraine's Embassies?r shows Europe too reliant on U.S., Finland PM says
4. Is Putin Sending Animal Eyeballs to Ukraine's Embassies?
5. Taiwan Faces Its Ukraine Moment
6. Apple Makes Plans to Move Production Out of China
7. Why China Isn’t Facing Another Tiananmen Moment
8. Exactly the opposite: Russian propaganda attempts to pass their own losses as those of Ukraine
9. Top secret B-21 Raider stealth bomber finally revealed in high-powered ceremony
10.  CNN, Gannett, Other Media Giants Resort to Layoffs Ahead of Potential Downturn
11. Covid protests speak to evolution of Chinese dissent
12. The End of Companion Television
13. Ottawa to bolster security to combat foreign influence, disinformation in new Indo-Pacific strategy
14. Iran claims dozens of foreign spy organizations behind protests
15. Analysis | As Twitter defends its counterterror work, experts fear a spike under Musk
16.  How To Engage And Prevail In Political Warfare Against China – Analysis
17. Information Warfare Can Turn Russians Against Putin
18. Protests in China, Iran
19. Taiwan’s military not remotely ready for a China invasion
20. China’s Cry for Freedom
21. War Over Taiwan? JOSEPH S. NYE, JR.
22. Chinese military’s future warfare will aspire to ‘information dominance,’ Pentagon warns

Korean News Content:

1. Discord in China may be good news for North Korea’s Kim Jong Un
2. North Korea's aim to be nuclear superpower risks regional arms race
3. North Korea Showcases Two Types of ICBMs In November 2022 Tests
4. North Korea pokes the polarization bear
5. Kim Jong-un’s daughter, 10, leads fashion wave in North Korea
6.  U.S. designates N. Korea as state violator of religious freedom for 21st consecutive year
7. A Statement of U.S. policy on North Korea
8. U.S., S. Korea, Japan will use all available tools to limit N. Korea's weapons programs: NSC
9. Nuclear envoys of U.S., S. Korea hold meeting over N. Korean provocations
10. Trilateral cooperation strengthens regarding N. Korean provocations
11. South Korea needs its own nuclear deterrent
12. Korea sends 2nd official feedback to US on Inflation Reduction Act
13. Biden acknowledges ‘glitches’ with IRA, hinting at possible revision
14. South Korea in delirium - thanks to the World Cup's best ever nutmeg
 

12/2/22 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Fri, 12/02/2022 - 12:27pm

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. Biden Administration Foreign Policy Tracker: December
2. Biden Says He Is Willing to Talk to Putin About Ukraine, With Conditions
3. China brings in ‘emergency’ level censorship over zero-Covid protests
4. RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, DECEMBER 1
5. Ukraine: CDS Daily brief (01.12.22) CDS comments on key events
6. Dave Johnson tribute essay published on The RAND Blog
7. Russia 'open' to talks on Ukraine but presses demands after Biden comment
8. Is the Army Misplacing the Blame for Its Recruiting Crisis?
9. Pentagon eyes major expansion of Ukraine military training
10. Why Russia’s cyber-attacks have fallen flat
11. Congress wants to arm Taiwan, but hasn’t figured out how to pay for it
12. Russia and China are Training Their Bombers Together. Why?
13. Americans Support U.S. Backing Ukraine, Despite Risk of Wider War, Survey Finds
14. Targeting Tiandy - The Case for Blacklisting a Chinese Tech Firm Tied to Crackdowns on Uyghurs and Iranian Protestors
15. The cost of war (Russia)
16. To deter Russia, EUCOM official stresses 'threat-informed' exercises
17. Just Half of Americans Trust the Military, Survey Finds
18. China easing 'zero-COVID' policy a 'rare display of weakness' from Xi Jinping, Tiananmen Square protester says
19. Blank paper movement shows Xi backlash: analysts
20. Xi Broke the Social Contract That Helped China Prosper
21.  Can America Really Envision World War III?

Korean News Content:

1. Biden Administration Foreign Policy Tracker: December - KOREA
2. New US sanctions against North Koreans over missile program
3.  Seoul places new sanctions on North Korea over arms buildup
4. N. Korea ramps up efforts to attain 2022 economic goals amid food shortage
5. Russia, China enabling N. Korea's provocative actions for own gains: State Dept. official
6. Will crypto’s collapse implode North Korea’s nukes?
7. Promotions announced in Marine Corps, Special Warfare Command
8. Pentagon: China might intervene in the event of war on Korean Peninsula
9. N. Korea researches ways to use Siemens NX for industrial applications
10. N. Korean women’s association tells members to better support their husbands
11. North Korean bandits steal 200 kilos of gold bars worth US $12 million

Biden Administration Foreign Policy Tracker: December

Fri, 12/02/2022 - 8:03am

Access the tracker HERE.

Biden Administration Foreign Policy Tracker: December

David Adesnik
Senior Fellow and Director of Research

John Hardie
Russia Program Deputy Director

fdd.org ·  · December 1, 2022

Trend Overview

Edited by David Adesnik and John Hardie

Welcome back to the Biden Administration Foreign Policy Tracker. Once a month, we ask FDD’s experts and scholars to assess the administration’s foreign policy. They provide trendlines of very positive, positive, neutral, negative, or very negative for the areas they watch.

In Iran, anti-regime protests continued into their third straight month despite the death of hundreds at the hands of security forces. The Biden administration has condemned this crackdown but refuses to endorse the protesters’ demand for an end to 40 years of clerical dictatorship. Nor will the White House rule out a resumption of talks with Tehran to revive some version of the 2015 nuclear deal.

The authoritarian regime in Beijing is also weathering a wave of protests sparked by its draconian efforts to prevent the spread of COVID-19. The Biden administration offered tepid words of support for the protesters but appears to remain focused on reducing friction with Beijing. The Kremlin still controls the streets in Moscow but had another bad month in Ukraine, where Kyiv’s forces retook the strategic regional capital of Kherson with help from American and NATO weapons. Among the fraternity of anti-American autocrats, Kim Jong Un seemed most confident, testing a pair of intercontinental ballistic missiles, on one occasion with his nine-year-old daughter in tow.

Will December prove to be another rough month for America’s adversaries? Check back with us at the beginning of February, since the Tracker is taking off at the end of this month for the holidays. However, before we head out, we will be publishing a special year-end retrospective in mid-December that breaks down where the Biden administration has done well and where it has faltered in 2022.

Trending Positive

International Organizations

By Richard Goldberg

Trending Neutral

China

By Craig Singleton

Cyber

By RADM (Ret.) Mark Montgomery and Jiwon Ma

Defense

By Bradley Bowman

Europe

By John Hardie

Indo-Pacific

By Craig Singleton

Iran

By Richard Goldberg and Behnam Ben Taleblu

Korea

By David Maxwell

Latin America

By Carrie Filipetti and Emanuele Ottolenghi

Russia

By John Hardie

Syria

By David Adesnik

Trending Negative

Gulf

By Hussain Abdul-Hussain

Israel

By David May

Nonproliferation and Biodefense

By Anthony Ruggiero and Andrea Stricker

Sunni Jihadism

By Bill Roggio

Turkey

By Sinan Ciddi

Trending Very Negative

Lebanon

By Tony Badran

 

 

12/1/22 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Thu, 12/01/2022 - 11:37am

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. China signals it could soften its zero-Covid policy, but there are more questions than answers

2. Let’s Put the Pentagon’s China Report in Context

3. Philippines will explore for oil in South China Sea even without a deal with Beijing: Marcos

4. Learn from Ukraine, DIA Chief Tells New China Mission Group

5. US Hints at Military Option to Prevent a 'Nuclear Iran'

6. Palestinian Terrorist Groups Continue to Build Tunnels Under UNRWA Schools

7. Iran Arrests Niece of Supreme Leader as Death Toll of Protesters Mounts

8. Chinese users play cat-and-mouse with censors amid protests

9. Pentagon report warns that China may wield AI to enhance ‘cognitive domain operations’

10. Why Isn't Joe Biden Supporting Protests in China and Iran?

11. The Kadena Conundrum: Developing a Resilient Indo-Pacific Posture

12. How Much Do Language Skills Matter for Security Force Assistance? Not as Much as We Think

13. Journalist Maria Ressa explains 'How to Stand Up to a Dictator'

14. Russia-Ukraine War Has Influenced How BAE Systems Designed Army Bradley Replacement

15. Review | Why do some Asian countries embrace democracy while others reject it?

16. #WTH is TikTok so dangerous?

17. Castration, gang-rape, forced nudity: How Russia’s soldiers terrorise Ukraine with sexual violence

18. Nato holds first dedicated talks on China threat to Taiwan

19. This Vietnam-Era Special Ops Unit Had a 100% Casualty Rate

Korean News Content:

1. What N. Koreans think about Kim Jong Un’s daughter

2. China, Russia should play 'constructive role' on N. Korean nukes: U.S. ambassador

3. N. Korea to hold key party meeting to unveil next year's policy direction

4.  Chinese Embassy in Seoul to open memorial alter for late Jiang

5. N.K. leader meets Air Force commanders, pilots over last month's massive warplane protest against S. Korea

6. North Korea forces citizens to change names for a more idealistic sound

7. Saudi Arabia And South Korea Are Forging Closer Defense Ties

8. <Interview with Two N. Korean Women> How do N. Koreans view the appearance of Kim Jong-un’s daughter, “Ju-ae”? Rumors circulate that she’s a “genius” and an “advisor” to her father

9. Chinese residents in Seoul join 'white paper' protests against Beijing's COVID policy

10. US to Announce New North Korea-Related Sanctions Today

11. Air Force launches Space Operations Squadron

12. US working with Seoul, Tokyo for 'effective mix' of steps to strengthen extended deterrence

11/30/22 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Wed, 11/30/2022 - 1:13pm

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. China vows crackdown on 'hostile forces' as public tests Xi
2. Former President Jiang Zemin, who guided China’s rise, dies
3. RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, NOVEMBER 29 (Putin's War)
4. Ukraine - Russia Conflict Update - Nov 2022 | SOF News
5.   Defense Intelligence Agency forms ‘China mission group’ to track rival
6.  No, a former Marine general is not working for an infamous Russian mercenary group
7.  7. Prevent the mistakes of history by passing the fiscal 2023 NDAA
8. Ukraine needs tanks, and the west should supply them. They could finish off Putin and Russia
9. The Pentagon’s Lead Intelligence Agency Has an HR Problem
10. How Ukraine is innovating Soviet-era weapons for a 21st century battleground
11. Indecent exposure in critical supply chains
12. Pentagon warns of China’s plans for dominance in Taiwan and beyond
13. What the Ukraine War Teaches About Modern Ground Wars
14. 'America First' is the default US strategy, rather than a mere Trump-era slogan
15. Who said it, when, and why? Part II (of II)
16. Xi Jinping in His Own Words
17.  Bipartisan consensus in US on foreign policy
18. 2022 Report on Military and Security Developments Involving the People's Republic of China
19. The Hard Truth About Long Wars
20.  Why The Next Chairman Of The Joint Chiefs Should Be From The Air Force

Korean News Content:

1. South Korea, Japan scramble jets in response to Chinese, Russian warplanes – Moscow says airspace not violated in joint patrols
2. Unification minister voices hope for 'warm breeze' in frosty inter-Korean ties during Panmunjom visit
3. N. Korea releases book slamming Yoon's policies on Pyongyang
4. U.S. working to improve early warning system against N. Korean missile launches: U.S. commander
5. Kim Jong Un’s ‘Precious Child’ Shows World Regime Here to Stay
6. Korea invests 2 trillion won in developing next-generation launch vehicle
7. Unification minister sends signals to North from JSA
8. North Korean trade officials in China envious of anti-lockdown protests
9. Human rights situation has only worsened during Kim Jong-un’s 11 years in power
10.  S. Korea, US to co-host 2nd Summit for Democracy
11. Korea's ties to U.S., China not a zero-sum game: Kagan
12. Here’s how the soldiers assigned to shoot down ballistic missiles from North Korea stay sharp

 

 

11/28/22 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Mon, 11/28/2022 - 7:39pm

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. Fight Like Nato: Ukrainian Infantrymen Reveal What They Need to Defeat Russia - Kyiv Post - Ukraine's Global Voice
2. Chinese Protests Put Xi Jinping in a Bind
3. Space Force opens first regional command headquarters in Indo-Pacific
4. At the heart of China's protests against zero-Covid, young people cry for freedom
5. Three scenarios for how war in Ukraine could play out
6. 'This Week' Transcript 11-27-22 Andrew Milburn Mozart Group in Ukraine
7. Ukrainian women have started learning a crucial war skill: how to fly a drone
8. Yuriy Shukhevych - A Tribute - Kyiv Post - Ukraine's Global Voice
9. Special Operations News Update - Nov 28, 2022 | SOF News
10. Is China heading toward another Tiananmen Square moment?
11. Biden admin scrambles to track $20B in Ukraine aid as House Republicans warn of audits
12.  Iran calls for US to be kicked out of 2022 World Cup after it changes Iran flag on social media to show support for protesters
13. China’s Covid protests could go anywhere from here

Korean News Content:

1. N. Korean provocations prove S. Korea, U.S. moving in right direction: Amb. Cho
2.  North Korea’s New ICBM Is A Nuclear Game Changer
3. Eight US B-2 bombers stage ‘Elephant Walk’ to warn Pyongyang
4. [ANALYSIS] North Korean leader's daughter makes second public appearance
5. N. Korea shows no signs of imminent nuclear test ahead of major anniversary: ministry
6. Space command for USFK: Care must be taken to not cause backlash from China
7. Revelation of Kim Jong Un’s daughter at missile test sparks buzz among North Koreans
8. <Interview with a N. Korean> (1) “It’s ridiculous that the government launches missiles while its people remain starving”
9. No kimchi? Poor harvests, lower incomes mean North Koreans may go without staple dish
10. South Korean navy training group arrives in Hawaii
11. Why conferences in Korea are (mostly) a waste of time and resources