Small Wars Journal

FM 3-0 Update

Fri, 02/08/2008 - 11:01am
Via Michael Gordon of the New York Times - After Hard-Won Lessons, Army Doctrine Revised

The Army has drafted a new operations manual that elevates the mission of stabilizing war-torn nations, making it equal in importance to defeating adversaries on the battlefield.

Military officials described the new document, the first new edition of the Army's comprehensive doctrine since 2001, as a major development that draws on the hard-learned lessons of Iraq and Afghanistan, where initial military successes gave way to long, grueling struggles to establish control.

It is also an illustration of how far the Pentagon has moved beyond the Bush administration's initial reluctance to use the military to support "nation-building" efforts when it came into office.

But some influential officers are already arguing that the Army still needs to put actions behind its new words, and they have raised searching questions about whether the Army's military structure, personnel policies and weapons programs are consistent with its doctrine...

Lt. Gen. William B. Caldwell IV, the commander of the Army's Combined Arms Center at Fort Leavenworth in Kansas, began briefing lawmakers on the document on Thursday. In an interview, he called it a "blueprint to operate over the next 10 to 15 years."

"Army doctrine now equally weights tasks dealing with the population — stability or civil support — with those related to offensive and defensive operations," the manual states. "Winning battles and engagements is important but alone is not sufficient. Shaping the civil situation is just as important to success."...

Much more.

Discuss at Small Wars Council.

What Happens When the Jihadists Go Home?

Fri, 02/08/2008 - 7:34am
A friend whom I consider smarter than your average bear, upon examining my annotated bibliography of combat stress and trauma, posed the question to me, "What happens when the jihadists go home?" This, folks, is the essence of insight.

War, even for us Clausewitzians (well, actually, especially for us Clausewitzians) is a Hegelian dialectic. There is a thesis, an antithesis, and the interaction of the two result in a synthesis. It is so obvious that it should scream out, that post-synthesis, in an unconventional environment, the byproducts will return to their origins, and their experiences will have secondary effects in their countries of origin. War changes all of us. Noted. But my bibliography dealt only with the US, UK, and France, and in each case dealt also with the states which had sent those men to war with the authority of the nation-state.

I like having friends that make me think.

For starters the question about post-combat behaviors of returning jihadists is a complex one on a couple of different planes. As I understand the literature (and this is a fusion observation), there are at least four independent variables which apply to anyone who has seen combat/trauma of any sort. These variables apply to me (an Ohioan), my friend who hails from a state to the South, Oxford boys like J.R.R. Tolkien (who was at the Somme), and Frenchmen from Provence who found Verdun decidedly inhospitable. But it also applies to Saudis, and Syrians, Egyptians and Yemenese. (Extrapolate, as you like, from there.) It is within their separate cultures that the variants emerge. I leave it to others to hypothesize further. This is what I got:

A. Nature of your combat experience: The most significant here seems to be duration and frequency, but also type. In other words, episodic combat, even when horrific, seems to have produced less trauma. Up through WWI you could say this characterized most soldiers' experience, which makes PTSD a problematic diagnosis in, say, the War of 1812. The type of combat also obtains: If you were subjected to shelling, particularly intense shelling by 8 inch howitzers, that is worse than most firefights. (The slaughter of a WWI frontal assault must be taken out of that equation, because that sort of thing didn't really count as a "firefight" in the modern context.) Apparently the feeling of intense and complete helplessness one has when being shelled, especially accurately shelled, is worse than most firefights. IEDs, therefore, have a similar effect, though I believe it is less than were it comparable to indirect fire. (e.g. Few people have been hit by 300+ IEDs, let alone 300 IEDs in 5 minutes, eight or 20 times over the course of a tour. This would be considered "light experience" for some regiments of the British Expeditionary Force, circa 1917, and moderate for most line unit veterans of WWII.) Flipping that on its head: For the jihadist airpower just does not do this in the same way. WWII airpower, probably, but not today's version. The completely unsuspected and instantaneous bomb from an unknown, unseen, unheard aircraft flying 20K overhead does not invoke sustained fear. It creates fatalism. If you've experienced periodic, but pretty nearly random indirect fire (as many in Iraq and Afghanistan have) you understand this. You're scared at first, but then you devolve into, "eh, whatever."

B. Social network IN the environment: Were you serving with men from your hometown (or your regular unit) or were you an individual replacement/augmentee? The former is obviously better than the latter, and quite a lot has been written on this. Most jihadists, I should think, generally went solo. This makes their experiences generally worse than they would be otherwise. You have to factor in culture in this one though, and quite heavily. So the next factors probably mitigate.

C. Social mores of your originating culture: This is where we really get into the history side. Dean's book on PTSD in the Civil War which I cited in the bibliography fails in this regard, because a lot of what he described was not PTSD, but it was actual cracking up IN combat, which is different. Social standards in your dominant culture determine what is an appropriate and/or acceptable response to extremes of experience. Thus, in the mid-19th century it just wasn't done for men to cry, or hug, or any of that namby-pamby shit. (See my essay on hugging in the Pentagon.) Over time, this changed. One can make a pretty solid argument (as Shephard does) that an individual's reaction to things one only sees in combat is as much about what you learn from your culture in the 20 years preceding your combat experience, as what happens to you in combat. To put it in academic terms, it is about appropriate or normed behaviors condoned by the culture. Hence in WWI, some men reacted to obscene levels of death and dismemberment around them with what would have been diagnosed as "hysteria" ten years earlier (catatonic, twitching, loss of motor control or eyesight, etc.). Indeed, the lack of physical evidence for which is what led to the original diagnosis of "Shell Shock" (the physicians literally thought that what was happening was a physiological response to overpressure from shell explosions...until they realized that a good number of their patients hadn't been shelled...). So, does your originating culture require what we'd now call "suppression" (and which I always learned was just "being a man", cue Dennis Leary) of things, or does it suggest that one should "open up and let your feelings out." Note, this is not an either/or, but for each is an individual spot on the continuum. A man raised in 1850's Wisconsin would likely have an extremely different reaction than, say, a man raised in 1970's Wisconsin, to the same exact event, all other things being equal. This also applies across cultures. A Japanese (or Korean) man of the 1940s or 1950s has a different reaction than a man from the same culture 50 years later. And one can make pretty good arguments that a Japanese man today will have significantly different reactions than a Dutch man today. Follow? Related to this is the next point.

D. Social network upon return: How close are you to the dominant culture within your home culture? Are you from a higher prestige family? Etc. This, surprisingly, is not something which has been explored yet to my knowledge, probably because of fears of elitism bias and charges of class in the egalitarian West. But my hunch is that if you are from a higher prestige family/group, and you reintegrate, you are less likely to show the signs of PTSD unless you're really messed up bad. In other words, I think that some PTSD and affiliated behaviors can get WORSE when you get home, if you are originally from (and return to) a lower socioeconomic strata where such behavior might be expected or condoned. Let us call this the "Springer Effect." There is a reason why there are never any rich (or even middle-class) people on the Jerry Springer show, and it's not the money. Socially such behaviors as you see there (confessionals, exhibitionism, extreme reactions, etc) would be de facto culturally forbidden to the middle-and-upper classes. But at lower and lower levels of socio-economic status, it becomes more and more acceptable to go on the show and talk about how you impregnated four women, but don't know WHICH four, etc. This same may possibly apply to PTSD/Reactions to Combat. Does your status (rank/prestige) in your hometown mean that you display or conceal?

OK, so there is the basic construct. Apply this to what you know about the Jihadists, and their cultures (no need for me to lecture any here on SWJ on those things). But a couple of serious historical caveats to this whole line of thought must be applied in the interest of intellectual integrity:

First: It is entirely possible that there was a lot more PTSD in the wake of, say, the American Civil War, or WWI, or WWII, than we know. This is because the victims (that is to say "all the people around a PTSD-displaying person) would be socially less inclined to talk about it. Rather like teen pregnancy, or rape, in the 1950s...it happened, but as one moved up the social scale, it was more and more likely to get hidden by those around the pregnant girl or the woman who was raped. Historically, this skews the data. The problem is that we cannot know to what degree this skews any potential historical assessment. The same might apply to Middle Eastern cultures. For example: Abuse in the home (a signal of PTSD here in the West) is more often concealed, or not considered anomalous, in some segments of the population. Excessive drinking might be the same. Etc.

Second: Reception status. A returning jihadist, if he is lauded, is likely to subconsciously incorporate that into his conceptualization of personal honor (which is a whole 'nuther essay, which you must take into account, sorry) and this will modify his behavior. Rather like the contrast in the reception of WWII veterans and Korean War veterans (since those two wars were so close together), the reception of the veteran/jihadist by his home culture will affect his behavior. Positive and public reactions would seem to mitigate against PTSD.

Unlocking the Keys to Victory

Fri, 02/08/2008 - 7:21am
Frans P. B. Osinga, The Science, Strategy and War: The Strategic Theory of John Boyd, New York: Routledge, 2007, 313 pgs, $140 hardback, $35.95 paperback

I first met John Boyd on a very warm summer day in 1983 at Headquarters, Marine Corps. Frankly he did not make much of an impression to a then young Captain of Marines. The briefer went through an extensive set of slides extolling conflict over the ages. I recognized the various strands of Clausewitz, Sun Tzu and Liddell Hart (and thus indirectly T.E. Lawrence) weaved throughout the pitch. In the aftermath of a long run and a too large lunch, I preceded to take a somberly tour of the insides of my eyelids.

This mental rest stop did not impress my boss, a Vietnam veteran who was taken with Boyd's ideas. As penance for my nap, he insisted I take the brief again the next day. Although I did not know it at the time, I never got a more valuable or more intellectually enriching experience over a decade in the Pentagon.

The intellectual contributions of the late Colonel John Boyd, USAF, have already been the subject of two fine biographies. Robert Coram's Boyd: The Fighter Pilot Who Changed the Art of War provided a window into Boyd's life as a fighter pilot, technical innovator and maverick defense reformer. Grant Hammond's Mind at War John Boyd and American Security summarized Boyd's main arguments. Both of these efforts are well regarded and helped rectify the limited record Boyd left behind. Regrettably, Boyd's career is too often truncated into well known "OODA Loop."

But Boyd had a lot more to offer. His contributions to flying tactics, fighter development, and operational theory are profound. The historical analyses and scientific theories he employed are not well documented nor well understood. This is principally due to Boyd's reliance on briefing slides. Colonel Frans Osinga fills out our collective understanding with The Science, Strategy and War. In this very deliberate review, the author works his way through the arguments and source material of Boyd's famous briefs including "Patterns of Conflict" and "A Discourse on Winning and Losing." He highlights the diverse sources that shaped Boyd's thinking and offers a comprehensive overview and remarkable synthesis of his work, and demonstrates that Boyd's is much more comprehensive, strategically richer and deeper than is generally thought.

Osinga is ironically a former F-16 pilot, a plane Boyd helped design, and a serving Royal Netherlands Air Force officer. He has lectured extensively in Europe, been posted at the Allied Command Transformation, Norfolk VA, and spoken at the annual Boyd Conference held in Quantico last July. The author is now stationed at the Royal Netherlands Defense Academy. This book, a version of his doctoral research, performs a superlative service as it expands our understanding of the utility of Boyd's work to modern conflict.

Over the years, my appreciation for John Boyd's intellectual achievement and moral character has grown. Others were less somnolent than I and quicker to understand what Boyd was offering. When he passed away in 1997, General Charles Krulak, then Commandant of the Marines, was quick to praise Boyd for his lifelong work in concepts, theory, and doctrine. General Krulak said that Boyd's theoretical contributions "rival those of the greatest military minds." Not only did he add considerably to America's understanding of the art of war, General Krulak credited him with contributing to the success of the U.S. military in Operation Desert Storm and as "one of the central architects in the reform of military thought which swept the services, and in particular the Marine Corps, in the 1980s."

The Marines attribute major influences in their fundamental doctrine of maneuver warfare to Boyd. He taught the Marines about competitive and intuitive decision making on the battlefield. He should be credited with stressing the importance of tempo as well as the time competitive nature of combat. Despite an Air Force background, he understood the proper role of technology in war. He is famous for insisting that "Machines don't fight wars. People do, and they use their minds." This emphasis on intellect and the human dimension found a home with the U.S. Marines, a Service with a valorous reputation but not previously open to intellectualism or doctrinal creativity. Boyd's stress on the psychological and moral dimensions of conflict over attrition-based strategies that emphasize firepower and technology resonated deeply with the Marines in the post-Vietnam era. Marine doctrine is infused with many of Boyd's critical observations, carefully transferred by Generals C. C. Krulak and Paul K. Van Riper.

In his concluding chapter, Osinga shows that Boyd's understanding of war is still very relevant. This important chapter underscores Boyd's grasp of the function of command and control, and the life of military organizations as a process of competitive discovery and interaction. This process of learning and adaptation was tied to Boyd's growing awareness of what we now know as complex adaptive systems. Colonel Osinga goes on to discuss the relevance of Boyd to the RMA debate, to Net-centric Warfare and to 4th GW. He correctly notes that Boyd would concur with the critical moral component of 4th GW but would have been leery about much of the RMA literature. He notes "it is unwarranted to see too much of Boyd's ghost at work here," since he would not have supported the emphasis on technology. However, "he certainly would agree with this emphasis on continuous innovation and agility."

Colonel Boyd's work remains relevant to the Small Wars community. His path finding work into organizational learning is the genesis for many follow on research efforts, including LtCol John Nagl's bestselling Learning to Eat Soup with a Knife. Boyd's emphasis on organizational fitness and constant adaptation in relation to a changing environment is the operational imperative in FM 3-24 Counterinsurgency (thanks to Dr. Nagl). Likewise, Boyd's exploration of what we now know as chaos and complexity theory was a decade ahead of its time. Students of the nonlinear sciences, including Dr. Dave Kilcullen, have exploited the concept of complex adaptive systems in relation to modern adversaries like Al Qaeda in his own ground breaking studies. Dr. Osinga makes it clear that we can and are still learning from the iconoclastic Boyd.

While John Boyd died in 1997, his influence lives on in the fighting doctrines of the Army and the Marine Corps, and in the halls of almost every educational institution of the U.S. military. This book explains why. Science, Strategy and War is a brilliant distillation of Boyd's research and the revolutionary theories about science and cognition he leveraged to better understand warfare. While the hardback price will scare off most readers, the new paperback version is more affordable and will make the book more accessible.

So while others have done more on bringing out the colorful life and the bureaucratic bashing personality of the irascible Boyd, no one has adequately framed his intellectual foundation in context, detailed his wide ranging research sources, or explored the full breadth of Boyd's undeniable intellect. Osinga's book is a long overdue corrective to those who too quickly dismissed Boyd's ideas as simplistic. Science, Stategy and War is a monumental contribution to military art and science, and is completely worthy of the genius it covers. This is an invaluable and prodigious piece of scholarship that belongs on the bookshelves of true professionals and anyone responsible for teaching strategy, operational art, and military theory.

Frank Hoffman is a national security consultant employed by the Potomac Institute for Policy Studies.

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SWJ Editors LInks

SWJ Blog: Hoffman on Osinga and Boyd - Zenpundit

Weekend Yard Sale - The Belmont Club

Discuss - Small Wars Council

USMC Civil Affairs - The Prince

Thu, 02/07/2008 - 7:31pm
Here's the 1st edition of The Prince: A Newsletter for Civil Affairs Marines.

The purpose of this newsletter is to increase awareness of people, issues, and events affecting the Marine Civil Affairs community. It is an informal publication, and it does not represent the policies and positions of the Marine Corps or the United States Government...etc, etc, etc.

The title references the work by Niccolo Machiavelli, as a continual reminder that civil-military operations are essentially political in nature: actions to influence or exploit relations with Civil Actors in order to accomplish the mission--not gratuitous, goodwill gestures to "win hearts and minds."

This 1st edition includes A New Goldwater-Nichols Act, Navy Civil Affairs School Open for Business, Keys to a Successful KV Network, 56th Annual Civil Affairs Conference, Tip of the Day and Quote of the Day.

The 2nd edition of The Prince: A Newsletter for Civil Affairs Marines includes MSgt Craig J Fried: One of a Kind, Marine Corps Forming Consensus on CMO, 2008 Navy CA School Schedule, JFCOM's Deployable Training Team and SOCJFCOM's Joint Training Team Observer Trainer for CMO and Interagency Coordination, Jobs and Tip of the Day.

From the Jaws of Victory

Thu, 02/07/2008 - 7:38am
From the Jaws of Victory by Nadia Schadlow, Wall Street Journal.

Nadia Schadlow discusses the good news that General David Petraeus, Commanding General of Multi-National Force - Iraq, has decided to remain at his post through the fall.

What's depressing is that top political and military leaders in Washington asked him to consider the move in the first place. The proposal to shift Gen. Petraeus out of Iraq reflects the unwillingness of the military as a whole to make the larger cultural changes required to succeed in tough counterinsurgency missions.

If history teaches us anything it is that removing a successful leader from a mission in progress is senseless. Moreover, consistent effort over time is particularly important in counterinsurgency situations in which the political dimension of war is paramount.

The military acknowledges the need for dedicated headquarters and support structures to conduct long-duration missions. Forces must have staying power, and be able to identify and retain lessons learned as well as to sustain personal relationships.

Indeed, the military's own counterinsurgency (COIN) manual emphasizes the need to cultivate effective leaders in the host country. Younger officers deploying to and from Iraq have reinforced these themes, writing consistently about the importance of maintaining a stable presence and getting to know the political, social and cultural terrain.

Much more here.

US Army COIN Panel Video

Wed, 02/06/2008 - 4:52pm
US Army War College's Strategic Studies Insititute Counterinsurgency Panel Video.

Dr. Conrad Crane of the U.S. Army War College Military History Institute and Dr. Steven Metz of the U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute discuss changes in the nature of insurgency and the development of American counterinsurgency capability. Dr. Crane was the lead author for recently released U.S. Army doctrine for counterinsurgency; Dr. Metz is the author of "Rethinking Insurgency" which the Strategic Studies Institute published in 2007.

1. Introduction, Question # 1 and Follow-ups: What is new or has changed since the publication of Counterinsurgency -- US Army Field Manual 3-24 / Marine Corps Warfighting Publication 33.3.5? Do you foresee an update to FM 3-24? What is being done concerning Interagency participation? (00:09:35)

2. Question # 2: What are the key counterinsurgency considerations future strategic leaders should prepare for? (00:03:21)

3. Question # 3: How should current or future strategic leaders approach the study of insurgency or counterinsurgency operations and is there a framework or outline that would be useful? (00:04:24)

4. Question # 4: What are some of the more controversial issues surrounding emerging counterinsurgency concepts? What are some of the pros and cons associated with the debate on counterinsurgency doctrine and concepts? (00:16:00)

5. Wrap Up: Last thoughts on counterinsurgency. (00:03:25)

Exploiting New Media

Tue, 02/05/2008 - 8:46pm

Exploiting New Media briefing with Office of the Secretary of Defense speakers Lieutenant Colonel Francisco Hamm, Deputy Director of New Media, OSDPA, Ms. Jamie Findlater, New Media Specialist, and Mr. Tim Bergling, New Media Online Video Producer.

COIN and IW in a Tribal Society

Mon, 02/04/2008 - 7:02pm
Version 2.0 of Counterinsurgency and Irregular Warfare in Tribal Society

The COIN and Irregular Warfare in Tribal Society Pamphlet is designed to assist staff officers, non-commissioned officers, soldiers and Marines in conducting COIN and irregular warfare operations in a tribal society.

This pamphlet provides a general overview of tribal society and behavior to gain an appreciation of the cultural operating environment. The pamphlet is based on the premise that the key component of COIN and irregular warfare is to effectively communicate intent within the cultural frame of reference of the target audience.

Recommendations for improvement to this pamphlet are encouraged from commands as well as individuals.

Meet Matt Armstrong aka MountainRunner

Mon, 02/04/2008 - 5:40pm

From the USC Center on Public Diplomacy web site - an interview with SWJ friend Matt Armstrong aka MountainRunner.

Matt Armstrong is a December 2007 graduate of the USC Master's in Public Diplomacy and the author of the widely visited and referenced blog MountainRunner, which is devoted to "Exploring the struggle for the minds and wills of men in the unrestricted warfare of the 21st Century".
His key interests and studies in Public Diplomacy are echoed in the manifesto of MountainRunner: "This blog is a device to discuss, explore and even link ideas in the four major, and overlapping and often mutually dependent, areas important to the future of America's national security: public diplomacy, unrestricted warfare, privatization of force, and civil-military relations."

Read the interview here. (Hat Tip Zenpundit).

Matt's SWJ posts:

In-sourcing the Tools of National Power for Success and Security - 3 January 2008.

What the SecDef Didn't Call For, But Should Have - 30 November 2007.