Small Wars Journal

24 August Evening Libya News Roundup

Wed, 08/24/2011 - 8:12pm

Libya News Update:

Libyan Rebels Continue Holding Tripoli - VOA

Rebels Set Gadhafi Bounty as Tripoli Fighting Goes On - WSJ

Rebels: $1.6m Bounty for 'Sick with Power' Gaddafi - SMH

Battle in East Rages On as Gaddafi Holdouts Fight Back - TT

Rebels Hunt Qaddafi; Journalists in Hotel Are Free - NYT

Journalists Freed as Gaddafi Hunt Continues - WP

Rebels Continue Battle; Kadafi Still Missing - LAT

Rebels Pushing to Secure Tripoli - BBC

Libyan Rebels Hunt Gadhafi, Try to Secure Capital - AP

UK SAS Leads Hunt for Gaddafi On the Ground - TT

Gadhafi Still an Elusive Target - TS

Price on Gaddafi's Head as Fighting Goes On - Reuters

Can the ICC Successfully Try Qaddafi? - CSM

Burkina Faso Offers Gaddafi Exile - Reuters

Qatar Hopes for Returns After Backing Libyan Winners - Reuters

Journalists Say They Are Freed From Tripoli Hotel - AP

Rebel Leaders Promise Elections Next Year - TT

4 Italian Journalists Abducted in Libya - AP

World Powers Consider Next Move With Libya - VOA

US to Ask UN Council to Unfreeze Libyan Assets - AP

UN Security Council Eyes Unfreezing Libyan Assets - AP

France Vows to Help Libyans as Long as Needed - Reuters

Rebels’ Equipment Includes at Least One Drone - NYT

Rebels Share Firepower as Snipers Menace Tripoli - Reuters

NATO Partnership in Libya Serves as Model, Panetta Says - AFPS

Could NATO's Libya Mission be its Last Hurrah? - CSM

Rebel Propaganda Helped Takeover of Gadhafi Site - AP

West Looks to Avoid Iraq Errors in Post-Gaddafi Libya - Reuters

What the Libya Rebels Learned from Iraq - CNN

New Libya Faces New Challenges - TS

Rebuilding Libya Poses Tough Challenges - Reuters

Lingering Gaddafi Networks Pose Threat - Reuters

'Die, Gadhafi': Libya's Embassies Abroad Defect - AP

What's the Deal with the New Libyan Flag? - CSM

Q&A: Gadhafi's Options, Future Scenarios, More - CNN

Latest Updates on the War in Libya - NYT

The Army Irregular Warfare Fusion Cell’s August Newsletter

Wed, 08/24/2011 - 6:49am

The Army Irregular Warfare Fusion Cell’s August Newsletter has been published online.  From the Director, Colonel Chadwick W. Clark:

One very interesting action that fell out of the 2015 Doctrine Conference recently was the difficulty units have in understanding the difference between Foreign Internal Defense, a traditional SOF mission, and Security Force Assistance, a General Purpose Force mission. What is the difference? As it turns out, there is little to distinguish the concept and doctrine vision now in the Combined Arms Doctrine Directorate here at Fort Leavenworth, and we now will consider the excellent material found in FM 3-05.137 (FID)… The IW Fusion Cell and Special Warfare Center and School are working now to consolidate the doctrine to reduce the confusion (and reduce the number of FMs and duplicative work). FM3-07.1 (SFA) is under revision. Let us know what you think.

24 August SWJ Roundup

Wed, 08/24/2011 - 5:39am

Libya

Libyan Rebels Seize Gadhafi Compound - VOA

Qaddafi Defiant After Rebel Takeover - NYT

Rebels Overrun Gaddafi's Compound - BBC

Rebels Storm Gaddafi Compound in Tripoli - WP

Rebels Overrun Gadhafi’s Compound in Tripoli - WT

Rebels Raise Flag on Gaddafi's Compound - Sky

Rebels Destroy Symbols of Kadafi's Power - LAT

Rebels Overrun Gadhafi Compound - AP

Urban Warfare Could End Libyan Rebels' Advance - AP

Rebels Rejoice in Castle Filled With Guns and Trappings of Power - NYT

Kadafi Compound: Looters Take Place of Loyalists - LAT

In Libya, Echoes of Baghdad's Firdos Square - Reuters

Rebels Tell Story of Plan to Take Tripoli - AP

Opposition Prepares for Transition - WP

Rebel Council to Move to Tripoli this Week - Reuters

For Libyan Rebels, a Time to Celebrate - WP

Rebel Leader to Meet Sarkozy in Paris - AP

US Doubled Air Attacks on Libya in Past 12 Days - CNN

Airstrikes More Difficult as War Moves to Tripoli - NYT

Gaddafi Vows Death or Victory - TT

Fight, Run or Hide, What Now for Moammar Gadhafi? - VOA

Gadhafi's Options for Escape are Narrowing - USAT

In Gadhafi, Rebels Hunting an Elusive Target - AP

Rebels: Gaddafi Must Face Trial in Libya Before ICC - Reuters

Nicaragua Would Consider Gadhafi Asylum - AP

Rebel Forces May Not be Ready for What's Coming - USAT

US, Human Rights Groups Urge No Retribution in Libya - VOA

US Presses Rebels to Preserve Order  - WP

Libya's Deadliest Weapons Still Haven't Been Corralled - AP

Ex-IAEA Official Warns of Libya 'Dirty Bomb' Material - Reuters

Oil Giants Look to Resume Libyan Production - VOA

Hurdles in Reviving the Oil Sector - NYT

Libyan Rebels' Gulf Allies Poised for Payday - AP

Libya Rebel Council Seeking $2.5 Billion Aid - Reuters

Waves of Disinformation and Confusion Swamp the Truth - NYT

Covering Libya's Conflict by Way of 'Planet Rixos' - LAT

British Journalists 'Captive' at Tripoli Hotel - TT

Map: Tripoli fighting - BBC

America’s Role in Libya - WP editorial

Libya’s Problems Far From Over - LAT opinion

Libya’s Bloody Road to Freedom - NYT opinion

When Kadafi Commanded Respect - LAT opinion

 

Syria

5 Deaths Reported in Syria as UN Investigates Violence - NYT

Europeans and US Seek Sanctions Against Syria - AP

Syrian Activists Form Opposition Coalition - VOA

Syria Opposition Tries to Unite, Divisions Remain - AP

UN Human Rights Council Condemns Syria - VOA

UN Orders Syria Crackdown Probe - BBC

US Envoy Defies Syria Travel Rules - WP

US Envoy Visits Syria Town, UN Launches Inquiry - Reuters

 

Afghanistan

Billions Spent on Police but Brutality, Corruption Prevail - Reuters

Local Afghan Government Officials Killed in South - AP

ISAF Operations Roundup - AFPS

Kidnap Fears Grow for Missing Germans - BBC

 

Pakistan

Pakistan’s Bitter, Little-Known Ethnic Rebellion - NYT

3 Arrested in American's Kidnapping - CNN

'Day of Mourning' Cripples Karachi - VOA

Protest Strike Shuts Down Karachi - BBC

 

Iraq

Logistics Personnel Prepare to Move Materiel Out of Iraq - S&S

Turkey Reports Heavy PKK Losses in Week of Bombing - BBC

Base Life Has Own Pace Despite Iraq War Outside - S&S

 

Iran

Iran Unveils New Missile - VOA

Iran Shows UN Advanced Nuke Equipment - AP

Iran Puts 'Israeli Spy' on Trial - BBC

 

Israel / Palestinians

Israeli Military: Aircraft Strike Gaza Gunmen - AP

Israeli Air Strike Kills Gaza Militant - Reuters

 

Yemen

Yemeni PM Returning Home – VOA

 

Al Qaeda

10 Years after 9/11, al-Qaeda is Down but Not Out - WP opinion

 

US Department of Defense

‘Doomsday Mechanism’ Would Devastate Budget, Panetta Says - AFPS

 

United States

FBI Focusing on Security Over Ordinary Crime - NYT

East Coast Rocked by Strongest Quake Since 1944 - AP

 

Africa

Sudan Leader Declares Ceasefire - BBC

Images Show Mass Graves in Sudan, Group Says - NYT

Sudan Says No Proof of Mass Graves in Conflict Area - Reuters

Mogadishu Celebrates Al-Shabab Withdrawal But Militants Nearby - VOA

 

Americas

Man Hung From Mexico Bridge, Shot to Death - AP

Costa Rica 'Facing Drugs Threat' - BBC

Trinidad Declares Crime Emergency - BBC

Judge: Venezuelan Weekly Must Stop Publishing - AP

Haiti Needs Action, Not Words - LAT editorial

 

Asia Pacific

Biden Sees Recovery in Japan - WP

Japan’s Prime Minister Likely to Resign - NYT

N. Korea's Kim, Medvedev Hold Nuclear Talks - Reuters

Medvedev in Siberia for Summit With Kim Jong Il - AP

Rebels Reject Plan for Filipino Muslims - NYT

Philippines' Aquino: No Apology for Hostage Deaths - AP

Thai PM Sets Priorities For New Government - VOA

Time to Deal with China’s High-tech Mafia - WT opinion

 

Europe

Serbia Welcomes Merkel on Threshold of EU Bid - VOA

Turkey Exacts a Toll on Kurdish Separatists - NYT

 

South Asia

Indian PM Calls on Anti-Corruption Activist to End Hunger Strike - VOA

Indian PM Urges Hazare to End Strike - WP

Many in India See Danger in Hazare’s Anticorruption Plan - NYT

India Leaders Hold Hazare Talks - BBC

Bangladesh Urged to Stop Extrajudicial Killings - AP

Sri Lanka MPs to Probe 'Grease-Devil' Violence - BBC

Marine Corps Doctrinal Publication 1-0

Tue, 08/23/2011 - 7:42pm

Marine Corps Doctrinal Publication (MCDP) 1-0, Marine Corps Operations, has been revised and is now posted at the Marine Corps Combat Development Command, Combat Development and Integration Division’s webpage.  The original edition, developed just prior to 9/11, reflected language and constructs prevalent within joint doctrine at that time. The revision discusses the use of smaller MAGTFs and other nonstandard formations that are increasingly employed across the range of military operations. It provides concise descriptions of the various operations Marines may conduct and it records changes to Marine Corps as determined by the 2010 Force Structure Review.

Overcoming Our Dearth of Language Skills

Tue, 08/23/2011 - 9:15am

 Several threads on Army Professional Forums (APF), primarily in the Counterinsurgency (COIN) Operations and Security Force Assistance (SFA) forums, discuss the relevance and importance of cultural and language training in preparing future Army leaders for this “era of persistent conflict" that many, including the former SECDEF Gates and former CJCS Mullen, see as part of our future.  In order to fully appreciate any culture we are learning about, especially if we expect to conduct operations in that particular culture, it follows that learning the language will not only help one learn about that culture but be able to operate more effectively once immersed in it.  A 2010 Small Wars Journal article by LTG Michael Vane (The US Army's Shift to Irregular Warfare) also notes the importance of culture and language training by the US military due to the changing nature of the global security environment in which state-on-state conventional wars have been supplanted by smaller scale regional conflicts, trans-national and non-state terrorist actions, and other irregular security challenges conducted among local populations and lasting several years if not decades.

A question posed on APF dealt with what languages & regions to focus on given the changing security environment and our role in it.  After all, conflicts affecting US and allied interests - whether they involve foreign internal defense, counterinsurgency, counter-terrorism, or post-conflict reconstruction efforts - could spring up most anywhere.  If we consider the following, we might be able to better narrow down where we ought to focus our education & training efforts:

a)  Read Samuel Huntington's "Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order" and Thomas P.M. Barnett's "The Pentagon's New Map: War and Peace in the Twenty-First Century".  In "Clash of Civilizations", Huntington talks of potential conflicts arising along cultural "fault lines", for example, where Christianity meets Islam (Central Asia/ Turkey/ Caucasus regions) or where Hindu culture meets Sinic culture (Himalaya/ Central Asian region).  In "The Pentagon's New Map", Thomas Barnett posits that the world is divided between the "connected" (primarily Western) regions/ countries and the "disconnected" or "Gap" areas, with many of those "gap" regions being in Africa, the Middle East, Central Asia, etc.  Given these two authors & ideas they put forth, the Army may want to look at educating Soldiers in Turkish, Persian, Hindi, and Chinese as well as focusing on those areas for cultural/ regional education.

While I am aware of some of the criticisms of the above-mentioned authors, particularly Samuel Huntington and his position that the world can be broken down into well-defined cultural blocks along whose seams conflict may arise, I offer both authors and their ideas simply as starting points as we determine how to analyze primary areas of focus for culture and language instruction and not necessarily as the leading choices upon which to establish training policy.         

b)  Though quite radical, we may want to revive the British concept of a "shooting leave" (we'll call it something else of course).  During the period of British rule in India, both Company and Government, a "shooting leave" involved a British officer taking a few weeks or months of leave in order to travel through potentially hostile lands and gather information and intelligence, which involved the possibility of shooting or being shot at.  For our purposes, our officers ought to be able to take a sabbatical, perhaps no more than 3 to 6 months, and embed themselves in non-governmental organizations (NGO) operating in one of the regions we are interested in (with Doctors Without Borders in Tajikistan for instance) so that he may use/ improve his language capabilities, learn first-hand information about the region he is in, and work with organizations that we may end up dealing with should we become involved in those areas.  We may also want to look at embedding in foreign militaries involved in combat operations (Indians in Kashmir, Russians in the Cacausus, etc) or with private military companies (PMCs) operating overseas.  These opportunities would allow one to immerse in a local culture, refine language skills, as well observe routine activities (whether in conflict or non-conflict zones) in those areas of interest (a similar idea was proposed by COL (R) Scott Wuestner in his paper Building Partner Capacity/ Security Force Assistance: A New Structural Paradigm, Feb 2009).

An obvious concern regarding the institution of the "shooting leave" program is one of security....will those who participate be in grave danger from kidnapping, torture, and/ or death with all of it posted on some jihadist website for all to see?  Clearly anyone who volunteers for an assignment that affords one the opportunity to live and work in a foreign environment, especially an unstable environment, would understand the high risks involved.  In fact, I suspect those who volunteer would do so partly for that reason.  Then there are the concerns of those leaders charged with ensuring the safety of our troops and, in recent years, they have shown themselves to be quite risk-averse.  Getting them to buy off on sending individual Soldiers or even small groups of Soldiers to live, work, or possibly fight along side foreign military forces or private military companies would be tricky to say the least. 

But those fears might be quelled by adopting a modified version of the "Volckmann Program" proposed by COL Eric Wendt in his paper The Green Beret Volckmann Program: Maximizing the Prevent Strategy from the July-September 2011 edition of Special Warfare magazine.  COL Wendt proposes that select SF Soldiers be afforded opportunities to embed directly into foreign military forces as a routine part of their careers and that such embeds be managed by the Security Cooperation Office (SCO) in the resident US Embassy.  Modifying this program to allow general purpose forces (GPF) to embed while being managed and secured by the local US embassy SCO team, coupled with thorough combat and survival training of the embedded GPF and vetting of the host-nation units or NGOs to be embedded in, would reduce, though not eliminate, the admittedly high risks.  The resident SCO team would maintain a life-line to the GPF embeds in a manner similar to the program outlined by COL Wendt for his SF Volckmann team members.  For those embedding in PMCs, they would also be managed by the SCO team but the legal ramifications regarding their status would have to be addressed, perhaps treating them in the same way that war correspondents are viewed and treated, and potentially constraining them to observers only.

The obvious question here is "Why not leave such a program to the SOF community since this is precisely what they were designed for?”.  A valid question, but security force assistance (SFA) and building partner capacity (BPC) are now core competencies of the conventional Army (as stated in FM 3-07.1 Security Force Assistance), not just the SOF community.  In order to ensure that the GPF are capable of executing such duties, they must be integrated into programs that routinely take them to various cultures and afford them opportunities to develop and improve their language capabilities so that such missions can be effectively conducted during continuous combat operations versus haphazardly thrown together as was the case during our current conflict.

c)   Indiana University, through their Department of Central Eurasian Studies, provides language and cultural instruction about Afghanistan and other parts of Central Asia to Army ROTC cadets in preparation for their expected deployment to that region.  Such instruction ought to be a commissioning requirement in all commissioning sources with language/ cultural choice based on current and projected Army requirements.  If language proficiency cannot be achieved while in the program due to the other established pre-commissioning requirements, perhaps mandating that cadets achieve a minimum score of 95 the Defense Language Aptitude Test (DLAT) can substitute for language skill at commissioning. 

The Army currently offers the Critical Language Incentive Pay Program (CLIPP) which was initiated in 2008.  Under the program, ROTC cadets receive financial incentive for studying a key language, like Russian, Chinese, Farsi, and Arabic, and the incentive increases each year the cadet participates.  It also covers language immersion and study-abroad programs.  Further expanding this program by mandating it for all ROTC (and service academy) cadets will help us build a cadre of officers fluent, or least somewhat conversant, in languages that we are expecting to need in the future.

Not all universities hosting Army ROTC programs have extensive language curricula; nor are all universities amenable to imparting instruction that may have a direct impact in the conduct of combat operations.  However, if the language instruction were consolidated at certain universities with strong language programs (like Indiana University, Brigham Young University, George Washington, University of Georgia, Ohio State University, etc), this would enable cadets to get their (and the Army's) preferred language as well as boost enrollment (and revenue, courtesy of DA/ DoD) at those particular universities.  In order to ameliorate any ill-will among certain faculty members, we would have to emphasize the (generally) non-combat purpose behind such instruction, i.e. learning the local language will help reduce misunderstanding, generate a positive relationship, and help us assist in reducing or extinguishing violence and conflict in those areas.

d).  Should any of these ideas for overseas training be too unpopular due to the perceived dangers, perhaps a more palatable alternative that might achieve a similar effect would be to immerse our leaders in foreign cultures here at home.  Detroit has one of the largest Arabic communities in the USA.  The Twin Cities area (Minneapolis – St Paul) has one of the largest Somali communities in the country.  Large communities of people of Asian descent live in major cities on our West Coast.  An analysis of which of these immigrant areas are growing the fastest may give us an idea of which languages to focus on since these communities may be growing due to a worsening of the security environment in the “old country”, driving these immigrants to the safety of the US.  Allowing our troops to spend extended periods in these “foreign” neighborhoods within the US would allow for some degree of cultural immersion and language development beyond what is possible in a school or training environment.  It might not be as thoroughly authentic as living overseas and functioning in that particular culture but it would be better than doing nothing.

Political and fiscal constraints coupled with public fatigue after a decade of war will limit US desire and ability to deploy robust forces to contend with the variety of threats endemic in this era of persistent conflict.  Building partner capacity has been identified as a key area of concern as we look for better, and cheaper, ways to assist friends and allies, and help others defend themselves as Mr. Gates put it.  In order to do this effectively, we must field more leaders that can communicate with host-nations forces in their own languages which will allow us to better understand those host-nation environments since little will be lost in translation and cultural understanding will be enhanced.  Improving our language skills may lead to more effective and efficient techniques for building the capacity of our current and future partners and reduce the need for deployments of robust US forces.

The Criminals South of the Border

Tue, 08/23/2011 - 8:51am

The Criminals South of the Border: Lessons from Mexico by Dr. Max G. Manwaring, US Army War College’s Strategic Studies Institute. BLUF:

“Authorities have no consistent or reliable data on the Transnational Criminal Organizations (TCO)-gang phenomenon in Mexico. Nevertheless, the TCO-gang phenomenon in that country is acknowledged to be large, complex, and increasingly violent. In addition, the gang situation is known to be different in the north (along the U.S. border) than it is in the south (along the Guatemala-Belize borders). Second, the phenomenon is also different in the areas between the northern and southern borders of Mexico. Third, there is a formidable gang presence known to exist throughout the entire country (regardless of the questionable accuracy of the data estimating the size and extent of the gang presence), and—given the weakness of the national political and police institutions—criminality has considerable opportunity to prosper.”

The Limits of our Ability to Practice War

Tue, 08/23/2011 - 8:33am

War begins an inexorable march towards exhaustion. The resources we fight with are limited and the burden of their use only increases with time and the workings of violence, chance, and planning. Every culture handles that trinity a little differently creating experiences and possibilities too numerous to be known by any individual, war is too big. Its size conceals the fullness of its opportunities and pitfalls from those who move forward along the few paths they know.

There are two complementary ways to describe the enormity of war. First, it is a human phenomenon whose complexities multiply according to the number of people involved. Active duty servicemen are generally a small segment of a society and yet an entire society can be transformed when faced with occupation. Then opportunities to fight increase, a farmer can become a part-time soldier relying on tools like ambush and community intimidation to grind out victory. War is open to as many changes and interpretations as there are lives it affects.

Second, as the most visceral human action war draws a response from all aspects of life. It siphons wealth from civilizations, it builds and destroys political credibility, and it polarizes the religious into zealots and pacifists. War's effects rebound back onto itself creating criticism, support, opportunities, and constraints that were unexpected at its outset. The influence that even intangibles like faith and the economy have, combined with the endless changes wrought on the shape of war by individual participants, make for complexity beyond understanding.

War quickly exceeds our ability to know it, so we make it smaller. We discard approaches and possibilities until we have something we can grasp and practice at the expense of resources we are —to sacrifice. In the United States we rely on a volunteer force, augmented by advanced technology and massive sums of wealth. Our military is tailored to quick decisive engagements with minimal casualties and reflects the American consensus on what war should be, even when not employed that way. The forces that shape the way we fight are numerous, powerful, subtle and beyond our ability to master completely.

Likewise, the people we fight have their own narrow approach to conflict. Instead of mirroring the capital intensive military the United States fields they have forged a way of war that plays to their patience and extensive local knowledge while bypassing their lack of wealth. War brings these two approaches into contest and practitioners on both sides are forced to adapt. Some adaptations can be supported from our niche, spending more money to develop vehicles that can survive I.E.D.s is very much in line with how the United States fights.

However, when we adapt further away from our preferences and competencies we add a steep learning curve to an already heavy burden. Searching far afield from our finite knowledge of war for a more appropriate response to the current fight has led us down rough and unfamiliar paths. In addition to the wealth war is normally paid for with; time has been spent lavishly and with time more lives have been spent bitterly. We are quickly becoming more exhausted than our opponents because, forgetting where we came from, we press into the unknown. Those concerned about public policy must have a deep respect for our natural limitations as war-makers before accepting life's most brutal challenge.
 

23 August SWJ Roundup

Tue, 08/23/2011 - 1:31am

Libya

Loyalists Fight on in Tripoli; Gadhafi Sons Reported Free - VOA

Qaddafi’s Son Taunts Rebels in Tripoli - NYT

Gaddafi Son Vows to Fight Rebels - BBC

Gaddafi Loyalists Strike Back in Tripoli - WP

Gadhafi Son Resurfaces, Free and Vowing to Fight - AP

More Clashes After Rebels Sweep Tripoli - NYT

Libya Rebels Tighten Grip on Tripoli - LAT

Allies Guided Rebel Assault on Tripoli - WP

Rebels’ Assault on Tripoli Began With Careful Work Inside - NYT

After Uprising, Rebels Face a Struggle for Unity - NYT

New Fighting Tempers Rebel Euphoria From Rush Into Capital - NYT

Libya Rebels Hold Most of Tripoli, Face Resistance - AP

US Says it Believes Gaddafi Still in Libya - WP

NATO Forces Still on Duty; UK Looks to End of Regime - LAT

Gaddafi Hunted as Loyalists Fight On in Tripoli - Reuters

Mystery of Qaddafi’s Whereabouts Looms Large in Endgame - NYT

World Urges Gadhafi to Surrender, Plans Future - AP

Tunisia Uncovers Gaddafi Embassy Bomb Plot -TT

Gaddafi Hunted as Loyalists Fight On in Tripoli - Reuters

Tripoli Battle is Bittersweet Moment in Benghazi - WP

As Regime Crumbles, Libyans Reclaim their Pride - LAT

Libyan Opposition Chief Discusses Post-Gadhafi Future - VOA

US Seeking Ways to Finance New Libyan Leaders - NYT

ICC Briefed by Libyan Rebels - UPI

Bodies May Be Gaddafi Son and Libya Intel Chief - Reuters

UN Chief Urges Gadhafi Forces to Stop Fight - AP

Libya's Bizarre Leader Gadhafi Defiant to End - AP 

Gaddafi 'Could Flee to Venezuela' - TT

Obama: Gadhafi Regime Ending - VOA

Situation Fluid, But Gadhafi Regime Nears End, Obama Says - AFPS

Obama Says Situation in Libya ‘Still Very Fluid’ - WP

Obama Says Future of Libyans Now in Own Hands - LAT

Obama: Qaddafi Regime 'Coming to an End' - FOX

US Presses Rebels to Preserve Order - WP

US: ‘No Boots on the Ground’ post-Gadhafi - S&S

Obama Still Opposes Putting US Troops in Libya - Reuters

After the Fall, US Concerned About Libyan Weapons - Reuters

Qaddafi and Hussein Parallels  Raise Anxiety for W. Leaders - NYT

US Works to be Sure Libya Doesn't Turn into Iraq - LAT

The Scramble for Access to Libya’s Oil Wealth Begins - NYT

Libya's $37 Billion Stays Frozen Over Legal Issues - Bloomberg

Investors Eye Promise, Pitfalls in Post-Gaddafi Libya - Reuters

ENI Leads Libya Oil Race; Russia, China May Lose Out - Reuters

International Allies on Libya to Meet Thursday - Reuters

Arab League, Egypt Back Rebels in Libyan Endgame - Reuters

Journalists Kept in Hotel as Battle Rages Outside - NYT

Experts: United Libyan Govt Won't Happen Overnight - USAT

Who Are the Libyan Rebels? - VOA

Why Crack Troops Melted Away - BBC

Analysis: Gaddafi Collapse Will Embolden Arab Rebels - Reuters

Analysis: Could Libya Split Along Tribal Lines? - CNN

Analysis: Libya's Next Phase Carries Risks for US - Reuters

Qaddafi’s Final Hours - NYT editorial

Lessons From Libya - WP editorial

Lesson of Libya: Limited Intervention Can Work - WP opinion

Lessons of the Libyan Endgame - NYT opinion

Once Gaddafi is Gone - WP opinion

Does Libya Need Blue Helmets? - CNN opinion

 

Syria

Libyan Rebels' Advance Emboldens Syrian Activists - LAT

Assad Broke Word, UN Chief Says - WP

UN Puts Syria Death Toll at 2,200 - BBC

Syrians Taunt Assad, Saying Regime Next to Unravel - AP

Syrian Forces Shoot Three During UN Visit, Activists Say - Reuters

Arab Nations Pressure Syria at UN - AP

UN to Examine Violence in Syria - VOA

Syria Faces Outcry at UN Rights Body as Toll Rises - Reuters

UN's Ban Says Assad Broke Pledge to Halt Violence - Reuters

 

Afghanistan

Afghans Try to Revive Key Projects Hit by Attacks - AP

Afghan Villagers Stone a Taliban Commander to Death - NYT

Daunted Afghans Find Refuge in Former Foe Russia - Reuters

ISAF Operations Roundup - AFPS

 

Pakistan

A Media Conundrum in Pakistan - WP

Officials: US Missiles Kill 4 in NW Pakistan - AP

 

Israel / Palestinians

Egypt Disavows Threat to Recall Envoy to Israel - NYT

Egypt Acts on Border Region as Israel Tensions Linger - Reuters

In Gaza Strip, Cease-fire Takes Hold - WP

Israel and Hamas in 'Gaza Rruce' - BBC

Gaza Militants Renew Rocket Fire Despite Truce - AP

Abbas Postpones Palestinian Municipal Elections - AP

Israel Lauds Success of Iron Dome Missile Interceptor - Reuters

 

Middle East / North Africa

Libyan Rebels Prolong ‘Arab Spring’ - WP

Dissent in Syria Emerges as Front Line of Arab Uprisings - NYT

Yemen Politician Dies of Wounds From Attack on Saleh - Reuters

 

United States

Battle for the Senate Takes Shape - WP

US Issues New Deportation Policy’s First Reprieves - NYT

Life Sentence for Somali Pirates - BBC

 

Africa

Death Toll Passes 600 From Raid in South Sudan - NYT

South Sudan Attacks 'Leave 600 Dead' - BBC

Somali Government Executes Two Soldiers Over Killings - Reuters

Ivory Coast: 3 French Soldiers Arrested, Released - AP

UN Employee Suspected of Smuggling Congo Minerals - Reuters

Liberia to Vote on Constitutional Referendum - AP

 

Americas

Mexican Gulf Cartel Kingpin Cano-Flores Extradited to US - LAHT

High-ranking Member of Mexico's Gulf Cartel Brought to US - AP

Navy Ship Stops Drug Haul Off San Diego Coast - SDUT

Trinidad Declares State of Emergency to Fight Crime - Reuters

 

Asia Pacific

Japan's PM to Announce Resignation Friday - Reuters

Mixed Chinese Reaction to VP Biden’s Visit - VOA

North Korean Leader, Russian President to Meet in Siberia - VOA

N. Korea: Kim's Russia Trip Focusing on Energy Issue - AP

North Korea Seizes Resort Assets - BBC

N. Korea Expels S. Koreans From Joint Mountain Resort - AP

Vietnam Takes Delivery of Russian-Made Warship - AP

US Concerned About Vietnam Detention of Protesters - Reuters

 

Europe

Woman Likely to be Russia's No 3 - BBC

Russian Mayor Killed After Alleging Corruption - Reuters

Ukraine Thwarts Holiday Bomb Attack in Capital - Reuters

 

South Asia

In India, Industries Boom, But Logistics Lag Behind - WP

Hazare Heaps Pressure on India PM - BBC

Criticism Grows Against Indian Anti-Graft Activist - AP

Mass Graves Hold Thousands, Kashmir Inquiry Finds - NYT

Policeman Lynched in Sri Lanka Town - BBC

This Week at War: The Libya Model

Mon, 08/22/2011 - 7:32pm

In a special edition of my Foreign Policy column "This Week at War," I discuss whether the NATO operation in Libya is now a model for the future.

 

Should the tactics used to bring down Qaddafi be applied elsewhere?

According to the Washington Post, NATO officials "were startled" by the speed at which Col. Muammar al-Qaddafi's security forces in Tripoli collapsed. Rebel units drove into the city from several directions and swept over the feeble resistance mounted by the government's troops. Three of Qaddafi's sons were captured and the rebels now apparently control most of the capital city, although widespread fighting continues.

While the rebels track down Qaddafi himself and suppress the remaining resistance, analysts now have the task of assessing Operation Unified Protector, the NATO military effort to "protect civilians and civilian-populated areas under threat of attack." Although the stated goal of Unified Protector was protecting the civilian population, the way of achieving that end was clearly the removal of Qaddafi and his family from power in Libya. With that objective all but achieved, the question for policymakers is whether Unified Protector should now be a model for future cases.

Although NATO explicitly stated that it had "no intention of deploying land forces anywhere in Libyan territory," the New York Times asserts that this was not the case. A NATO diplomat and another NATO official confirmed to the Times today that "Britain, France and other nations deployed special forces on the ground inside Libya to help train and arm the rebels." The NATO special forces troops almost certainly also coordinated close air support as rebel units advanced into the capital.

At the beginning of the campaign in March, I recommended that the Obama administration consider the "Jawbreaker Option" -- employing air power and special operations teams on the ground to assist rebel militia, a combination that was surprisingly effective against the Taliban in November 2001. According to the New York Times, this is essentially what was done.

Unified Protector's end was to protect the population. The way it sought to achieve this was by deposing Qaddafi. But the means employed was strictly limited to covert special operations troops on the ground plus air support. A supreme goal for NATO policymakers is to avoid the large-scale deployment of general-purpose ground forces in Libya.

If the New York Times description of the military endgame around Tripoli is accurate, NATO air power alone did not win the war. Libya's rebels, of course, deserve the most credit for success. But they also appear to have benefited from significant assistance on the ground from NATO and allied covert special-operations forces.

Perhaps the biggest surprise was which of Libya's rebels were most effective on the battlefield. The Benghazi rebels in the east, though they benefited from a large sanctuary for organizing and training as well as easy access to outside assistance, were never able to develop into a threatening military force. It was the western rebels, with seemingly fewer advantages for organizing and training, who were most effective in ground combat against Qaddafi's troops. What on-the-ground assistance was provided to the western rebels will be a critical element to help analysts evaluate the results of the military campaign.

Is Unified Protector now a model that NATO policymakers can use in future cases? It is too soon to tell. As we have seen in Afghanistan, Iraq, and elsewhere, the greatest threat to the civilian population may come in the "post-war" period when the real fighting for resources and political power is likely to begin. It would be a bitter tragedy if the ouster of Qaddafi -- done in the name of protecting the population -- resulted in Hobbesian chaos afterward. If this occurred, the duty of "responsibility to protect" would seem to fall heavily on NATO. And that might result in pressure to deploy a large stabilization force into Libya, the very outcome the Unified Protector strategy was designed to avoid.

The campaigns in Kosovo in 1999, Afghanistan in 2001, Iraq in 2003, and Libya in 2011 show that it takes surprisingly little military power to overthrow brittle authoritarian regimes. It takes more than air power -- in all of these cases, indigenous or outside ground forces were an essential element of military success. What has yet to be demonstrated in recent memory is whether there can be a relatively bloodless transition to a new political order without a large outside stabilization force. NATO leaders are hoping that Libya will be the first such case, or at least that they can keep thousands of NATO boots out of Libya. We'll see.

 

Libya News Roundup # 2

Mon, 08/22/2011 - 4:17pm

Libya News Roundup Number 2:

More Clashes After Rebels Sweep Tripoli - NYT

Allies Guided Rebel Assault on Tripoli - WP

New Fighting Tempers Rebel Euphoria From Rush Into Capital - NYT

Libya Rebels Hold Most of Tripoli, Face Resistance - AP

US Says it Believes Gaddafi Still in Libya - WP

NATO Forces Still on Duty; UK Looks to End of Regime - LAT

Gaddafi Hunted as Loyalists Fight On in Tripoli - Reuters

Mystery of Qaddafi’s Whereabouts Looms Large in Endgame - NYT

World Urges Gadhafi to Surrender, Plans Future - AP

Tunisia Uncovers Gaddafi Embassy Bomb Plot -TT

Gaddafi Hunted as Loyalists Fight On in Tripoli - Reuters

ICC Briefed by Libyan Rebels - UPI

Bodies May Be Gaddafi Son and Libya Intel Chief - Reuters

UN Chief Urges Gadhafi Forces to Stop Fight - AP

Libya's Bizarre Leader Gadhafi Defiant to End - AP 

Gaddafi 'Could Flee to Venezuela' - TT

Obama Says Situation in Libya ‘Still Very Fluid’ - WP

Obama Says Future of Libyans Now in Own Hands - LAT

Obama: Qaddafi Regime 'Coming to an End' - FOX

Obama Still Opposes Putting US Troops in Libya - Reuters

Libya's $37 Billion Stays Frozen Over Legal Issues - Bloomberg

Investors Eye Promise, Pitfalls in Post-Gaddafi Libya - Reuters

ENI Leads Libya Oil Race; Russia, China May Lose Out - Reuters

International Allies on Libya to Meet Thursday - Reuters

Experts: United Libyan Govt Won't Happen Overnight - USAT

Analysis: Gaddafi Collapse Will Embolden Arab Rebels - Reuters

Analysis: Could Libya Split Along Tribal Lines? - CNN

Lesson of Libya: Limited Intervention Can Work - WP opinion

Does Libya Need Blue Helmets? - CNN opinion