Small Wars Journal

Mexican Cartel Strategic Note No. 4

Wed, 10/12/2011 - 5:16pm

The Document: Texas Border Security: A Strategic Military Assessment was published in September 2011 and authored by Barry McCaffrey and Robert Scales, Ph.D. — both retired Army generals and highly respected national security thinkers. Colgen LP (www.colgen.net) was commissioned by Texas Department of Agriculture which was tasked by the 82nd Texas Legislature to undertake this assessment. The document, which garnered significant media attention when first released, can be accessed at: www.texasagriculture.gov/.../46982_Final%20Report-Texas%20Border%20Security.pdf.

The main document is 59 pages in length and also contains a section with additional pages composed of twelve attachments. The document has an executive summary and a general bibliography of works influencing the assessment but is not endnoted. The study was initially prompted by the pleas of rural farmers and ranchers in Texas to help secure the border due to the Mexican cartels establishing themselves on their lands. Per Commissioner Todd Staples, Texas Department of Agriculture:

The report offers a military perspective on how to best incorporate strategic, operational, and tactical measures to secure the increasingly hostile border regions along the Rio Grande River. It also provides sobering evidence of cartel criminals gaining ground on Texas soil.

In addition to a discussion of the strategic, operational, and tactical levels of conflict, high points of the report go on to discuss Texas as a narco-sanctuary, the State of Texas’ organization for combat via a Unified Command system, the role of the Texas Rangers, the effectiveness and flexibility of the system utilized by Texas law enforcement, and solving border security problems together. General recommendations in paragraph form are then provided concerning communications and the network, operations, intelligence, technology, and learning to further enhance the Texas border security system.

Analysis:  This is a very significant and cogent assessment and will greatly impact the Mexican cartel debate that is taking place in the United States. What is most striking is that the State of Texas was compelled to commission a report that took a military analytical perspective on Mexican cartel spillover—essentially narco-sanctuary emergence on American soil with dedicated battalion/brigade level equivalent C2 (command and control) facilities (p. 19). While such sanctuaries have been established in Central America by the cartels, the fact that they are now found in the border counties of Texas is of immense concern. Additionally, the attachments found in the report were meant to provide concrete proof of the magnitude of the threat posed by the cartels and their gang associates in both Texas and Mexico.

While the report will primarily have operational level utility, via the recommendations made, for Texas law enforcement, it raises more strategic and political questions than it answers— thought this surely has to be part of the intent of the 82nd Texas Legislature in commissioning it. The report helps to bring the media spotlight to the conflict in Texas— one of the many theaters of operations the cartels and gangs are now engaged—albeit a transit center of gravity into the US with all the major plazas it contains.

One strategic questioned raised concerns the corruptive influence of the cartels in addition to their propensity for violence. The assessment was written by retired generals and is primarily focused on cartel ‘combat potentials’ and a military-like response to them. Of increasing concern is the undermining of US public and law enforcement officials and institutions. This poses an equal if not greater threat to the State of Texas. The ¿Plata O Plomo? (Silver or Lead) technique of using corruption and violence directed against a law enforcement unit to negate it is synergistic in nature and no different in many ways than the use of armor, infantry, and artillery forces to negate an opposing military unit.

One broader political question raised by this report is the relationship between the US Federal Government and the State of Texas. The Federal Government has many obligations to the entire nation— to ensure our economic prosperity (via programs such as NAFTA), to provide for the health and welfare of US citizens (via National Drug Control policy), and to maintain lawful immigration and guest visitor programs (via National Immigration policy). Arguably, it is not scoring high marks on the later of these obligations and very mixed results on the former ones. Where it is fully deficient is in contending with Mexican cartel penetration into the United States, the association of these cartels with gangs and other criminal groups, and the more encompassing illicit economies on which they capitalize. The State of Texas is facing much of the brunt of this issue— though Arizona is also significantly impacted with the kidnappings, incidents of public corruption, and cartel operatives deployed in its border zones.

By all appearances, ‘Texas is being hung out to dry’ by the current executive administration and legislative houses in Washington DC. While this might not be the case, the current DC power structures appear for the most part either in denial or at a loss or unable to respond to the situation taking place in Texas. Quite possibly we are now faced with an “intractable national problem” that is coinciding with massive governmental debt and deficit, polarized political parties full of too many politicians and too few statesmen, a still recovering global economy, and an upcoming presidential election year. None of these bode well for the situation in Texas, a state that is increasingly on a combat footing against Mexican cartel intrusions onto sovereign US soil.

U.S. Ground Force Capabilities Through 2020

Wed, 10/12/2011 - 4:55pm

U.S. Ground Force Capabilities Through 2020 - A Report of the CSIS New Defense Approaches Project by Nathan Freier (primary author) and Daniel Bilko, Matthew Driscoll, Akhil Lyer, Walter Rugen, Terrence Smith, and Matthew Trollinger (contributing authors) and Maren Leed (project director).

As an era of greater austerity rushes in, policymakers face numerous difficult choices about how to prioritize shrinking resources. This study is an effort to inform those choices in the particular area of U.S. ground force capabilities, based on an examination of how well current plans align with potential future challenges ground forces might be called upon to address.

The study team employed a straightforward approach. First, the team surveyed the existing literature and solicited expert opinion to inform a characterization of the types of operations in which ground forces might engage over the next decade. Second, to amplify that understanding, the team explored in more detail the primary tasks those operations would involve. Finally, the team assessed, at a very high level, the current and planned capabilities that future leaders might be able to call upon to conduct those missions. The results indicate that future investments in two areas—stability operations and security force assistance—may exceed what will be needed. Capabilities in three other areas—strategic responsiveness, armored maneuver, and forcible entry—are particularly important, and either are or may become areas where, should they be cut back too far, U.S. options to meet key threats would be severely constrained.

Iranian bomb plot blows up deterrence theory

Wed, 10/12/2011 - 10:18am

Yesterday, U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder revealed an Iranian plot to kill the Saudi Arabian ambassador to the United States by bombing a restaurant in Washington. Holder’s description of the plot – which allegedly involved a bungled attempt by Mansour Arbabsiar, a dual citizen, to recruit the notorious Zeta cartel from Mexico – appeared simultaneously brazen and inept. What should worry policymakers the most is how this incident undermines the theory of deterrence, which some hope to use against Iran after it acquires nuclear weapons and long-range ballistic missiles. If Iranian policy cannot be checked with Cold War-style deterrence, the prospect of an inevitable shooting war against Iran will go up.

Holder alleged that Arbabsiar was acting under instructions from officers in Iran’s Quds Force, Iran’s covert action agency. There are at least two explanations for the motivation to execute this bomb attack, neither of which is good for the future employment of deterrence theory against Iran.

First, the operation may have been authorized by the highest level of the Iranian government. This would indicate that top-level Iranian officials are not concerned with the possible retaliatory consequences of a mass casualty attack in downtown Washington, DC. Iran’s leaders would come to that conclusion either because they perceive the U.S. government to be self-constrained or because they perceive the maximum likely U.S. retaliation against Iran to be inconsequential to their interests. Either way, U.S. retaliation against Iran lacks credibility, something the U.S. government will have to fix if it is to usefully employ deterrence theory in the future.

Second, intermediate-level Quds Force officers may have initiated the operation without authority from top-level decision-makers. If so, this too would undermine deterrence theory. Deterrence is not useful if those to be deterred don’t have complete control over their weapons, an assumption U.S. and Soviet leaders both correctly made during the Cold War. Alternatively, the organizational culture inside the Quds Force may reward mid-level officers who “freelance” their own operations. Once again, not a comforting conclusion for deterrence theory.

The U.S. government is responding to this incident with more financial and travel sanctions on Iranian individuals. It also hopes to gain increased cooperation on sanctions from international partners.

In light of yesterday’s news, it is hard to believe that there is some attainable level of financial and travel sanctions, even with the best possible international cooperation, that will change the behavior of either top-level Iranian leaders or officers inside the Quds Force. The U.S. is thus left with a deterrent strategy against Iran that lacks credibility and in any case may be unsuitable for the situation.

Washington should expect more provocations and thus more pressure to eventually display a retaliatory response that will impress Iranian leaders. What kind of display would impress Iranian leaders is a subject many in Washington would prefer to avoid.

12 October SWJ Roundup

Wed, 10/12/2011 - 5:00am

US Naval Institute Daily - USNI

Afghanistan

Coalition Aims for Afghan Face on War by Spring - S&S

Taliban Have ‘Utterly Failed’ to Regain Ground, General Says - AFPS

US Open to Afghan Peace Deal Including Haqqani - Reuters

Clinton: Afghans Won't Give Up on Taliban Deal - AP

UN: Afghanistan’s Opium Production Set to Spike - VOA

UN Reports Sharp Rise in Opium Production - NYT

Afghan Opium Production 'Soars' - BBC

Bomb Blast Kills 6 Afghan Police, 1 Tribal Elder - AP

4 Kidnapped Afghan Aid Workers Released - VOA

Abducted Aid Workers Freed - WP

The China Factor in Afghanistan - TD opinion

Afghanistan, Pakistan and the US: Repairing Relations - BS opinion

 

Pakistan

Pakistan PM in Balochistan Development Pledge - BBC

Pakistani Taliban Raise Funds Through Street Crime - AP

Pakistan Governor Escapes Rocket Attack - VOA

Take on Pakistan's Jihadist Spies - FT opinion

 

Iran

US Accuses Iranians of Plotting to Kill Saudi Envoy - NYT

US Says it Foiled Iran-backed Terror Plot - WP

Iran Plotted to Kill Saudi Ambassador, US Charges - LAT

US Ties Iran to Plot to Kill Saudi Envoy - WSJ

Agents Foil Iranian Terror Plot in DC - WT

Iran Agents 'Planned US Terror Attacks' - BBC

US Charges 2 Iranians over Plot to Kill Saudi Ambassador - TT

US Confronts Iran over Alleged Assassination Plot - TG

US Ties Iran to Plot to Assassinate Saudi Diplomat - AP

Plot to Kill Saudi is a Shift in Iran's Tactics, US Says - LAT

Iran’s Quds Force Implicated in Alleged plot - WP

Suspect in Iranian Terrorism Plot Had Key Connections - WP

US to Pressure Iran over 'Plot' - BBC

How the Iranian Plot Unfolded - CSM

Alleged Plot Uncharacteristically Bold - WP

Mexico Says it Helped US Foil Plot to Kill Saudi Envoy - LAT

Saudi Arabia to 'Take Measures' After Iran Plot - Reuters

Iran Rejects Charge in Plot to Kill Saudi Envoy - AP

Iran Rejects US Allegations of Saudi Envoy Plot - Reuters

Feud Rooted in History for Iran, Saudi Arabia - WP

Low-key Saudi Ambassador Wields High-level Power - WP

Iran vs. Saudi Arabia: In Wikileaks - CSM

Iranian Lashed 74 Times for 'Insult' to Ahmadinejad - TG

Iranian Actress 'Faces 90 Lashes' - BBC

Iranian Leaders Support US Protesters - WP

What Alleged Terror Plot Tells Us - WP opinion

The Iranian-Saudi Cold War Heats Up - FP opinion

US Should Call Iran's bluff - LAT opinion

 

Israel / Palestinians

Israel Reaches Deal With Hamas to Free Captured Soldier - VOA

Netanyahu Announces Hamas Deal to Free IDF Soldier Shalit - NYT

Israeli PM Announces Deal with Hamas to Free Soldier - WP

Deal Signed to Free Gilad Shalit - BBC

Israel and Hamas Agree Gilad Shalit Release - TT

Israel, Hamas Announce Deal on Captured Soldier - AP

Netanyahu Says Shalit Deal Signed by Both Sides - Reuters

Hamas Steals Abbas Thunder With Prisoner Deal - Reuters

Israeli Cabinet Minister Blasts Prisoner Swap Deal - AP

Israel Spills Few Secrets on Prisoner Swap - Reuters

Shalit Deal: There is a Price for His Freedom - TT

Why Israel and Hamas Agreed to a Prisoner Swap - CSM

Shalit Deal: How the Israeli Soldier will be Released - TT

Israel’s West Bank General Warns Against Radicals - NYT

Mideast Envoys Seek Israeli-Palestinian Talks - AP

US Very Hopeful Israel, Palestinians to Meet Oct 23 - Reuters

Colombia Won't Commit to Palestinian State Vote - AP

 

Syria

Sanctions Pose Growing Threat to Syria’s Assad - NYT

Security Forces Abduct Thousands in Syria - WT

Heavy Fighting Reported in City of Homs - LAT

Activists: Syrian Security Forces Kill 3 in Homs - AP

Syrian Opposition Must Avoid Splits - Reuters

China Urges Faster Syria Reforms - BBC

China Calls for Bashar al-Assad to Reform - TT

 

Libya

Qaddafi Forces Give Ground in Sirte - NYT

NATO Says Extent of Resistance in Libya Surprising - AP

Libya NTC Head Jalil Visits Sirte - BBC

High Ranking Gaddafi Officials 'Leading Defense of Sirte' - TT

 

Egypt

Anger at Egypt’s Military Leaders Grows - VOA

With Clashes, Egyptians Lose Trust in Military Ruler - Reuters

Anger Grows at Egypt Military in Christian Deaths - AP

A Top Egyptian Minister Quits in Protest Over Killings - NYT

Finance Minister Resigns to Protest Copts' Slayings - LAT

Egypt Minister Quits over Protest - BBC

Egypt’s Finance Minister Resigns - WP

Islam's War on the Cross - TT opinion

 

Middle East / North Africa

12 Killed in Slew of Attacks Targeting Iraq Police - AP

Bombs Hit Iraqi Police in Baghdad, 14 Dead - Reuters

UN Rights Office 'Distressed' by Saudi Executions - Reuters

 

Piracy

UK and US Forces 'Rescue Somali Pirate-held Italian Ship' - BBC

British Marines Free Hijacked Italian Ship Off Coast of Somalia - TT

Somali Pirate's Hostages Freed after Message in Bottle - AP

How Cargo Ships are Taking on Piracy - TT

Five Most Notorious Recent Incidents - TT

Five Notorious Modern Examples - TT

 

US Department of Defense

Panetta Warns of Budgets Cuts Weakening Military - WT

Panetta Sketches Out Strategy on Cuts - WP

Panetta: Pentagon Cuts will Hit Lawmakers at Home - AP

Army Leadership Discusses Budget Outlook - AFPS

US Army, Marines Join Up to Save Light Vehicle - Reuters

Former DODEA Chief Miles Fired After IG Finds Misconduct - S&S

 

United States

US Issues World Travel Alert Linked to Iran Plot - Reuters

Terror Trial Opens in Plane Bombing Attempt - WP

Prosecutor: Nigerian in Failed US Airliner Attack Sought ‘Martyrdom’ - VOA

Detroit 'Underwear Bomber' on Trial - BBC

Justifying the Killing of an American - NYT editorial

Obama’s Killing of US Citizens - WT editorial

Are Voters Looking for an Isolationist? - NYT opinion

 

Africa

Sudan, S. Sudan Step Toward Resolving Border, Oil Disputes - CSM

S. Sudan Worries Could Become Terror Breeding Ground - CSM

Sudan: Three Darfur Peacekeepers Killed - BBC

'Huge' Turnout in Liberian Poll - BBC

Liberia Ends Peaceful Vote, Braces for Results - Reuters

Runoff Expected in Liberia's Presidential Race - LAT

Uganda MPs Suspend All Oil Deals - BBC

Rebel Tuaregs From Libya Organizing in Mali - AP

Somalia: Shelling Shuts Mogadishu Hospital - BBC

Kenya Struggling to Contain Spillover of Somalia's Violence - CSM

 

Americas

Mexico: US Shared Plot Information From Beginning - AP

Mexico: Central America Migration Drops 70 Percent - AP

Mexican Drug Cartels Reach into Belize - WP

 

Asia Pacific

China and Vietnam Move to Reduce Tensions in S. China Sea - NYT

China, Vietnam Sign Deal to Resolve Sea Dispute - AP

Chinese Telecom Firm Tied to Spy Ministry - WT

Chinese Workers 'More Assertive' - BBC

South Korean President Visits US - LAT

Nuclear, Trade Issues to Dominate S. Korea's President US Agenda - VOA

South Korea’s Lee Defends Stance on North - WP

Indonesia: Terror Suspect Says He Opposed Bali Bombings - AP

Group: Philippine Army Mislabeled Child Soldiers - AP

Philippines Says No State Honors for Marcos Burial - AP

Burma Frees Dissident; More Prisoners Expected to Follow - NYT

Burma Frees Dissidents but Many Still in Jail - Reuters

Burma to Free More than 6,300 Prisoners - LAT

Burma Frees Prisoners in Amnesty - BBC

Some Burma Political Prisoners Kept in Jail - AP

Skepticism Meets Burma's Prisoner-Release Plan - VOA

Burma Amnesty: Is Real Reform Next? - Time opinion

 

Europe

Slovakia Rejects Euro Bailout - NYT

Slovakia Votes Down Bailout Move - BBC

Slovakia Rejects Bailout Expansion - WP

Aid Plan Emerges for Europe’s Banks - NYT

Ukraine’s Tymoshenko Jailed for Seven Years - NYT

Ukraine Jails Opposition Politician - WP

Ukraine ex-PM Convicted of Abuse of Power - LAT

Moscow Calls Ukraine's Sentencing of Tymoshenko 'Anti-Russian' - VOA

Ukraine: Concern over Tymoshenko Jailing - BBC

Ukraine’s Soviet-style Show Trial - TT editorial

Russia Drops 'Soft Power' for Arms Buildup - Reuters

Russia's Putin Holds Talks with China's Hu - AFP

No Date Set for Continuing Dialogue Between Kosovo and Serbia - VOA

Serb Diplomat Convicted in US Beating Case - AP

War Crimes Suspect Mladic Hospitalized - VOA

 

South Asia

An Interview with Bangladeshi PM - WP

Drone Wars? Not Quite.

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 3:04pm

I'll be the first to admit it:  drones are quite the rage.

In 2009, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates hinted that the F-35 Lightning II might be the last manned fighter ever fielded.  

He's not alone, either.  For years, headlines have heralded the end of manned flight, and the coming drone wars.   Not to mention, Twitter is littered with several accounts ostensibly belonging to self-aware drones:  Drunken PredatorsParty ReapersSexy Ravens, and the like.

While the bulk of military technology has remained relatively stagnant over the last decade of war, unmanned aerial vehicles have taken off.  Rifle companies roll into battle with hand-held Raven UAVs, while brigades and divisions are armed with Shadow and Grey Eagles.  According to a recent New York Times article, the Pentagon's unmanned arsenal has grown from 50 to 7,000 unmanned vehicles in just ten years.

But will our military become a pseudo-Cylon force by the end of the century?  Perhaps not.

Peter Singer, author of Wired for War:  The Robotics Revolution and Conflict in the 21st Century was interviewed in a recent article in The Economist:

[A]t a time of falling defence spending, UAS procurement and development may lack allies against powerful and conservative constituencies. These include sceptical military bureaucrats, fast-jet pilots, and members of Congress fighting to preserve traditional weapons programmes and the jobs that go with them.

But the real impediment to Drone Warfare may be more mundane. 

Recently, Noah Shachtman of Wired Magazine revealed that America's drone fleet was hit with a computer virus.  What's more is that the data links which control America's fleet of drones is suceptible to jamming and anti-satellite technology, video feeds have been hacked, and GPS signals can be jammed.  

Drones may be able to stay aloft for 36 hours without a break, but human beings can't be jammed or  hacked.  In the 21st Century, that might make all the difference in the world.

The author is a helicopter pilot qualified in the UH-60 Black Hawk and LUH-72 Lakota helicopters.  Serving as the lead Observer/Controller for Unmanned Aerial Systems at the Joint Multinational Readiness Center in Hohenfels, Germany, he has logged approximately 5.3 hours walking through the forest in Germany in search of wayward Raven UAVs.  With little success, one might add...

Does U.S. Drone Use Set a New Precedent for War?

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 2:32pm

Does U.S. Drone Use Set a New Precedent for War? -  PBS News Hour explores some of the questions about the use of drones with retired Maj. Gen. Charles Dunlap, executive director of the Center on Law, Ethics and National Security at Duke University Law School. He previously served as a top military lawyer in the Air Force. And David Cortright, director of policy studies at the Kroc Institute for International Peace Studies at Notre Dame, among his many books is "Uniting Against Terror: Cooperative Nonmilitary Responses to the Global Terrorist Threat."

CNAS Hard Choices report is a good start – but much follow-up is needed

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 1:51pm

Last week, the Center for a New American Security released Hard Choices: Responsible Defense in an Age of Austerity. The looming crunch in the defense budget -- and how policymakers, the military, and the defense industry will cope – has been the top issue in defense analysis for at least a year. However, the ensuing discussion about the Pentagon’s budget problems has been surprisingly vague. Unlike other recent analyses, including those produced by various deficit cutting panels (Bowles-Simpson, Rivlin-Domenici, etc.) CNAS’s report lays out the strategic context and objectives U.S. policymakers face, presents specific budget scenarios, and computes dollars and quantities for budget line items. Most crucially, the authors discuss the risks and consequences that come with the report’s four increasingly onerous budget cases.

CNAS’s report arrives just as the Congress’s budget “super-committee” meets in an attempt to head off the automatic trigger that would impose defense budget cuts that exceed Hard Choices’ worst case scenario. Policymakers will now have in hand a report from a respected defense think-tank that alerts them to the strategic consequences that could result should the budget process once again break down on Capitol Hill.

With the early-August debt ceiling legislation revealing a little clarity about the budget path ahead, the CNAS staff was under much time pressure to deliver a product that would be relevant to the debate leading up to the next budget milestone at Thanksgiving. As useful as Hard Choices is, it is still just a summary of the deeper implications policymakers and the Pentagon face regarding strategy, defense planning, and risk tradeoffs over the next few years.

Future reports, produced either by CNAS or other defense think tanks, should be even more explicit at discussing which operational deployments and tempos the services will (and will not) be able to sustain under various cases, which specific low and medium priority missions would no longer be supportable (and the regional consequences of such cancellations), and which portions of the defense industrial base would likely dry up. Equally important, future reports should discuss how future force structure options would attempt to respond to illustrative crisis scenarios. Policymakers would benefit from seeing this analytical work before they make critical budget decisions.

Hard Choices is thus only the first of what should be an increasingly deep and detailed analysis of the strategic choices and risks U.S. policymakers and defense planners will have to cope with in the years ahead. The work of CNAS and other defense thinkers is just beginning.

A Few Questions for Colonel Paul Yingling on Failures in Generalship

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 6:17am

A Few Questions for Colonel Paul Yingling on Failures in Generalship.

by Colonel Gian P Gentile

Dear Paul:

In the Spring of 2007 you penned a timely and important critique of American Army generalship.  In your essay, “A Failure in Generalship,” that was published in Armed Forces Journal, you argued cogently that American generals had failed in Iraq because they had been unable to defeat--using superior American military might--a ragtag batch of Iraqi insurgents.  In the essay you referenced a previous American counterinsurgency war in Vietnam and noted that that war was fought poorly because its generals were too focused on firepower and not on the proper methods of counterinsurgency.  You suggested that there was a better way to fight the war in Vietnam yet the Army and its generals were unable to grasp it.  And with Iraq your frustration in the article seemed to be that most senior Army generals between 2003 and 2006 had not figured out better tactical and operational methods of counterinsurgency to end the violence and put Iraq on the track to peace.  In short, in Vietnam and Iraq Army generals failed because they were unable to put together campaigns within an overall effective operational framework to achieve policy ends. 

In light of your 2007 article can we make the same critique of Army generalship in Afghanistan today? 

In another month it will be nearly two years since the Surge in Afghanistan started under General Stanley McChrystal who put into place, at least rhetorically and formally, a counterinsurgency campaign modeled on General  David Petraeus’s Surge of Troops in Iraq which relied heavily on the army’s new counterinsurgency doctrine, Field Manual 3-24.  Then after only a short while in command McChrystal was relieved and the general touted as having “saved Iraq from a desperate situation,” General Petraeus, replaced him.  For two years now we have been doing counterinsurgency in Afghanistan, and arguably one could place the start of Coin in Afghanistan as early as 2004.  Yet with all of these years of billions and billions spent and buckets of blood spilled, what has it gotten us in terms of strategic and political ends?

Senior generals are supposed to set priorities, build military campaigns and operational frameworks and align other sources of national power to achieve political ends with the least cost in blood and treasure.  This, in essence, is strategy.   In Afghanistan how well has American generalship performed at strategy?

In 2006 eminent American historian Arthur Schlesinger, Jr., reflected on America’s Vietnam War through the prism of the current American war being fought at the time in Iraq.  He observed that:

Sometimes, when I am particularly depressed, I ascribe our behavior to stupidity —the stupidity of our leadership, the stupidity of our culture. Thirty years ago we suffered military defeat—fighting an unwinnable war against a country about which we knew nothing and in which we had no vital interests at stake. Vietnam was bad enough, but to repeat the same experiment thirty years later in Iraq is a strong argument for a case of national stupidity.

Perhaps you see it differently, but the failure that I see in American generalship in both wars in Iraq and Afghanistan (with precedence in Vietnam) is the idea that tactical and operational excellence through a certain brand of counterinsurgency (or any other form of tactical innovation) can rescue wars that ultimately are failures of strategy, or as Schlesinger more harshly puts it “national stupidity.”

In light of how you respond to these questions might you consider writing “A Failure of Generalship, Version 2” for Afghanistan?

If not, might you spell out the differences between what you saw as the failure of American generalship in Iraq from 2003-2006 with the past two years plus in Afghanistan.  In other words, how has American generalship been a failure in Iraq and not in Afghanistan?

Sincerely,

Gian

 

 

 

 

11 October SWJ Roundup

Tue, 10/11/2011 - 5:46am

US Naval Institute Daily - USNI

Afghanistan

Influential Afghan Women's Rights Advocate Says Hope is Lost - S&S

Afghan Detainees Tortured in Prison, UN Says - WP

UN Finds ‘Systematic’ Torture in Afghanistan - NYT

Afghanistan Tortures Suspects, UN Says - LAT

UN Issues Afghan 'Torture' Report - BBC

UN: Detainees Tortured in Afghanistan - AP

UN: Torture Rife in Afghan Detention Facilities - Reuters

Afghan Opium Poppy Cultivation Jumps - AP

Afghanistan Obstructs Graft Probes - AP

Afghans Working for French Aid Group Kidnapped - AP

Ten Years in Afghanistan - WT editorial

 

Pakistan

NATO Criticizes Pakistan On Terror Fight, As US Softens Tone - VOA

Pakistan Governor Escapes Missile Attack - Reuters

 

Syria

In Recession, Sanctions Pose Growing Threat to Syria’s Assad - NYT

Syrian Troops Crack Down in Flashpoint City - VOA

Clashes Kill 31 in Syria, EU Hails Opposition Body - Reuters

EU Hails Syria Opposition Council - BBC

EU Backs Syrian Opposition, Ponders New Sanctions - AP

Syrians Abroad Accuse Envoys of Intimidation - WT

Top Syrian Cleric Warns of Suicide Bombs if West Attacks - VOA

Top Syria Cleric Threatens Attacks on US and EU - AP

Enabling Mr. Assad - NYT editorial

 

Iraq

Growing Unrest in Syria Has Upside Next Door in Iraq - WP

Maliki Says US Military Trainers Might Stay Past December  - S&S

Iraqi Officials Consider Extension Options for US Troops - VOA

A Bloody US Legacy in Western Iraq - WP

Baghdad Rocked by Deadly Blasts - BBC

String of Blasts Kills 10 in Western Baghdad - AP

Hopes Dim to Change Iraq Laws to Protect Women - AP

Coveted Jobs in Iraq Breed Diploma Fraud - NYT

Are Our Goals in Iraq Realistic? - WP opinion

 

Libya

NATO Says Resilience of Qaddafi Allies Is Surprising - NYT

Gaddafi Loyalists Find No Room for Dissent - WP

Libya's NTC: Gadhafi-Backers Cornered in Sirte - VOA

Anti-Qaddafi Fighters Face Stiff Resistance in Sirte - NYT

Gaddafi Sirte Troops 'Cornered' - BBC

Libya Forces Corner Gaddafi Loyalists in Sirte - Reuters

Libya's Transitional Government Faces Human Rights Challenges - VOA

Gaddafi Loyalists Live in Fear - WP

Militia Hands Over Tripoli Airport to Government - Reuters

 

Egypt

Clashes in Cairo Spark Fears of Sectarian Violence - VOA

Egypt Promises Probe, Buries its Dead - WP

Copts Criticize Egypt Government Over Killings - NYT

Egypt on Edge as Copts Mourn Slain Protesters - LAT

Egyptian Christians Mourn Protesters Killed in Cairo Battles - VOA

Egypt's Christians Mourn Unrest Victims - BBC

Christians Under Siege in Post-Revolution Egypt - AP

Egypt Christians Vent Fury After Clashes Kill 25 - Reuters

Egypt: Anti-Military Chants at Protesters' Funeral - AP

Egypt's Military Vows to Get Tough After Clashes - AP

Israel Permits More Egyptian Soldiers into Sinai - AP

Democracy on Hold - WP editorial

Egypt's Petty Palm Embargo - LAT opinion

 

Middle East / North Africa

Al-Qaida Confirms Killing of US-born Cleric - AP

UN Council Aims for Yemen Vote by Next Week  - Reuters

Yemeni Opposition Doubts Saleh Pledge to Quit Soon - Reuters

Palestinian Authority President Abbas Tours Latin America - LAT

Hamas: Foreigners Must Apply for Gaza Visas - AP

Bahrain Newspaper Staff Fined Over False Stories - AP

Tunisia’s Islamists Re-emerge as Political Force - WP

 

US Department of Defense

Army Leaders Warn Against Shrinking Forces Too Much - NYT

US Ground Forces Face Biggest Cuts - DN

Odierno: Army Could Shrink Below 520,000 - S&S

The Army Gets Set to Fight for its Budget Dollars - WP

Top General 'Deathly Afraid' of Sequestration Cuts - WSJ

General: Combat Brigades Could Face Cuts - AP

Army Secretary Mchugh Says Cuts Might Be 'Catastrophic' - Bloomberg

Army: You Sure We Won’t Fight Another Ground War? - DR

The Army Makes a Case for Itself - DoD Buzz

Budget Cuts Mean US Can't Fight 2 Wars Army Says - Politico

Defense-cut Projections Seen as Risk to Recruitment - WT

Rooting Out Toxic Leaders, 360 Degree Army Evaluations - AT

Army Says Number of Medically Unfit GIs On the Rise - S&S

1 in 4 Sexual Assault Hotlines Fail in Navy Audit - NT

Defense Innovation Through Openness - WT opinion

 

United States

Foreign Policy Re-enters GOP Race - WT

Issa Letter Questions AG Holder’s ‘Credibility’ to Serve - WT

Report: Secret US Government Order Targets WikiLeaks Volunteer - VOA

Awlaki’s Death Warrant -WP opinion

 

United Kingdom

Defence Secretary Fox 'Made Serious Mistakes' - BBC

British Defense Secretary Answers Questions on His Aide - NYT

British PM Cameron Backs Embattled Defense Minister - WP

UK's Defense Minister Apologizes over Access Row - AP

UK to Consider Criminalizing Forced Marriages - AP

 

United Nations

UN Urges Action on Food Insecurity - VOA

 

Africa

Al-Shabab 'Driven from Mogadishu' - BBC

Italian Ship Attacked by Pirates Off Somalia - AP

Blasts Kill 2 in Restive Northeast Nigeria City - AP

Liberia: Polls Open in 2nd Postwar Election - AP

Long Queues for Liberia Election - BBC

Kenyan Farmers Call for Gov’t to Assist with Food Distribution - VOA

Ivory Coast Prez Marks More Than 100 Days in Power - AP

Zimbabwe: Head of Anglican Church Meets Mugabe - AP

Zimbabwe: Archbishop Williams Hands Mugabe Abuse File - BBC

 

Americas

Mexican Presidential Favorite Targets Monopolies - Reuters

Peru Leader Ousts Police Generals in Anti-Corruption Drive - NYT

Peru Leader Sacks Police Chiefs - BBC

Venezuela: Chavez to Return to Cuba for Medical Tests - AP

 

Asia Pacific

China Suspends Boat Traffic on Mekong - NYT

13 Chinese Sailors Killed in River Boat Attack - VOA

China Attacks 'Dalai Clique' Over Self-Immolations - AP

N. Korea Notches Up Cult Around 'Illustrious' Son - AP

9 Killed as Philippine Troops Clash with Rebels - AP

Death Tolls Rise From Southeast Asia Flooding - VOA

Guilty Plea over Thailand King Insult - BBC

UN Expert Urges Reform of Thai Royal Insult Laws - AP

Thailand Races to Defend Bangkok From Floods - Reuters

Judge Quits Cambodia KR Tribunal - NYT

German Judge Resigns From Cambodia Tribunal - AP

Burma 'to Free 6,300 Prisoners' - BBC

Burma Said to Ready to Free Thousands - NYT

 

Europe

EU Delays Summit to Finalize Crisis Plans - AP

Reform Meets Reality in Greece - WP

Greece Loan Talks Advance as EU Delays Summit - Reuters

It's Down to Slovakia on Europe Bailout Plan - LAT

Slovak PM to Put Government on Line Ahead of EFSF Vote - Reuters

Turkish PM Erdogan Poses Challenge for Obama - LAT

Germany: Police Foil Arson Attack on Berlin Train Station - AP

Poland Re-elects PM Donald Tusk - BBC

Polish PM Begins Building New Government after Win - AP

Poland’s Move Toward a More Secular, Liberal Society - NYT

Italian Wins Free-Speech Prize for Mafia Expose - AP

The Hague: Genocide Detainee Mladic in Hospital - Reuters

Estonian President Sworn in for Second Term - VOA

Ukraine's ex-PM 'Exceeded Powers' - BBC

Judge in Ukraine Ex-PM Trial Suggests She's Guilty - AP

Azerbaijan Opposition Activists Jailed Over Protest - VOA

 

South Asia

Indian Politician in Anti-Graft Campaign - BBC

India: Four Assam Farmers Killed by Police in Protest - BBC

India: Court Stays Mumbai Gunman Hanging - BBC

Twin Blasts Rock Bhutan Ahead of Royal Wedding - VOA

Army Leaders Warn Against Shrinking Forces Too Much

Mon, 10/10/2011 - 8:21pm

U.S. Ground Forces Face Biggest Cut by Marcus Weisberber, Defense News.

Upcoming spending cuts are likely to end the custom of splitting DoD's budget pie evenly among the Air Force, Navy and Army - and it's the ground force that's most likely to wind up with a thinner slice. The U.S. Army is likely to suffer some of the deepest cuts as the Pentagon seeks at least $450 billion in savings over the next decade, defense experts said. The 2013 budget is due to the White House on Dec. 9…

Army Leaders Warn Against Shrinking Forces Too Much by Thom Shanker, New York Times.

The Army’s two top leaders argued Monday against shrinking their service too much, warning that the nation may have to rethink its defense strategy if the ground forces become too small…

Odierno: Army Could Shrink Below 520,000 by Jeff Shogol, Stars and Stripes.

The Army may shrink further than expected, Army Chief of Staff Gen. Ray Odierno told reporters on Monday…

Army: You Sure We Won’t Fight Another Ground War? By Spencer Ackerman, Danger Room.

How’s this for painful irony: Right as the Army leaves Iraq and begins to leave Afghanistan following a decade at war, it’s gearing up for intense bureaucratic misery. That’s because even the Army’s alumni argue that the looming cuts to the defense budget should slice the ground service particularly deeply. But on Monday, the Army leadership signaled it won’t give up its budget without a fight…

The Army Makes a Case for Itself by Philip Ewing, DoD Buzz.

All this talk about how the geostrategic future of the U.S. is in the Western Pacific, which means Washington should bet on the blue services? The Army’s top leaders have heard it before. Army Chief of Staff. Gen Ray Odierno said he could remember serving as a one-star on the Army Staff and seeing all the briefings and white-papers about sea– and airpower as the keys to America’s future. Then, he said, the U.S. went on to fight two prolonged land wars…

The Army Gets Set to Fight for its Budget Dollars by Jason Ukman, Washington Post.

With the Defense Department bracing for cuts to its budget, the Army is wasting no time in staking out its position as the backbone of the armed forces - one that shouldn’t get short shrift when the final budget numbers are tallied. Army officials have perhaps more reason than ever to make that kind of argument…

Top General 'Deathly Afraid' of Sequestration Cuts by Nathan Hodege, Wall Street Journal.

Gen. Raymond Odierno does not look like someone who scares easily. But the Army’s top general told reporters today he was “deathly afraid” of one thing: automatic “sequestration” cuts that would kick in if a special congressional deficit-reduction committee fails to agree on $1.5 trillion in federal savings…

U.S. Army Secretary Mchugh Says Cuts Might Be 'Catastrophic' by Brendan McGarry, Bloomberg.

U.S. Army Secretary John McHugh said defense budget cuts beyond about $450 billion planned over the next decade would “be catastrophic.”…

Budget Cuts Mean United States Can't Fight 2 Wars Army Says by Mj Lee, Politico.

The U.S. Army’s top brass said Monday that cuts beyond the planned $450 billion spending reduction in 10 years will force the Army to cut combat brigades. Gen. Raymond Odierno, the Army’s chief of staff, said at the Association of the United State Army’s annual meeting that the slash in spending will mean that the military cannot fight two wars simultaneously…

General: Combat Brigades Could Face Cuts by Lolita C. Baldor, Associated Press.

The Army's top general says plans to slash Pentagon spending by $450 billion will force the Army to consider cutting combat brigades. He says that will mean the military won't be able to fight two conventional wars simultaneously - as it has done for the last decade…