Small Wars Journal

Don't Rush to Gut Ground Forces

Fri, 10/21/2011 - 9:26am

Don't Rush to Gut Ground Forces by Nathan Freier, AOL Defense.

… Wonder weapons and special operators are back in vogue. Land conflicts and the capabilities essential to their prosecution are passé again, as contemporary defense wisdom holds that future land wars will fall on the shoulders of foreign forces raised from scratch by American advisers. The new logic argues that direct U.S. defense responsibilities can be limited to containing China, coercing badly behaving rogues like Iran, and relentlessly hunting down the remnants of al Qaeda and its affiliates. If true, substantial savings are available through significant cuts to the Army and Marine Corps.

Frankly, the alternative view isn't getting a fair hearing. Some additional post-war ground force reductions may be inevitable. Nonetheless, renewed commitment to the same high-tech off-shore balancing strategy advocated at the start of the last administration and drastic ground force reductions associated with it may unnecessarily limit future U.S. military options…

21 October SWJ Roundup

Fri, 10/21/2011 - 4:30am

US Naval Institute Daily - USNI

Real Clear World - RCP

Libya (Updated)

Libyan Prime Minister Confirms Gaddafi Killed - WP

Qaddafi Is Killed as Libyan Forces Take Surt - NYT

Libya's PM says Moammar Kadafi is Dead - LAT

Gadhafi Caught, Killed in Libya - WT

Libya's Muammar Gaddafi 'Killed' - BBC

Gaddafi Cornered and Killed by Revolutionary Forces - TT

Muammar Gaddafi is Dead, Says Libyan PM - TG

Libyan Rebel Fighters Capture Sirte, Gaddafi's Hometown - WP

City of Gaddafi's Birth and Death Buried Under Rubble - Reuters

Libyans Celebrate Death of Gadhafi - VOA

Libya War's End Is Rare Victory for NATO - AP

Libya's Gaddafi Caught Hiding Like a "Rat" - Reuters

Libyan PM Says Gaddafi Died From Bullet to Head - Reuters

"Don't Shoot": Qaddafi's Last Moments - CBS

Images Apparently Show Captured Kadafi Alive, then Dead - LAT

Gaddafi's Death-Who Pulled the Trigger? - Reuters

Muammar Gaddafi is Dead; In Tripoli, Libyans Celebrate - Time

Gaddafi Killed in Hometown, Libya Eyes Future - Reuters

Libya Plans Secret Gaddafi Burial - BBC

NATO Says Ending its Mission in Libya - WP

NATO to Coordinate End to Libya Mission With UN, NTC - Reuters

Kadafi Slain Against Backdrop of NATO Support - LAT

Another Victory for a New Approach to War - NYT

US Points to Value of ‘Collective Action’ in Libya - WP

NATO Learns Key Lessons in Libya Campaign - VOA

In Libyan Conflict, European Power Was Felt - NYT

Gaddafi Killed: A New Kind of US Foreign Policy Success - BBC

Kadafi Another Notch on Obama's Lethal-force Belt - LAT

Gaddafi's Death Averts Legal Headache for NTC - TG

Death Leaves a Libya that Must Build Itself from Scratch - CSM

World Looks Warily to Libya's Future Post-Gadhafi - AP

Foreign Governments Call for Building New Libya - AP

West Celebrates Gaddafi's End, Hails Own Role - MSNBC

Obama to Libyan People: ‘You Have Won Your Revolution’ - WP

'Today Belongs to People of Libya,' Obama Says - LAT

Obama: Gaddafi Death Ends Era of 'Iron Fist' Rule - Reuters

Obama: Gadhafi’s Death Marks End of Painful Era for Libya - AFPS

For 4 Decades, Gadhafi Cast a Shadow Across the Mideast - S&S

Clinton: Opportunity for New Start in Libya - AP

World Looks Warily to Libya's Future Post-Gadhafi - AP

Is Syrian Dictator Bashar al-Assad Next? - WP

Arabs See Gaddafi's Death as Message to Rulers - Reuters

Justice Served by Gaddafi Death, Lockerbie Families Say - Reuters

Libyans Celebrate Gaddafi's Death - AJ

Gaddafi Son Mo'tassim Dead, Was Hiding With Father - Reuters

Eccentricity, Repression Marked Gadhafi's Rule - VOA

An Erratic Leader, Brutal and Defiant to the End - NYT

Unpredictable and Eccentric Leader for More than 40 Years - WP

With Warped Vision, Gadhafi Maddened Libya, West - AP

Gaddafi's Final Run: The End of the Colonel's Long, Weird Ride - Time

US-Libya Relations Contentious During Gadhafi's Leadership - VOA

Sirte's Downfall: End of the Good Life for Gaddafi's Birthplace - TG

Moammar Gaddafi Through the Years - WP

Colonel Muammar Gaddafi - TG

Analysts' View: After Gaddafi, Reconciliation or Reprisal? - Reuters

Analysis: Gadhafi's Death a Cautionary Tale - AP

Analysis: Libya's Next Tests: Big Expectations, Power Plays - Reuters

Gaddafi’s Death a Digital-era Drama -WP

Amnesty: Investigation Needed Into Gadhafi's Death - AP

Colonel Qaddafi’s End - NYT editorial

‘Now the Hard Part Begins’ - WP editorial

Libya after Kadafi - LAT editorial

Gaddafi Meets a Timely End - FT editorial

How Qaddifi Killing Affirms Arab Spring Principles - CSM editorial

Gaddafi's Death Starts a Perilous Race for Power in Libya - Time opinion

Libya Needs True People Power - TG opinion

Op-Ed From Tripoli - NYT opinion

Obama’s Cautious Approach Worked - WP opinion

Qaddafi's End, the Mideast's Future - NYT opinion

 

Afghanistan

Clinton: Haqqanis, Taliban Needed in Peace Process - Reuters

NATO Strike Kills Insurgents in South Afghanistan - AP

US Seen Struggling to Win Fight in Afghan East - Reuters

ISAF Operations Summary - AFPS

 

Pakistan

Clinton Presses Pakistan to Eliminate Militant Safe Havens - VOA

Clinton Issues Blunt Warning to Pakistan - NYT

‘Very Big Price’ if Pakistan Does Not Act on Safe Havens - WP

US Delivers Blunt Message on Haqqani Network - LAT

Clinton in Pakistan for Key Talks - BBC

In Pakistan, Clinton Seeks Strong Anti-Terror Push - AP

US: Militants Have Operated Too Long From Pakistan - AP

Pakistan Turns Tables on US - WP

Militants Kill 3 in Raid on Pakistan Tribal Elder - AP

 

Iran

In Iran, a New Challenge to Hard-liners - WP

Iran Intelligence Chief Rejects US Allegations - AP

US Grand Jury Indicts Two Men in Saudi Envoy Plot - Reuters

US Indicts 2 in Saudi Envoy Assassination Plot - VOA

US Fears More Plots From Iran's Quds Force - Reuters

 

Israel / Palestinians

Palestinians to Push for UN Membership Nov. 11 - AP

Palestinians Plan 'Other Options' if UN Bid Fails - Reuters

PA: ‘Wrong Time’ for Mid-East Talks - BBC

Freed Israeli Soldier Was Mistreated, Says Father - AP

 

Turkey

Turkey Deploys Thousands of Troops Against Kurdish Rebels - NYT

Turkey Steps Up Offensive in Iraq - BBC

Turkey Uses Large Offensive Against Kurdish Rebels - AP

Turkish Forces Hunt PKK in Northern Iraq - Reuters

Turkey Crosses into N. Iraq in Offensive Against Kurdish Rebels -VOA

Turkey Seeks Iran's Support Against Kurdish Rebels - AP

 

Iraq

US Closes Northern Headquarters in Iraq - WP

Infographic: Drawing Down in Iraq - WP

Bombings in Eastern Baghdad Kill 3 - AP

 

Syria

White House Repeats Syria's Assad Has Lost Legitimacy - Reuters

Syria's Uprising Creeps Across Lebanese Border - CSM

Is Syrian Dictator Bashar al-Assad Next? - WP opinion

 

Middle East / North Africa

Fate of Qaddafi Places Focus on Arab Spring’s ‘Hard Road’ - NYT

Uprisings in Syria, Yemen Move into Spotlight - WP

As Autocrats Are Toppled, Their Fates Grow More Extreme - NYT

Arabs See Gaddafi's Death as Message to Rulers - Reuters

Birthplace of Tunisia's Revolution Skeptical  - AP

Tunisia Vows No Poll Rigging, Calls on People to Vote - Reuters

Death Penalty Sought in Morocco Bombing Trial - AP

UN Council to Vote on Yemen Resolution on Friday - Reuters

Kuwait 'Threat' Hits UK Embassy - BBC

 

US Department of Defense

Cybercommand Chief Opposes UN Net Control - WT

Doctrine to Establish Rules of Engagement Against Cyber Attacks - AFPS

Pentagon Looks to Smart Grids for Battlefield Energy - AFPS

DOD Makes Strides in Wartime Contracting, Officials Say - AFPS

 

United States

Lawmakers Blast Justice’s 'Fast and Furious' Probe - WT

FBI Scrutinized for Amassing Data on Communities - NYT

Senate Rejects GOP Effort on Terrorist Trials - AP

FBI Official Calls for Secure, Alternate Internet - AP

Cyber Commander Presses for Math, Science Education - AFPS

Minnesota Women Guilty of Aiding Terrorists - AP

US Indicts Two for Conspiring With “Jihad Jane” - VOA

The Risks of Obama's Immoral Drone War - TA opinion

 

United Kingdom

The Future of the British Army - TE

Lawyer: Case Against Russian 'Spy' Based on a Joke - AP

 

Africa

Kenya Reportedly Didn’t Warn US of Somalia Incursion - NYT

Kenya's Advance in Somalia Surprises US Officials - AP

Kenyan Army Marks Progress Battling al-Shabab - VOA

Kenya Advances Towards Somali City of Kismayo - AP

Kenya to Target Nairobi al-Shabab - BBC

Somalia: Al-Shabab Strikes Back in Mogadishu District - VOA

Somali Militia Claims Slaughter of AU Soldiers - LAT

ICC Questions Malawi over Sudan’s Bashir - BBC

Mauritania Army Raids Al-Qaida Affiliate Position - AP

Refugee Crisis Challenges Ivorian Government, Aid Workers - VOA

 

Americas

105 Dead in Central America After Days of Rain - AP

Mexican Leader: US Dumps Thugs at Border - AP

Mexico's President Says 'El Chapo' May Be in US - LAT

Car Explodes in Northern Mexico as Soldiers Pass - AP

Venezuela's Chavez: I'm Free of Cancer - AP

Honduran Court Clears Army Generals Linked to Coup - AP

Bolivian Indian Protesters Set Up Camp at Palace - AP

Protesting Students Seize Chile's Senate Building - AP

 

Asia Pacific

Panetta to Discuss Realignment, N. Korea During Asia Trip - S&S

Panetta to Highlight Regional Cooperation in Asia - AFPS

Japan Pushing Okinawa Ahead of Panetta Visit - AP

UN: N. Korea Holds Up to 200,000 Political Prisoners - AP

Autumn Harvest Watched Warily in Food-Poor N. Korea - AP

Central Taiwan Seen as Election Key as China Frets - Reuters

Flooding 'to Hit Bangkok Areas' - BBC

For Thailand’s New PM, Floodwaters Present Political Test - NYT

 

Europe

EU Postpones Decision on How to Deal With Crisis - NYT

Greece: Protesters Clash in Athens on Second Day of Strike - NYT

Protest Against Greek Austerity Vote Turns Violent - Reuters

Basque Separatists Declare Halt to Violence - NYT

ETA Says Armed Campaign is Over - BBC

Basque Group ETA Ends Armed Independence Campaign - AP

ETA Announces ‘Definitive Cease’ to Armed Activity - VOA

Spain Hails ETA End to Basque Separatist Violence - AP

A Glance at Basque Militant Group ETA, Its Goals - AP

A Victory for America’s “New Approach to War”?

Thu, 10/20/2011 - 6:20pm

The way the United States have fought in Libya is already proclaimed to be a “new American approach to war”, but that is premature. The way the American armed forces will focus their attention in the future, following the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, is still up for discussion. The approach should rather be seen as an adaptation to an international and domestic situation in the United States which warranted a different American approach than what we have previously seen.

Qaddafi has been killed, the war is won. Or is it? We still don’t know.

Reading The New York Times article by Mark Landler and David Leonhardt, the war might not be over entirely, but it is still portrayed as a great victory for a “new American approach to war”, which through the use of “few if any troops on the ground, the heavy use of air power, including drones” [1], eliminates America’s enemies from afar, and at minimum expense for the United States.

But I would say, it is too early to proclaim the kind of commitment we saw from the United States in Libya, as a new approach to war.

It is still not clear what kind of warfare the United States military is going to pursue in the future after its long wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. As I see it, there are three tracks the American military can follow:

  1. Continuing the newly rediscovered counterinsurgency and big involvement track
  2. Follow the “few if any troops on the ground, the heavy use of air power, including drones” approach
  3. Revert back to its old traditional conventional approach, focusing on big-unit warfare

Which one of these tracks it is going to be, that is the interesting question for the future of the American military.

Continuing the focus on counterinsurgency is unlikely given the economic situation in the United States, and the stress the armed forces have been under in the last 10 years.

The question is then, is the United States going to continue fighting dictators and terrorists by using air power, and “lead from behind” as it was done in Libya, and with great success one might add. Does that not also present the risk of dragging the United States into situations like Iraq and Afghanistan once again, because American intervention becomes necessary for whatever reason? That might be the fear in the Pentagon, and because of that, the military might turn to the third track listed above, renewed focus on conventional big-unit warfare.

So to call the American commitment in Libya, the “new American approach to war”, might be stretching it. Rather it should be seen as an adaptation to the given situation. The American approach to Libya was facilitated by the situation both internationally and domestically in the United States. An international coalition arose to fight in Libya, a coalition willing to take the lead from the United States, which might have helped the “lead from behind” scenario take place, as well as an economic situation in the United States, which could not bear a large scale commitment in Libya.

These factors are what lead to the way the United States has acted in Libya, rather than it being a “new approach to war”, because we really do not know, yet, how the American military is going to focus its attention in the future. That is still up for debate…

 

The Drone Delusion

Thu, 10/20/2011 - 5:48pm

The Drone Delusion

by Robert Jordan Prescott, House of Marathon

Drones are emblematic of America's reliance on advanced technology in warfare and have become the principal instrument in the nation's fight against terrorists. While unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) technology is a few decades old, they have become indispensable to American military operations. The manpower-intensive nature of counterinsurgency and stability operations in Afghanistan and Iraq have increased the requirement for the unique intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) capabilities provided by drones by several orders of magnitude in just under a decade. Moreover, armed drone strikes have become central to American counter-terrorist operations in Afghanistan-Pakistan. In the parlance of national security practitioners, drones constitute an "asymmetric" advantage for the United States -- a unique means of warfare available primarily to one side in a conflict. Indeed, the success achieved by drone strikes, in tandem with the American surge in Afghanistan and the killing of Osama bin Laden in July 2011, have convinced national decision-makers that Al Qaeda is within "strategic defeat." The conviction would be welcome if it was indeed based on more than the impressive technological of remotely piloted vehicles. As many practitioners will caveat, the enemy has a vote, and in the face of overwhelming American military strength, it will readily employ its own asymmetric advantages. When American drones are contrasted with enemy stratagems, the alleged advantage evaporates. Ascribing strategic advantage to drones exaggerates their effectiveness and obscures needed changes in the way the United States approaches contemporary security challenges.

Libya Update Roundup

Thu, 10/20/2011 - 3:45pm

Libya:

Moammar Gaddafi is Dead - WP

Qaddafi Is Dead, Libyan Officials Say - NYT

Libya's PM says Moammar Kadafi is Dead - LAT

Libya's Muammar Gaddafi 'Killed' - BBC

Gaddafi Cornered and Killed by Revolutionary Forces - TT

Muammar Gaddafi is Dead, Says Libyan PM - TG

Libyan Rebel Fighters Capture Sirte, Gaddafi's Hometown - WP

City of Gaddafi's Birth and Death Buried Under Rubble - Reuters

NATO Strike May Have Killed Kadafi, Official Says - LAT

Libya's Gaddafi Caught Hiding Like a "Rat" - Reuters

"Don't Shoot": Qaddafi's Last Moments - CBS

Muammar Gaddafi is Dead; In Tripoli, Libyans Celebrate - Time

Gaddafi Killed in Hometown, Libya Eyes Future - Reuters

NATO Says Ending its Mission in Libya - WP

Another Victory for a New Approach to War - NYT

Gaddafi Killed: A New Kind of US Foreign Policy Success - BBC

Gaddafi's Death Averts Legal Headache for NTC - TG

Death Leaves a Libya that Must Build Itself from Scratch - CSM

World Looks Warily to Libya's Future Post-Gadhafi - AP

West Celebrates Gaddafi's End, Hails Own Role - MSNBC

Obama to Libyan People: ‘You Have Won Your Revolution’ - WP

'Today Belongs to People of Libya,' Obama Says - LAT

Obama: Gaddafi Death Ends Era of 'Iron Fist' Rule - Reuters

Clinton: Opportunity for New Start in Libya - AP

Is Syrian Dictator Bashar al-Assad Next? - WP

Arabs See Gaddafi's Death as Message to Rulers - Reuters

Justice Served by Gaddafi Death, Lockerbie Families Say - Reuters

Libyans Celebrate Gaddafi's Death - AJ

Gaddafi Son Mo'tassim Dead, Was Hiding With Father - Reuters

An Erratic Leader, Brutal and Defiant to the End - NYT

Unpredictable and Eccentric Leader for More than 40 Years - WP

With Warped Vision, Gadhafi Maddened Libya, West - AP

Gaddafi's Final Run: The End of the Colonel's Long, Weird Ride - Time

Sirte's Downfall: End of the Good Life for Gaddafi's Birthplace - TG

Moammar Gaddafi Through the Years - WP

Colonel Muammar Gaddafi - TG

Analysts' View: After Gaddafi, Reconciliation or Reprisal? - Reuters

Analysis: Libya's Next Tests: Big Expectations, Power Plays - Reuters

Amnesty: Investigation Needed Into Gadhafi's Death - AP

Gaddafi Meets a Timely End - FT editorial

How Qaddifi Killing Affirms Arab Spring Principles - CSM editorial

Gaddafi's Death Starts a Perilous Race for Power in Libya - Time opinion

Libya Needs True People Power - TG opinion

Another Victory for a New Approach to War

Thu, 10/20/2011 - 2:38pm

Another Victory for a New Approach to War by Mark Landler and David Leonhardt, New York Times news analysis.

The death of Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi is the latest victory for a new American approach to war: few if any troops on the ground, the heavy use of air power, including drones, and, at least in the case of Libya, a reliance on allies…

SWJ editor’s note: A little too early for real analysis here and Libya presented a “perfect storm” of variables not often seen elsewhere. That said, this conflict deserves a close look and lessons drawn with an understanding that no two conflicts are quite the same.

The Future of the British Army

Thu, 10/20/2011 - 2:23pm

The Future of the British Army - The Economist editorial.

… The resignation on October 14th of the defence secretary, Liam Fox, almost a year after the publication of the landmark Strategic Defence and Security Review (SDSR), was the last thing either Britain’s beleaguered Ministry of Defence (MoD) or its armed forces needed. Dr Fox leaves behind much unfinished business for his successor, Philip Hammond, who may be a competent cost-cutter but who has no previous knowledge of military matters…

20 October SWJ Roundup

Thu, 10/20/2011 - 4:29am

US Naval Institute Daily - USNI

Real Clear World - RCP

Afghanistan

Bad Guys vs. Worse Guys in Afghanistan - NYT

US Steps Up Assault on Haqqani Stronghold in Afghanistan - McClatchy

US General: New Offensive Hits Haqqanis - AP

US and Afghan Troops Battle to Control Key Route - NYT

Clinton in Afghanistan for Talks on Ending War - VOA

Clinton in Kabul for Talks with Karzai, Afghan Leaders - WP

Clinton in Kabul to Push Afghan Reconciliation - AP

Clinton in Kabul for Karzai Talks - BBC

Clinton Seeks 'Reality Check on Afghan Visit - Reuters

France Begins Afghan Withdrawals - BBC

Former Afghan MP Breaks Hunger Strike - AP

NATO: East Afghanistan Fight Kills 115 Militants - AP

2 US, 7 Afghan Soldiers Killed in Country's East, West - LAT

Four Marine Combat Deaths Under Investigation - S&S

ISAF Operations Summary - AFPS

Small Investors Struggle While Afghanistan Hopes for Big Deals - Reuters

 

Pakistan

The Fight Over How to End Afghanistan War - NYT

Clinton Issues Blunt Warning to Pakistan - NYT

Clinton Calls for Pakistan on Safe Havens for Terrorists - WP

Clinton, Petraeus to Press Pakistan on Haqqani Support - McClatchy

Top US Delegation to Enlist Pakistan's Help - AP

Pakistani Military Chief Warns US Against Unilateral Military Action - VOA

Pakistan Army Chief Warns US - BBC

Pakistan Hopes to Join India on UN Council - Reuters

 

Iran

US Denies Iran Claim That Plot Defendant Belongs to Exile Group - NYT

US Fears More Plots From Iran's Quds Force - Reuters

UN Investigator to Present Report on Alleged Iranian Rights Abuses - VOA

Iran Slams UN Human Rights Report - Reuters

Russia Fears UN's Iran Report to Hurt Nuclear Diplomacy - Reuters

Bahrain to US: Stand Up to Iran - WP opinion

 

Libya

Qaddafi is Dead, Libyan Officials Say - NYT

Gaddafi is Killed as Sirte Falls, Officials Say - WP

Gaddafi Killed as Libya's Revolt Claims Hometown - Reuters

Libyan Fighters Said to Capture Surt - AP

Gadhafi Reportedly Captured in Libya - VOA

Libyan Forces 'Capture Gaddafi' - BBC

Reports: A Wounded Moammar Gadhafi Arrested - USAT

US Checking Reports of Gaddafi's Capture, Death - Reuters

 

Israel / Palestinians

Newly Freed Israeli Soldier in Spotlight - LAT

Soldier’s Family Led Campaign for His Release - NYT

Deported Palestinians Begin Arriving in Host Countries - VOA

On the Day After, Moving Ahead and Looking Back - NYT

Palestinians Celebrate Prisoner Swap - WP

Egyptian Defends Shalit Interview - BBC

Palestinian UN Bid Seen Decided in November - Reuters

Prisoner Swap Offers Little New Hope for Peace - WP editorial

 

Iraq

Turkey Bombs Kurdish Rebels in Iraq After Deadly Attack - VOA

Turkey Pursues Kurdish Rebels After 24 Soldiers Killed - NYT

Turkey Pushes into Iraq after Kurd Raids Kill 24 Troops - LAT

Turkey Mounts Counterattack in Iraq - WP

Turkey Launches Incursion into Iraq - AP

 

Syria

20 Killed in Syria as Thousands Rally for Assad - VOA

Big pro-Assad Rally Held in Syria - BBC

Syrian Government Can Still Command Support - NYT

Syrian Refugees in Lebanon Still Face Peril - NYT

 

Middle East / North Africa

US Links Bahrain Arms to Report - BBC

Yemen's Saleh Wants Global Guarantees to Sign Deal - Reuters

Yemen Nobel Winner Appeals to UN - BBC

Oman Ruler Expands Role of Elected Council - AP

Egypt: Christians Fear More Violence, Many Flee - WT

In Egypt, Corruption Had a US Root - WP

Islamist Imagines a Democratic Future for Tunisia - NYT

Tunisians Gloomy in Town That Launched Arab Spring - Reuters

 

US Department of Defense

General Counsel Calls for Flexibility in Detainee Cases - AFPS

New Mission for Military’s ‘Human Terrain’ Experts: Interrogation - DR

DOD Strives to Promote, Preserve Language Skills - AFPS

General Cites Cyber Domain Challenges - AFPS

STRATCOM Chief Discusses U.S. Nuclear Triad - AFPS

After Allowing KIA Bracelets, Marines Order Sleeves Rolled Down - S&S

KIA Bracelets OK, Rolled-up Sleeves Banned for Marines - MSNBC

Inside the Ring - WT

 

United States

Intel Panel Warns Against Cutting Too Deep - WP

Napolitano Tells Panel 400,000 Deported in Year - WT

5 Foreign Nationals Held in Texas Court Break-in - AP

Texas Courthouse Break-In Seen as Prank - NYT

Coalition of Companies to Hire 25,000 Veterans, Spouses - S&S

GOP’s Disappointing Disdain for Foreign Aid - WP editorial

Undo the Stolen Valor Act to Protect Free Speech - LAT editorial

Stopping Terror Plots will Require More than Luck - WP opinion

 

United Kingdom

Britons Pin Economic Troubles on Immigrant Policies - WT

UK Lawmaker Quits Defense Panel after Spy Claims - AP

 

Africa

East Africa Drought 'Still Huge' - BBC

Frenchwoman Abducted in Kenya Dies - NYT

Somali, Kenyan Forces Eye Rebel Stronghold , Hostage Dies - Reuters

1 More UN Worker Dies after Aug. Nigeria HQ Blast - AP

 

Americas

Mexico: Shadowy Group Says it Targets Cartel - LAT

US, Mexico to Install Quake Sensors - LAT

Outbursts of Violence After Huge Marches in Chile - AP

New Clashes at Chile Mass Protest - BBC

Indigenous Protest March Reaches Bolivia's Capital - AP

Morales Offers Bolivia Road Talks - BBC

Dominican Republic to Target Illegal Immigrants - AP

 

Asia Pacific

US Appoints Envoy to North Korea - WP

New US Envoy to Talk With North Koreans - NYT

US Talks with N. Korea Next Week, Replacing Envoy - AP

US, N. Korea to Hold Nuclear Talks - BBC

N. Korea's Kim Says Ready to Resume Nuclear Talks - Reuters

Chinese Scientist Admits Stealing Trade Secrets in US - BBC

US Solar Panel Makers Say China Violated Trade Rules - NYT

Toddler Hit-and-Run Ignites Debate in China - WP

China: Dalai Lama Accused over Suicides - BBC

Taiwan President: Peace Treaty With China May Need Vote - AP

Indonesia Cabinet Shake Up Unlikely to End Political Gridlock - VOA

Indonesian Police Break Up Papuan Separatist Gathering - BBC

Indonesia: Bali Bombing Suspect Reenacts Crime - AP

6 More Philippine Soldiers Found Dead After Clash - AP

Philippine Communist Rebels Raid Banana Plantation - AP

Thailand: Fear in Bangkok as Flood Waters Surge - NYT

Thai PM Admits Government Overwhelmed by Floods - AP

Thailand: Flooding 'to Hit Bangkok Areas' - BBC

 

Europe

Greece: Strikes Paralyze Athens Amid Violent Clashes - VOA

Greek Protest Against Budget Cuts Turns Violent - LAT

Thousands in Greece Protest Austerity Bill - NYT

Greece Braces for Further Unrest - BBC

Medvedev Says Russia Must Avoid Stagnation - AP

Russia Talks Tough in Missile Shield Dispute - Reuters

NATO Moves Against Serb Roadblocks in Kosovo - Reuters

NATO Moves to Remove Kosovo Serb Roadblocks - AP

Kosovo Serbs Call on Belgrade to Send Troops - Reuters

Bulgaria PM Set to Tighten Grip After Polls - Reuters

US, NATO Condemn Attacks in Turkey - AP

Bad Guys vs. Worse Guys in Afghanistan

Thu, 10/20/2011 - 2:46am

Bad Guys vs. Worse Guys in Afghanistan by Luke Mogelson, New York Times Magazine.

… Haq’s unit is one of 51 local police forces that have been established across rural Afghanistan over the last year, employing more than 8,000 villagers. Eventually, the force is expected to reach 30,000 in more than 100 sites. The rapid rollout reflects a spirited commitment to the program by the U.S. military, which claims that local police throughout the country have subdued insurgents and helped tip formerly ambivalent communities toward the government. Former Defense Secretary Robert Gates has called the Afghan Local Police “potentially a game-changer,” and Gen. David Petraeus described it as “almost the personification of counterinsurgency.” Every U.S. officer I spoke with considers it essential to achieving a measure of stability in Afghanistan that will be sustainable in our absence. “This is our last shot,” one major told me. “If this doesn’t work, we got nothing.” …

Mexican Cartel Strategic Note No. 5

Wed, 10/19/2011 - 5:25pm

Key Information:

Via the statement of Alan Bersin, Commissioner, Customs and Border Protection (June 2011):

Since October 1, 2004, 127 CBP employees have been arrested or indicted for acts of corruption including drug smuggling, alien smuggling, money laundering, and conspiracy. Of the 127 arrests, 95 are considered mission compromising acts of corruption. This means that the employee’s illegal activities were for personal gain and violated, or facilitated the violation of, the laws CBP personnel are charged with enforcing. An example of the impact a single corrupt employee can make through a mission compromising act of corruption can be seen in the instance of former CBP Technician Martha Garnica who was indicted federally in 2009. In 2010 Garnica was sentenced to 20 years in federal prison, ordered to pay a $5,000 fine, and serve four years of supervised release after pleading guilty to conspiring to import over 100 kilograms of marijuana into the United States, conspiring to smuggle undocumented aliens, three counts of bribery of a public official, and one count of importation of a controlled substance.

Apart from the 95 cases identified above, the remaining 32 arrests are considered non-mission compromising acts of corruption in which the employee’s illegal activities involved the misuse or abuse of the knowledge, access, or authority granted by virtue of their official position in a manner that did not facilitate the violation of laws that the agency is charged with enforcing at the border. These cases fall into one of five broad categories: Theft; Fraud; Misuse of a Government Computer/Database; False Statements; and Drug-Related Offenses [1].

See Crossing the line: Corruption at the border; 128 cases shown [http://projects.cironline.org/bordercorruption/] at Center for Investigative Reporting for specific case information. The interactive site contains individual case profiles, supporting documentation, and case statistics; gender, agency, years or service, type of crime, state, year, age and duty station [2].  

Analysis:

Much of the concern relating to the Mexican cartels focuses on acts of violence such as homicides, assaults, and torture along with the illicit economic activities of narcotics trafficking, kidnapping, extortion, bulk thefts, and human smuggling. A large component of Mexican cartel operations is derived from the targeted corruption of public officials within their areas of operation. The initial intent is to achieve impunity and freedom of action. This represents the ‘insurgency’ element of the criminal insurgencies taking place in Mexico, Central America, and now over the US Southern Border, an element, according to John Sullivan, that is still not recognized by many individuals. Essentially, the public agency (be it local, state or federal) being targeted is compromised one official at a time. When combined with the threat (and subsequent use) of violence the well known cartel technique of offering the choice of silver or lead (¿Plata O Plomo?) is achieved. This is akin to the environmental modification of a street, barrio, or plaza controlled by a cartel or gang with the imposition of a new set of values (narcocultura) and rules (cartel political authority)— though, in this instance, it is directed at a public entity in order to compromise and co-opt it (representing the aggregate of all of the individuals corrupted). What has worked so successfully in Mexico and Central America is now being incrementally utilized by the cartels against the United States’ ports of entry—and, we can also assume, much deeper into the US homeland. The following quote from Alan Bersin is most telling in this regard:

CBP IA agents participate as active members of the FBI-led National Border Corruption Task Force (NBCTF) initiative. Presently, CBP IA agents are deployed in 22 Border Corruption Task Forces (BCTFs) and/or Public Corruption Task Forces (PCTFs) nationwide, including 13 task forces operating along the southwest border. These multi-jurisdictional, multi-agency task forces share information, intelligence, and investigative resources in an effort to combat border corruption. The task force approach serves as a force multiplier on corruption investigations and allows for a higher level of return on the investment of appropriated resources [1].

The FBI-led National Border Corruption Task Force (NBCTF) initiative is now very active and appears to be growing. How this threat to US sovereignty will further evolve is unknown. What is recognized is that as a nation we can recover from cartel violence directed at our officials and our citizens—the corruption of our public institutions is an entirely different matter. This element of the criminal insurgent threat represented by the Mexican cartels must not be underestimated. Per Andrew Becker and Richard Maros:

Since 2006, the number of investigations has more than tripled, from 244 to about 870 last year, according to the Department of Homeland Security’s Office of the Inspector General [3].

We already have at least 127 Customs and Border Protection employees indicted or convicted in corruption cases—that list is going to grow along with that of public officials in other city, state, and federal agencies. The question is to what extent and, ultimately, what our national response is going to be to protect our public institutions from criminal co-option.

Notes:

This Strategic Note is a byproduct of discussions between the author, John Sullivan, and Dr. David Shirk after the Justiciabarómetro Ciudad Juarez Police Survey event held at the Trans-Border Institute (TBI), University of San Diego, San Diego, CA., Tuesday 18 October 2011. The author would like to thank John Sullivan for his analytical insights pertaining to criminal insurgencies and to David Shirk for his identification of the Center for Investigative Reporting border corruption case dataset.

Source(s):

1. Statement of Alan Bersin, Commissioner, Customs and Border Protection, before the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs, Ad Hoc Subcommittee on Disaster Recovery and Intergovernmental Affairs on “Border Corruption: Assessing Customs and Border Protection and The Department of Homeland Security Inspector General's Office Collaboration in the Fight to Prevent Corruption.” 9 June 2011. http://www.dhs.gov/ynews/testimony/testimony_1307549850535.shtm.

2. Crossing the line: Corruption at the border; 128 cases shown. Center for Investigative Reporting. 17 October 2011. http://projects.cironline.org/bordercorruption/. (See also the extensive list of news reports and documents).

3. Andrew Becker and Richard Marosi, “Border agency’s rapid growth accompanied by rise in corruption.” Center for Investigative Reporting. 17 October 2011. http://centerforinvestigativereporting.org/node/4885.