Small Wars Journal

8 October SWJ Roundup

Sat, 10/08/2011 - 3:01am

US Naval Institute Daily - USNI

Afghanistan

Coordinated Attacks in Afghanistan Hit US Sites - NYT

Afghan War Anniversary Draws Attack on US Outposts - AP

UK Review: Afghanistan 'Risks Turning into Civil War' - TT

Civil War a Significant Risk, 'Cold-Eyed' British Review to Warn - TG

Hamid Karzai Admits Afghanistan 'Security Failure - BBC

US had 'Frighteningly Simplistic' View Says McChrystal - TG

Obama Says Al Qaeda Near End After Decade of Afghan War - Reuters

Obama: US Safer Decade After Start of Afghan War - VOA

Obama Marks 10 Years of US Service in Afghanistan - AFPS

A 10-year History Lesson - LAT

Ten Years on, Taliban Says 'Victory Is With Us' - Reuters

Afghan Civilians Bear the Brunt of War Casualties - VOA

UK Envoy: Afghanistan May Need Funds Until 2025 - Reuters

Army Aviators in High Demand on Battlefront - AP

ISAF Operations Roundup - AFPS

From 'War on Terror' to 'New Silk Road' - CNN opinion

In a ‘Graveyard of Empires’ - TD opinion

Ten Years In, Afghan Myths Live On - NYT opinion

 

Pakistan

CIA's Vaccine Ruse in Pakistan Carries Fallout - LAT

Clapper: US, Pakistan Spies Rebuild Ties - AP

 

Syria

Syria's Risks Mute Talk of Libya-Style Action - AP

More Deaths in Continuing Syrian Protests - VOA

Leading Syrian Opposition Figure Killed - NYT

Syrian Troops Fire on Protesters - WP

Syria Troops Fire on Protesters, Killing 8 - AP

Syrian Forces Kill Eight Protesters - Reuters

Syrian Kurdish Activist Shot Dead - BBC

Syria Probing Killings, International Inquiry Possible - Reuters

Reform or Go, Russia Tells Assad - BBC

Russia Defends Its Veto of UN Resolution on Syria - AP

Amb. Robert Ford: Our Man in Syria - WP opinion

 

Iraq

State Readies Iraq Operation, Biggest Since Marshall Plan - WP

US Offers $10-million Reward for Al Qaeda in Iraq Leader - LAT

US Envoy Puts Match to Bridges With Iraq Tell-All - NYT

 

Libya

Fighters Target Main Gaddafi Base - WP

Libya's Rebels Launch Final Push for Sirte - TT

Anti-Gaddafi Troops Meet Fierce Resistance in Assault on Sirte - TG

Libya Battle Hits Heart of Sirte - BBC

Libyan Fighters Push Deep Into Gadhafi's Hometown - AP

Libya Forces in Coordinated Assault on Gaddafi Hometown - Reuters

UN Urges No Revenge on Gaddafi Supporters - Reuters

Panetta Defends NATO's Libya Mission - AP

Some Guidelines Met for Ending Libya Mission, Official Says - AFPS

 

Egypt

Restive Egypt Workers Pose Economic, Political Threats - Reuters

In Egypt, Women's Rights Advocates Fear Losing Ground - VOA

Egypt's Fall in the Arab World - NYT opinion

 

Israel / Palestinians

Quartet to Meet in Effort to Revive Mideast Talks - AP

UN Panel Considers Palestinian Membership Bid - VOA

Experts Examine Palestinian UN Membership Bid - AP

 

Bahrain

Bahrain Protesters Clash With Police Near Capital - NYT

Bahrain Youth Dies After Clash With Police - Reuters

Bahrain Pleges Probe Into Teen Death During Rally - AP

 

Middle East / North Africa

Obama Holds First Meeting With Arab Spring Leader - VOA

Arab Spring Activists Observing Poland's Election - AP

Lebanon: Hariri Prosecutor Must Hand Evidence to Ex-Suspect - AP

 

US Department of Defense

Pentagon Seeks to Crowd-Source Drones - WP

Computer Virus Hits US Drone Fleet - DR

US Military Drones Infected With Mysterious Computer Virus - FOX

Officer Who Vowed to Fix Intel Now Troubleshooter - AP

Panetta: Benefit Changes Shouldn't Affect Those Serving - S&S

USS George Washington Possible Budget Casualty - S&S

Vegas Jury Finds Navy SEAL Guilty in Weapons Case  - AP

 

United States

Experts Seek Access to Awlaki Memo - WP

Panetta Spills a Little on Secret CIA Drones - AP

Panetta: Loose Lips on CIA’s Not-so-Secret Secret - WP

Defense Secretary Refers to CIA Drone Use - LAT

Obama Announces New Classified Information Safeguards - AFPS

Deficit Hit $1.3 Trillion in Fiscal Year 2011 - WT

 

Nobel Peace Prize

Nobel Peace Prize Goes to Trio of Liberian, Yemeni Women - VOA

3 Women Awarded Nobel Peace Prize, Nod to the Arab Spring - NYT

3 Women Honored with Peace Prize - WP

3 Women, 2 Liberians and a Yemeni, Win Nobel Peace Prize - LAT

3 Women Share Nobel; Led Change in Africa, Mideast - AP

Liberian Women Win Nobel Peace Prize - BBC

Nobel Peace Prize: 'Iron Ladies' Among Recipients - TT

Nobel Honors African, Arab Women for Peace - Reuters

Nobel's Karman 'the Mother of Yemen's Revolution' - AP

Sirleaf 'Humbled' By Nobel Peace Prize - VOA

Nobel Is Poll Boost for Sirleaf, but May Raise Tension - Reuters

Liberian Nobel Winners Confronted Thugs, Killers - AP

Obama Salutes New Nobel Laureates - VOA

 

Africa

Prize or Not, Liberian Faces Tough Race to Keep Office - NYT

Somalia: AU Force Can Secure Mogadishu With More Troops - Reuters

Kenyan Diaspora Aims for Change - WP

Archbishop of Canterbury to Visit Zimbabwe Sunday - AP

 

Americas

US Troops Increase Aid to Mexico in Drug Cartel War - NPR

Mexican Drug Gangs Competing for 'Cartel Cred' - AP

Mexico Links Veracruz Slayings to Top Drug Kingpin - Reuters

Officials: 'Zeta Killers' Kill 32 More in Mexico - AP

Mexico Arrests over Mass Killings - BBC

Mexico Detains 5 in US Sex Slave Case - Reuters

Guatemalans Live in Fear Again as Drug Gangs Move In - Reuters

El Salvador Court Refuses to Hold 5 More Ex-Soldiers  - AP

Venezuela: Chavez Launches Election Alliance - BBC

Venezuela: Chavez Launches Coalition Year Before Vote - Reuters

1st of 'Cuban 5' Spy Ring Out of US Prison - AP

Cuban Spy Free From Florida Jail but Must Stay in US - Reuters

 

Asia Pacific

US Worried by N. Korea Food Crisis, but No Aid Yet - Reuters

A Private University in North Korea - WP

Tibet Ex-Monks in China Fire Protest - BBC

Two Tibetans Set Themselves on Fire in China - AP

Lockheed to Offer F-35 Work to Japan Firms to Win Bid - Reuters

US Tries to Ease S. Korean Anger Over Rape Cases - AP

Indonesian Police Arrest 3 More Terror Suspects - AP

Burma Censorship Chief Calls for Press Freedom - VOA

Thailand PM: Nation Faces Flood Crisis - VOA

Airlifts Aid Tuvalu Water Crisis - BBC

US Coast Guard Ferrying Water to Small Island-Nation - Reuters

 

Europe

Europe's Financial Crisis Intensifies - VOA

Mulling Bailout Plan, Slovakia Loses Enthusiasm for Euro - NYT

More Downgrades in Europe - WP

Italy and Spain Debt Downgraded - BBC

Germany, France Split on Bank Aid Before Summit - Reuters

Moody's Warns Belgium It Risks Credit Rating Cut - Reuters

EU to Extend Belarus, Iran, Syria Sanctions - Reuters

Finns Release Somali Terror Suspect, Hold Another - AP

Russia Says to Indict Suspect in Reporter's Murder - Reuters

France's Sarkozy Raps Russia, Turkey in Caucasus Tour - Reuters

France Urges Turkey to Recognize Armenian Genocide - AP

Turkey Tells France to Confront Colonial Past - Reuters

Italy's Berlusconi Dismisses Calls to Resign - Reuters

 

South Asia

India Looks East, to Vietnam and Burma - TOI

India: Maoist Attack Kills Four Troops in Chhattisgarh - BBC

India-Bangladesh First-Ever Joint Military Exercise - IBNL

7 October SWJ Roundup

Fri, 10/07/2011 - 7:07am

US Naval Institute Daily - USNI

Afghanistan

US Scales Back Ambitions in Afghanistan - WP

NATO Readies Afghan Exit as Invasion’s 10th Anniversary Looms - VOA

US Goals in Afghanistan 'Distant' - BBC

Eyeing an Afghan Exit, US Military Resets Priorities - AP

10 Years on, NATO Says Afghan Exit Plan on Track - Reuters

Afghans Protest on Eve of Invasion Anniversary - VOA

Cease-Fire for Harvests Offers Respite in Afghanistan - NYT

Afghanistan: A Nightmare Battlefield - WP

Taliban See Writing on the Wall, US Commander Says - AFPS

IMF Ready to Renew Afghan Credit Program - NYT

 

Pakistan

Obama Warns Pakistanis on Militants - NYT

Obama: Pakistan Hedges Bets with Ties to Militants - AP

Obama: Pakistan Must Be Mindful of US Interests - Reuters

Pakistan Says Obama Pressure on Militants Hurts - Reuters

Pakistan to Afghanistan: Stop 'Playing Politics' - VOA

Pakistan Warns Afghanistan after Pact with India - AP

Pakistan Pulls Closer to a Reluctant China - NYT

Pakistan Gated Community Sparks Controversy - LAT

'CIA Doctor' Faces Treason Charge - BBC

Case Sought Against Pakistan Doctor Who Helped CIA - AP

Pakistani Accused of Spy Links in US Dies - AP

Court Links MQM to Karachi Deaths - BBC

 

Syria

Syria Uprising Deaths Exceed 2,900, UN Says - NYT

“War Is Only Option to Topple Syrian Leader” - Reuters

Officials: EU Moving Toward More Syria Sanctions - AP

NATO Bombing in Libya Added to Syria Vetoes - AP

Syria Slams Critics at UN Review of Rights Record - AP

Syria Vows Reforms, Blames Outsiders for Unrest - Reuters

Syrian Troops 'Kill Syrian Farmer in Lebanon' - BBC

 

Iraq

US Demands Troop Immunity in Iraq - BBC

With Immunity Out, US Unlikely to Leave Troops in Iraq - McClatchy

Dispute About US Troops Reflects Clashing Emotions - NYT

 

Libya

NATO Is Not Yet Willing to Halt Its Libya Operations - NYT

NATO Not Halting Libya Air War Yet - LAT

NATO in Libya: Why the Alliance is Staying - CSM

Iraq Offers Advice to Libyan Leader on Democracy - AP

Gadhafi Calls for Mass Libya Protests Against NTC - VOA

Qaddafi Urges Followers to ‘Rise Up’ and Fill the Streets - NYT

Gaddafi Urges Mass Libya Protests - BBC

Libya Forces in Big Sirte Assault - BBC

Sniper Fire Holds Up Push Into Gaddafi's Hometown - Reuters

 

Israel / Palestinians

Quartet to Meet in Effort to Revive Mideast Talks - AP

Palestinian Anger at US Rising over UN Veto Threat - AP

Abbas Tells Europeans: Time to Recognize Palestine - AP

Ties Between Israel and Arab Allies Fray Over Mosque Burning - NYT

Israel Holds Suspects in Settler Deaths, Mosque Fire - Reuters

 

Middle East / North Africa

Tantawi Says Egypt in Sensitive Stage - BBC

Jailed Doctors in Bahrain Call for US support - WP

Al Qaeda Group in Yemen Remains Threat to US - LAT

Bahrain Pledges Probe Into Teen Death During Rally - AP

Obama Should Test Iran’s Nuclear Offer - WP opinion

 

Nobel Peace Prize

Nobel Peace Prize Awarded to Three Women - WP

Nobel Peace Prize Awarded to Three Activist Women - NYT

Three Women's Rights Activists Win Nobel Peace Prize - LAT

Three Women Win Nobel Peace Prize - BBC

Johnson Sirleaf, Gbowee, Karman Win Nobel Peace - AP

 

NATO

Panetta Cites Progress, Gaps in NATO Defense - AFPS

 

US Department of Defense

As Wars Wind Down, General Worries about Troop Discipline - NJ

‘Tactically Savvy’ Force Must Reframe, Commander Says - AFPS

Pentagon's New War Court Website Lacks Transparency - MH

Senator McCain Defends Military Custody for Suspect - AP

Guantanamo Hearing Delayed for Accused Cole Bomber - AP

Carter Takes Office as Deputy Defense Secretary - AFPS

Romney: Rebuild Defense, Add 100,000 Troops - AP

DOD Readies Financial Managers to Meet Goals - AFPS

 

United States

Obama Discusses Economy, Chinese Currency, Pakistan - VOA

Obama Backs Holder, but Hedges on 'Fast and Furious' - WT

Islam Content Spurs FBI Review of Anti-Terror Training - WT

Secret Panel Can Put Americans on 'Kill List' - Reuters

Obama’s Secret Death Panel - WT editorial

Occupied Wall Street, Seen From Abroad - NYT opinion

 

Africa

Somali Wounded Flown to Turkey - BBC

Rights Group calls on Ivory Coast to Fulfill Promise of Impartiality - VOA

Ouattara Urges Ghana to Arrest Ivorian Suspects - Reuters

Ex-Governors Arrested in Nigeria - BBC

Zimbabwe: Anglican Leader to Seek Meeting With Mugabe - NYT

Malawi Leader Promises Riot Probe - BBC

 

Americas

UN Study: Homicides Soar in Central America - AP

Mexican Police Allowed Drug Gang to Use Jail - AP

Police Abuses Rattle Faith in Mexico's Drug War - Reuters

Mexican Forces Find 32 Bodies - BBC

Thirty-Two Bodies Found in Mexican Gulf State - Reuters

Brazil: Rio’s Slums Get Another Look - WP

Venezuelans Bury Former President Perez - AP

Wife of Cuban Spy Fears for His Safety in US - AP

 

Asia Pacific

US Says Some Chinese Subsidies Violate Trade Rules - NYT

Obama Voices Reservations on China Sanction Bill - AP

Obama Hits China on Trade; Cautious on Currency Bill - Reuters

China to US: Blame Yourself - WP

China-US: It’s a Trade War - WP opinion

Hong Kong Shipping Under Scrutiny for Iran Links - VOA

Crisis Grips North Korean Rice Bowl - Reuters

Japan Politician Ozawa on Trial - BBC

Detecting a Thaw in Burma, US Aims to Encourage Change - NYT

 

Europe

Putin Urges Choice on Admitting Russia to WTO - NYT

Putin: Russia Must Look After its Own - WP

Russia Objects to US Anti-Missile Plans in Spain - AP

US Army in Europe Has ‘Unique Opportunity,’ Commander Says - AFPS

Death of War Crimes Witness Casts Cloud on Kosovo - NYT

Sarkozy Urges Turkey to Recognize Armenian Genocide - VOA

Slovakia Unsettles Europe’s Rescue Plan - WP

EU Works on Banks, Obama Urges Swift Action - Reuters

Near-Daily Protests Add to the Hardship in Greece - AP

The Trouble With Greece - NYT editorial

 

South Asia

Troops Die in India Maoist Attack - BBC

6 October SWJ Roundup

Thu, 10/06/2011 - 6:29am

US Naval Institute Daily - USNI

Afghanistan

For US, Tricky Path in Dealing With Afghan Insurgents - NYT

Karzai Reassures Pakistan on India Deal - VOA

Karzai Tries to Soothe Pakistan - NYT

Plot to Kill Afghan President Karzai Foiled - WP

Plot to Kill Afghan President Karzai Foiled - NYT

Afghans Say Plot to Kill President Karzai Uncovered - LAT

NATO-Led Forces Kill Senior Haqqani Militant - VOA

After Decade of War, Afghans Mull Taliban Return - Reuters

Afghans Rally in Kabul, Demand NATO Troops Leave - AP

Afghanistan Asks for Drought Aid - BBC

Afghan Americans See Lost Decade - WP

ISAF Operations Roundup - AFPS

 

Pakistan

Pakistan Seeks an Update on Raymond Davis - WP

 

Syria

UN Chief Sees 'Moral Obligation' to End Bloodshed in Syria - VOA

Clinton: UN Security Council Failed Syria - VOA

US Assails China, Russia Vetoes on Syria at UN - AP

Russia and China Try to Shield Friend - NYT

UN Veto Called ‘Green Light’ for Troubled Syrian Regime - WT

Army Defectors Aim to Overthrow Syrian Regime - AP

Cowardly UN Vetoes - WP editorial

 

Yemen

US, Yemen Ties Strained on Terrorism - WP

Yemen General: West Cuts Counter-Terrorism Aid - Reuters

Dialogue Dead in Yemen? - UPI

 

Iraq

Iraq Troop Talks Stuck on Issue of Immunity - AP

US Reviews Iraq Warning on Immunity for Troops - Reuters

 

Libya

NATO: Libya Mission Doesn't Hinge on Gadhafi's Capture - McClatchy

NATO Divided on End to Libya Air War - LAT

NATO: No Immediate End to Libya Bombing - AP

Authorities Struggle to Rein in Militias - WP

Fighters Loot and Burn on Outskirts Gadhafi's Hometown - LAT

Eni Fears Largest Libyan Oilfield Is in Ruins - Reuters

 

Egypt

No Presidential Candidate From Egypt Military - NYT

Egypt's Presidential Hopefuls Want Early Vote - Reuters

Restive Egypt Workers Pose Economic, Political Threats - Reuters

Anwar Sadat's Vision for Egypt - LAT opinion

 

Israel / Palestinians

Turkish PM: Israel Threat Because of Nuclear Weapons - VOA

Palestinians Win a Vote on Bid to Join UNESCO - NYT

Palestinians Near UNESCO Membership - Reuters

Palestinian Anger at US Rising Over UN Veto Threat - AP

Palestinians Say Will Work With Blair - Reuters

Is Israel Its Own Worst Enemy? - NYT opinion

 

Bahrain

Bahrain Orders Retrials for Medical Workers - NYT

Bahrain Grants Medics a Retrial - BBC

Bahrain Doctor Tells of Abuse, Coerced Confession - VOA

Bahrain Sentences 33 More for Protest Violence - AP

Bahrain Risks More Unrest, Shi'ite Demands Unmet - Reuters

 

Middle East / North Africa

Shiite Unrest Spurs Saudi Arabian Jitters - UPI

Tunisia PM: Don’t Worry About Islamists - WP

 

Al Qaeda / Terrorism

Ex-CIA Head Cautious About al Qaeda Defeat - WT

Social Networks Used to Counter al Qaeda - WT

Do More to Defend the Awlaki Strike - WP editorial

License to Kill? - UPI opinion

Is the Targeted Killing of Americans Legal? - UPI opinion

 

NATO

Panetta, NATO Defense Ministers Meet in Brussels - AFPS

US Calls for NATO Cooperation in Time of Austerity - VOA

Panetta Urges Europe to Spend More on NATO - NYT

Panetta Praises NATO During Trip - WP

Panetta Details NATO Successes, Challenges - AFPS

Rasmussen: NATO Remains "Indispensable Alliance" - AP

Spain Will Port US Ships to Support NATO Missile Defense - AFPS

 

US Department of Defense

Poll: 1 in 3 Vets Say Iraq, Afghan Wars Not Worth Fighting - AP

Lynn: Cut Defense, But Learn From Past Mistakes - AFPS

Before Stepping Down, Lynn Assesses ‘Signature’ Issues - AFPS

Change Planned for Next Gitmo Trials - AP

Lawmaker Asks DOD to Review Cases that Might Merit MoH - S&S

iPads, iPhones Among Devices Banned from DOD Networks - S&S

Support Grows in Congress for Guard Seat on JCS - AFT

Missile Defense System Hits 2 Targets over Hawaii - AP

Upgrades to Keep B-52s Flying Through 2040 - AFT

Inside the Ring - WT

 

United States

'Occupy Wall Street' Protest Joined by Labor, Community Groups - VOA

Occupy Wall Street Wins over Union Backing, More Protesters - LAT

Task Force Acts to Protect Computer Networks - WT

ATF Chief ‘Refocusing’ on ‘Core Mission’ of Bureau - WT

ATF's New Director Shakes Up Agency - AP

7 NY Dems Call for Investigation into NYPD Spying - AP

NY Judge: No Web for Jurors at Soviet Arms Trial - AP

 

Africa

UN: Somalia Suicide Blast Death Toll Goes Over 100 - AP

Somali Aid Push in Famine Zones - BBC

Congo Disappearances Haunt UN Experts - UPI

Rebels Kill 10 in Eastern Congo Attacks - Reuters

Group: War Crimes by Both Sides in Ivory Coast - AP

Zimbabwe: Anglican Leader to Seek Meeting With Mugabe - NYT

Uganda Ministers Face Fraud Trial - BBC

 

Americas

US Tells Latin America to Help Poor Get Richer Too - AP

Mexico Arrests Top Cartel Suspect - BBC

Panelists: Colombia Could Help US-Mexico Border Issues - UPI

Mexico: New Enforcement Push in Veracruz State - LAT

'Rival' Killed Mexico Politician - BBC

Obama Hails Return of Honduras to Democratic Fold - Reuters

Cubans Look to Private Sector to Make Ends Meet - Reuters

Terms of Cuban Spy Release Irritate US-Cuba Ties - Reuters

Haiti’s New PM Emphasizes Need for Jobs - Reuters

 

Asia Pacific

White House Voices Concern on China Currency Bill - Reuters

Japanese FM Visits Seoul on Nuclear, Other Issues - VOA

US Base Tests Dueling Interests in S. Korea - WT

S. Korea's New Nuclear Envoy Heads to US for Talks - AP

South Korea Refuses to Return 2 North Koreans - AP

Naval Base Puts S. Korea's 'Island of World Peace' in Hot Spot - S&S

Philippine Troops Battle Rebels After Mine Attack - AP

Philippine Police Rescue Hostage Held by Militants - AP

Aid Group MSF Ends Thailand Work - BBC

 

Europe

USAREUR Commander Says European Mission Still Vital - S&S

Hertling Hints Brigade Could Leave Europe Sooner - S&S

Europe Tries to Stave Off a Reckoning - NYT

Clashes in Athens As Europe Fears Looming Bank Crisis - VOA

Greeks Protest Cutbacks Amid Growing Weariness - NYT

Changed Russia Arches Eyebrow at Putin’s Staged Antics - NYT

Russia Successfully Launches US Satellite - VOA

Russia Claims to Have Detained Chinese Spy - AP

Russia: Why the Pessimism over Putin’s Return? - WP opinion

Mexican Cartel Strategic Note No. 3

Wed, 10/05/2011 - 5:39pm

The Document: On 25 July 2011, the National Security Staff released its Strategy to Combat Transnational Organized Crime: Addressing Converging Threats to National Security. The report is available at (http://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/eop/nsc/transnational-crime) and can be accessed as a pdf or in html by using the links provided (1). The contents are as follows:

i. Definition

ii. Letter from President Barack Obama: Executive Summary;

I. Introduction,

II. Transnational Organized Crime: A Growing Threat to National and International Security,

III. Strategy to Combat Transnational Organized Crime: Priority Actions;

1. Start at Home: Taking Shared Responsibility for Transnational Organized Crime,

2. Enhance Intelligence and Information Sharing,

3. Protect the Financial System and Strategic Markets against Transnational Organized Crime,

4. Strengthen Interdiction, Investigations, and Prosecutions,

5. Disrupt Drug Trafficking and Its Facilitation of Other Transnational Threats,

6. Build International Capacity, Cooperation, and Partnerships.

Key Statements:

a). The characteristics of transnational organized crime (TOC) may include that— “They attempt to gain influence in government, politics, and commerce through corrupt as well as legitimate means;”

b). “Criminal networks are not only expanding their operations, but they are also diversifying their activities, resulting in a convergence of transnational threats that has evolved to become more complex, volatile, and destabilizing. These networks also threaten U.S. interests by forging alliances with corrupt elements of national governments and using the power and influence of those elements to further their criminal activities.”

c). “In January 2010, the United States Government completed a comprehensive review of international organized crime—the first on this topic since 1995. Based on the review and subsequent reporting, the Administration has concluded that, in the intervening years, international—or transnational— organized crime has expanded dramatically in size, scope, and influence and that it poses a significant threat to national and international security.” 

Western Hemisphere Overview: “TOC networks—including transnational gangs—have expanded and matured, threatening the security of citizens and the stability of governments throughout the region, with direct security implications for the United States. Central America is a key area of converging threats where illicit trafficking in drugs, people, and weapons—as well as other revenue streams—fuel increased instability. Transnational crime and its accompanying violence are threatening the prosperity of some Central American states and can cost up to eight percent of their gross domestic product, according to the World Bank. The Government of Mexico is waging an historic campaign against transnational criminal organizations, many of which are expanding beyond drug trafficking into human smuggling and trafficking, weapons smuggling, bulk cash smuggling, extortion, and kidnapping for ransom. TOC in Mexico makes the U.S. border more vulnerable because it creates and maintains illicit corridors for border crossings that can be employed by other secondary criminal or terrorist actors or organizations. Farther south, Colombia has achieved remarkable success in reducing cocaine production and countering illegal armed groups, such as the FARC, that engage in TOC. Yet, with the decline of these organizations, new groups are emerging such as criminal bands known in Spanish as Bandas Criminales, or Bacrims.”

Analysis: This strategy was released less than three months ago and according to Bob Killebrew “…is in effect a replacement for the now-outdated U.S. strategy to combat terrorism. This is a good first step” (2).  While I agree it is a step in the right direction, the threat perceptions underlying it are overly traditionalist—some would even say woefully obsolete— and representative of static 20th century thinking. I thus have very great concerns regarding the threat assumptions underlying the strategy since, if the baseline assumptions are faulty, then the rest of the strategy that is derived from those assumptions becomes highly suspect (3). Unfortunately, 21st century ‘street realities’ of the last eleven years taking place in Mexico, in areas of Central America, and in other locales appear in no way to have influenced the threat perceptions underlying the strategy. At best, transnational organized crime is viewed as gaining ‘influence in governmental politics’, ‘forging alliances with corrupt elements of national governments’, and ‘threatening the security of citizens and the stability of governments throughout the region’ (within the context of some Central American states). Such perceptions are indicative of the primacy and immutability of the nation-state as a social and political form of human organization. TOC within this threat context is viewed much like bloated ticks feeding off of host states. They represent parasitical organizations drawing upon illicit, and at times licit, economies to sustain themselves. TOC, such as the Mexican cartels, could thus never criminalize, capture, or kill a host state—or a region or city within it— based on these threat perceptions. The emergence of a ‘criminal-state’ or a ‘new warmaking entity’ or the existence of a ‘criminal insurgency’ taking place within a state simply cannot be accounted for in a strategy derived from these threat perceptions. The governments and citizens of Guatemala, El Salvador, and Honduras should no doubt be comforted by the fact that they are only threatened with issues of stability and no more. While the strategy may serve to perpetuate the legalistic charade of the nation-state’s ‘monopoly on political violence’ and ‘control over its sovereign borders,’ it does a great disservice to the American people and others by not fully recognizing the TOC threat. Criminal-insurgencies are currently raging across Mexico, in areas of Central America, and in other locales (4). Cities and regions have been captured by de facto politicized cartel and gang entities with criminal para-states established by the Zetas, the Sinaloans, and other criminal organizations. This is representative of the blurring of crime and war ‘nightmare scenarios’ which have been debated since the 1990s and have since manifested themselves throughout the globe. Until US governmental threat perceptions mature—especially in strategic documents that outline our national policies— the cartel and gang threats we are now witnessing in the Western Hemisphere will continue to be misunderstood and underestimated.  

Notes 

All quotes without notes pertain to the White House strategy document.

1. Also see “Attorney General Eric Holder Speaks at the Announcement of the Transnational Organized Crime Strategy”. Justice News. Monday, 25 July 2011, http://www.justice.gov/iso/opa/ag/speeches/2011/ag-speech-110725.html.

2. Col Robert B. Killebrew, U.S. Army (Retired), “Crime & War.” Proceedings. October 2011: 26. This citation contains a note thanking Killebrew’s CNAS colleague Matt Irvine for his initial perception concerning it replacing the U.S. counterterrorism strategy.

3. My concerns are very different than those articulated by the TransBorder Project, a project of the Center for International Policy in Washington, DC. See Tom Barry, “U.S. Drug War Turns to Transnational Combat”. Border Lines. Wednesday, 3 August 2011, http://borderlinesblog.blogspot.com/2011/08/us-drug-war-turns-to-transnational.html.

4. The developed construct is attributed to John P. Sullivan in 2008. Many of his writings on this subject first appeared in Small Wars Journal.

The ACWG: Khe Sahn 2.0?

Wed, 10/05/2011 - 10:23am

The ACWG: Khe Sahn 2.0?

By: Zacchaeus

When one thinks of the Marine Corps fighting in the defense, one can't help to harken back to the Battle of Khe Sahn. In January 1968 Marines from the III Marine Amphibious Force undertook the daunting mission of defending and holding the base complex at Khe Sahn in the Quang Tri Province of South Viet Nam.  For nearly six months Marines mounted a gallant defense while suffering heavy losses from a numerically superior North Vietnamese Force.  Khe Sahn was an isolated, untenable position that was eventually lost to the enemy but the bravery and tenacity of the Marines who fought and died there will be forever etched in the proud legacy of the United States Marine Corps.

A few weeks ago the Commandant of the Marine Corps launched a detail of 25 Marines on a mission with characteristics similar to Khe Sahn – to defend and hold an untenable position.  The 25 Marines of the Amphibious Capabilities Working Group are charged with redefining the Marine Corps Amphibious Mission. While it’s clear the US Military needs amphibious combat capabilities in its portfolio, it’s unclear of how to build and maintain the right amount of amphibious forces in the current fiscal climate.

To make the mission more complex, the group must contend with the results of last year’s Force Structure Review Group. The group’s report called for a Marine Corps reduction from the present 202,000 level to an endstrength of  approximately 185,000 active duty Marines.  This is larger than the Marine Corps of 2001 and the necessitated growth is attributed to the new Marine Special Operations mission.  However, most national security experts call for a much smaller Marine Corps, with one estimate as low as 145,000 from the CATO Institute.  This number is similar to the worst case estimate resulting from budget reductions in a recent report for the House Armed Services Committee.

The FSRG did have one very important output that should drive the efforts of the ACWG – it defined the Marine Corps’ “sweet spot” as being a primarily maritime capability between special operations units and conventional army forces. Given this guidance, the current model of amphibious operations needs to be thrown out the window and should not be used as the starting point for this new construct.  The current amphibious model is based on the perceived requirement for a two Marine Expeditionary Brigade package that is completely unaffordable.

This group of 25 Marine Field Grade Officers with common backgrounds and perspectives will have a challenge overcoming group think if they don’t bring in innovative thinkers from outside the Marine Corps. Two organizations that should be represented in the discussion are the Navy SEALs and British Royal Marine Commandos – both of these elite forces provide an efficient operational capability in the Maritime Environment with a force less than 10,000 each.  The argument will be made that both of these forces provide different capability sets than the current Marine Corps force structure, nevertheless, both forces are expeditionary, lethal and operate effectively in the Maritime environment as well as “any clime or place.”  

The Marine Corps should learn from these smaller forces and focus on Battalion or Squadron sized force packages.  12 (4x3 rotation) Battalions, roughly 12,000 Marines, could form the nucleus of the current Marine Expeditionary Unit Model. Battalions would be supported by robust rotary wing assault support and attack helicopters with unmanned aerial vehicles, logistics, intel and supporting arms deployed as required. Again the Marine Corps could develop 10 times the combat power of the Royal Marine Commandos with under 100,000 Marines. An additional 25,000 Marines could be used to support other Marine Corps centric missions such as Marine Security Forces, Military Police, Combat Engineers, Marine Anti-Terrorism Security Teams and Marine Special Operations.  This new approach should place more emphasis on the “no worse enemy” portion of the battle cry and leave the “no better friend” mission for the Marine’s Global Force for Good brethren.

Where could the Marine Corps take reductions?

·         Eliminate Fixed Wing Air Craft from the USMC inventory and rely on the Navy for support (it’s time to let go of the legacy of Guadalcanal)

·         Eliminate Air Defense (airborne) and Low Altitude Air Defense Missions

·         Leverage the Global Information Grid and reduce the deployed command and control footprint

·         Shed missions such as Cyberspace, Civil Affairs, domestic Chemical Biological Response and other non-traditional missions that can be accomplished by another service

·         Reduce support for COCOMS and conduct all operational planning at MARFORCOM

·         Shift tank units and heavy assault capabilities to the reserves

·         Restrict active duty personnel from performing inherently civilian work

While it may not have been given as a specified task in the mission statement to the AWCG, at the very heart of the discussion is the Marine Corps' ability to exist as a separate service within the Department of the Navy. This issue is worthy of further debate beyond the scope of this post.  Tradition, legendary combat history, marketing slogans and the supposed “will of the American People” will only carry the day so far in the current budget debate. If the Marine Corps attempts to defend the untenable 185,000 end strength and protect unnecessary programs such as its Joint Strike Fight variant and the Osprey, the results will be disastrous.

______________

Zacchaeus was a Greek tax collector hated by his peers for perceived collaboration with the enemy.  It is the pseudonym of a retired Marine, working at the Pentagon.  He lives in fear for his children, family pet and automobile should his real identity fall into the hands of status quo thinkers in the Marine Corps.

 

Mexico's "Narco-Refugees": The Looming Challenge for U.S. National Security

Wed, 10/05/2011 - 10:19am

Mexico's "Narco-Refugees": The Looming Challenge for U.S. National Security

by Paul Rexton Kan

Strategic Studies Institute

 

Since 2006, when Mexican President Felipe Calderon declared war on the drug cartels, there has been a rise in the number of Mexican nationals seeking political asylum in the United States to escape the ongoing drug cartel violence in their home country. Political asylum cases in general are claimed by those who are targeted for their political beliefs or ethnicity in countries that are repressive or are failing. Mexico is neither. Nonetheless, if the health of the Mexican state declines because criminal violence continues, increases, or spreads, U.S. communities will feel an even greater burden on their systems of public safety and public health from "narco-refugees." Given the ever increasing cruelty of the cartels, the question is whether and how the U.S. Government should begin to prepare for what could be a new wave of migrants coming from Mexico. Allowing Mexicans to claim asylum could potentially open a flood gate of migrants to the United States during a time when there is a very contentious national debate over U.S. immigration laws pertaining to illegal immigrants. On the other hand, to deny the claims of asylum seekers and return them to Mexico where they might very well be killed, strikes at the heart of American values of justice and humanitarianism. This monograph focuses on the asylum claims of Mexicans who unwillingly leave Mexico rather than those who willingly enter the United States legally or illegally. To successfully navigate through this complex issue will require a greater level of understanding and vigilance at all levels of the U.S. Government.

Karzai looks for leverage in Delhi. He should try Beijing, too.

Wed, 10/05/2011 - 8:44am

According to the Washington Post and numerous other news outlets, Afghan President Hamid Karzai has given up on talking to the Taliban, which he now asserts is merely a proxy army controlled by the Pakistani government. Under this assumption, Karzai has concluded that he needs to negotiate with the Pakistani leadership in Islamabad, which according to Karzai, “has pursued a double game toward Afghanistan … using terrorism as a means.”

There is nothing new in Karzai’s description of the problem. However, the recent assassination of former Afghan president Burhanuddin Rabbani, who had been heading up a negotiation effort with the Taliban, catalyzed Karzai’s decision to break off talks with the Taliban and to confront Islamabad instead. Karzai may have concluded that he needed to drop (at least for now) attempts at direct reconciliation with the Taliban and to harden his line against Pakistan, if only to avoid a revolt by the former Northern Alliance, non-Pashtun portions of his government.

Confronting Islamabad will be a waste of effort for Karzai without some leverage. This explains his quick trip this week to Delhi to sign a “strategic partnership agreement” with Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, an agreement that includes Indian training for Afghanistan’s police. Singh promised that India would “stand by Afghanistan” after Western troops depart in 2014.

This is a logical step for Karzai, but doesn’t promise to deliver much leverage  against Pakistan. India and Afghanistan would have to take much stronger measures to persuade Pakistan to adopt a different policy regarding Afghanistan and its support for the Afghan Taliban. India has its reasons to maintain connections with Afghanistan. But it doesn’t have a good reason under current circumstances to run any significant risks for Karzai’s benefit, which will limit the amount of leverage Karzai is looking for. And until that happens, Pakistan is likely to see even more reason to maintain its current Afghan policy.

Where else might Karzai look for leverage? There is always self-help. If, as Karzai asserts, Afghanistan is under attack from a Pakistani proxy war, a traditional nation-state response would be some form of military retaliation against Pakistan in an attempt to persuade its leaders to change their policy. When it comes to defending its territory against foreign invaders, Afghanistan’s reputation for eventual success is legendary. But retaliation against Pakistan would call for cross-border offensive action. What is Afghanistan’s offensive military capacity? The Afghan battleground is a hothouse of irregular and hybrid warfare techniques.  Whether there is any prospect of the Afghan government fashioning these forms of warfare into effective transnational offensive tools is an interesting and unanswered question.

Does Karzai see any role for the United States in his search for leverage? He must have concluded that the current U.S. military campaign in Afghanistan is irrelevant to his need for leverage over Pakistan – indeed, the larger the U.S. force in Afghanistan, the more leverage Pakistan has over the U.S. Admiral Mike Mullen’s eleventh-hour tirade against Pakistan, uttered just days before his retirement, was the clearest sign that the Obama administration finally sees the need to change its approach toward Islamabad. But Karzai can’t hold out much hope that the United States will do much to solve his leverage problem, since the U.S. seems intent on washing its hand of the situation after 2014.

As a last resort, Karzai may look to Beijing. Mineral-hungry China may be interested in Afghanistan’s resources and a shipment route into China that doesn’t have to transit waters controlled by the U.S. and Indian navies. But tapping Afghanistan’s mineral wealth will require good behavior by Pakistan and a settlement to Afghanistan’s civil war. As Pakistan’s last and most powerful friend, China may have the leverage to create these conditions. That such a scenario is long-shot only shows what a difficult spot Karzai is in.

Grafenwoehr Full Spectrum Exercise Tosses COIN

Wed, 10/05/2011 - 8:22am

Grafenwoehr Full Spectrum Exercise Tosses COIN by Steven Beardsley, Stars and Stripes. Bluf:

… Known as a full spectrum training environment, the complex, monthlong exercise at the Joint Multinational Readiness Center in Hohenfels reshapes a brigade into an expeditionary force and pits it against a conventional force armed with tanks, helicopters and unmanned drones. It’s the first European exercise of its scope in a decade, organizers say…

That scale is set in part by the Army’s full spectrum operations doctrine, updated extensively in 2008. The first update since the June 2001 edition, it was released two years after the Army published its counter-insurgency manual. Much like that doctrine, the update emphasized the importance of stability operations…

If COIN is excluded is it truly “full spectrum” or is this just one phase of future training that will also include COIN and STABOPS?

5 October SWJ Roundup

Wed, 10/05/2011 - 7:43am

US Naval Institute Daily - USNI

Afghanistan

With Modern Means, Taliban Bolster Sway in Afghanistan - NYT

India and Afghanistan Sign Pact - WP

Afghanistan Favors India and Denigrates Pakistan - NYT

India, Afghanistan Pledge Cooperation - LAT

Afghanistan Signs Pact with India, Irking Pakistan - AP

Karzai Reassures Pakistan over India 'Strategic Pact' - BBC

In India, Karzai Reaches Out to 'Brother' Pakistan - Reuters

NATO: Haqqani Network Leader Killed in Afghanistan - AP

NATO Says Kills Senior Haqqani Commander - Reuters

10 Years On and Life Grim for Afghans - AP

ISAF Operations Roundup - AFPS

Double Trouble in Afghanistan - WP editorial

 

Pakistan

Pakistan Appears More Isolated After India-Afghan Pact - Reuters

Pakistan Taliban Play Down Talks - BBC

In Pakistan, a Humanitarian Light Shines - LAT

Gunmen Attack Shiites on Bus in Southwest Pakistan - NYT

 

Syria

Russia, China Veto UN Resolution on Syria; US, Europe ‘Outraged’ - VOA

UN Resolution on Syria Blocked by Russia and China - NYT

Russia, China Block Syria Resolution - WP

UN Resolution on Syria is Vetoed - BBC

Western Effort to End Assad’s Crackdown Fails - WT

Turkey Says Sanctions on Syria to Go Ahead - AP

Syrian Embassies Accused of Threatening Activists Overseas - VOA

Syria Revokes Week-Old Ban on Imports of Consumer Goods - NYT

US Senate Approves Robert Ford as Ambassador - LAT

 

Yemen

US-born Qaeda Cleric Awlaki Buried in Yemen - Reuters

Yemeni Troops Shell Anti-Saleh Forces - Reuters

 

Iraq

US Puts $10 Million Bounty on Iraq al-Qaida Leader - AP

Iraq Denies Legal Immunity to US Troops After 2011 -NYT

Iraqi Leaders Want US Trainers, Reject Immunity - AP

 

Libya

NTC Launches 'Final Assault' on Gadhafi Stronghold - VOA

Libyan Forces Plan 'Final' Attack on Gaddafi Hometown - Reuters

Sirte Residents Turn Anger on Libya's New Rulers - Reuters

On the Run, Gaddafi Leaves Few Footprints - Reuters

Back to School in Libya, and Struggling to Adjust - NYT

 

Egypt

Egypt Unclear on Timetable of Power Transfer, US Says - NYT

Panetta Prods Egypt on Democracy - WP

US Defense Secretary Presses Cairo to Lift Security Law - LAT

Egyptian Columnists Protest Military Censorship - AP

Concern for Jailed Egypt Blogger - BBC

In Egypt, a Dreamer’s Lonely Protest - WP

 

Israel / Palestinians

Mideast 'Quartet' Envoys to Meet on Sunday - Reuters

US Palestinian Aid Block Censured - BBC

Palestinians Seeking Membership in UNESCO - AP

Teachers' Protest Closes Gaza's UN Schools - AP

Israel Bombing Killed Captives in Lebanon - Reuters

Israel Dismisses Deputy Envoy to US Over Media Leak - Reuters

 

Middle East / North Africa

Clashes in Eastern Saudi Arabia Region - BBC

Bahrain Sentences Pro-Reform Activists to Prison - VOA

Bahrain Jails 27 for Unrest Links - BBC

 

Al Qaeda / Terrorism

When Leaders Die, Terror Still Thrives - NYT opinion

 

NATO

NATO Ministers to Discuss Afghanistan, Libya - AP

U.S. Cuts Put Pressure on NATO to Boost Cooperation - Reuters

Panetta: US Military Can't Make Up NATO Shortfalls - AP

 

US Department of Defense

The American Military and Civilians, Worlds Apart - WP

No 9/11 Trial this Year at Guantanamo War Court - S&S

Army Corps Contracting Fraud Alleged - WP

DOD: $35 M for Families to Leave Japan Following Nuclear Crisis - S&S

 

United States

Detention of Terror Suspects Blocks Defense Bill - AP

Electrocution Case Against KBR Can be Tried in US Court - S&S

2 Other Somalis Sentenced in Piracy Case - VOA

Jury Sought for Nigerian Held in Bid to Bomb Jet - NYT

Defendant in Underwear Bomb Case has Outburst in Court - LAT

Memo: Holder Told of ‘Fast and Furious’ as Early as July 2010 - WT

Puerto Rico Prodded to Get Tough on Police - NYT

Hint of Deterrence in US Drone-War Strategy - WP opinion

 

Africa

Somalia: Deadly Bombing in Mogadishu Marks Return of Al-Shabab - VOA

Truck Bomb Kills Dozens in Somalia’s Capital - NYT

Deadly Attack Hits Somali Capital - BBC

Truck Bomb Kills Dozens in Capital of Somalia - AP

Freed Sudanese Slave Testifies to US Congressional Panel - VOA

Rwanda Leader 'Sparked Genocide' - BBC

Uganda LRA Rebel Tracker Unveiled - BBC

Dalai Lama’s Visa Request Is Denied by South Africa - NYT

Dalai Lama Cancels Highly Charged South Africa Trip - Reuters

 

Americas

Mexico Police Held in Drugs Probe - BBC

Mexico Nabs 9 Escaped Inmates at Cartel Camp - AP

Haiti Appoints New Prime Minister - BBC

Haiti's Long Wait for PM Ends With 3rd Pick - AP

 

Asia Pacific

Fed Chief: Undervalued Chinese Currency Harms US Recovery - VOA

Rogers Slams China on Cyber-Espionage - WP

US Lawmakers Demand Action over China Cyber Attacks - LAT

Lawmaker Calls Out Beijing on Internet ‘Trade War’ - WT

US Lawmaker Slams China for Cyber Spying - AP

Russia Reveals China 'Spy' Arrest - BBC

US Senate’s Bill on Tariffs Angers China -NYT

China Moves to Rein in Microblogs - WP

DOD Official Cites Importance of Stability in Taiwan Strait - AFPS

North Korea Rejects Preconditions for Nuclear Talks - AFP

N. Korea Wants Back 2 Citizens Found in South Waters - AP

Malaysia Frees 125 Suspects in Security Law Repeal - AP

Thailand Flood Deaths Exceed 200 - BBC

Philippine Police Capture Suspected Beheader - AP

The Wrong Way to Deal With China - NYT editorial

In Myanmar, Seize the Moment - NYT opinion

 

Europe

Europe Wavers on Terms of Second Greek Bailout - VOA

Greece Hit by New General Strike - BBC

Greek Workers Strike to Protest Austerity Program - NYT

Greek Terrorist Trial Postponed Due to Strike - AP

Italy's Credit Rating is Slashed - BBC

Russia Declares Close to Joining the World Trade Organization - NYT

Putin Aide Woos Russia's Middle-Class Voters - Reuters

Russia Reveals China 'Spy' Arrest - BBC

In Polish Election, a Rivalry Deepened by Tragedy - AP

Turkey Detains 140 in Inquiry on Kurds - NYT

 

South Asia

India Police Make 'Gandhi Gaffe' - BBC

Ceasefire by West Bengal Maoists - BBC

Cut the Army, Forget Counterinsurgency (Updated)

Tue, 10/04/2011 - 11:07am

Obama’s Favorite Think Tank: Cut the Army, Forget Counterinsurgency by Spencer Ackerman, Wired’s Danger Room. Bluf:

The Obama administration’s favorite defense think tank was once a hothouse of counterinsurgency theory. But now that the government is trying to crawl out of its massive debt, the Center for a New American Security is less about big ground conflicts and more about how to shrink the defense budget. First on the chopping block, according to its forthcoming blueprint for defense cuts: counterinsurgency. Next: the Army and Marines who wage it.

“Extended counterinsurgency operations” are passe once the U.S. draws down in Afghanistan, says Nora Bensahel, a defense expert at CNAS, as the think tank is ubiquitously known in Washington. “We’re judging that a less-likely scenario.” …

More on Hard Choices: Responsible Defense in the Age of Austerity from the Center for a New American Security:

The Budget Control Act of 2011 has set the government on a path to dramatically reduce spending over the next decade, and a congressional "super committee" is now seeking to trim spending by more than $1 trillion beyond the cuts already enacted this year. As additional cuts are made, we must ask: How can the United States responsibly and effectively maximize its security in this era of growing fiscal austerity? 

Authored by Center for a New American Security (CNAS) experts LTG David W. Barno, USA (Ret.), Dr. Nora Bensahel and Travis Sharp, the forthcoming report Hard Choices: Responsible Defense in an Age of Austerity answers this question and highlights the implications of tough budget cuts on America's military capabilities.  Hard Choices outlines four budget cut scenarios and evaluates possible trade-offs among force structure, end strength, procurement and overhead.  Barno, Bensahel and Sharp also offer several potential reforms to military pay and benefits.

On October 7, 2011, CNAS will release Hard Choices at an event featuring a discussion with the report authors and leading defense and budget experts Gordon Adams, Distinguished Fellow at the Stimson Center, and Tom Donnelly, Resident Fellow and Director of the Center for Defense Studies at the American Enterprise Institute.  RSVP online here.

Copies of Hard Choices: Responsible Defense in an Age of Austerity will be available at the event on October 7 and a light breakfast will be served.

Update: Hard Choices: Responsible Defense in an Age of Austerity is now posted at CNAS.