Small Wars Journal

Biden Administration Foreign Policy Tracker: January (December 4, 2021-January 11, 2022)

Tue, 01/11/2022 - 9:35pm

Access the foreign policy tracker HERE.

 

FDD | Biden Administration Foreign Policy Tracker: January

fdd.org · by David Adesnik Senior Fellow and Director of Research · January 11, 2022

Trend Overview

Edited by David Adesnik

Welcome back to the Biden Administration Foreign Policy Tracker. Once a month, we ask FDD’s experts and scholars to assess the administration’s foreign policy. They provide trendlines of very positive, positive, neutral, negative, or very negative for the areas they watch. Shortly after taking office, President Joe Biden set a “goal of building a stable and predictable relationship with Russia.” Russian President Vladimir Putin has not obliged. In December, Moscow put Europe on edge with persistent threats to launch a major military offensive against Ukraine. Meanwhile, nuclear negotiations with Iran continued even though Tehran’s proxies targeted U.S. troops in Iraq and Syria with armed drones. Belatedly, the White House announced a “diplomatic boycott” of next month’s Winter Games in Beijing, yet only a handful of allies will keep their diplomats home.

With hostility growing on almost every front despite the administration’s “relentless diplomacy,” Congress signaled the need for greater strength by authorizing $740 billion in defense spending, or $25 billion more than the president requested. There was overwhelming bipartisan support for this increase, with veto-proof majorities in the House and Senate. Congress lent similar support to the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act, which Biden signed into law just before Christmas. The United Nations is expected to release its own findings on Beijing’s human rights violations in the coming days; in December, it approved plans to spend $4.2 million on an open-ended investigation of Israel. The Biden administration dismissed the inquiry as “inherently biased and an obstacle to the cause of peace,” but could not block the funding.

Trending Positive

Cyber

By RADM (Ret.) Mark Montgomery and Trevor Logan

Defense

By Bradley Bowman

International Organizations

By Richard Goldberg

Trending Neutral

China

By Craig Singleton

Europe

By John Hardie

Israel

By David May

Korea

By David Maxwell

Russia

By John Hardie

Trending Negative

Arms Control and Nonproliferation

By Anthony Ruggiero and Andrea Stricker

Gulf

By Hussain Abdul-Hussain

Indo-Pacific

By Craig Singleton

Latin America

By Carrie Filipetti and Emanuele Ottolenghi

Sunni Jihadism

By Thomas Joscelyn

Syria

By David Adesnik

Turkey

By Aykan Erdemir

Trending Very Negative

Iran

By Richard Goldberg and Behnam Ben Taleblu

Lebanon

By Tony Badran

1/11/2022 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Tue, 01/11/2022 - 9:55am

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. Russia Thinks America Is Bluffing - To Deter a Ukraine Invasion, Washington’s Threats Need to Be Tougher
2. Why More Americans Are Saying They’re ‘Vaxxed and Done’
3. The Crackdown in Kazakhstan Is a Win for Russia (Or Is It?)
4. Is the U.S. Military Actually Ready for a War?
5. Stabilizing Great Power Rivalries
6. An Unauthorized War - The Shaky Legal Ground for the U.S. Operation in Syria
7. Pacific may be most likely to see 'strategic surprise' -U.S. policymaker Campbell
8. China appoints chief of Xinjiang’s Armed Police Force to Hong Kong
9.  Denying The Inevitable: Why The West Refuses To Accept China’s Superpower Status – OpEd
10. US can't tell if Russia using talks as pretense for war
11. Russia talks buy time for Ukraine but stark disagreements signal dead-end ahead (and key State Dept comments)
12. Syria Faces Omicron Amid a Shortage of Vaccines
13. FDD | Iran’s Inflation Rate in 2022 Will Depend on Fate of Nuclear Negotiations
14. Normalization is the new normal for the UAE and Israel
15. Air Force general calls B.S. on social media claims that female special ops trainee got ‘preferential treatment’
16. China makes a show of opening up the internet for the Olympics
17. The Metaverse Offers Much Potential For Terrorists and Extremists
18. New law gives veterans, Gold Star Families free lifetime access to America's national parks
19. Liberal elites want us to care about Jan. 6. But they don't care that our cities are burning | Opinion

Korean News Content:

1. N Korea fires possible missile into sea amid stalled talks
2. N. Korea's improved ballistic missile traveled at Mach 10: JCS
3. Kim Jong Un-ism: Leader seeks 'new' ideology for North Korea
4. N. Korean General Staff Department colonel allegedly stole 200 tons of oil over several years
5. N. Korea tests second ‘advanced’ missile in less than a week: Seoul
6. Flights briefly grounded at West Coast airports over suspected North Korean missile test
7. North Korea’s provocations have little effect on presidential race: experts
8. North launches missile as world reacts to last week's
9. Analysis: N.Korea looks to risky pre-fuelled missiles to reduce launch time
10. Joint Statement on the January 5 Democratic People’s Republic of Korea’s Ballistic Missile Launch
11. Former Top US Commander in Korea Urges Allies to Include China in War Plans
12. Yoon cites preemptive strike as option to deal with N.K. threat
13. Lee Seung-bok’s “I don’t like communism” and North Korean Operatives’ Massacre of Lee’s Family
14. Anti-communist remarks lead to Starbucks Korea boycott
15. North Korean Proliferation Financing and Designated Non-Financial Businesses and Professions
16. Moon expresses concern over N. Korea's repeated missile launches ahead of election
17. <Inside N. Korea> Special security for Jong-un's birthday for the first time: A reflection of social unrest. No celebratory events. Residents: "How did the special rations go?"
18. How Uygur and North Korea human rights activists can join forces to keep slave-made goods out of your closet

1/10/2022 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Mon, 01/10/2022 - 9:18am

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. Statement by National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan on Iranian Threats and Provocations Against American Citizens
2. White House worried Iran is plotting assassination attempts against Trump administration officials
3. Paratrooper charged in Syria shootout acquitted of all charges
4. Taliban graduated 200 Special Forces completing three-month training
5.  The Continuing Storm
6. Analysis | Kazakhstan called for assistance. Why did Russia dispatch troops so quickly?
7. America’s Asia Strategy Has Reached a Dead End
8. Myanmar's Suu Kyi faces six years in jail after new sentences -source
9. (Reserve) Army Officer Relieved of Command, Facing Discharge over Racist Social Media Posts
10. Opinion | Steve Bannon Is Onto Something
11. Impact of North Korea’s latest missile test on Iran nuke threat
12. Is the Crisis in Kazakhstan the Rebirth of the Soviet Union?
13. All is not well in the transatlantic relationship
14. Spiking the Problem: Developing a Resilient Posture in the Indo-Pacific with Passive Defenses
15. Rise of rightwing extremism in US military sparks fears over democracy
16. January 6, the Afghanistan Withdrawal and the Future of U.S. Counterterrorism
17. US pairs skater Timothy LeDuc calls human rights abuses in China 'horrifying'
18. How Fake Spies Ruin Real Intelligence
19. Higher ed's role in civic learning and democracy’s future (opinion)

Korean News Content:

1. Peninsula tightrope both taut and fraught
2. North Korea's hypersonic missile claim is seen as an attempt to boost its 'bargaining position'
3. Defense minister calls for 'full attention' to allied defense posture amid USFK virus case rise
4. S. Korea ranks 9th in defense technologies: report
5. Seoul monitoring possible change in N.Korea's Covid policy
6. Intel Is About to Relinquish Its Chipmaking Crown to Samsung
7. Cold War-era anti-communist slogan springs back to life in presidential race
8.  Instagram Removes “Defeat Communism” Posting, CIO Collects on Shinsegae Vice Chair Chung Yong-jin’s Electronic Communications
9. ‘Eradicate communism’ (South Korean election OpEd)
10. North Korea ordered military into “No. 1 combat posture” after defector crossed border
11. News of recent “double defection” spreads along China-North Korea border
12. N Korean defectors face discrimination in the South
13. N.Korea Informs China It Won't Attend Olympics
14.  20 N.Korean defectors migrated overseas in over 5 yrs
15.  Ahn’s rise splits presidential race three ways
16.  North's fighter jets hide in secret air bases in mountains
17. Kim Jong-un's wife is former cheerleader and singer from top North Korea family
 

1/9/2022 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Sun, 01/09/2022 - 12:30pm

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. Guest Post: Dr. Frank Hoffman on “Conceptualizing Integrated Deterrence”
2. U.S. Details Costs of a Russian Invasion of Ukraine
3. Disruption, Dismay, Dissent: Americans Grapple With Omicron’s Rise
4. Left Out of High-Level Talks, Ukraine Tries Other Diplomatic Channels
5. Opinion | U.S. experts offer a sensible strategy for living with covid. Biden should listen.
6. Opinion: It’s time to let go of the culture war over the virus and stand up for normalcy
7. Iran Navy Port Emerges as Key to Alleged Weapons Smuggling to Yemen, U.N. Report Says
8. A Look at Putin Through the Soviet Lens
9. Cyber Command announces partnership with 84 universities
10. Russian troops deploy to Mali’s Timbuktu after French exit
11. Japan PM says U.S. military bases to impose tighter COVID-19 controls
12. 20 Years of US Torture – and Counting
13. Army Testing Drones for Medical Logistics
14. Opinion | The West has enabled Putin long enough. It is time to stop.
15. Analysis | What Putin wants in Ukraine
16. Common Office Desk Phone Could Be Leaking Info to Chinese Government, Report Alleges
17. Six Things Veterans Can Do to Strengthen Our Democracy
18. Eisenhower’s Cagey Counsel on Waging War Still Works
19. Iran sanctions 51 Americans for 2020 Soleimani killing
20. Opinion | Biden’s biggest worry: Can democracy prove it is worth saving?
21.  The Power of Reclaiming My Asian Name
 

Korean News Content:

1. 'Favorable environment set for end-of-war declaration'
2. UN Security Council expected to meet Monday on NK’s missile launch
3. In highly vaccinated Korea, mandates are fueling a backlash
4. No first use for all
5.  USFK imposes tougher social distancing amid virus resurgence
6. S. Korea's kimchi exports hit new high in 2021
7. U.S., Japan to vow joint response to ultra-supersonic missiles
8. Some escapees pay bribes, cross rivers, risk lives to return to Kim Jong Un's North Korea
9. U.S. court seizes $2.4M in North Korea case
10. The bald facts (South Korea election issue)
11. Leading U.S. and Multinational Forces in South Korea and the Management of Competing Interests
12. Considering Human Rights in Aid to North Korea: A Rights-based Approach for the United Nations
 

1/8/2022 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Sat, 01/08/2022 - 11:49am

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. The Kazakhstan Crisis: A View From Kyrgyzstan
2. Free-rider on the storm: How Russia makes use of crises in its regional environment
3. Rare Earths: Fighting for the Fuel of the Future
4. National Defense Authorization Act Seeks To Better Leverage Commercial Technology
5. Belt & Road encircles Latin America and the Caribbean
6. Air Force accused of pushing woman through elite commando training after she quit, spurring investigation
7. Joint Statement of the U.S.-Japan Security Consultative Committee ("2+2")
8. Shared Challenges, Strengthening Alliance at Center of U.S.-Japan Defense Meeting
9. Over-the-Horizon Is Far Below Standard
10. America’s COVID Rules Are a Dumpster Fire
11. The Biggest Threat to America Now Isn’t a Coup
12. COVID School Policies Made Me Sour on the Democratic Party
13. Terror Threat in Asian Countries Declined in 2021, Singapore Think-Tank Reports
14. QAnon networks are evading Twitter's crackdown on disinformation to pump out pro-Capitol-riot propaganda, study says
15. Keeping the Generals Out of the Afghanistan Investigation Is a Great Idea
16. US, NATO rule out halt to expansion, reject Russian demands
17. Online Warriors Are a Risky but Useful Tool for Beijing
18. VOA Exclusive: Ukraine Accuses Iran of Premeditated Terrorist Act in 2020 Plane Shootdown
19. Military Spying Controversies Return to Deeply-Rooted Issues (Taiwan)
20. In Kazakhstan, Russia follows a playbook it developed in Ukraine
21. Private efforts to get vulnerable people out of Afghanistan running on fumes
22. The Oath of Office and the Insurrection
 

Korean News Content:

1.  Another North Korean “Hypersonic” Missile?
2. [Washington Talk] "North Korea launches 'ballistic missile'... U.S. 'Security Council meeting' convened
3. How North Korea graduated from Russian Scud-B to hypersonic missiles
4. ONN Brief: Analysis on the 5 January 2022 Hypersonic Missile Test of the DPRK
5. A South Korean village is protesting U.S. plans for THAAD missile defense upgrades
6. What do we know about North Korea's missiles?
7. Thousands of North Koreans gather for huge pro-military rally
8. Sinpo-class Submarine Damaged During October 19 Test Launch
9. Beijing Winter Olympics: China ‘fully understands’ why North Korea will stay away
10. North Korea’s Strict COVID-19 Policies Undermine Kim Jong Un’s Goal of Ending Hunger
11. Why we keep getting North Korea wrong
12. Hair loss emerges as new election issue in South Korea
 

1/7/2022 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Fri, 01/07/2022 - 9:05am

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. Kazakh leader ordered use of lethal force on 'terrorists'
2. White House Nominates Airborne Officer to Lead Central Command
3. Opinion | Biden’s efforts to build alliances against China are bearing fruit
4. Japan, Australia ink deal to make military drills run more smoothly
5. Iran wrestling chief, US green card holder, calls for a violent ‘Death to America’
6. New Albanian HQ to serve as hub for US special operations in Balkans
7. In a tense corner of Europe, SEALs and Green Berets are helping a close ally up its skills with old US gear
8. A World of Mounting Disarray | by Richard Haass
9. Reestablish the U.S. Military Assistance Advisory Group-Taiwan
10. What Is Russia’s Logic for the Current Crisis?
11. Civil Affairs in the High North: How SOCOM's Governance Specialists Can Become Arctic-Capable
12. (Philippine) Army Special Forces launch ‘fighters to farmers’ program in Sulu
13. Philippine Military Kills Communist Guerrilla Leader in Mindanao
14. Veteran U.S., Russia diplomats to tackle Ukraine tensions in Geneva
15. Cyber Command Task Force Conducted Its First Offensive Operation As The Secretary Of Defense Watched
16. Introducing the Competition in Cyberspace Project
17. A year after Jan. 6, DoD’s vague extremism definition could set up new problems
18. Biden’s Moment of Truth in Iran
19. Fact check: How we know the 2020 election results were legitimate, not 'rigged' as Donald Trump claims
 

Korean News Content:

1. S. Korea calls N.K. claim of hypersonic missile launch 'exaggerated'
2. N. Korea says it's not joining Beijing Olympics due to 'hostile forces,' pandemic
3. Banned from the Olympics by IOC, NKorea puts blame elsewhere
4. S. Korea disputes North's claim of hypersonic missile test
5. Moon orders helpless ‘peace’ on the day of N. Korea’s provocation
6. Supersonic missile launch: South Korea, US need new strategy to deter North Korea
7. Discharged North Korean soldiers deployed for rural farm labor
8. <Inside N. Korea> Growing Radicalization of People's Control (3): 14 Year-Old Junior High School Students Taken Out of Class in Handcuffs for Watching a Foreign Film
9. N. Korea’s Central Committee: From Jan. 11, only those who fulfilled “manure quota” will be allowed into markets
10. US experts see little or no chance of US-North Korea dialogue in 2022
11. North Hamgyong Province authorities shut down some facilities for suspected COVID-19 cases
12. [Paek Tae-youl] A view on the end-of-war declaration on Korean Peninsula
13. Why the Status Quo with North Korea Is So Hard to Change
14. N. Korean nuclear, missile programs pose 'ongoing' threat: Blinken
 

1/6/2022 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Thu, 01/06/2022 - 9:31am

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. Australia, Japan sign defense pact as China concerns loom
2. Taiwan and Six Potential New Year’s Resolutions for the U.S.-Japanese Alliance
3.  Deeper Australia–Japan defence ties send strong message to China
4. US-China relations to settle into zone of 'mutually tolerable friction' in 2022: Forum
5. Sweden Launches Psychological Defense Agency To Counter Disinformation
6. US military presence abroad faces more opposition in 2022
7. The Danger Of Technological Surprise: Expect The Unexpected Or Suffer The Consequences
8. Irregular Warfare Initiative Monthly Newsletter
9. The Military’s New Challenge: Defeating Cheap Hobbyist Drones
10. U.S. adversaries are becoming South American conquistadores
1​1. ​North Korea restricts its people’s movement even further in 2022
12. If China is a developing country, a dragon is a dragonfly waiting to grow wings
​13. ​Hard power and conventional deterrence still matter, just ask Putin
14. Taiwan Troops Simulate Urban Warfare With China
15. 20,000 Afghan commandos left behind, lawmakers and veterans urge Biden to rescue them
16. Controversial Chinese Tech Billionaire Gives Millions to Elite American Universities
17. FDD | China’s Sharp Economic Slowdown Threatens to Constrain Xi in 2022
18. Maricopa Co. releases new report on 2020 election, deems many claims misleading; here's what you need to know
19. The Value of a Well-Placed Spy in Moscow
20. Panel: New National Defense Strategy Needs More Substance, Clear Goals
21. The Capitol Riot: A Chronology (GWU National Security Archive)

Korean News Content:

1. North Korea's Ballistic Missile Test: A 6 Step Strategy to Respond
2. Hypersonic Missile Newly Developed by Academy of Defence Science Test-Fired
3. North Korean hypersonic missile hit target in test firing, says state media
4. U.S. condemns N. Korean missile launch, reaffirms commitment to dialogue
5. North Korea Claims It Successfully Tested A New 'Hypersonic Gliding Warhead'
6. North Korea in 2022: What a Former CIA Expert Thinks Kim Jong-un Will Do Next
7. Moon Jae-In's Quest for a North Korea Legacy: Will He Succeed?
8. Seoul urges N. Korea to respond to calls for dialogue following projectile launch
9. U.S. Senate voices opposition to end-of-war declaration
10. U.S. takes any new capability of N. Korea seriously: State Dept.
11. Lots of Manure Sent to Countryside in DPRK
12. Gov't to launch new team to support vulnerable N. Korean defectors
13. ‘Not a surprise’: US military COVID-19 cases set pandemic record in South Korea
14. [INTERVIEW] US humanitarian worker in Seoul helps rescue N. Koreans from human trafficking
15.  Balancing act between China-US not in Korea’s interest: Victor Cha
16. N. Korean man redefected unnoticed although military cameras spotted him 5 times
17. To Reach South Korea, He Risked His Life. To Leave It, He Did It Again.
18. South Korea Has Quietly Taken Sides in the U.S.-China Rivalry
19. Total failure caused by ‘wellbeing security’