Small Wars Journal

The War Yet to Come: A Review of Broken Bodies, Shattered Minds

Fri, 06/24/2011 - 2:07pm
The War Yet to Come: A Review of Broken Bodies, Shattered Minds

by Matt Gallagher

In light of President Obama's recent drawdown announcement, the trajectory of the Afghanistan War isn't quite so hazy anymore. "The beginning of the end," wrote one Afghanistan vet on Facebook. With Osama bin Laden dead and this plan in place, the natural inclination for American society will be to move on and narrow our concern to domestic issues, which historically tends to occur in postwar periods. That can't happen, as Dr. Ronald Glasser makes clear in his book, Broken Bodies, Shattered Minds. Glasser, the author of the acclaimed Vietnam account 365 Days and a former Army surgeon, explores the evolution of battlefield injuries and treatment from that war to now, and puts into perspective the hidden costs of lifetime care our nation will be paying for decades to come. With a new surge of veterans due to return from combat, it's all too evident that the war on the homefront is just beginning.

If one were just to glance at the death totals, the Iraq and Afghanistan Wars wouldn't seem like a big deal, at least when compared to the great force-on-force battles of the 20th century. But, Glasser argues, "We have been lulled by our own successes in simply keeping our troops alive -- as if death is the only measure of risks on the battlefield -- into a strange kind of reverie." Over 11,000 American service members have been wounded in the decade-long war in Afghanistan, with well over 32,000 wounded in Iraq. Due to incredible medical advances made in recent years, men and women are surviving who wouldn't have only a few years ago, though full recoveries remain rare and usually unlikely. This fact, combined with the guerilla nature of these wars, has led to an influx of multiple amputees, severe burn survivors, and, most abundantly, brain injuries that are largely invisible but forever life-altering.

The literary muscle Glasser flexed in 365 Days isn't as prevalent in the more didactic Broken Bodies, Shattered Minds, but it still does emerge in the text, particularly in wounded soldiers' and Marines' anecdotes of their time on the frontlines. A young Marine named Jake "heard an officer comment one evening that this fight was not about the Taliban, nationalism, or terrorism, but what he called 'valleyism.' " And later: "He sent home a package of pictures that had been taken during his promotion [at Camp Leatherneck] ... When his mother opened the envelope, the gritty dirt and dust of Afghanistan fell through her fingers onto the kitchen table. She stared at the small mound of grayish sand and started to cry."

Yet it's more the doctor in Glasser, and less the writer, that howls with frustration at "a military, rather than a country, at war." From analyzing the staggering rate of Traumatic brain injuries (TBIs) incurred in the Global War Terror (approximately 300,000), to expounding on the delayed effects of Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD), it is with a surgeon's precision that Glasser thoroughly and efficiently dissects the ramifications of these brushfire wars. Further, when attempting to wrestle with the suicide epidemic currently plaguing the military community -- some estimates suggest that more active-duty personnel and veterans have committed suicide post-deployment than those actually killed in combat -- he cites an overwhelmed Veterans Health Administration light on medical personnel but heavy on prescription drugs, and an unprecedented sense of isolation for this generation of returning vets. An unintended byproduct of a warrior caste separate and distinct from greater society, the all-volunteer force may have yielded a more professional military, but it has had a far more harmful impact on the individual veteran. Serving as part of the "one percent of war fighters" may be attractive during a recruiter's pitch, but after the fact seems to be a different story.

As gloomy a forecast as Broken Bodies, Shattered Minds predicts, it's also something of a harbinger. The American military always downsizes after wars. Accordingly, the care for current Iraq and Afghanistan veterans is nothing more than the figurative tip of the iceberg; multiple-deployment personnel have simply been too busy up until now to seek out physical and mental health treatment. That will change in the near future. These vets will be returning home to a country tired of the wars but generally limited in its understanding of them. Glasser's nuanced comprehension of wartime and post-wartime medical care gives this book true immediacy. His chilling words of wisdom demand to be read by anyone who believes a nation's true worth is measured by how it cares for its combat veterans.

Matt Gallagher is the senior writing manager of the nonprofit organization Iraq and Afghanistan Veterans of America, and spent 15 months in Iraq with the U.S. Army as an armored cavalry officer. He is the author of the war memoir Kaboom.

Washington Losing Patience with Counterinsurgency in Afghanistan

Fri, 06/24/2011 - 12:11pm
Washington Losing Patience with Counterinsurgency in Afghanistan

by Michael Hirsh and Jamie Tarabay

The National Journal

Download the Full Article: Washington Losing Patience with Counterinsurgency in Afghanistan

John Nagl is the kind of guy who brings to mind F. Scott Fitzgerald's wicked line in The Great Gatsby about people who succeed at such an early age that "everything afterward savors of anticlimax." A star at West Point and a Rhodes scholar, the native Nebraskan was only 37 when he landed on the cover of The New York Times Magazine in January 2004. In that article, Nagl offered an inside-the-Sunni-Triangle tutorial on what he came to call "graduate-level war." Nagl's mantra: "We have to outthink the enemy, not just outfight him." In an era when small but wily bands of nonuniformed insurgents could stymie America's mighty military machine with stealthy guerrilla attacks and roadside bombs planted in the night, the U.S. had to figure out how to hunt down the bad guys and cut off their support from the local population. Nagl, after studying the British and French colonial experience, as well as America's handling of the Vietnam War, helped to develop what has since become famous as U.S. "counterinsurgency doctrine," or COIN. As his celebrity grew, Nagl proselytized about it everywhere, even on The Daily Show With Jon Stewart.

By the late 2000s, the precocious Army major had become part of a brain trust around America's uber-general, David Petraeus, the commander who implemented the Iraq troop surge. Commissioned by Petraeus, Nagl helped to author the official counterinsurgency manual that has since reoriented American military doctrine, shifting the center of gravity from rough-and-ready conventional war fighters to cerebral specialists in irregular warfare and targeted response. After retiring from the Army as a lieutenant colonel in early 2008—even though he seemed to be on the fast track to four-star fame—Nagl took over a little-known think tank, the Center for a New American Security, and turned it into what journalist Tara McKelvey called "counterinsurgency central in Washington."

Download the Full Article: Washington Losing Patience with Counterinsurgency in Afghanistan

Rethinking Civilian Assistance in Afghanistan

Fri, 06/24/2011 - 11:59am
Rethinking Civilian Assistance in Afghanistan, New York Times op-ed by Desaix Myers. BLUF: "The job of helping Afghans build a state with functioning public services and institutions answering to an engaged civil society is plenty hard. Pumping vast amounts of money quickly - $4 billion this year - through a corrupt and fragile government doesn't make it easier. Nor do Washington's expectations, micromanagement and sense of urgency." Desaix Myers is a professor of national security studies at the National War College in Washington.

The Social Battlespace of Stabilization Operations: Action Amongst the People

Fri, 06/24/2011 - 10:02am
The Social Battlespace of Stabilization Operations: Action Amongst the People

by Major (GS) Teemu Nurmela

Finnish Army

Download the Entire Thesis: The Social Battlespace of Stabilization Operations

Traditional Finnish "blue helmet" missions have been undertaken in situations where the parties have already consented to building peace. After the so-call revolution of UN peacekeeping, this kind of consent has been hard to find. The Finnish military terminology has shifted accordingly from peacekeeping (PK) to peace support operations (PSO) and military crisis management (sotilaallinen krusinhallinta). The terms "stabilization operations" or "stability operations" are not used in official texts to describe a certain phase or type of operations. Yet under the UN Chapter VII mandate, such operations have been common since IFOR in 1995. Finland has chosen not to take part in actual warfighting, but rather to contribute follow-on forces to the land component. Operations such as IFOR, SFOR, KFOR and recently ISAF have profoundly changed our operational environment. No longer is there a strong emphasis on post-conflict normalization. A recognized need for earlier action mandates a change in our approach.

This thesis will show the complexity of the tactical level when undertaking stability operations. A military intervention is often a robust and violent event whose legal framework is based on the law of armed conflict. When the campaign finally reaches the point of normalization, the juridical base must shift its basis to the rule of law. Stabilization, which lies between the the two ends of the spectrum, does not neatly fall within one judicial model or the other. We may call this grey area between warfighting and peacekeeping peace support, nation building or counterinsurgency, but these terms will remain hollow. Such terms quickly lose their meaning especially for those deployed on the ground. Thus, the operational reality consists of concrete aspects such as the mandate, the mission, memorandums of understanding (MOU), the status of forces agreement (SOFA), and the rules of engagement (ROE). The tactical reality, however, incorporates varying levels of intensity and a multitude of actors and contexts. To visualize all this, the reader must have a working knowledge of how things really work during operations. Therefore, it is important to note that this paper is written for the experienced audience.

Download the Entire Thesis: The Social Battlespace of Stabilization Operations

Major Teemu Nurmela is a Finnish officer currently serving at the J5 Plans & Policy Division, Finnish Defence Command in Helsinki. After graduating from the Finnish Military Academy in 1996, he served in light infantry and field HUMINT assignments including tours in Kosovo and Bosnia. He was certified as a general staff officer in 2009 after studying at the Finnish National Defence University and at the French Joint Staff College (CID).

24 June SWJ Roundup

Fri, 06/24/2011 - 5:23am
***Keep the Roundup (the Journal, the Blog and the Council) Going AND Get a Nifty Coin to Boot***

Afghanistan

Obama Refocuses the Mission with Drawdown - S&S

Withdrawal Timeline Raises Questions of Election Politics - S&S

Obama: US Will Not Abandon Afghanistan Despite Troop Cuts - VOA

Obama's Troop Move a Calculated Risk - LAT

Civilian Surge Peaks as Pentagon Begins Pullback - CSM

Americans React to President's Plans for Afghanistan - VOA

Clinton Defends Obama's 'Tough Call' on Afghan Troop Levels - VOA

Clinton: U.S. Employs Three-Part Plan in Afghanistan - AFPS

Flournoy: Afghanistan Drawdown Matches Strategy - AFPS

Mullen, Petraeus Back Drawdown Plan, Acknowledge Risks - WP

Afghan Drawdown Poses Risk, US Military Warns - Reuters

Mullen Backs Afghan Pullout Plan but Calls It Riskier - NYT

Mullen Sees Risk in Obama's Afghanistan Withdrawal - AP

Afghanistan Drawdown Risky, US Joint Chiefs Head Says - BBC

Mullen Endorses Afghanistan Drawdown Plan - AFPS

Petraeus: Drawdown 'More Aggressive' than Military Leaders Wanted - VOA

Petraeus Supports Obama's Decison on Afghanistan - VOA

Reaction Mixed in London to US Plans for Afghanistan - VOA

Europeans Hail US Drawdown from Afghanistan - AP

Britain, Germany, France All Plan Afghan Troop Withdrawals - VOA

France Plans Reduction of Its Afghan Troops - NYT

France Follows US in Troop Withdrawal - BBC

Pakistan, India Assess US Withdrawal Plans - LAT

Afghans Have Mixed Feelings About US Troop Withdrawal - WP

Karzai Welcomes Withdrawal, but Many Afghans Are Wary - NYT

Afghans Fear Drawdown will Allow Taliban to Regroup - LAT

Karzai: Afghan Youth Must Lead After US Troops Leave - VOA

Karzai Surrounding Himself With Anti-US Advisers - AP

The Limits of Targeting Taliban Leaders - CSM

Afghan Court Ruling Seeks to Alter Election Results - NYT

ISAF Operations Roundup - AFPS

Obama's Failed State - WT editorial

America Turns Away From the World - OC opinion

Military Leaders Know Obama's Decision is a Disaster - WP opinion

A Pivot Point in Afghanistan - LAT opinion

Pakistan

Seized Phone Offers Clues to Bin Laden's Pakistani Links - NYT

Phone Gives Clues to Bin Laden's Pakistan Links - Reuters

Majors Quizzed Over 'Links With Extremists' - BBC

Clinton Warns Pakistan on US Military Aid - Reuters

In Pakistan, Pro-American Sentiment is Rare - WP

With Afghan Withdrawal, US Focus Turns to Pakistan - AP

Senators Grill Clinton on Pakistan Inconstancy - WT

Senators Wary of Pakistan's Role in Afghan Terror Strategy - WT

Syria

Syria's Ailing Economy Poses a Threat to Assad - NYT

Syrian Military Advance Forces Hundreds More into Turkey - VOA

Syrian Troops Said to Mass on Border with Turkey - LAT

Refugees Flee Border Camps as Troops Deploy - BBC

Syrian Troops Storm Town on Turkish Border - NYT

Syrian Troops Push to Turkey Border, Villagers Run - AP

US Concerned at Syria Border Moves, Fears Escalation - Reuters

Syria: Dying Illusions and a Slow-burning Fuse - AP

In Syria, Assad Must Go - LAT editorial

Libya

NATO Chief Says Alliance Will Finish Job in Libya - Reuters

Libyan Rebels Defend NATO After Errant Strikes - VOA

ICC Sets Date for Gaddafi Arrest Warrant Ruling - BBC

Cries of Support at Pro-Gadhafi Rally in Tripoli - AP

Leading Defector Predicts Gaddafi Will Quit Libya - Reuters

Libya's Money for Libyans - LAT opinion

Yemen

US Says All in Yemen Struggle Worry About al-Qaida - AP

Yemeni President Not Returning Home Soon - Reuters

President Saleh 'was Injured by Palace Bomb' - BBC

Israel / Palestinians

Palestinians Mull Options in Asking UN for Recognition - VOA

Palestinians: Talks With Israel Won't Stop UN Bid - AP

Palestinians Ready to Ease Demands - AP

Gilad Shalit: Red Cross Demands Proof Israeli is Alive - BBC

Hamas Refuses Plea to Prove Israeli Is Alive - NYT

Iraq

3 Bombs in Baghdad Market Kill More than 20 - WP

At Least 40 Iraqis Killed in Blasts in Baghdad - LAT

Blasts Rip Through Western Baghdad, Killing 40 - AP

Many Killed in Triple Blasts in South Baghdad - BBC

Iraq Struggles to Boost Oil Production - WP

Trying to Find Beauty in the Darkness of Iraq - LAT

Iran

Iran Insists Nuclear Bomb Not on Agenda - VOA

Ahmadinejad Ally Resigns Under Pressure from Hard-liners - LAT

Iran Rift Deepens With Arrest of President's Ally - NYT

Member of Ahmadinejad Circle Arrested - WP

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Ally Malekzadeh 'Arrested' - BBC

Iran is Target of New US Sanctions - WP

US Sanctions Iranian Port Operator, Airline - Reuters

US Imposes Economic Sanctions on Iran Air - BBC

Middle East / North Africa

Turkey is Shaping the 'Arab Spring' - WT

UN Chief to Bahrain: Reconsider Harsh Sentences - AP

UN Chief Alarmed by Bahrain Opposition Sentences - Reuters

Egypt's Would-be President Faces Tough Balancing Act - LAT

Amnesty Head Says Egypt Needs More Than Fair Vote - Reuters

US Department of Defense

Gates Thanks Troops, Bids Farewell - AFPS

Gates Faced Tests in Iraq, Afghanistan - AFPS

The Secretary's Unfinished Business - AFPS

Gates Details Efforts to Change Pentagon Culture - AFPS

New Prosecutor Chosen for Gitmo Military Tribunals - AP

United States

The Afghan War and America's Innovation Future - WP

Senate Offers Revised Rules for Suspects of Terrorism - NYT

Petraeus Suggests Interrogation Policy for Emergencies - LAT

Petraeus Says He'll Leave Army Behind as CIA Chief - AP

Marine Reservist Charged in D.C.-area Military Shootings - WP

Pair Accused of Plotting Seattle Attack - LAT

Veteran of Iraq War Now Fights His Own Deportation - NYT

Long Elusive, Mob Legend Ended Up a Recluse - NYT

Boston Mob Boss Hiding in Plain Sight - AP

Who Takes Us to War? - WP opinon

International Energy Agency

IEA: Countries to Release 60M Barrels of Oil - AP

Oil Price Drops on Reserve Sale - BBC

Oil Tumbles on Plan to Release Int'l Reserves - AP

World

'New Drugs' Offset Cocaine and Heroin Gains, Says UN - BBC

G-20 Agree on Steps to Stabilize Food Prices and Supplies - NYT

Africa

First Lady Focuses on Women in South Africa - NYT

Sudan's Abyei: US Proposes UN Peacekeeper Force - BBC

Sudan: 4,200 Ethiopian Troops Proposed for Abyei - AP

General Says Mugabe Rival Is a Threat to Zimbabwe - NYT

Senegal Riots Prompt Wade U-turn - BBC

After Protests, Senegal's President Backs Off Election Change - NYT

Ivory Coast: Gbagbo, Ouattara Forces Engaged in War Crimes - Reuters

Ivory Coast Ouattara Troops Kill 8, Some Executed - Reuters

Americas

Central America Struggles with Drugs - WP

Mexico Arrest May do Little to Change the Cartel Equation - LAT

Mexico President Defends Attack on Organized Crime - AP

Mexican President Apologizes to Drug War Victims - Reuters

US AK-47s Linked to Mexican Attorney's Slaying - LAT

Mexico Urges Inquiry as US Agent Shoots Man on Border - BBC

UN: Colombia Coca Production Declined - LAT

Brazil: Eight 'Drug Dealers' Die in Rio Raid - BBC

Venezuela: Chávez's Cuba Visit Stirs a Debate at Home - NYT

Jailed American Awaits Cuban Court Decision - Reuters

Asia Pacific

Chinese Warships Cross High Seas Off Okinawa - AP

Angry Okinawa Leaders Question PM About Futenma - S&S

China Urges Freed Artist to Abide By Bail Release Terms - VOA

Ai Weiwei 'Cannot Leave Beijing' - BBC

Now Free, a Chinese Dissident Muzzles Himself - NYT

China's Communist Party Members Exceed 80 Million - AP

New China-Vatican Row Brewing Over Bishops - AP

US 'Worried over Thai Succession' - BBC

Key Trial of Khmer Rouge Leaders Starts in Cambodia - VOA

Philippines and Japan Want US Help - WP opinion

Europe

EU Ties Fray over Debt Crisis, Border Control - LAT

EU Eases Greek Access to EU Development Funds - AP

Dutch Anti-Islam Lawmaker Acquitted of Hate Speech - AP

Turkey's Kurds Threaten to Boycott Parliament - Reuters

South Asia

India Starts to Slow Down - WP

Indian and Pakistani Diplomats Hold key Islamabad Talks - BBC

No Information for Relatives on Sri Lanka Missing - BBC

NIE Sneak Preview: Afghan War Campaign Gets Mixed Reviews

Thu, 06/23/2011 - 6:08pm
Afghan War Campaign Gets Mixed Reviews by Kimberly Dozier, Associated Press. BLUF: "Three U.S. officials who have seen the report [Afghanistan National Intelligence Estimate] say it concludes that special operations raids and special operations-led outreach to Afghan villages are getting results but that larger-scale military efforts to help build a credible Afghan government have produced little change."

This Week at War: End of the COIN Era?

Thu, 06/23/2011 - 2:30pm
Obama's Afghan withdrawal speech may mark the end of the U.S. counterinsurgency experiment.

Here is the latest edition of my column at Foreign Policy:

Topics include:

1) By tossing the COIN to Afghanistan, Obama can now aim at Pakistan

2) Are the Pentagon's plans about to become obsolete?

By tossing the COIN to Afghanistan, Obama can now aim at Pakistan

President Barack Obama's prime-time speech on his plan for withdrawing from Afghanistan left no doubt that he intends to run for reelection as the leader who ended two painful wars. Most notable was his intention to extract 10,000 soldiers this year and 23,000 more by next summer, before the height of Afghanistan's traditional summer fighting season. For some analysts, this would seem to be a large military risk, taken for purely domestic political benefit.

Obama may have concluded that conventional U.S. ground forces in Afghanistan no longer provide much leverage over the military or political situation there. Obama realizes that the Taliban have established safe havens in both Afghanistan and Pakistan where they can wait as long as they need to. With those safe havens, he likely realizes that the coalition cannot obtain sufficient advantage over the Taliban to achieve a favorable negotiated settlement. Nor can anyone be sure how permanent the apparent progress in stabilizing southern Afghanistan really is.

The real permanent leverage over the Taliban comes in two forms. The first is Afghanistan's security forces, both the government's and local militias, which will presumably operate long after coalition soldiers have left the field. A favorable outcome ultimately rests not with U.S. combat patrols but with the long-term effectiveness of Afghan security forces, something which remains very much in doubt. For those officers responsible for U.S. military doctrine, Obama's speech would seem to bring to a close another unhappy encounter with counterinsurgency (COIN) theory. But true COIN -- winning over the population through security and better governance -- is not done by an outside intervening power like the United States, but by the host country itself. Although Afghanistan provides particularly poor raw material for U.S. COIN doctrine, U.S. military planners still need to solve the COIN puzzle for future contingencies, at a much lower cost than the United States paid in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Second, if Obama's drawdown decision implies giving up on leverage inside Afghanistan, it also provides him an opportunity to increase his leverage over Pakistan and by extension the Taliban and al Qaeda elements residing there. Obama specifically mentioned safe havens in Pakistan declaring, "that so long as I am president, the United States will never tolerate a safe haven for those who aim to kill us." This was a warning to Pakistan that if its leaders won't do something about the safe havens, he will. But Obama's leverage is minimal as long as he must supply a large coalition army in Afghanistan through Pakistan. Reducing the military presence in Afghanistan reduces dependence on Pakistan and increases Obama's leverage over Islamabad. Obama could then translate that leverage into more military strikes against Taliban and al Qaeda safe havens, actions which may do more for Afghan security than the coalition forces presently there.

The killing of Osama bin Laden provided Obama an opportunity to justify a quicker disengagement from Afghanistan. On this, it seems, he will get few arguments from either his prospective Republican challengers or the U.S. electorate. Pakistan by contrast will not welcome these changes as it loses its leverage over the United States and risks becoming even more of a target for U.S. raids. Finally, U.S. military planners will have to retreat to their offices to rethink their doctrines for stability operations. The American public and its political leaders did not have the patience for stabilization plans that required open-ended deployments of large armies. These planners will need to come up with a new approach.

Are the Pentagon's plans about to become obsolete?

In a recent column I discussed how the U.S. military -- masters of high-tech precision-strike warfare -- should prepare to taste that bitter medicine, which could be delivered by all manner of adversaries, who could soon possess their own precision weapons. U.S. military planners could soon come up against the same "revolution in military affairs" they created and that, during the struggles against low-tech insurgents in Iraq and Afghanistan, has gone out of fashion among U.S. defense thinkers.

In March, the Rand Corp. released an even darker analysis of the future for U.S. military plans. "Looming Discontinuities in U.S. Military Strategy and Defense Planning" describes a disturbing convergence of several adverse trends that the authors believe could result in the sudden obsolescence of long-accepted U.S. military strategies, operating concepts, and forces.

The first of these trends is the imminent arrival of inexpensive yet sophisticated precision weapons in the hands of states and nonstate actors. Similar to the argument in my previous column, the proliferation of these weapons -- such as precision ground attack missiles, portable anti-aircraft missiles, cyber weapons, and anti-ship missiles and torpedoes -- will threaten the ability of the United States to do basic tasks it has long taken for granted such as flying troops from one forward base to another or shipping supplies into a war zone.

Next, Rand describes how access to cheap but effective missiles and other military technology is particularly threatening to long-established U.S. military doctrines and force structure. U.S. operating concepts emphasize both the deployment of forces at forward bases and the projection of military power into conflict areas. Over the decades, the Pentagon has spent trillions of dollars on warships, aircraft, soldiers, and other equipment to implement its power-projection war plans, many of which are designed to support diplomatic strategies and reassure allies. Yet the emerging weapons technologies described above will favor those defending against power projection and thus threaten the huge military investments made by the United States.

Meanwhile, as planners try to grapple with the implications of these challenges, ongoing counterinsurgency, stabilization, and counterterrorism missions will continue to occupy both the attention and resources of the government and will likely add to the confusion over how the Pentagon should plan for the future.

The Rand report lists some specific tasks U.S. military forces should be able to accomplish in order to prepare for this more challenging future, many of which are beyond current capabilities. Forward-deployed forces should be able to shoot down incoming guided missiles and mortar shells. By contrast, U.S. forces should be able to overcome enemy air and missile defenses. The United States should have long-range aircraft able to search for long periods over defended airspace and then strike targets of opportunity, such as mobile missile launchers or deeply buried bunkers. U.S. naval forces should be able to establish survivable operating bases at sea. And smaller, more efficient teams of U.S. ground forces should be able to dominate adversaries who are embedded within noncombatant populations.

Finally, the report discusses what may be the biggest threat to the Pentagon -- its institutional barriers to reform. Rand discusses "the innovator's dilemma," a common problem across private and public enterprises. It is institutionally difficult for long-established enterprises to heavily invest in technologies and doctrines that could threaten the existing order. There will always be a reluctance by established actors to transform until the need is plainly obvious. But with long lead times for new systems and doctrines, waiting so late could be disastrous. Meanwhile, upcoming rivals, perhaps lacking well-established players, are frequently more nimble and open to innovation.

Rand concluded with a plea for the Pentagon to develop a vigorous experimentation program. The U.S. Joint Forces Command, a center for experimentation, was recently closed in a cost-cutting move. Who in the Pentagon will now advocate for experimentation and innovation remains to be seen.

Thoughts on Stanton S. Coerr's "Ten Years Gone."

Thu, 06/23/2011 - 8:38am
Thoughts on Stanton S. Coerr, "Ten Years Gone." by TOWNIE 76 at OPFOR. Commentary on SWJ article Ten Years Gone by Stanton Coerr. BLUF: "Unfortunately for the United States and in particular the military, we wish to do everything in a big way. We have approached transforming Iraq and Afghanistan in the same way. We have failed to take into account their history and culture as we have guided them in shaping their government but more importantly their military."

Counterinsurgency: One Elder at a Time

Thu, 06/23/2011 - 8:36am
Counterinsurgency: One Elder at a Time

by Jarrin Jackson

I visited a small, isolated Afghan village near the Pakistan border in early 2011. My mission was to gather information, identify concerns, and help in any way I could.

On this brisk morning, I walked up to a mosque and asked to speak with the most influential person in the village. Minutes passed and I began to think I had been ignored. Then I saw a feeble, white-bearded old man. His back was curved and he used a tree branch as a cane. He was slowly making his way toward me, every bump in the ground seeming to pose a new challenge for him.

We exchanged the customary Islamic greeting—salaam alekum followed by wa alekum asalaam—and found a place to sit. He offered me chai for which I politely thanked him but refused. Untreated water in Afghanistan does not sit well with my stomach.

For the past 10 months I had patrolled the area and met plenty of Afghans. I learned how to meet locals, gain their trust, and promote the Afghan Government's values. But this encounter was different.

The old man spoke before I did, which was unusual. He began by saying that he was about to die and that he suspected it would happen very soon. He did not fear death, but he did fear his death's impact on the village. He said that although he was the elder there, the village did not have a successor. His people would have no leader when he died, a fact no one but him seemed to care about.

The old man told of how villages without quality leaders routinely became prey to insurgents in the area. He said the strength of a village is its cohesion, and an elder ensures this cohesion through strong leadership. He described how insurgents intimidated his community with violence; how they had recently left to openly rot the corpses of three of his villagers they had killed as powerful reminders not to oppose the insurgency. Insurgents forced young men to plant roadside bombs against Coalition Forces. The violence caused frightened villagers to stash illegal weapons in their homes. Fear prevented honest communication between local Afghans and those trying to help them. A powerful combination of coercion, violence, and fear drove a wedge between the people and Coalition Forces.

Though he clearly assessed the problems and their significance, the elder spoke of no efforts he had ever made to help the situation. He offered me no suggestions. He admitted he did not know what to do and he felt helpless. Hopeless. And then he just sat there, looking at me, waiting for me to speak.

Some wonder why we are in Afghanistan. Establishing and legitimizing a functioning government so as to defeat the insurgency sounds a little abstract, as does the Counterinsurgency (COIN) strategy for achieving it.

Perhaps this article will provide some clarity.

I was a 25-year old lieutenant in the United States Army. I grew up in a one-stoplight town in Oklahoma. I studied military history in college, graduated from the Army's best leadership schools, and trained for a year in one of the Army's most decorated battalions before receiving combat experience. All of this helped prepare me for solving problems, but nothing quite crystallized my understanding of our purpose and strategy in Afghanistan like my experience with the old man.

He was an old man, an Afghan leader, looking at death, but deeply caring for his people after he was gone. And, most significantly from the standpoint of COIN, he wanted me to help. He wanted me to teach him how to help his people, through governance and otherwise. He believed I, merely a physical representative of the Coalition Forces, could and would help. Meaning he had some measure of trust and understanding of our presence there. Meaning COIN's outreach to him was having some success.

Of course, I was not qualified to advise the old man. I needed a lifetime's worth of wisdom for that. But since I was the only one there, and he was looking at me, it became my duty to respond.

One lesson drilled into Soldiers of the United States is to never quit. If we quit, we will more likely die and fail. And failure is never an option.

Without the option to quit, the effort to succeed becomes a matter of analysis, creativity, and determination. As part of COIN, my mission was to problem-solve. That the old man's problem was awkward for me was no excuse. I am U.S. Soldier. I had to find a way to succeed.

As I saw it on that day, the main concern was not what to do with power and authority, but how to use power and authority to establish effective governance of a remote Afghan village, with a near-death elder and with ever-threatening insurgent violence. I knew I did not know the perfect answer, and the task's truncated timeline prevented me from soliciting outside help. The Afghan Soldiers with me also admitted to not knowing how to help him. My solution, therefore, came from my experience in Sabari: I asked another Afghan elder, who I knew through my several months of patrolling the area, to help solve the problem. This other elder lived in a different village 600 meters to the north. We were good friends and had a great relationship. Moreover, the old man knew the other elder very well. According to the old man, they were very good friends, but they had not seen each other in over 30 years. He explained that a combination of constant war, physical illness, and in this case, a deeply rooted feeling of isolation from the surrounding community, prevented them from speaking. I asked the old man if he respected the other elder—he did. I then described how prosperous the other elder's village was and how the other village interacted with other villages in Sabari District. The old man's eyes opened in amazement and it occurred to me that he never had the thought of asking for help from another Afghan, even if the other Afghan was a long-time friend that lived six and half football fields away!

The next step in solving the old man's dilemma was to convince him to model the success of the other village. In order to do that, the old man had to re-establish communication with the other elder, because my actions as a mouthpiece between the two men would be inefficient. I did not have the same stake as the two old men; my personal stake was high, but not as high as the old man's. He understood that personally communicating with the other elder would be more effective than using me as a conduit. Moreover, the other elder's advice superseded my own because the other elder shared similar values and had significant experience in successfully governing a prosperous Afghan village. I reasoned that the shared value system, religious belief, and knowledge of the area gave the two men critical experience that I lacked which meant my involvement only exacerbated the difficulty of the solution process.

I ended the conversation by proposing other ideas that supported the individual-driven solution process. I outlined tangible steps for the old man to take. First, I told him to start having shuras. Similar to a town hall meeting, shuras created a forum for the old man to voice his concerns. He had a cultural mandate to gather his community. I suggested he make it a weekly event. Secondly, he needed to use the shura to choose his successor. He was supposed to make it a public concern, ask for input, and make a decision. Lastly, I emphasized the importance of seeking advice from the other elder. Both men had incentives to solve the old man's dilemma. The greater community benefited from the cooperation of the two men.

The same type of insurgents that attacked the United States on 9/11 use violence to control the Afghan population today. The old man in this story grew up with war, but it was not his fault. He never had a strong benefactor to guarantee his personal liberties. He never had the opportunity to learn how to govern his community. My service in Afghanistan was necessary to defeat the insurgents. The United States' war in Afghanistan is not a misadventure that squanders treasure and needlessly sheds American blood. It is a war to quarantine extremist violence and protect the defenseless people in Afghanistan.

The old man's question took time to ask. I patrolled Sabari for ten months before the old man felt comfortable enough to trust me. He risked his life by asking me for help, which demonstrated his concern for his community over his personal well-being. American efforts are not in vain. It takes time for Counterinsurgency's gains to come to fruition. Afghans care about their peace and security. They want what is best for their children. The fulcrum for American involvement is to shape an environment that precipitates Afghan initiative.

I witnessed a dramatic improvement to security in Sabari. Villagers grew accustomed to my professionalism. They understood my intentions were to help them and improve their community. More importantly, they understood that their community improved more when they cooperated with me, which lead to situations similar to the one with the old man. I am not responsible for the improved security in Sabari. I did not solve the war in Afghanistan. I did my job. American Soldiers use the same amount of effort and creativity to produce similar results. Soldiers receive incredible training that offsets their lack of academic qualifications by giving them invaluable problem-solving skills. Their efforts are focused. They create favorable conditions conducive for Afghans to take the personal initiative to ensure their own well-being. The pieces are set, and the population is beginning to make a move.

I left Afghanistan three weeks after my conversation with the old man. I do not know if my solution helped him. After I left the old man's village, I informed the other elder of my conversation with his estranged friend—he understood. As I left the other elder's village, I noticed a slow moving figure approaching—he used a tree branch as a cane. It took thirty years to walk the length of six football fields, but the old man was there to talk.

1LT Jarrin Jackson graduated from the United States Military Academy in 2008. He served as an Infantry Platoon Leader in Khost Province in support of OEF 10-11. He will attend the Maneuver Captain's Career Course at Ft. Benning in July 2011.

23 June SWJ Roundup

Thu, 06/23/2011 - 7:33am
***Keep the Roundup (the Journal, the Blog and the Council) Going AND Get a Nifty Coin to Boot***

Afghanistan

Text of Obama's speech on Afghanistan - AP

Obama Orders Troop Cuts in Afghanistan - NYT

Obama: Time for 'Nation Building' at Home - WP

Obama: Time to Withdraw Troops - WT

Obama Calls for Faster Troop Cuts in Afghanistan - LAT

Obama: 30,000-plus Surge Troops Leaving Afghanistan - AP

Obama Orders Withdrawal of 33,000 Troops - BBC

Obama Sets Plan to Start US Exit From Afghanistan - Reuters

Obama Declares Beginning of End of Afghan War - AFP

Obama Details Plan to Withdraw US Troops from Afghanistan - CSM

Obama to Withdraw 33,000 Troops from Afghanistan by 2012 - DT

Obama Announces US Troop Withdrawals from Afghanistan - USAT

Beginning of the End of the Afghanistan War - CBS

Drawdown Troops, Step Up Diplomacy in Afghanistan - Bloomberg

Obama's Tough Balancing Act - WSJ

Obama to Send Surge Troops Home by Sept 2012 - Politico

Drawdown in Afghanistan will Shift Tactics in War - WP

2012 Troop Pullback Worries Military Experts - NYT

Strategy Changes will Test US Forces - WP

Troop Cuts Herald Shift in US Approach - AP

NATO Allies Have a Head Start on Afghan Withdrawal - NYT

NATO Welcomes Obama's Afghan Plan - AP

French Troops to Progressively Leave Afghanistan - AP

Germany Welcomes Obama's Afghan Plan - AP

PM Says Australian Troops to Stay in Afghanistan - AP

Is the Afghan Army Ready for US Withdrawal? - BBC

Fears Abound Over Toll on Afghan Economy - NYT

US Troop Cut May Also Bring Risky Cuts in Afghan Aid - Reuters

Obama's Afghanistan Drawdown Has Bipartisan Backing - USAT

As Politics of War Shift, Risks for Obama Ease - NYT

Obama Won't Use Troops to Save Afghan Hellhole (Drones, Maybe) - DR

US Lawmakers Debate Afghanistan Ahead of Obama Speech - VOA

Polls Show Americans Weary of Afghan Conflict - VOA

Petraeus to Hand Off Afghan Command Soner than Epected - S&S

Karzai: Afghan Youth to Lead as US Troops Go - AP

12 Afghan Police Killed or Injured in Taliban Attacks - VOA

Court Throws Out Afghan MPs over Alleged Fraud - AP

Afghan Court Begins Overturning Election Results - Reuters

ISAF Operations Roundup - AFPS

Canada: Military Unaware of Afghan Torture - AP

The Way Out? - NYT editorial

Obama May be Sabotaging his Own Strategy - WP editorial

Withdrawals Don't Solve Weaknesses Afghan Strategy - BG editorial

US Troop Drawdown and the Future of the Mission - Brookings opinion

Political Calculation Rather than Military Judgment - DT opinion

Strategic Drawdown or Rush for the Door? - TG opinion

Obama: The Postwar Era Begins Now - WP opinion

The Real Question: How to Achieve Afghanization - CNN opinion

Decisiveness in Obama's Afghanistan Speech - WP opinion

A Pivot Point in Afghanistan - LAT opinion

Obama's 'Mission Accomplished' - WP opinion

Pakistan

Drawing Down, With a Vigilant Eye on Pakistan - NYT

Pakistan Courts China - WP

Pakistan Pledges More than 3 Dozen CIA Visas - AP

Pakistan Army Asks 4 Officers About Extremist Ties - AP

Fears of Islamist Group Infiltrating Pakistan Army - AP

Pakistan Needs All the Help It Can Get From Militias - Reuters

The Radicalization of Pakistan's Military - WP opinion

Syria

Syrian Troops Mass Near Turkish Border - Reuters

Syria Activists: Troops Enter Village Near Border - AP

Syrian FM Says No Iranian Intervention, Blasts Europe - VOA

Syrian Foreign Minister Condemns Extended EU Sanctions - BBC

Need Overwhelms Makeshift Clinic in Syria Camp - NYT

Syria Leader's Cousin Warns of Civil, Regional War - Reuters

Libya

Possible Cracks Emerge in NATO's Libya Campaign - AP

Italy's Foreign Minister Calls for End to Hostilities in Libya - VOA

NATO Vows to Press Libya Campaign over Italian Reservations - AFP

NATO Accused of Murder by Gaddafi - BBC

China Moves Closer to Libyan Opposition - NYT

House GOP Moves Ahead with Plan for Libya Cutoff - LAT

Clinton Asks Congress, Whose Side are You On? - BBC

John McCain's Never-ending War - WP opinion

Yemen

General Says Opposition Will Be Ally Against Terrorism - NYT

Militants Break Out of Yemeni Prison - WP

'Al-Qaeda Militants' Break Out of Yemen Jail - BBC

Suspected al Qaeda Militants Escape from Yemeni Jail - CNN

Yemeni President Not Returning Home Soon - Reuters

Middle East / North Africa

US Warns Americans Against Joining Gaza Aid Flotilla - VOA

Divine Wind Blows Against Iran's President - NYT

Ahmadinejad: Iran Not Afraid to Make Nuke Weapon - AP

Bahrain Unrest: Eight Shia Activists Sentenced to Life - BBC

8 Bahrain Activists Get Life Sentences - NYT

Bahrain Protests Flare After Activists Sentenced - AP

Saudi Execution Prompts Indonesia Maid Travel Ban - BBC

Mideast Christians Struggle to Hope in Arab Spring - Reuters

Al Qaeda

Obama: Info from bin Laden Shows al-Qaida Strain - AP

US Department of Defense

Panetta to Carry Political Baggage to the Pentagon - WT

Are Aircraft Carriers Becoming Obsolete? - Proceedings

Pentagon Gets Cyberwar Guidelines - AP

Gates Unlikely to Certify DADT Repeal Before Leaving Office - S&S

Pentagon Renovation Program Completes Historic Renovations - AFPS

Doctors-in-Training Learn Basic Combat Skills - AFPS

United States

New Face of a Faceless Global War: Drones and the CIA - Slate

US Files Charges in German Airport Shooting that Killed 2 Airmen - S&S

Officials: Man Linked to DC-area Shootings in 2010 - AP

The Death of Open Government - WP

Africa

First Lady Speaks to Young Africans - WP

South Africa Embraces Mrs. Obama With Fervor - NYT

Sudan to Block Oil Pipeline if South will Not Pay - BBC

Oil Interests Tie China to Sudan Leader - WP

Nigerian Police Backtrack on Suicide Bomb Claim - VOA

Zimbabwe General Says Tsvangirai Is Security Threat - Reuters

Americas

US to Help Central America with Drug Cartels - WP

Central America Drugs War: Clinton Pledges More Funds - BBC

Argentina President May Face Stormy Second Term - Reuters

Chavez May Return to Venezuela Within 12 Days - AP

Task Force Bon Voizon Completes Haiti Relief Operations - AFPS

Asia Pacific

China Warns US in Island Dispute - WP

Beijing Warns U.S. About South China Sea Disputes - NYT

China Frees Dissident Artist Ai Weiwei - VOA

Muted Welcome for Release of Chinese Artist Ai Weiwei - BBC

A Debate Over Autonomy in Thailand's Restive South - Reuters

Burma's Aung San Suu Kyi Asks for US Support for Rights Inquiry - VOA

Europe

US Prods Europe On NATO Spending - NPR

Kremlin Rejects Registration by New Opposition Party - NYT

Russian Govt Refuses to Register New Opposition Party - WP

Some Greeks Fear Government Is Selling Nation - NYT

Geert Wilders Cleared of Hate Charges by Dutch Court - BBC

Dutch Court Acquits Anti-Islam Politician - NYT

South Asia

India and Pakistan Diplomats to Meet in Islamabad - BBC

Indian, Pakistani Diplomats Meet - AP