The Age of Unsatisfying Wars
The Age of Unsatisfying Wars – New York Times opinion piece by John Nagl.
… things in Afghanistan are still muddled; will it end like Vietnam — an abject, helicopters-flying-out-of-Kabul, people-hanging-on-the-skids defeat — or in an unsatisfying and untidy sort-of victory, like Iraq?
From a traditional point of view, neither option seems particularly attractive. But Mr. Obama should welcome an Iraq-like end to Afghanistan: as contradictory as it may seem, messy and unsatisfying are the hallmarks of success in modern counterinsurgency wars…
“It is not unlikely”
On a scale from 0 (will not happen) to 1 (will happen), what is the best estimate of how likely it is?
Best
ADTS