Small Wars Journal

Which Way I Ought To Go From Here?

Fri, 10/24/2008 - 4:24pm
By John Collins

Alice in Wonderland asked the Cheshire Cat, "Would you tell me, please, which way I ought to go from here?"

The answer was, "That depends a good deal on where you want to get to."

The Honorable Les Aspin, as Chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, asked much the same question on 9 October 1985 when he held hearings entitled "What Have We Got for a Trillion dollars?"

The world has changed a lot since then, when the US-Soviet military balance was still center stage, but structured ways of appraising national security problems and potential solutions have not. I'm therefore resurrecting my 23-year-old testimony for reconsideration, because it deals with a flock of fundamentals that the new Administration might usefully apply in its quest for ways to match military ends, ways, and means most successfully. Mismatches between forces and objectives, forces and threats, forces and strategies, forces and other forces remain prominent today.

Our superlative All-Volunteer Force, to cite just one of many examples, is hard pressed to cope with simultaneous wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, much less Iran, North Korea, or anywhere else, because concentration on quality at the expense of quantity creates gaps between objectives and military power. A more prudent posture depends on increased capabilities, decreased ambitions, or both in some combination.

US policy-makers, planners, and programmers in the upcoming administration therefore would be well advised to review short-, mid-, and long-range requirements across the board, bearing in mind that the most dangerous enemy capabilities imaginable do not necessarily constitute dangerous threats, for reasons the attachment explores.

John M. Collins began to amass military experience when he enlisted in the Army as a private in 1942. Thirty years and three wars later, in 1972, he retired as a colonel. He spent the next quarter century as the leading analyst on military and defense issues at the Congressional Research Service. Many of us address him as Warlord.

E-mail From Afghanistan

Fri, 10/24/2008 - 7:11am
E-mail From Afghanistan - Roman Skaskiw, The Atlantic

... My Prediction: I'm fairly certain that so long as the illusionists in the Federal Reserve are able to forestall an implosion of the U.S. economy, American firepower and American wealth will prevail. The Deywagal Valley road will crest the ridge line and connect to the Korengal Valley road, to the great credit of whoever happens to be the PRT commander at the time. The sacrifice of the many good people who died will be invoked. The contractor will receive his last payment. The governor, escorted by the U.S. military, will give a speech. He will condemn the insurgents as agents of Pakistan. An approved Mullah will mention how even Mohammed worked with non-believers. Hopefully, the lives of Afghans along the roads will improve. A general will be in attendance. Then, the governor will return to his heavily guarded compound. He will meet with the PRT commander and ask for more projects. He will ask to be filled in on the PRT's plan for the upcoming months. The handful of contractors with whom the PRT does business will wait patiently in the wings. Of course, there will still be violence, but our enterprise in Kunar Province is vast enough, and the people in the PRT smart enough, that statistics indicating progress will be produced and broadly advertised. The insurgents will still be referred to as "the bad guys," Television will still resolutely confine itself to superficials, and young men will still like to fight.

My deal with the devil is finished. I've honored my commitment. I am back in my own country where the two main party candidates, despite all the cultural differences they represent, and despite the fervor with which red-team competes with blue-team, agree on Afghanistan, the bailout and everything else that matters to me...

Much more at The Atlantic.

Afghanistan: Is It Winnable? A British Perspective

Fri, 10/24/2008 - 2:38am
Afghanistan: Is It Winnable? A British Perspective

Monday 27 October 2008

1430-1600: Reserve Officers' Association - Main Conference Room

The Foreign Policy Research Institute will kindly be hosting the Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies from London for a panel discussion at the Reserve Officers' Association.

Afghanistan: Is It Winnable? A British Perspective

The operation in Afghanistan remains in the balance. It is winnable, but it is not being won and the future of the Transatlantic Relationship, and much else, depends upon its eventual success.

We now know the strategy and tactics that need to be adopted for success, but the fact is they are not being applied sufficiently or with enough political will.

New approaches will be needed on both sides of the Atlantic in the next four years and a different approach to expeditionary operations will have to be shared by all NATO members if the potential for success in Afghanistan is to be realised.

Panel Speakers

Professor Michael Clarke, Director of RUSI, will provide an analysis of current challenges in Afghanistan as well as a view of the new strategic thinking in the UK. Professor Clarke will discuss the progress of the conflict in Afghanistan so far as well as the issues surrounding UK policy in Afghanistan and its implications for the US.

Rear Admiral Chris Parry CBE MA FCMI will discuss the future of expeditionary warfare after Afghanistan. He will address such questions as: Are the operations in Afghanistan re-defining the character of future warfare? Or, are they a temporary aberration distracting the attention of strategic and military planners away from addressing the more complex challenges of the future? Admiral Parry's presentation will also discuss UK strategic thinking, procurement and training.

Chairman

Frank Hoffman, Senior Fellow, is a national security affairs analyst and consultant. He is currently a Research Fellow at the Center for Emerging Threats and Opportunities at the Marine Corps Combat Development Command, Quantico, Virginia. Mr. Hoffman serves as the Center's strategic and global affairs analyst, develops advanced concepts and conducts research into the nature of future conflict. Prior to this position, Mr. Hoffman served on the staff of the U.S. Commission on National Security/21st Century (Hart-Rudman Commission); was the National Security Analyst and Director, Marine Strategic Studies Group, at the Marine Corps Combat Development Command, Quantico; and served on the Professional Staff, Commission on Roles and Missions of the Armed Forces.

Location

The Reserve Officers' Association is located at:

One Constitution Avenue NE

Washington D.C. 20002-5618

Tel: 202.479.2200

ROA Point of Contact: Bob Feidler

For enquiries or to RSVP for this event, please contact Alan Luxenberg at lux@fpri.org

Learning from Contemporary Conflicts to Prepare for Future War

Tue, 10/21/2008 - 4:30pm
Learning from Contemporary Conflicts to Prepare for Future War - H.R. McMaster, Foreign Policy Research Institute E-Note

This essay is based on his full-length article in the Fall 2008 special issue of Orbis on "The Future of War."

War is the final auditor of military institutions. Contemporary conflicts such as those in Afghanistan and Iraq create an urgent need for feedback based on actual experience. Analysis of the present combined with an understanding of history should help us improve dramatically the quality of our thinking about war. Understanding the continuities as well as changes in the character of armed conflict will help us make wise decisions about force structure, develop relevant joint force capabilities, and refine officer education and the organization, training, and the equipping of our forces.

But first we need to reject the unrealistic, abstract ideas concerning the nature of future conflict that gained wide acceptance in the 1990s. Flush with the ease of the military victory over Saddam's forces in the 1991 Gulf War and aware of the rapid advance of communications, information, and precision munitions technologies, many observers argued then that U.S. competitive advantages in these technologies had brought about a Revolution in Military Affairs. It was assumed that there would be no "peer competitor" of U.S. military forces until at least 2020. Military concepts based on this assumption promised rapid, low-cost victory in future war. Ultimately, these ideas and their corollary of reduced reliance on military manpower became subsumed under "defense transformation."

Defense transformation advocates never considered conflicts such as those in Afghanistan and Iraq—protracted counterinsurgency and state-building efforts that require population security, security-sector reform, reconstruction and economic development, building governmental capacity, and establishing the rule of law. Our experiences in Afghanistan and Iraq, as well as the 2006 Lebanon war, provide strong warnings that we should abandon the orthodoxy of defense transformation and make appropriate adjustments to force structure and development...

Much more at FPRI.

The New Army Stability Operations Manual: Fact, Fiction, and Perspective on FM 3-07

Mon, 10/20/2008 - 5:49am
Janine Davidson

The recent release of the Army's latest Field Manual, FM 3-07 Stability Operations, has generated as much controversy as it has praise. On one side of the debate are those who see it as a great step forward in helping the military make sense of the complex, violent, and population-focused environments in which it increasingly finds itself. To the extent that our future conflicts are likely to look more like our current ones as Secretary Gates has asserted, it is high time we stopped muddling through and got serious about learning how to do this stuff. On the other end of the spectrum, however, are those who see the new doctrine as another dangerous step on the slippery slope toward U.S. imperialism. The better we become at nation building the critics claim, the more likely we are to try to do more of it. Moreover, teaching soldiers how to do stability operations not only erodes their war-fighting skills (i.e. their "real" mission), but it lets the civilian agencies who are supposed to do it off the hook in building their own capabilities and capacities. There are merits to both arguments, but on balance FM 3-07 should be seen as a great accomplishment.

Why FM 3-07?

It is perfectly understandable to hope that the military will conduct fewer stability operations in the future, but hoping does not make it so. The military still needs to prepare itself for the missions it will most likely be called on to perform. Given the thousands of troops over the last 200 years who have repeatedly been called to conduct these messy stability operations with little to no doctrine, education, or training, it seems high time someone put some rigorous effort into understanding how to conduct them better.

The concern over the U.S. as an imperialist power may be valid, but let's not get carried away. Doctrine is not grand strategy. For those who worry that this new doctrine will make it more likely that we will try to invade and occupy more countries, consider that it might just have the opposite effect. If there is one thing this manual makes very clear, it is that stability operations are not rocket science -- they are actually more complex and uncertain. Having a better understanding of the complexity and cost of these missions can only enhance the policy and strategy-making processes.

Fact vs. Fiction

The real value of FM 3-07 is that it gets a dialogue going and sets a few things straight:

First, FM 3-07 rightly notes that, contrary to popular belief, the Army has been conducting these types of missions for 200 years. The opening chapter is an excellent overview of this rich history. Military troops have been tasked with stabilizing, building, and re-building societies since the first units were sent West to keep peace between the settlers and the Indians and to build -- literally -- the nation. Recall that West Point was established as an engineering school for a reason. President Thomas Jefferson insisted that if we were to have a standing military (which he originally opposed) it should be as useful in times of peace as it is in times of war. One might make a similar case today and ask if the American taxpayer should expect more for $500 billion than an institution organized, trained, and equipped to fight conventional battles and nothing else.

Second, the manual recognizes that the nature of conflict is more complex than the pure science of defeating enemy militaries. If we truly wish leave a lasting peace in the places in which we intervene or fight, we do not have a choice between preparing for pure scientific battles and preparing for stability operations. At a minimum, if we do not stabilize a place after we bring down an enemy, then we set a trajectory for more chaos not peace. In so many other cases where the military is called to intervene in on-going conflicts or insurgencies, where the need to provide human security is the decisive line of operation, we need a military with a "full spectrum" mindset to understand the myriad interconnected tasks required to get the job done. FM 3-07 is a first step in this education.

Third, the manual suggests that despite aspirations to the contrary, the desired capability and capacity in civilian agencies not only does not currently exist, but it is not likely to be built in the near future. More importantly, even if and when USAID, State and all the other agencies were to enhance their expeditionary capacity 10 fold, these civilians would still not be capable -- nor should they be -- of doing their thing while bullets are still flying. That is the definition of a combatant, not a civilian. This means that the military will, at a minimum, be required to set a trajectory for accomplishing the long term strategic objectives with or without civilian experts on the ground. Once the environment is safe enough for civilians to engage, the military needs to know how to support their work. This means having a fundamental understanding of the nature of the conflict environment, the intersecting lines of operation (e.g. governance, security, economic development, etc), and the appropriate coordination of efforts among myriad military and civilian actors. This is what FM 3-07 is designed to accomplish.

Finally, it is important to understand that although this is a military manual, paid for and sponsored by the U.S. Army, it is in every other way, shape, and form, a true interagency, whole-of-government product. The process of writing this manual was almost as important as the product itself -- and this process was unique. Through a series of conferences, roundtables, and workshops with thought leaders and representatives from various agencies throughout the government, in the NGO community, and among allies, FM 3-07's author, LTC Steve Leonard, was able to glean the latest thought, theory, lessons, and controversies from the widest possible group of experts. Detailed debates over language, connotations, social science theory, and recent lessons learned from the field took place over a 10-month period, with some of these non-military participants contributing actual text to the finished product. In the end, FM 3-07 was written for and by the civilian-military community of practice, which spans well beyond just the U.S. Army. LTG Caldwell, the manual's chief sponsor at Fort Leavenworth, recognized the importance of generating this vibrant interagency dialogue and has thus set the bar for future whole of government efforts in doctrine and strategy. Indeed, the next QDR might follow a similar model.

In sum, FM 3-07 is a great accomplishment. It is about time we thought seriously about these missions -- not only how to do them, but why we do them. That the publication has generated great debate means that it is functioning just as it should.

About Janine Davidson:

Assistant Professor, George Mason University

http://www.gmu.edu/departments/spp/faculty/davidson/index.html

Non-Resident Fellow, Brookings Institution:

http://www.brookings.edu/experts/davidsonj.aspx

Military Report Says Terms 'Jihad,' 'Islamist' Needed

Mon, 10/20/2008 - 5:32am
Military Report Says Terms 'Jihad,' 'Islamist' Needed - Bill Gertz, Washington Times

A US military "Red Team" charged with challenging conventional thinking says that words like "jihad" and "Islamist" are needed in discussing 21st-century terrorism and that federal agencies that avoid the words soft-pedaled the link between religious extremism and violent acts.

"We must reject the notion that Islam and Arabic stand apart as bodies of knowledge that cannot be critiqued or discussed as elements of understanding our enemies in this conflict," said the internal report, a copy of which was obtained by The Washington Times.

The report, "Freedom of Speech in Jihad Analysis: Debunking the Myth of Offensive Words," was written by unnamed civilian analysts and contractors for the US Central Command, which is responsible for the Middle East and South Asia. It is thought to be the first official document to challenge those in the government who seek to downplay the role of Islam in inspiring some terrorist violence.

Much more at The Washington Times.

Book Review - Kill Bin Laden

Sun, 10/19/2008 - 10:23am

A review of:

Kill Bin Laden: A Delta Force Commander's Account of the Hunt for the World's Most Wanted Man

by Dalton Fury, St. Martin's

Press, 2008.

Reviewed by:

Thomas (Tom) P. Odom

LTC US Army (ret)

Author,

Journey Into Darkness: Genocide In Rwanda

In January 1977 a brave man and a living legend by the name of Major Richard

Meadows reached down and pulled my patrol of RANGER students out of a freezing swamp

after 10 hours of agony had killed two of my classmates.  Thirty-one years

later I can still feel that cold.  I remember how effective Major Meadows was

in pulling us together when we were barely capable of thinking. I also have never

forgotten how Meadows' low key manner radiated calm authority. Special Operations

Detachment-Delta or Delta was soon to take root.  Major Meadows—battlefield

commissioned in Viet Nam and member of the Son Tay Raiders—would be retired before

Delta came to be.  But Dick Meadows would return as a contractor scout to guide

Delta into Tehran.  He made it to the target city in mufti when Delta did not. 

Kill Bin Laden was written by another brave man, Major Dalton Fury, about other

brave men in their efforts to hunt down and kill the most hunted man in the world. 

For those of us who were raised in Fort Bragg circles in the late 1970s and early

1980s, Delta emerged as a rumor and soon became legendary as tales of selection

and non-selection circulated.  After my RANGER student experience, I had no

desire to try my hand; I have several comrades who did and some made it.  I

respect them all for even trying.  Major Fury's description of his final selection

took me right back to 1977.  His low key, outward focused prose in describing

his men reminds me of Dick Meadow's radiated authority.

This book then is a story written on several levels, the first being a story

of Soldiers who self-selected to become America's most capable warriors.  Fury's

first person description of that selection and the warriors who passed is stunning. 

His loyalty and love of his men saturates the pages of the book.  Next of course

the book reveals the true story of what happened in the effort to hunt down and

kill Usama Bin Laden.  As one should expect, Fury relates that story like a

Soldier.  Sometimes it is profane. Sometimes it is a bit choppy. But it is

always interesting.  Finally Fury's story is of great value to the historian

and the theorist seeking to understand the perils and pitfalls of 21st

Century Warfare, especially our current efforts in the Long War.

If you love or at least respect warriors, you will like this book.  A friend

of mine likes the line in the movie Zulu where Colour Sergeant Bourne calms

the private facing their attackers with the line, "because we're here, boy. 

No one else. Just us." Seems to me that the same line applied to Fury's command—Delta,

U.S. Air Force Commando, agency assets, and British Special Boot Service—with one

critical difference.  Bourne and the private with that small element of Her

Majesty's 24th Foot faced thousands of Zulu warriors because fate had

dictated they would do so.  They did not however seek that battle. They fought

on the defensive.  Fate similarly dictated that Fury's troop would face thousands

of Al Qaeda and Taliban.  Fury and his men attacked when their allies retreated.  

And as Fury writes, it was a great time to be in Delta.

In Fury's own words, his unit failed in its mission to kill Bin Laden. 

That is a harsh self-judgment but an honest one.  His motivation in writing

the book was to describe how and why his troop failed.  Certainly it was not

due to a lack of trying.  Fury's men stayed in the mountains when no one else

did, notably their Afghan allies who supposedly were doing all the fighting. 

As is the case in most history, the real story was very different from what policy

makers and press offered to the greater US population.  For the policy makers

it would have been inconvenient at the time to admit that the alliance responsible

for defeating the Taliban was less than determined to kill Bin Laden or —

to allow their US counterparts to do so.  Press reports usually hinge on availability

and agenda.  The first priority is to get a story, any story.  The second—like

policy makers—flows from fitting that story into an agenda. 

And that takes me to my concluding thoughts in this review and my only criticism

of what the author had to say.  Major Fury wrote in discussing the debate over

the operation, "I will leave the overall strategic debate to the critics and scholars,

for I was not in those air-conditioned rooms with leather chairs when they came

up with some of the strangest decisions I have ever encountered."

Dalton, you did not, could not, and should not leave the strategic debate alone. 

Had you left it alone, your men would not have stayed on the mountain when your

allies left them.  Sergeant Major Ironhead would not have rucked supplies up

to keep them on the mountain when it seemed higher headquarters either wanted the

operation to fail or was at least indifferent to its possible success.  You

could not leave the strategy alone because your mission was ultimately undone by

strategic considerations; putting the suggestion forward to infiltrate the battle

space from Pakistan was the right thing to do.  Denying that suggestion due

to strategic considerations is the policy maker's privilege and his responsibility

to accept the results.  And in the post-operational world you now live in,

you should not stay out of the strategic debate when bumper sticker solutions are

bandied about by folks who have never had their body hair freeze and break off as

they moved up a mountain side when rational thought demanded they retreat. 

This is a brave book by a brave man about other brave men.  I am glad you

wrote it.

- Tom Odom

Ed. Note - see also this

Small Wars

Council discussion on the book and the 60 Minutes piece.

A Personal Problem With Nir Rosen's Dance With The Devil (Updated)

Sat, 10/18/2008 - 10:35pm
Just call me old fashioned -- I have serious misgivings respecting and tolerating journalists who embed with an enemy (the Taliban in this instance) responsible for what some call the strictest interpretation and implementation of Sharia law "ever seen in the Muslim World." The crimes against humanity that were a direct result of their rule in Afghanistan and continue in their desire to regain that rule cannot be forgiven or glossed over in hopes of some temporary respite from increased violence in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

Yea, yea, okay -- some people's terrorists are other people's freedom fighters -- yada, yada -- save it for the think tank- or university-circle sponsored seminars, studies and white papers. There is still black and white in today's complex environment and our efforts in South Asia should most certainly fall within that category.

If there was ever a grouping of individuals and supporters that deserved complete annihilation (yea - I said the A word) -- the Taliban and their support structure would and should be up front and center. It will take quite some time (that is why it is called The Long War) and there will most certainly be peaks and valleys along the way -- but we must - and will - win this one and we will write the last chapter of the history book reserved for the victors.

But this is not about me and my particular passion for defeating a brutal enemy, it's about Nir Rosen and his latest Rolling Stone piece entitled How We Lost the War We Won: A Journey Into Taliban-Controlled Afghanistan. Opinions via e-mail and several blogs and their comment sections are generally favorable to Rosen's latest dance with the devil.

It's Official: Nir Rosen, Who Embeds With the Taliban, Is More Impressive Than I Am

--Spencer Ackerman, Washington Independent

My colleague Nir Rosen, who is also a contributor to The Washington Note, is quickly becoming the preeminent Robert Kaplan-esque chronicler of Islamist insurgencies and conflict.

--Steve Clemons, The Washington Note

I read a draft of this story a few weeks ago and was, no kidding, glued to the page.

--Andrew Exum, Abu Muqawama

More blog traffic here -- the vast majority strongly disagree with my humble opinion on Rosen and his reporting -- so be it.

So, with a nod to Sun Tzu concerning knowing your enemy, I'd say read Rosen's article for any insight it may provide in defeating this gang of thugs.

-----

Update 1

Creative Dissent - Andrew Exum, Abu Muqawama

Our World - Richard Fernandez, The Belmont Club

Nir Rosen and the Taliban - Herschel Smith, The Captain's Journal

Why Nir Rosen Isn't To Be Trusted - Terry Glavin, Chronicles & Dissent

Nir Rosen: the Neo-Taliban's Nancy DeWolf-Smith? - Joshua Foust, Registan

Update 2

I've received several e-mails indicating there might be some glaring errors or misrepresentations of fact in Rosen's Rolling Stone account of his most excellent adventure. For those so inclined, please send along such items to SWJ - documented / referenced of course. I'll post them here as an update.

Update 3

Embedded With The Taliban - Jules Crittenden, Forward Movement

In fact, How We lost The War We Won: A Journey Into Taliban-Controlled Afghanistan is misleading from the start. Contrary to his claim, Rosen never actually manages to embed with the Taliban. He just hangs out with some guys who say they are commanders ... though other Taliban don't seem to have much respect for their standing ... and say they'll get him in, but never quite manage to do more than link him up with some heavily armed layabouts. Lucky for him. Had he actually been with any fighting elements of the Taliban, he'd probably be dead now, which is what usually happens to the Taliban in large numbers when they directly engage the hated Crusaders. He probably would have been OK if he was just with a ... you know ... demolitions unit. Unless it was a suicide demolitions unit and they decided to give the American the full embedded experience.

Secretary Gates on Afghanistan

Sat, 10/18/2008 - 10:15pm
Dean Acheson Lecture - U.S. Institute of Peace (Washington D.C.)

As Delivered by Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates, Washington D.C., Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Well, thank you, Mr. West, for that kind introduction. It is good to be at the U.S. Institute of Peace, an organization I have followed and respected for many years. Actually, I have an ongoing relationship with the Institute in that I live next door to the site of your new headquarters, now under construction. Good fences do good neighbors make -- so Dick, now about the noise ...

My most recent real association with USIP, of course, was the Iraq Study Group, which Dick Solomon and his staff did so much to support and facilitate. Little did I dream as we met in the Institute's offices through the spring, summer, and early fall of 2006 trying to come up with a constructive way forward in Iraq that my whole life was about to change fairly dramatically. And then there was the Study Group's trip to Iraq in early September 2006.

The circumstances in Baghdad were pretty ugly back then, but in retrospect there was one lighter moment during the visit. We were quartered in rooms next to the swimming pool behind the palace where our embassy is located. And about two in the morning, the electricity failed -- and, along with it, the air conditioning. It was about a hundred degrees, even after dark. After lying in bed for awhile, feeling the temperature in the room rising steadily, I went out in shorts and a tee shirt to find someone to whom I could report the problem and get it fixed. And I encountered several of our soldiers, whose indifference to my discomfort was monumental.

It was too dark to see nametags but, looking back, I can tell you those soldiers missed one hell of an opportunity for quick promotion three months later.

It's a privilege to address the United States Institute of Peace for this, the first Dean Acheson lecture. As Evan mentioned, it's impossible to reflect on Acheson without at least some reference to his dry wit and patrician ways. Consider that, in a country where virtually every public figure bends over backward to appear the Everyman and avoid any hint of elitism, the Groton- and Harvard-educated Acheson referred to criticism from McCarthy and others as "the attack of the primitives."

He did not have much use for politics or politicians -- and there's a story of his that is timely in light of the event taking place later tonight that many of you will stick around to watch. (And because of which I will be mercifully brief.) Acheson told the story of the man from Kentucky who, when asked about whom he supported for sheriff, said, "I haven't made up my mind yet; but when I do, I'll be bitter as hell."

That probably should take care of being asked to stay on in any successive administration.

Of course, like many of his class, Acheson was an Anglophile, though with his family ties, he at least came by it honestly. When Acheson embarked on his "sentimental journey" to the U.K. in 1952, the State Department's West European Office sent up a memorandum entitled "Ice in Oxford." The document warned him that British policy when it came to putting ice in cocktails had been set in 1689, and had not improved since.

Of course, there are a lot of things that don't change here in Washington, either. David Brinkley once wrote about the time when the Senate was about to vote on Acheson's nomination to be an assistant secretary of state. A woman called him with a uniquely Washington invitation. She said, "If you're confirmed, will you come for dinner? If not, will you come after dinner for dancing?"

Acheson wrote that "Secretaries of State can find no hiding place from meetings." I should add it's no better place for secretaries of defense, something reinforced last week at the NATO defense ministerial in Budapest. Dean Acheson would no doubt have been gratified to see the institution he helped establish come to include the former captive nations of the Warsaw Pact and Soviet Union. He would have been less gratified of this expansion on the length of the North Atlantic Council session, where all 28 defense ministers expect to speak on every subject.

My support for larger budgets for the Department of State has received a good deal of favorable commentary. In truth, it is simply an act of reciprocity nearly 60 years overdue. Between 1945 and 1947, the defense budget dropped from over $90 billion a year to between $10 and $11 billion. President Truman hoped to cut it further, to between $6 and $7 billion. As David Halberstam describes in his book, The Coldest Winter, Secretary of Defense Louis Johnson, who replaced James Forrestal and was nearly as unstable emotionally, wanted to run for president in 1952 on a platform of holding down defense spending. And so the Secretary of Defense, of all people, was a strong advocate of even more draconian reductions in the military budget. According to Halberstam, it was Secretary of State Dean Acheson in 1950, who, seeking a way to deal with the Communist threat in Europe and elsewhere, championed increased defense spending and, indeed, surreptitiously organized the campaign to make it happen. So, just call my efforts pay-back time.

Though Acheson is revered by practitioners and advocates of what is now call "soft power," all of you know that he was no woolly-headed international altruist. It was he who said: "Power can be limited only by counterbalancing power. Without that, treaties, international organization[s], and international law are of no use whatever." Nonetheless, the treaties and international organizations that he helped bring into being were able to contain, and eventually defeat, the pre-eminent threat of the last half of the 20th century.

Rather striking is an insight that Acheson had about that threat. He once compared the menace of Soviet Communism to the threat posed by the Ottoman Empire centuries before, observing that they shared a similar "combination of ideological zeal and fighting power." To overcome Soviet expansionism would require, in his words, "the added power and energy of America."

In the wake of the end of the Cold War, a new threat has emerged to menace peace-loving people of all nations and all religions. In violent extremism, we face an adversary today that seeks to eject all westerners and western influence from the Middle East and Southwest Asia, to destroy Israel, and overthrow all secular and western-oriented governments in the region. It is an adversary without the resources of a great power, but with unlimited "ideological zeal" and no shortage of fighting power -- a challenge that will require what the new national defense strategy, echoing Acheson, calls "the full strength of America and its people."

The long reach of violent extremism -- emanating from failed and failing states, from ungoverned spaces -- brought terror to America's shores, and subsequently brought America and our allies to Afghanistan. That country has become the laboratory for what I have been talking about for the last year -- how to apply and fully integrate the full range of instruments of national power and international cooperation to protect our security and our vital interests.

Think about the scale and the complexity of the effort in Afghanistan. There are 42 nations, hundreds of NGOs, universities, development banks, the United Nations, the European Union, NATO -- all working to help a nation beset by crushing poverty, a bumper opium crop, a ruthless and resilient insurgency, and violent extremists of many stripes, not the least of which is al Qaeda.

Afghanistan has tested America's capacity -- and the capacity of our allies and partners -- to adapt institutions, policies, and approaches that in many cases were formed in a different era for a different set of challenges. It is a scenario Acheson could relate to. He noted that when he first arrived at the State Department in 1941, that the institution was, and I quote, "closer to its nineteenth-century predecessors in both what it did and how the work was done than to the department I was later to command."

Consider some of the tasks. There is the overall challenge of operating as part of a multinational, civil-military effort. For sure, coalition warfare is nothing new. We did it in World War Two, in Korea, in the Persian Gulf, and we prepared for it with our European allies through the 40-year twilight war.

However, in the case of Afghanistan, NATO's operations are hamstrung by national caveats, where different countries impose different rules on where their forces can go and what they can do. A number of our allies and partners have stepped forward courageously -- showing a willingness to take physical risks on the battlefield and political risks at home. But many have defense budgets that are so low, and coalition governments that are so precarious, that they cannot provide the quantity or type of forces needed for this kind of fight.

But it is not just what our and their brave soldiers can accomplish on the battlefield that is central to success in Afghanistan. An enduring requirement is the ability to rapidly train, equip, and advise Afghan security forces -- as we are doing to improve the size and quality of Afghanistan's army and police. Until recently, this capacity did not exist within most western governments or militaries outside their Special Forces. Central also to success is economic development, reconstruction, improved governance, the development of modern institutions, and a counternarcotics strategy -- all in all, what NATO calls the "comprehensive approach."

Afghanistan has also shown the importance of what is called strategic communications -- and by that term, I don't mean trying to use public relations as a substitute for policy. In Afghanistan, for example, the Taliban employ so-called night letters to sway and intimidate the local population. I've said before that we need the equivalent of day letters to persuade and inspire in the other direction. This is tied directly to the success of development efforts. As one USAID contractor who worked in Afghanistan put it, we need to show the citizenry that we are "fully committed to making a difference, rather than working disconnectedly on 'one-off' projects."

To be successful, the entirety of the NATO alliance, the European Union, NGOs, and other groups -- the full panoply of military and civilian elements -- must better integrate and coordinate with one another and also with the Afghan government. These efforts today -- however well-intentioned and even heroic -- add up to less than the sum of the parts. The main objective of the NATO defense ministerial last week in Budapest was to take concrete steps to reverse that equation. Whether we will make progress remains to be seen.

Afghanistan is the test, on the grandest scale, of what we are trying to achieve when it comes to integrating the military and the civilian, the public and private, the national and international.

Acheson could relate to the bureaucratic challenge at hand. He once compared his fellow assistant secretaries to "barons in a feudal system." Since then, and especially since September 11th, we have made enormous strides in improving coordination and cooperation within our national security apparatus. The list of accomplishments is long. But so is the list of obstacles.

We must overcome them. The security of the American people will increasingly depend on our ability to head off the next insurgency or arrest the collapse of another failing state. These are the things we must be able to do as a nation, as an alliance, and as an international coalition. As Dean Acheson did so brilliantly, we must be prepared to change old ways of doing business and create new institutions -- both nationally and internationally -- to deal with the long-term challenges we face abroad. And our own national security toolbox must be well-equipped with more than just hammers.

In closing, I would note that the crisis faced by the West in Dean Acheson's time was that our erstwhile ally in the bloody victory over the Axis powers wound up in charge of half of Europe. The Marshall Plan and other measures that Acheson and other "wise men" put in place were, to borrow the phrase of historian John Lewis Gaddis, "enlightened counter-measures" designed to contain the Soviet Union, to dissuade those not under its sway from voluntarily choosing Communism, and to give hope to those under the heel of the tyrant.

Enlightened counter-measures we take today will bolster the internal strength of vulnerable states so that they will not harbor violent networks seeking to launch the next attack. So they will not fall prey to ethnic fissures, sectarian conflict, crime, terrorism, national disasters, economic turmoil, and disease -- each of which can be every bit as destabilizing as militaries on the march.

I assume we will be able to count on organizations like the Institute of Peace to continue on this road. There is no way to predict the future, nor can we foretell the effect that decisions we will make today will have a decade or two from now. But I believe that one thing is clear from history: When America is —to lead; when we meet our commitments and stand with our allies, even in times of trouble; when we make the necessary institutional changes; when we make the necessary sacrifices; when we take the necessary risks to uphold and defend both our values and our interests -- then great and good things can happen for our country and for the world. Dean Acheson believed this. And so do I.

Thank you.