Small Wars Journal

CMC Press Release on EFV Termination

Thu, 01/06/2011 - 7:05pm
General James F. Amos, Commandant of the Marine Corps

Press Release on EFV Termination

Today the Secretary of Defense announced the termination of the Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle (EFV) program. I support his decision. After a thorough review of the program within the context of a broader Marine Corps Force Structure Review, I personally recommended to both the Secretary of Defense and the Secretary of the Navy that the EFV be cancelled and that the Marine Corps pursue a more affordable amphibious tracked fighting vehicle.

Despite the critical amphibious and warfighting capability the EFV represents, the program is simply not affordable given likely Marine Corps procurement budgets. The procurement and operations/maintenance costs of this vehicle are onerous. After examining multiple options to preserve the EFV, I concluded that none of the options meets what we consider reasonable affordability criteria. As a result, I decided to pursue a more affordable vehicle.

Our Nation's amphibious capability remains the Corps' priority. In the complex security environment we face, the execution of amphibious operations requires the use of the sea as maneuver space. A modern amphibious tracked vehicle is the means towards this end. It enables the seamless projection of ready-to-fight Marine rifle squads from sea to land. It is thus the key to allowing ship-to-shore operations in permissive, uncertain, and hostile environments; assuring access where infrastructure is destroyed or nonexistent; and creating joint access in defended areas. It is also central to the entire Marine tactical vehicle strategy for operations ashore. Once on land, an amphibious armored fighting vehicle provides the Marine rifle squad with the protected mobility and firepower to maneuver to a position of advantage to rapidly close with, engage, and defeat the enemy.

The Marine Corps remains committed to develop and field an effective, survivable and affordable amphibious tracked vehicle. To bring this capability to the force sooner rather than later, we intend to capitalize on the Office of the Secretary of Defense's recent efforts to streamline procurement and to rapidly accelerate the acquisition and contracting processes in developing our new amphibious tracked vehicle requirement.

Shortly, we will issue a special notice to industry requesting information relative to supporting our required amphibious capabilities. We look forward to working with industry in meeting this challenge to field a modern and affordable amphibious tracked vehicle that will support our Nation's needs.

Secretary Gates' News Conference, Press Links

Thu, 01/06/2011 - 5:28pm
Gates Reveals Budget Efficiencies, Reinvestment Possibilities

(News links at bottom of page)

By Jim Garamone

American Forces Press Service

WASHINGTON, Jan. 6, 2011 -- The Defense Department has found $154 billion in efficiencies over the next five years and will be able to invest $70 billion of that saved money in more deserving accounts, Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates said today.

The secretary announced the savings and reinvesting of the efficiencies during a Pentagon news conference.

Gates emphasized that the nation is at war and faces a range of future security threats. "It is important to not repeat the mistakes of the past by making drastic and ill-conceived cuts to the overall defense budget," he said. "At the same time, it is imperative for this department to eliminate wasteful, excessive and unneeded spending."

Gates said he wants every dollar invested in defense spent in the smartest manner. The efficiencies continue a process to reshape and re-balance the defense budget that has already saved the nation $300 billion, he noted.

The secretary announced efficiencies in modernization accounts. He said he agrees with the Navy and Marine Corps recommendation to cancel the expeditionary fighting vehicle program, which already has consumed $3 billion to develop and would require another $12 billion to build.

Gates said he also will restructure the F-35 joint strike fighter program. The Air Force and Navy variants of the fighter are on schedule, but the short take-off and landing variant is experiencing significant testing problems.

"As a result, I am placing the STOVL variant on the equivalent of a two-year probation," Gates said. "If we cannot fix this variant during this time frame and get it back on track in terms of performance, cost and schedule, then I believe it should be cancelled."

The secretary said he also wants changes to the military's TRICARE medical program, noting that fees have not risen since the program was introduced in 1995. He said he will propose modest increases to fees for working-age military retirees.

These changes also will be part of the fiscal 2012 budget request. The Army will cancel procurement of the SLAMRAAM surface-to air-missile and the non-line-of-sight launch system.

The efficiencies will change the way the department uses information technology, consolidating hundreds of information technology centers to save more than $1 billion a year, Gates said.

"At the same time," he added, "I am not satisfied with the progress we have made in this area since August, and expect to make a follow-on announcement with a specific plan of action by next month."

The efficiencies will cut the number of contractors. "Overall, we will cut the size of the staff support contractor cadre by 10 percent per year for three years and realize nearly $3 billion in total savings," the secretary said.

A third efficiency will trim the size of the defense work force and place more in areas with the most pressing need, he said. This should yield $4 billion in savings, he added.

Gates is also said he's initiating changes in the defense intelligence apparatus, and will eliminate or downgrade general and flag officer positions. He will also eliminate or downgrade 200 senior executive positions.

The efficiencies will eliminate the Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Network Intelligence and Information, the Business Transformation Agency and the U.S. Joint Forces Command, Gates said, though roughly 50 percent of Joint Forces Command will survive and be assigned to other organizations.

In April, Gates instructed the services to find at least $100 billion over five years in overhead savings that they could keep and shift to higher-priority programs. They have done so. In addition, defense agencies have found $54 billion in possible efficiencies.

Air Force leaders have proposed efficiencies that will total $34 billion over five years. The Army has proposed $29 billion in savings, and the Navy looks to savings of $35 billion over five years.

Of the $100 billion in savings, the services will use about $28 billion to deal with higher-than-expected operating expenses. These costs include health care, pay and housing allowances, sustainment of weapons systems, depot maintenance, base support and flight hours and other training.

"Frankly, using the savings in this way was not my original intent or preference," Gates said, "but we have little choice but to deal with these so-called 'must-pay' bills --- and better to confront them honestly now than through raiding investment accounts later."

But this still leaves the services with $70 billion to reinvest in higher priority systems. In the Air Force, this will mean the service can buy more Reaper unmanned aerial vehicles and enable the service to move this capability from the war budget to the base budget. It will also allow the service to increase procurement of the evolved expendable launch vehicle and to modernize radars aboard the F-15 Eagle to keep the fighter jet flying and fighting longer.

The Air Force also will be able to invest in development of a long-range, nuclear-capable bomber.

The Army will invest in soldiers by improving suicide-prevention and substance-abuse counseling. The service will also modernize its battle fleets of Abrams tanks, Bradley fighting vehicles and Stryker wheeled vehicles. The service also will accelerate fielding of the newest tactical communications network and will invest in more unmanned aerial vehicles and a new unmanned helicopter.

The Navy will accelerate procurement of electronic jamming gear and fund refurbishment of Marine Corps equipment. The service is also looking to develop a new generation of sea-borne unmanned strike and surveillance aircraft, and to buy more F-18 Super Hornets. The Navy also will be able to buy more ships, including a destroyer, a littoral combat ship and fleet oilers.

Gates stressed the need to make cuts carefully and judiciously.

"To maintain the kind of military needed for America's leadership role requires not only adequate levels of funding, but also fundamentally changing the way our defense establishment spends money and does business," Gates said. "That is why it is so important to follow through on the program of reform and overhead reduction.

"This department simply cannot risk continuing down the same path --- where our investment priorities, bureaucratic habits and lax attitude towards costs are increasingly divorced from the real threats of today, the growing perils of tomorrow and the nation's grim financial outlook," he added.

----

News / Official Links

Defense Efficiencies Initiative Web Page - DoD

Statement on Department Budget and Efficiencies - DoD transcript

Winners and Losers as Pentagon Outlines Cuts - Reuters Factbox

Pentagon to Cut Spending by $78b, Reduce Troop Strength - Washington Post

U.S. Orders Biggest Defense Cuts Since Before 9/11 - New York Times

Gates Outlines Plans to Cut $78b in Programs, 70k - Stars and Stripes

Defense Secretary Announces Billions in Budget Cuts - CNN News

U.S. Defence Budget to be Cut by $78bn - BBC News

Robert Gates Proposes $78 Billion U.S. Defence Cuts - Daily Telegraph

DOD Directs Army, Marine Drawdowns for 2015, 2016 - AFPS

Program Cuts let Army Keep Soldiers, for Now - Army Times

Defense Department to Prune Senior Ranks, Freeze Staffing - AFPS

Joint Chiefs Fully Agree With Gates' Efficiencies - AFPS

Not Every Defense Dollar 'Sacred' - GovermentExec

Robert Gates Details Pentagon Cuts to Congress- Politico

Gates to Cut Marine Vehicle, Plans $178 Billion Cuts - Bloomberg

DOD Budget Targets: Contractors, IT Programs - Federal Computer Week

Gates: Pentagon Must Do Its Part in Deficit Reduction - PBS News Hour

Robert Gates, Budget Hawk? - The Atlantic

Can Congress Really Stop Gates' Gear Cuts? - Wired

Highlights from Gates-Mullen DoD efficiencies briefing

Thu, 01/06/2011 - 4:45pm
Defense Secretary Robert Gates and Joint Chiefs Chairman Admiral Michael Mullen just delivered a briefing on their plans to achieve $154 billion in overhead savings over five years and their plans to reinvest some of those savings in procurement. During the briefing, Gates announced the termination of the Marine Corps Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle (EFV) and the placing of the F-35B (STOVL) on a two-year probation. Gates also announced the nomination of Gen. Martin Dempsey to be the next Army Chief of Staff.

Highlights:

1. Gates believes that plans by the services, OSD, agencies, and commands to achieve $154 billion in overhead savings over next five years are on track.

2. $100 billion savings will be reinvested in procurement and operations

a. About $28 billion on unexpected training, operations, and maintenance costs.

b. Remaining $70 billion goes to the services for procurement:

i. Air Force: more Reapers and start of next-gen nuclear-capable bomber, which will have an unmanned option. More satellite launchers. New F-15 radars.

ii. Army: Overhaul/upgrade/SLEP for M-1, M-2, Strykers. More UAVs. More for soldier mental health and base facilities. New tactical comm. systems.

iii. Navy/Marine Corps: one new DDG, LCS, 2 fleet oilers. New and overhauled F-18s. More electronic attack. More for UAV development. Overhauled/upgraded/SLEPed Amtracs.

3. EFV cancelled. F-35B on two-year probation. If engineers can't fix its problems, it will be cancelled. Army SLAMRAAM and NLOS cancelled.

4. Army and Marine Corps will cut headcounts by 2015; Army by 27,000, USMC by about 15-20,000.

5. Gates to try again to get Tricare premium increase for working-age retirees.

6. OMB has delivered to DoD new top-line figure for next five years -- will be $78 billion less than last year's five-year projection.

Nothing follows

Gates Recommends Dempsey as Next Army Chief of Staff

Thu, 01/06/2011 - 4:44pm
Gates Recommends Dempsey as Next Army Chief of Staff

By Jim Garamone

American Forces Press Service

WASHINGTON, Jan. 6, 2011 -- Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates has recommended to President Barack Obama that he nominate Army Gen. Martin E. Dempsey to be the next Army chief of staff.

Gates made the announcement at a Pentagon news conference.

The Army chief of staff is the highest-ranking soldier and serves as a member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.

If nominated by the president and confirmed by the Senate, Dempsey would succeed Gen. George W. Casey Jr., who has served as Army chief of staff since April 2007 and will retire after more than 40 years of service.

Dempsey, 58, is commander of the Army's Training and Doctrine Command, based at Fort Monroe, Va.

Navy Adm. Mike Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, called Dempsey a "creative thinker and a terrific soldier" who has his unequivocal support.

Dempsey served as the acting commander of U.S. Central Command upon the retirement of Navy Adm. William Fallon in 2008. He took up the Training and Doctrine Command's reins in December 2008.

Dempsey commanded the 1st Armored Division in Iraq in 2003 and 2004, and he served as commander of the Multinational Security Transition Command in Iraq from 2007 to 2008.

He was commissioned as a second lieutenant following graduation from the U.S. Military Academy at West Point, N.Y., in 1974. He was assigned to Germany as an armor officer, and he served with the 3rd Armored Division during Operation Desert Storm.

Risk management and the problem with intelligence estimates

Thu, 01/06/2011 - 10:31am
On December 29, 2010, I discussed China's progress with its anti-ship ballistic missile and fifth-generation stealth fighter programs ("Is China's military a paper tiger or a real tiger?"). Yesterday, Vice Admiral Jack Dorsett, the U.S. Navy's intelligence director, admitted that he and his colleagues were taken by surprise with the pace of China's military research and development. "Their anti-ship missile - we underestimated when they would be competent and capable in delivering a technological weapon of that type," said Dorsett.

As for sudden appearance of the J-20 stealth fighter at a flight test center in Chengdu, it is hard to argue with Dorsett's assessment: "I think time will tell whether we've underestimated it."

Errors in intelligence estimating are inevitable and include both positive and negative surprises. The task of preparing for negative surprises is an exercise in risk management. Defense policymakers should attempt to maintain a margin of safety in their forces and capabilities in anticipation of the unexpected. They must balance this prudent desire with the pressure to economize. Today, Defense Secretary Robert Gates is to announce more cuts in Pentagon spending.

Regarding China and the protection of America's security interests in the Indo-Pacific region, are U.S. policymakers doing a good job of risk management? Yesterday, Joint Chiefs Chairman Admiral Michael Mullen released his strategic guidance for 2011. In the seven page document, China and America's interests in the Pacific region received a brief mention within one paragraph on page five.

Nothing follows.

6 January SWJ Roundup

Thu, 01/06/2011 - 8:28am
Afghanistan

U.S. Boosts Afghan Surge - Wall Street Journal

U.S. to Send 1,400 Extra Troops to Afghanistan - Reuters

Plans for Major Taliban Attacks are Foiled in Afghanistan - Los Angeles Times

U.S., Afghan Forces Displace Taliban in Eastern Afghanistan - AFPS

Corrupt Leaders Trump Taliban - Washington Post

Allies Plan to Spend $11.6 Billion this Year for Afghan Security - Washington Post

NATO: $20 Billion over 2 Years for Afghan Training - Associated Press

U.S. Military Suspends Two U.S. Contractors in Afghanistan - Voice of America

Pakistan

Thousands Attend Funeral of Slain Pakistan Governor - Voice of America

As Politician is Mourned, Suspected Killer is Lauded - Washington Post

Assassination Deepens Divide in Pakistan - New York Times

Pakistan Killer Had Revealed Plans - Wall Street Journal

Catch-22 in Pakistan - Washington Times opinion

Iraq

Radical Cleric Returns to Iraq After Years in Iran - New York Times

Cleric al-Sadr Returns to Iraq after Self-imposed Exile - Washington Post

Shiite Cleric Sadr Returns to Iraq - Wall Street Journal

Anti-U.S. Cleric Muqtada Sadr Returns to Iraq - Los Angeles Times

Moqtada Sadr, anti-US Cleric, Returns to Iraq from Iran - BBC News

Backers Flock to See Returned Iraqi Cleric - Associated Press

U.S. Downplays Concerns Anti-U.S. Cleric's Return to Iraq - Bloomberg

With the PKK in Iraq's Qandil Mountains - New York Times

Iran

Iran Says American Woman Detained on Spy Charges - Associated Press

Islam

Islam's Blasphemy Murders - Washington Times editorial

Christians Under Siege - New York Times editorial

Korean Peninsula

China and U.S. Have 'Useful' Talks on North Korea - New York Times

U.S. Envoy Seeks Chinese Help to Ease Korea Crisis - Associated Press

U.S., South Korea Discuss Response to North - Voice of America

N. Korea Calls for Unconditional Talks with South - Associated Press

Seoul Rejects North Korea's Talks Offer as "Propaganda" - Reuters

U.S. Department of Defense

Gates Expected to Announce Budget Details, Cuts - ExecutiveGov

The Final Gates Defense-Budget Showdown Begins - Wired

Gates Hopes to Preempt Congress on Budget - Politico

Pentagon Is Poised to Cancel Marine Landing Craft - New York Times

Gates Wants to Drop $14 Billion EFV Program - Washington Post

Gates Aims to Shift Pentagon Spending, Avoid Cuts - Associated Press

Gates Moves to Preempt U.S. Defense Budget Cuts - Agence France-Press

Pentagon Cuts to Reflect Gates, White House Tussle - Reuters

How to Cut $1 Trillion from the Pentagon - CNN News opinion

Who Will Fill Bob Gates' Pentagon Office? - Time

Wars, People, Balancing Risk Top Chairman's 2011 Guidance - AFPS

Navy Intel Chief: Information Dominance Must Balance Firepower - AFPS

Army Efforts Don't Stem Fort Hood Suicides - USA Today

Military Needs Response Plan to Genocide - CNN opinion

United States

Obama Administration Building a Network to Hit Militants - Associated Press

Senators Seek Data on Gitmo Detainee Transfers - Washington Times

New U.S. Congress Convenes - Voice of America

Obama Turning to Experienced Hands as He Remakes Staff - New York Times

Big Changes Coming to Obama's Asia Team - Washington Post

Islamic Group is CIA Front, ex-Turkish Intel Chief Says - Washington Post

United Nations

New U.N. Security Council to Reflect 21st Century - Associated Press

A Bloated U.N. Bureaucracy Causes Bewilderment - New York Times

U.N. Group Warns of Possible Food Crisis - Washington Post

U.N. Data Notes Sharp Rise in World Food Prices - New York Times

World

Microlenders, Honored With Nobel, Are Struggling - New York Times

Copts on Global High Alert After Egypt Bombing - Voice of America

Africa

Southern Sudan Chooses: Unity or Secession? - Voice of America

US. .Confident of Successful Referendum Vote in Southern Sudan - VOA

1 Hand or 2? S. Sudan to Vote on Unity, Split - Associated Press

Southern Sudan Makes Peace Deal - Associated Press

Sudan 'Needs New Deal over Oil' - BBC News

Sudan on the Brink - Washington Post editorial

Southern Sudan's Shaky Future - Los Angeles Times opinion

U.S.: Gbagbo Stole Ivory Coast Election, Should Cede Power - VOA

Ivory Coast Leader's Rival Remains Under Blockade - New York Times

Threat of Force Remains in Ivory Coast Negotiations - Voice of America

Ivory Coast: U.N. Plans More Peacekeepers - BBC News

Ouattara Says Rival Gbagbo Ordered Ivory Coast Violence - Reuters

Morocco Says It Foiled Terror Cell in Sahara - New York Times

Mali: French Embassy Attacker Claims Al-Qaida Link - Associated Press

Americas

Venezuela Convenes New Parliament - BBC News

Chavez Backers, Foes Rally For Venezuela Parliament - Reuters

Brazil: For Rio Slum Residents and Police a Mixed Blessing - Associated Press

Relief Agency Slams Haiti Quake Recovery "Quagmire" - Reuters

Asia Pacific

China's Push On Military Is Beginning To Bear Fruit - New York Times

China's Ability to Effectively Use Expanding Arsenal? - Stars and Stripes

China Newspaper Refers to New Stealth Jet - Wall Street Journal

China Stealth Plane Still 'Years Away', Says Pentagon - BBC News

China Backs Policy of No Pre-emptive Nuke Strikes - Associated Press

U.S. Protests Vietnamese Police Attack on Diplomat - Reuters

Europe

A Russian Woman Stands, Alone, for Her Rights - Washington Post

Poland Supports Belarus Opposition - New York Times

Israel Says Turkey Like Iran Before Revolution - Reuters

Hijacker Overpowered on Norway-Turkey Flight - Reuters

Middle East

Idled Peace Talks Threaten to Break Israeli Coalition - Washington Times

Israeli, Egyptian Leaders to Discuss Peacemaking - Associated Press

Netanyahu And Mubarak to Mull How to Renew Peace Talks - Reuters

Israeli Army Investigating Tear-gas Incident in West Bank - Washington Post

2 Palestinians Killed Along Gaza-Israel Border - Associated Press

Tight Security for Egypt's Copts - BBC News

Jordan Clamps Down on Rioting in South - Los Angeles Times

Jordan Police Quell Anti-government Riots in Maan - BBC News

Detained American Says He Was Beaten in Kuwait - New York Times

South Asia

Four Die in India Tribal Clashes - BBC News

Lawmakers: Violence Returns to Northern Sri Lanka - Associated Press

More on DoD Cuts (Updated)

Wed, 01/05/2011 - 9:58pm
Secretary of Defense Robert Gates is scheduled to brief Congress tomorrow (Thursday) concerning his efforts to find $100 billion in savings over five years from overhead and unnecessary programs. A press conference following his briefing is anticipated. Some of the latest news and opinion items follow:

Contractors Brace for Cuts as Gates Readies Budget Axe - Wall Street Journal

Gates Expected to Announce Budget Details, Cuts - ExecutiveGov

The Final Gates Defense-Budget Showdown Begins - Wired

Gates Hopes to Preempt Congress on Budget - Politico

Pentagon Poised to Cancel Marine Landing Craft - New York Times

Gates Wants to Drop $14 Billion EFV Program - Washington Post

Stealth Jet Delay Could Screw Marine Corps - Wired

Gates Aims to Shift Pentagon Spending, Avoid Cuts - Associated Press

Gates Moves to Preempt U.S. Defense Budget Cuts - Agence France-Press

Pentagon Cuts to Reflect Gates, White House Tussle - Reuters

Protecting Irregular Capacity Under Constrained Funding - Global Security Monitor

How to Cut $1 Trillion from the Pentagon - CNN News