Small Wars Journal

9/13/23 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Wed, 09/13/2023 - 2:36pm

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 12, 2023
2.  Congress Should Debate Now Whether We Defend Taiwan, Not on the Eve of Invasion  By Bing West
3. China-Linked Hackers Breached a Power Grid—Again
4. DOD Releases 2023 Cyber Strategy Summary
5. In a US showdown with China, there are some missions with no special-operations 'easy button'
6. Will the West Abandon Ukraine?
7. Air Force Ranger Assessment Course (RAC) | SOF News
8. Hanoi’s American Hedge
9. The U.S is getting hacked. So the Pentagon is overhauling its approach to cyber.
10. American Universities Shouldn’t Cut All Ties With China
11. Opinion | President Biden should not run again in 2024
12. Pentagon-Funded Study Warns Dementia Among U.S. Officials Poses National Security Threat
13. My Encounters With a Suspected Spy
14. How Elon Musk become a power player in the Ukraine war
15. The Biodefense Posture Review Needs Focus to Succeed
16. If it doesn’t make you more lethal, ditch it, says top Army officer
17. Determining the True Extent of Terrorism’s Existential Threat
18. China, Russia will use cyber to sow chaos if war starts, Pentagon says
19. Who will be the president's top military adviser after Gen. Milley retires?
20. New DOD cyber strategy notes limits of digital deterrence
21. America’s Current Nuclear Arsenal Was Built for a More Benign World
22. After the Attack: A Playbook for Continuity of the Economy Planning and Implementation
23. President Biden’s Military Blockade
24. Chinese Warships Gather in Sign of Major Naval Exercises
25. Are Ukraine’s tactics working?
26. De-dollarization Dreams: Why the US Dollar Won’t Bow Out
27. How China’s Belt and Road Took Over the World
28. China unveils 'blueprint' for Taiwan integration while sending warships around the self-ruled island
29.U.S. military sends cyber team to 'hunt' foes from NATO ally next to Russia
 

Korean News Content:

1. North Korea's Kim vows full support for Russia’s 'just fight' after viewing launchpads with Putin
2. Kim Jong Un and Vladimir Putin Meet at Russia’s Vostochny Cosmodrome
3. N. Korea fires 2 short-range ballistic missiles into East Sea ahead of Kim-Putin summit
4. Kim tells Putin N. Korea supports Russia's 'sacred fight' against West
5. Kim Jong Un arrives by train in Russia for Putin meeting about arms deals
6. Kim Jong Un arrives by train in Russia for Putin meeting about arms deals
7. Yoon names new ministers of defense, culture, gender equality
8. Kim and Putin Discuss Deepening Ties as Ukraine War Looms Over Summit
9. North Korea-Russia relations moving to ‘fresh higher level,’ Kim says
10. The Sleeper Has Awakened: Six Key Takeaways From the Rollout of North Korea’s “Tactical Nuclear Attack Submarine”
11. Russia promises to help North Korea build satellites
12. US will not hesitate to take action if N. Korea provides weapons to Russia: state dept.
13. Creating unified Korea by means of visionary 'Declaration of Unification'
14. Kim, Putin to fortify ‘anti-imperialist’ united front, vow tech cooperation
15. Former N. Korean defector hunter reflects on her experiences
16. S. Korea to hold massive military parade for 1st time in decade

The OSS Society's William J. Donovan Award® Dinner

Wed, 09/13/2023 - 8:57am

The OSS Society's William J. Donovan Award® Dinner, the preeminent annual gathering of the US intelligence and Special Operations communities, will be held in Washington, DC, on October 21, 2023. Corporate sponsorships are still available. Please click on this link to download the invitation: https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/didrkh4z4mpxkl5xkak5p/2023_Invite_FINAL.pdf?rlkey=sxg1ya3r2yixch9lkoo44a723&dl=0

The OSS Society offers a $100 discount to OSS Society members who register online. (To become a member of The OSS OSS Society, please fill out its membership application form: https://www.osssociety.org/forms.html.) Active duty and former military personnel receive a discounted ticket price, too. Here's a link to register online: https://conta.cc/3DQhcRM.

 

OSS

 

9/12/23 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Tue, 09/12/2023 - 9:36am

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. Strengthening the Profession: A Call to All Army Leaders to Revitalize Our Professional Discourse
2. Politicization and Pop Culture: How Public Perception of Special Operations Units Intersects with Civil-Military Relations
3. China Sows Disinformation About Hawaii Fires Using New Techniques
4. Beware the False Prophets of War
5. A Facebook Post on Coach Deion Sanders and Character and Leadership
6. Lithium deposit found in US may be among world’s largest, study finds
7. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 11, 2023
8. Inflection Point: How to Reverse the Erosion of U.S. and Allied Military Power and Influence
9. It's Google versus the US in the biggest antitrust trial in decades
10. Death penalty upheld for soldier who killed 13 in base shooting
11. How the ‘nuclear football’ remains a potent symbol of the unthinkable
12. Republican Bill with Massive Boost to Junior Enlisted Pay Sparks Veto Threat from Biden
13. The Power of Solid Alliances for Good
14. Biden inches toward decision on long-range missiles as Ukraine ups pressure
15. Replicator: How America Plans to Take on the China Military Challenge
16. DOJ to ‘Surge’ Resources at Corporate Crimes With National Security Implications
17. 9/11 at 22: From 'We Will Never Forget' to 'We’ll Never Learn'
18. Elon Musk's refusal to have Starlink support Ukraine attack in Crimea raises questions for Pentagon
19. Morocco’s reluctance to accept quake aid baffles foreign governments
20.  Putin Calls Trump Charges Political ‘Persecution’
21. DoD Enters Agreement to Expand Domestic Lithium Mining for U.S. Battery Supply Chains
22. Ukraine's Fight on the Front Lines of the Information Environment

Korean News Content:

1.  N. Korea's Kim heads to Russia for summit with Putin as concerns grow over military cooperation
2. White House urges N. Korea not to provide weapons to Russia
3. N. Korea's Kim arrives in Russia for rare summit with Putin
4. North Korea’s Kim is in Russia to meet Putin, as both are locked in standoffs with the West
5. The Power of Solid Alliances for Good
6. Kim Jong Un Travels to Russia, His Bulletproof Train Spotted Ahead of Putin Meeting
7. Can North Korea’s ammunition offer Russia support in Ukraine war?
8. A timeline of the complicated relations between Russia and North Korea
9. Kim-Putin’s Vladivostok bromance may risk global security, from Europe to Asia
10. Kim Jong Un arrives in Russia to meet Putin amid economy, security concerns
11. Kim's entourage suggests military focus for Putin summit
12. Don't sidestep human rights in North, UN rapporteur urges
13. Korea's independence heritage agency poised to launch anti-Japan campaign
14. N. Korean state security officer shot by female detainee with his own gun
15. North Korea’s Coming Breakout
16. Opposition leader set to appear for questioning over suspected illegal remittance to N. Korea
17. Activists take new approach to stop China from sending back N. Koreans

Demystifying the synthetic drug menace: India’s struggles and strategies

Mon, 09/11/2023 - 6:48pm

Demystifying the synthetic drug menace: India’s struggles and strategies

Girisanker S.B.               

By the end of the Cold War, the evolution of the referent object of security from a state-centric approach to a broader focus on human security has led to recognising various non-traditional security threats that extend beyond traditional state boundaries. The rise of synthetic drugs has added a new dimension to the illicit drug landscape, altering the dynamics of traditional plant-based opioids and associated trafficking networks necessitating governments to rethink their conventional counter-narcotic strategies. Synthetic drugs like Amphetamines, Meth (methamphetamine) and MDMA (3,4-methylenedioxymethamphetamine), K2, and Fentanyl made in labs (semi-synthetic or synthetic) have become a growing concern due to their affordability, being unaffected by climatic conditions, profitability, and ease of transportation. Of further concern is the potential transnational crime-terror nexus that might be fuelling the synthetic drug industry. The United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) noted that synthetic drug trafficking from East and South-East Asian and South-West Asia, targeting South Asia, is surging,[1] particularly high volumes of Methamphetamine continue to be produced in Shan State of Myanmar by ethnic insurgent groups like the United Wa State Army and Shan State Army.

Fentanyl

Ball-and-stick model of the fentanyl molecule, Public Domain

The repercussions of this synthetic drug crisis are not confined to Asia alone; they are evident in the largest illegal drug market, the United States. The dramatic increase in overdose deaths related to synthetic opioids, primarily Fentanyl, has reached alarming levels according to a report by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). The involvement of Mexican organized criminal factions like the Sinaloa and Jalisco New Generation Cartel (Cártel Jalisco Nueva Generación – CJNG) in the manufacturing and smuggling of Methamphetamine and Fentanyl precursors from countries like China and India into the United States has raised serious national security apprehensions for the United States.[2] Consequently, the United States has taken a proactive stance, advocating for global collaboration to combat the synthetic drug trade. The US law enforcement priorities have undergone a notable shift primarily focused on thwarting the access of international criminal syndicates to precursor chemicals essential for synthetic drug production through close coordination and information sharing with partner countries. Additionally, extensive efforts are being dedicated to unravelling non-traditional alliances between terrorists, transnational drug trafficking organizations (criminal cartels) and transnational gangs that might be driving this illicit industry.

In this regard, Social Network Analysis (SNA) and node similarity-based algorithms have gained popularity worldwide after 9/11 in the law enforcement community for predicting complex links within criminal organizations.[3] These tools are invaluable for helping policymakers gain a deeper understanding of these clandestine structures and devise strategies to weaken and disrupt them. Scholars have used SNA to study a wide range of criminal groups, from terrorist cells involved in the 2002 Bali bombings to identifying criminal groups engaged in an extensive series of convenience store robberies in Richmond, Virginia and unravelling a cannabis cultivation network in the Netherlands known as Blackbird by allowing Dutch police to identify intelligence gaps and potential informants.[4] Nathan P. Jones, Irina Chindea, Daniel Weisz Argomedo, and John P. Sullivan based on the study on Mexican drug trafficking organisations network, recommend that policymakers and intelligence agencies should integrate machine learning techniques and SNA into their analysis of complex illicit networks for counter-narcotic operations. A key contribution from their analysis is the ability to predict alliances, which help policy-makers find the likely missing data on dark networks.[5] Thus, studies are ongoing to unravel and predict the possibility of future nexus within illicit networks.

Meanwhile, the report released by the insights crime highlight’s a concerning gap between the apparent scale of the synthetic drug problem in the United States and the ability of law enforcement agencies to successfully dismantle the networks responsible for its proliferation.[6] This could be due to various factors, including the complexity of these networks, the adaptability of criminal organizations involved in synthetic drug production and distribution and international challenges in counter-narcotic coordinating efforts.  

In this context, it is worth noting that in 2019, under pressure from the US, China scheduled all forms of fentanyl. However, the counter-narcotic collaboration between the two countries became strained in 2020 when the US unilaterally imposed sanctions on Chinese companies, arrested Chinese nationals, and criticized China's counter-narcotics efforts. China, in turn, blamed the US for escalating its domestic security concerns to an international issue and for shifting the blame by not addressing its domestic illegal drug consumption issue.[7] In August 2022, China declared the suspension of all counter-narcotic and law enforcement cooperation with the US,[8] and this situation continues to date. In light of these developments, the United States views India as a reliable partner in advancing counternarcotics initiatives within the South Asian region.

Given its status as the largest global manufacturer of generic medicines offered at affordable rates, India has evolved into a transit country as well as a source of precursor chemicals used in the illicit production of synthetic drugs, including Meth and Fentanyl, exploited by criminal organizations. Furthermore, India's long coastline, porous borders, and proximity to the highest drug-producing regions of the world- Golden Crescent and Golden Triangle; make it vulnerable to narcotics smuggling. According to the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) intelligence report, although China and Mexico remain primary sources of trafficked fentanyl and its derivatives into the United States, India has emerged as a supplier of precursor chemicals for manufacturing synthetic drugs.[9] Consequently, the US has listed India in the Presidential Determination on Major Illicit Drug Transit or Producing Countries, necessitating counter-narcotic collaboration.[10] India's unintended role in this lucrative narcotic trade is evident from the large seizures of precursor chemicals. Moreover, the underemployment of pharmacists, lax regulations, corruption, and remote locations make India a cost-effective and profitable destination for transnational drug trafficking organizations to exploit the system and establish clandestine labs. The 2018 arrest from Indore and Mumbai with around 10 kg of Fentanyl and 100kg of N-Phenethyl-4-piperidinone (NPP) demonstrates growing links between Mexican Transnational Criminal Organisations and India-based fentanyl precursor chemical suppliers.[11]

The crime-terror/insurgency nexus resulting from this lucrative trade can have implications for funding extremism, separatist movement, and insurgency, particularly in regions such as India's Northeast, Punjab, and Kashmir. This poses, a threat to India’s national security. In collaboration with regional counterparts, these organisations employ sophisticated smuggling methods using legitimate shipping channels, couriers, and front companies for smuggling activities.  In India’s North-East region, insurgent groups have been known to derive profits through drug distribution and involvement in drug protection rackets. This is achieved by engaging in the trafficking of precursor chemicals into Myanmar and subsequently trafficking the finished products back through the porous Myanmar-India border.[12] This intricate operation often involves collaboration between the insurgent factions operating in the North-East and criminal syndicates across the border. Further, another significant concern is the collaboration between states and criminal syndicates to finance covert operations to bleed India with thousand cuts through the drug trade. A stark illustration of this concern is the documented role of Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) Agency in collaboration with D-company, Haji Salim, Lashkar-e-Taiba, Jaish-e-Mohammed, Hizbul Mujahideen, and other militant-terrorist gangs in exporting drugs and arms to regions within India, such as Kashmir and Punjab to flare up separatist movements and target India’s youth. Further, a 2022 NATO report revealed the involvement of Pakistan’s Army and the Taliban in an “unholy” nexus of the narco- trade.[13] 

India’s Narcotic Drugs and Psychotropic Substances Act (NDPS) of 1985 establishes the legal regulatory framework for controlling narcotic and psychoactive substances. The NDPS has been amended four times since its implementation, in 1988, 2001, 2014, and 2021, respectively. It sets provisions for controlled drug precursors identified under the UN Convention Against Illicit Traffic in Narcotic Drugs and Psychotropic Substances. Under this Act, India classifies controlled substances as per three schedules A, B and C. Schedule A must register and obtain a unique registration number from the Zonal Director of the Narcotics Control Bureau. Any facility that exports or imports-controlled substances in Schedule B or Schedule C must obtain a “No Objective Certificate (NOC)” from the Narcotics Commissioner.  Further, the penalties for selling precursor chemicals used in drug manufacturing is a maximum sentence of 10 years as mentioned in section 25 A of India’s NDPS Act.

In 2018, the Indian government designated two direct fentanyl precursors, N-Phenethyl-4-piperidinone (NPP) and Anilino-N-phenethylpiperidine (ANPP), as Schedule B, which restricted their export. In 2020, after domestically manufactured ANPP was trafficked in Mexico, the Indian government tightened controls over ANPP and NPP by designating them as Schedule A in the NDPS Order of 2013.[14] This order brought the domestic manufacture, distribution, sale, possession, and use of those substances under national control.However, since then, traffickers have adapted their approach to using alternative precursor chemicals for fentanyl manufacture. Thus, the significant challenge with regulating the synthetic drug industry is that a well-trained pharmacist or chemist with knowledge of pharmaceutical synthesis can potentially manufacture fentanyl or other drugs using alternative precursor chemicals with similar chemical structures. In this regard it will be difficult to ban all precursor chemicals as they have legitimate scientific and medical uses. Indeed, the complex and diverse nature of the precursors, pre-precursors, and essential chemicals used in synthetic drug production poses a significant challenge for law enforcement and regulatory agencies. Attempting to tackle the synthetic drug production problem with a single, uniform solution is often impractical and insufficient.[15] Further, when one government aggressively restricts the precursor chemical, traffickers simply buy it elsewhere, a phenomenon referred to as the ‘Balloon Effect.’

India’s approach to precursor control involves balancing the need to prevent drug production and trafficking while ensuring the legitimate use of precursor chemicals in trade and industry. The country emphasizes sharing knowledge, best practices, and technical assistance to help other nations strengthen their laws, standard operating procedures, and working mechanisms in precursor control.

India has also established bilateral and multilateral agreements with several countries to enhance cooperation in combating drug trafficking and precursor control. In 2020, the United States made a decisive move to work with India in establishing a bilateral Counternarcotics Working Group. This working group, marked by annual meetings, aims to enhance collective efforts in disrupting the trafficking of precursors and illicit synthetic opioids, including fentanyl, amphetamine, tramadol, and tapentadol. Both nations agreed to cooperate on drug regulatory matters, address workforce shortages and skilling requirements, secure pharmaceutical supply, strengthen law enforcement, multilateral coordination, intelligence sharing, joint operations, and initiatives to curb drug trafficking and demand reduction.[16] Such cooperation affords India insights into US interdiction endeavours and technologies employed across maritime, aerial, land, and postal routes.

The fourth annual US-India Counternarcotics Working Group (CNWG) meeting, convened on July 19, 2023, at the US Department of State during Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s historic State visit, culminated in the establishment of a bilateral Drug Policy Framework for the 21st Century. Within this framework, an expanded drug policy partnership is founded on three key pillars: demonstrating global leadership in countering illicit drug production and supply chains, creating a sustainable and comprehensive public health collaboration to prevent and address addiction, including workforce shortages and skilling needs, and advancing a secure, resilient, reliable, and exemplary pharmaceutical supply chain model for the world.[17]

In 2023, India launched Operation Samudragupt through coordination between the navy and Narcotics Control Bureau (NCB), targeting drug trafficking via ships to cleanse the Indian Ocean region of drugs. The move was in response to the surge in use of maritime routes by criminal syndicates due to easy transportation of high drug volume, and exploiting the challenges faced by countries in high seas-based checks, including difficulty inspecting the sheer volume of containers, and jurisdictional complexities. However, due to the effective coordination between Indian agencies and intelligence sharing by international partners, particularly the United States, substantial seizures of both traditional and synthetic drugs within India’s maritime borders were achieved.[18] The seizures also revealed the interconnections of cross-border drug traffickers and other criminal organizations with terrorist entities like Lashkar-e-Taiba, Haji Salim network, and Hizbul Mujahideen.[19]

Moreover, the advent of unregulated platforms like the darknet, coupled with encryption and cryptocurrency transactions, has facilitated the buying, and selling of narcotics, connecting global criminal networks. In response, India established a dedicated Task Force on the Darknet and Cryptocurrency to monitor dubious drug-related transactions and initiated the “Darkathon -2022” endeavor through the Narcotics Control Bureau (NCB) to understand the patterns of these Dark Net activities and find solutions.[20]

In response to the challenges posed by financing of terrorism through illegal narcotics trade, India has also directed its attention towards the fight against money laundering including crackdown on virtual assets that funds terrorism. This approach, formulated during the “Global Trends in Terrorist Financing and Terrorism” conference held in November 2022 in New Delhi by the Ministry of Home Affairs, rests on six pillars: (1) reinforcing legislative and technological frameworks, (2) establishing a comprehensive monitoring system, (3) facilitating actionable intelligence sharing while bolstering investigation and police operations, (4) enabling provisions for property confiscation, (5) prevent misuse of legal entities and emerging technologies, and (6) fostering international cooperation and coordination.[21]

As a signatory to pivotal international conventions including the Single Convention on Narcotic Drugs (1961), the United Nations Convention on Psychotropic Substances (1971), and the United Nations Convention Against Illicit Traffic in Narcotic Drugs and Psychotropic Substances (1988), India underscores its dedication to combatting the global synthetic drug trade. In August 2022, India actively participated in the UNODC’s global SMART (Synthetics Monitoring: Analyses, Reporting, and Trends) initiative, affirming its commitment to monitor, analyze, report, and comprehend synthetic drug trends.[22] With twenty-six bilateral agreements, fifteen memoranda of understanding, and two security cooperation pacts with various countries, India forges ahead in its collaborative efforts to combat the illicit trafficking of narcotics and psychotropic substances.[23]Moreover, along with the supply side counternarcotic strategies, India has balanced demand-side initiatives through Integrated Rehabilitation Centers for Addicts (IRCAs) for substance-dependent individuals, the National Action Plan for Drug Demand Reduction (NAPDDR), Project Sunrise and the Nasha Mukt Bharat Abhiyaan (Drugs-Free India Campaign).[24]

As India navigates the challenges of the 21st century, it becomes evident that the formidable spectre of drug trafficking has eclipsed traditional interstate wars as a significant non-traditional security threat. This illicit industry’s intricacies involve a web of diverse actors, often operating without centralized hierarchies, leading to a dangerous potential for collaboration between criminal organizations and terrorist groups. Widespread violence and corruption further compound the issue, as they have the capacity to destabilize nations and push them toward state failure. This corresponds to Richard Norton’s concept of a ‘Feral City’[25][26], and Susan Strange’s idea of the ‘Retreat of the State,’[27] thus providing safe havens for non-state actors to operate. Additionally, the presence of government-sponsored covert agendas exacerbates the multifaceted nature of this transnational menace. Consequently, confronting this global threat necessitates a united front characterized by cooperative endeavours, shared responsibilities, and an unwavering commitment from the international community.

Endnotes

[1] “India: UNODC national consultation with law enforcement agencies calls for stronger cooperation to counter synthetic drugs.” New Delhi: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime. 2017, https://www.unodc.org/southasia//frontpage/2022/August/india_-unodc-national-consultation-with-law-enforcement-agencies-calls-for-stronger-cooperation-to-counter-synthetic-drugs.htm.

[2] “2020 Drug Enforcement Administration National Drug Threat.” Drug Enforcement Administration. 2020, https://www.dea.gov/sites/default/files/2021-02/DIR-00821%202020%20National%20Drug%20Threat%20Assessment_WEB.pdf.

[3] Arie Perliger and Ami Pedahzur, “Social Network Analysis in the Study of Terrorism and Political Violence.” Political Science and Politics. Vol 44, no. 1, 2011: pp. 45-50, https://doi.org/10.1017/s1049096510001848.

[4] Nathan P. Jones, Irina A Chindea, Daniel Weisz Argomedo, and John P. Sullivan, “A Social Network Analysis of Mexico’s Dark Network Alliance Structure.” Journal of Strategic Security. Vol. 15, no. 4. 2022: pp. 76–105, https://doi:10.5038/1944-0472.15.4.2046.

[5] Oscar Contreras Velasco, Nathan P. Jones, Daniel Weisz Argomedo, John P. Sullivan, and Chris Callaghan, “The Use of Similarity-based Algorithms to Predict Links in Mexican Criminal Networks.”  Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy, Houston, Texas. 2023, https://doi.org/10.25613/BQ88-X176.

[6] Steven Dudley, “Precursors and Mexico’s Synthetic Drug Trade: Summary and Major Findings.” InSight Crime. May 2023, https://The-Flow-of-Precursor-Chemicals-for-Synthetic-Drug-Production-in-Mexico-InSight-Crime-March-2023-3.pdf.

[7] Ni Hongzhang and Liu Xin, “China urges US to create conditions for counter-narcotics cooperation.” Global Times. July 2023, https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202307/1293953.shtml.

[8] Vanda Felbab-Brown, “China’s role in fentanyl crisis.” Brookings. 31 March 2023, https://www.brookings.edu/articles/chinas-role-in-the-fentanyl-crisis/.

[9] “Fentanyl flow to the U.S.” Drug Enforcement Administration. 2020, https://www.dea.gov/sites/default/files/2020-03/DEA_GOV_DIR-008-20%20Fentanyl%20Flow%20in%20the%20United%20States_0.pdf.

[10] “Memorandum on Presidential Determination on Major Drug Transit or Major Illicit Drug Producing Countries for Fiscal Year 2023.” The White House. 2022, https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2022/09/15/memorandum-on-presidential-determination-on-major-drug-transit-or-major-illicit-drug-producing-countries-for-fiscal-year-2023/.

[11] Srinath Rao, “Seized opioid was bound for Mexico, key accused a known narcotics offender: Mumbai Police.” Indian Express. 29 December 2018, https://indianexpress.com/article/cities/mumbai/seized-opioid-was-bound-for-mexico-key-accused-a-known-narcotics-offender-mumbai-police-5514410/.

[12] “East and Southeast Asian synthetic drug supply remains at extreme levels and diversifies.” Bangkok: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC). 2023, https://www.unodc.org/roseap/2023/06/regional-synthetic-drugs-report launch/story.

[13] David R. Winston, “The Convergence of the Narcotics Underworld and Extremists in Afghanistan and Pakistan and Its Global Proliferation.” NATO. 2022, https://deepportal.hq.nato.int/eacademy/publications/narco-insecurity/,

[14] Vanda Felbab-Brown, "China and synthetic drugs control fentanyl, methamphetamines, and precursors." Brookings. March 2022, https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/FP_20221107_drug_trafficking_felbab_brown.pdf.

[15] Op. Cit., Dudley at note 6.

[16] “Joint Statement of the U.S.-India Counternarcotics Working Group.” US: US Embassy and Consulate in India. 2020, https://in.usembassy.gov/joint-statement-of-the-u-s-india-counternarcotics-working-group/.

[17] “Joint Statement from the United States and India.” The White House. 22 June 2023, https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/06/22/joint-statement-from-the-united-states-and-india/.

[18] “Drug trafficking operation nets record seizures and 1,333 arrests.” INTERPOL. 2022, https://www.interpol.int/en/News-and-Events/News/2022/Drug-trafficking-operation-nets-record-seizures-and-1-333-arrests.

[19] Dipti Yadav and Bidisha Saha, “The Anatomy of Maritime Drug Syndicate Busted by Indian Authorities.” India Today. 22 May 2023. https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/anatomy-of-maritime-drug-syndicate-busted-by-indian-authorities-2382628-2023-05-22

[20] Devesh K Pandey.,“NCB organises “Darkathon-2022” to find solutions to counter drug trafficking.” The Hindu. 15 February 2022, https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/ncb-organises-darkathon-2022-to-find-solutions-to-counter-drug-trafficking/article65052268.ece.

[21] “No Money for Terror.” India: Ministry of Home Affairs. 18 November 2022, https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=1876940

[22] “India: UNODC national consultation with law enforcement agencies calls for stronger cooperation to counter synthetic drugs.” India: United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) Regional Office for South Asia. 5 August 2022, https://www.unodc.org/southasia/en/frontpage/2022/August/india_-unodc-national-consultation-with-law-enforcement-agencies-calls-for-stronger-cooperation-to-countersyntheticdrugs.

[23] “Rajya Sabha unstarred question number.1484.” India: Ministry of Home Affairs. 4 March 2020, https://www.mha.gov.in/MHA1/Par2017/pdfs/par2020-pdfs/rs-04032020/1484.pdf.

[24] “Ministry of Social Justice and Empowerment has launched the National Action Plan for Drug Demand Reduction (NAPDDR).” India: Ministry of Social Justice & Empowerment. 1 August 2023, https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=1944693.

[25] Richard Norton, "Feral Cities," Naval War College Review. Vol. 65, no. 4, 2003, https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol56/iss4/8/.

[26] Robert. J. Bunker and John. P. Sullivan, “Integrating feral cities and third phase cartels/third generation gangs research: the rise of criminal (narco) city networks and BlackFor.” [Special Issue: Criminal Insurgencies in Mexico and the Americas: The Gangs and Cartels Wage War.] Small Wars & Insurgencies, Vol. 22, no. 5, 2011: pp. 765-787, https://doi.org/10.1080/09592318.2011.620804.

[27] Susan Strange, “The Retreat of the State: The Diffusion of Power in the World Economy.” Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2009.

9/11/23 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Mon, 09/11/2023 - 9:01am

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. A Patriot Day Remembrance - Armed Forces Press
2. Military Hall of Honor
3. Unconventional Warfare, 9/11 and the Future of U.S. Military Power (and BG Frank Toney)
4. Lessons From Ukraine for Security Force Assistance
5. Building the New Infantry: It’s All About Culture By Corporal Joshua Sulentic, USMC
6. Is the US getting Asia wrong?
7. Special Operations News - September 11, 2023 | SOF News
8. The Three Roadblocks Keeping Ukraine Mired in War
9. U.S. Military Exercises in Russia’s Backyard Cause Alarm at the Kremlin
10. Theaters of War That Make Up the Fighting in Ukraine
11. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 10, 2023
12. Ukrainians Embrace Cluster Munitions, but Are They Helping?
13 Opinion | Corruption Is an Existential Threat to Ukraine, and Ukrainians Know It
14. Recreating Western Deterrence
15. Jack Carr's take on the 9/11 terror attacks — including 'hope' and the lessons from Afghanistan
16.  In US-led drills, Australian and Indonesian forces deploy battle tanks
17. What a new ruling in a social media case means for cyber agencies
18. 'What happened at the Pentagon?' If we're not careful, 9/11 attacks will fade from memory.
19. It’s Time to Build Combined Forward Operating Base Sierra Madre
20. U.S. Diplomacy After the Russia-Ukraine War
21. EXCLUSIVE: US Navy vet Sarah Bils relaunched pro-Putin propaganda accounts on X and YouTube months after being investigated by DOJ
22. Ambitious Asia-to-Europe Corridor Will Link Up U.S. Partners
23. Australia-Philippines pact takes hard new aim at China
24. 10 Life Lessons from Ted Lasso
 

Korean News Content:

1.  N. Korean leader's special train appears to have departed for Russia: officials
2. Kim Jong Un reportedly en route to Russia as Vladimir Putin arrives in Vladivostok for potential meeting
3. Britain's King Charles III congratulates N. Korea's Kim on key anniversary
4. Heavy security spotted at Vladivostok train station amid speculation of N.K. leader's visit
5. Inside Kim Jong Un’s luxurious — and slow — armored train
6. Doubts Cast on N.Korea’s ‘Nuclear Attack Submarine’ - North Korea
7. Earthquakes Get More Frequent Near N.Korea’s Nuke Test Site - North Korea
8. New N.Korean Sub Must Not Be Underestimated
9. Kim Jong-un looks to stoke patriotism ahead of Putin meeting
10. Arms deal between Kim and Putin could prompt Seoul to expand support for Kyiv
11. Kim-Putin’s Vladivostok bromance may risk global security, from Europe to Asia
12. Who is starving in North Korea in 2023 and why?  Analyzing the situation through Amartyra Sen’s theories on famine 
13.  Unification minister meets UN rapporteur for N. Korea's human rights
14. Yoon likely to reshuffle Cabinet this week
15. Two Sunan Airport employees arrested for taking bribes from returnees
 

9/10/23 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Sun, 09/10/2023 - 10:38am

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 9, 2023
2. FBI Director Wray issues warning about number of Russian spies in the US
3. Analyzing Effective Strategies: ASEAN Countries Confronting the CCP in the Face of Rising Geopolitical Tensions
4. Memorandum of Understanding on the Principles of an India – Middle East – Europe Economic Corridor
5. Biden opens Vietnam visit by saying the two countries are 'critical partners' at a 'critical time'
6. FACT SHEET: President Biden and Prime Minister Modi Host Leaders on the Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment
7. FACT SHEET: World Leaders Launch a Landmark India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor
8.  Xi’s Tight Control Hampers Stronger Response to China’s Slowdown
9. The Technology Facebook and Google Didn’t Dare Release
10. 30 fighting days left for Ukraine’s offensive - US Army chief
11. China may never become the world's biggest economy and has thrown out its old playbook, Mohamed El-Erian says
12. US, Canada sail warships through the Taiwan Strait in a challenge to China
13. China blindsided by historic challenge to Belt and Road project at G20
14. Diamonds, girlfriends, illicit lobbying: The fall of a former ambassador
15. Vietnam Chases Secret Russian Arms Deal, Even as It Deepens U.S. Ties
16. Vietnam Is a Partner, Not an Ally Against China
17. Irregular Warfare, Who has Ownership and Expertise within the U.S. Government?
18. CIA seeks to recruit Russian officials with video about truth
19. 'I have a lot of regrets': Exclusive interview with top general who oversaw Afghanistan withdrawal
20. Three Navy SEAL commanders face charges in Hell Week death
21. OPINION: North Korean Support Will Only Extend Putin’s War Against Ukraine
22. The era of Chinese growth is over. Like Germany in 1914, war could follow
23. Twenty-two years after 9/11: 3 lessons we need to teach about courage, unity and resilience
24. ‘Traitors Have Been Liquidated’ – How Ukraine’s Partisans Have Been Sabotaging Russia’s Sham Elections
25. Uncertainty at the top blurs Marine Corps’ work on 2025 budget

Korean News Content:

1. The rationality of North Korea
2. Kim Jong Un hosts Chinese and Russian guests at a parade celebrating North Korea's 75th anniversary
3. N. Korea's Kim touts patriotism on key anniversary
4. No word on N. Korean leader's possible visit as Russia kicks off economic forum
5. Yoon, Japan's Kishida agree to work toward S. Korea-Japan-China summit
6. Harris: N. Korea would 'pay a price' for supplying Russia with weapons
7. North Korea Debuts Rocket Launchers That Appear As Civilian Trucks
8.  North Korea's New Missile Submarine It Not 'Capable of Normal Operation'
9. Kim Jong Un and his daughter celebrate North Korea's 75th anniversary. Xi and Putin send their regards
10. Yoon pledges $2.3 billion to Ukraine for war recovery at G20
11. Korea, India to boost economic ties by improving free trade agreement
12. The Japan-ROK-U.S. Summit: Destructive Trilateral Military Alliance. “Expressway to the East-West War”

9/9/23 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Sat, 09/09/2023 - 1:53pm

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 8, 2023
2. Deterrence in Taiwan Is Failing
3. China, North Korea pursue new targets while honing cyber capabilities  
4. India studies response to potential Taiwan invasion
5. US House panel plans Taiwan war game with Wall Street executives
6. Do Policy Schools Still Have a Point?
7. PLA Social Media Warfare and the Cognitive Domain
8. Russia’s Would-Be Assassins Still Stalk Europe’s Streets
9. How American Institutions Went From Trust to Bust
10. The Terrorism Potentials of ChatGPT & Related Generative AI Models
11. China’s military seeks to exploit U.S. troops, veterans, general warns
12. US ‘Increasingly Concerned’ With Ukraine Battlefield Tactics Against Russia
13. The cold war holds lessons for America’s rivalry with China, say Condoleezza Rice and Niall Ferguson
14.  The International Criminal Court Will Now Prosecute Cyberwar Crimes
15. China Won’t Start With Taiwan
16. G20 Declaration Omits Criticism of Russia, Notes Ukrainians’ ‘Suffering’
17. FACT SHEET: Delivering an Ambitious Agenda for the G20
18. In Ukraine, a U.S. Arms Dealer Is Making a Fortune and Testing Limits
19. 5th Circuit finds Biden White House, CDC violated First Amendment
20. US repositioning forces in Niger in ‘precautionary’ move
21. What an S-400 kill and a spec ops raid reveal about Ukraine's ability to hit Russia
 

Korean News Content:

1. ‘The Sister’ Review: North Korea’s Sibling Dynasty
2. Ex-US intelligence officer for North Korea points to growing concern on nuclear threat toward South
3. The Perils of a Renewed North Korea-Russia Relationship
4. China, North Korea pursue new targets while honing cyber capabilities  
5. Sinpho South Shipyard: New Submarine Makes Debut, but With Many Questions To Be Answered
6. Japan and South Korea’s rapprochement is shakier than it looks
7. N. Korean leader attends paramilitary parade to mark key anniversary
8.  DP leader questioned over illegal money transfers to N. Korea
9. Yoon, Biden meet on margins of G20 summit
10. Nuclear-powered submarines: A timely necessity for S. Korea
11. S. Korea deplores N. Korea's launch of nuclear attack submarine
12. Fans left confused after Wales welcomes Korea with Chinese characters
13. S. Korean nuclear envoy voices concerns over forced repatriation of NK defectors in meeting with UN rapporteur
14, 3 minor natural earthquakes strike near N. Korea's nuclear test site
15. [INTERVIEW] N. Korean defector keeps fingers crossed for daughter detained in China
16. Vladimir Putin - Kim Jong Un Summit: A Partnership of Gangsters
17. China distances itself from North Korea-Russia ties: experts
18. Analysis | How the Nuclear Missile Threat from North Korea Keeps Growing

9/8/23 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Fri, 09/08/2023 - 8:50am

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 7, 2023
2. Colonel Larry Ruggley was retired from the U.S. Army
3. LSE IDEAS announces the passing of Director, Professor Christopher Coker
4. Musk shut off Starlink to prevent Ukraine attack on Russian ships, report says
5. What next for Russia’s Wagner mercenaries?
6. Scoop: China hawk Kurt Campbell is leading candidate for deputy at State
7. Tip of the Spear - August 2023 (USSOCOM) | SOF News
8. NATO has no indication of intentional Russian attack on Romania
9. What $50 Million Can Buy: Inside the Sleek New White House Situation Room
10. Digital threats from East Asia increase in breadth and effectiveness
11. Marines draw inspiration from drug runners for unmanned resupply boat
12. Drone Strikes Rock Russian City That Is Home to Key Military Base
13. Pentagon expects to release its annual China report in mid-October
14. 5 Things to Watch as Biden Heads for G20 Summit
15. Apple Becomes the Biggest U.S.-China Pawn Yet
16. The inside story of how the Navy spent billions on the 'Little Crappy Ship'
17. EXPLAINED: The US Intelligence Counteroffensive Assessment That Has Everyone Talking
18. US raises alarm as Chinese platform corners market on global shipping logistics
19. The new Marine infantry battalion is slimmer, saltier and more techy
20. After Criticism from Its Top Commander, Space Force Adopts New Mission Statement
21. US, Australia should use civil aid, not military, to woo Pacific Island states from China: Wargame
22. Why Our Generals Don't Win By Gary Anderson
23. CNN Exclusive: ‘How am I in this war?’: New Musk biography offers fresh details about the billionaire’s Ukraine dilemma
24. The China Model Is Dead
25. Tuberville Military Blockade Muddles New Nuclear Oversight (1)
26. China Prefers Guns to Butter
27. Xi Prepares to Eat Economic Bitterness
28. I was Ukraine’s defence minister. Here’s my message for our allies: we must not lose sight of victory
29. Towards a Policy Framework for Addressing Violent Conspiracy Theory Movements
 

Korean News Content:

1. If Kim Jong Un Travels to Russia is a New Arms Deal in the Works?
2. Time to Destroy North Korea’s Revenue Generation
3. Biden’s ‘Spirit of Camp David’ is a mere specter of alliance
4. Proposed Naval Drills Signal Closer Military Cooperation Among Moscow, Beijing, Pyongyang
5. John Batchelor Show: #NorthKorea: Moscow romances Kim
6. Russia and China's Courtship of North Korea Is Disastrous for the US
7. How one activist helps North Koreans grow their own food – Ep. 303
8. Kim Jong Un's possible trip to Russia could be like his 2019 journey: 20 hours on his armored train
9. A Renewed Axis: Growing Military Cooperation Between North Korea and Russia - Beyond Parallel
10. North Korea publicly executes 9 people for running beef smuggling ring
11. N. Korea unveils new 'tactical nuclear attack submarine'
12. Great Event Heralding Arrival of New Era, Turning Point in Bolstering up Juche-based Naval Force Ceremony of Launching Newly-built Submarine Held with Splendor in Presence of Respected Comrade Kim Jong Un
13. S. Korea, U.S. to hold talks on extended deterrence next week
14. North Korea: Kim Jong Un reveals 'nuclear attack submarine'
15. Tipping Culture Comes to South Korea, and Backlash Is Fierce. ‘Wait, Is This America?’
16. After Camp David, bring S Korea into the Quad
17. N. Korea bolsters special police unit to guard against anti-state activities
18. [ANALYSIS] Concerns of Korea getting dragged into war in Taiwan are inflated
 

9/7/23 National Security and Korean News and Commentary

Thu, 09/07/2023 - 4:20pm

Access National Security News HERE.

Access Korean News HERE.

National Security News Content:

1. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 6, 2023
2. Special Operations General Officer Nominations | SOF News
3. Analysis | Famed hacker and Twitter whistleblower Peiter 'Mudge' Zatko is joining the Biden administration
4. Analysis | The G-20 summit is a huge global branding exercise for Modi’s India
5. Pentagon Plans Vast AI Fleet to Counter China Threat
6. New Pentagon Drone Program Needs to Avoid ‘Replicating’ Past Mistakes
7. Inside Ukraine’s assassination programme
8. China Slowdown Means It May Never Overtake US Economy, Forecast Shows
9. Analysis: Xi reprimanded by elders at Beidaihe over direction of nation
10. Was Xi Jinping actually reprimanded by retired Party leaders?
11. US Army scraps Abrams tank upgrade, unveils new modernization plan
12. Felony convictions vacated for 4 Navy officers in ‘Fat Leonard’ case
13. US to send depleted uranium rounds to Ukraine
14. Opinion | China’s Military Is Going Global
15. A Backdoor Call to Arms: Foreign Fighters in National Defense
16. In Southeast Asia, U.S.-China Competition Is More than a Two-Player Game
17. ‘A Desperate Move’ – Kremlin Under Fire Over Russia’s Ammo Situation
18. Xi’s Policies Have Shortened the Fuse on China’s Economic Time Bomb
19. U.S. Deterrence Against China Is Not Working
20. America’s Digital Achilles’ Heel
21. Putin Grows More Paranoid of Potential Threats to Power
22. With His Nuclear Threats, Putin Plays the West Like a Fiddle
23. Our Modern-Day Mackinder (Robert Kaplan)
24. Revisiting the Hedge Strategy with Renewed Urgency
25. Ukraine’s Strikes Behind Enemy Lines Are Paying Off
26. Cyberwar and Conventional Warfare in Ukraine
27. Japanese, U.S., the Philippines Drill in the South China Sea; China Contests U.S. Position on Territorial Disputes
28. Biden’s stance on Ukraine should be clear
29. Opinion | Inside the saga of the State Department’s missing Iran envoy
 

Korean News Content:

1. US scorns Putin's possible turn toward North Korea
2. N. Korea will face 'repercussions' if it provides weapons to Russia: Kirby
3. Chinese delegation to visit N. Korea for celebrations of founding anniv.
4. N. Korean leader may choose unexpected route for upcoming meeting with Putin: NIS
5. Why the North Korea-Russia alliance is worrying America
6. US considering long-range fires for Ukraine, State Dept. official says
7. Navy warship to help reenact Korean War’s pivotal amphibious assault on Incheon
8. ‘US Navy group heading for Yellow Sea in biggest show of strength near eastern China in 10 years
9. A Desperate Move’ – Kremlin Under Fire Over Russia’s Ammo Situation                                                                                                         
10. North Korea, the original Hermit Kingdom, slowly reopens after covid
11. North Korea Finds New Leverage in the Ukraine War
12. Yoon says N. Korea's nuclear program is existential threat to Indo-Pacific
13. Why China, Russia, and North Korea Joining Forces in the Indo-Pacific Isn’t a Prelude to War
14. N. Korea moves to accelerate production of automatic rifle ammunition
15. There is no ‘nuclear peace’ on the Korean Peninsula
16. Kim Jong-un's Arms Deals with Putin Must Be Stopped
17.  N. Korea’s defense ministry criticizes military units that failed to collect enough salt
18. North's mid-air detonation tests suggest will to kill
19. South Korea’s Political Bifurcation Will Stifle Any Trilateral Agreement