Small Wars Journal

21 November SWJ Roundup

Sun, 11/21/2010 - 11:39am
Afghanistan

NATO Adopts Transition Plan for Afghan War - Washington Post

NATO Sets 2014 Target for Afghan Pullout - Los Angeles Times

NATO, U.N. Pledge to Back Afghan Security Lead by 2014 - AFPS

With Afghan Control by 2014, Obama Sees Combat End - Associated Press

Taliban Rejects 2014 Vows to Keep Fighting - Associated Press

Taliban: Afghan Withdrawal Timeline "Irrational" - Reuters

Gates Addresses Role in Afghanistan After Security Transition - AFPS

On TV, an Afghan Unit Tackles the Taliban - New York Times

NATO, Afghan Troops Kill 5 Insurgents in Attacks - Associated Press

Survey: Most Afghans in South Unaware of 2001 Terrorist Attacks on U.S. - VOA

Afghan Fraud Panel Disqualifies 19 Candidates - Associated Press

Afghan Election Watchdog Disqualifies 21 Winners - Reuters

Afghans Want Country Back, Americans Should Listen - Washington Post opinion

Pakistan

Pakistan Cautiously Backs NATO's Afghan Plans - Reuters

U.S. Seeks Expansion of Drone Operations in Pakistan - Voice of America

Pakistan Rejects U.S. Drone Expansion - Los Angeles Times

Suspected U.S. Missiles Kill 6 in NW Pakistan - Associated Press

Iraq

New Iraqi Parliament Session Focuses on Procedure - Associated Press

A Killing Set Honor Above Love - New York Times

What We Must Do for Iraq Now - New York Times opinion

Iran

Court Date Postponed for American Hikers Held in Iran - Los Angeles Times

German Paper Rejects Spy Claim About Its Reporters - Associated Press

Ahmadinejad Urges Girls to Marry at 16 - Associated Press

NATO

NATO Sees Long-Term Role After Afghan Combat - New York Times

Strategic Concept Will Guide Alliance for Next Decade - AFPS

Obama Praises Acceptance of NATO's New Strategic Concept - AFPS

NATO-Russia Relations at 'Turning Point' - Voice of America

Russia to Aid NATO on Anti-missile Network in Europe - Washington Post

Summit Helps 'Reset' U.S.-Russia Relations, Obama Says - AFPS

Terrorism

Yemen: Qaeda Branch Aimed for Broad Damage at Low Cost - New York Times

Small-Scale Attacks to Continue, Al Qaeda Group Says - Reuters

Germany Seeks Suspects in Islamic Terrorist Plots - New York Times

WikiLeaks

International Warrant Issued for WikiLeaks Founder - Voice of America

Committee to Protect Journalists

Persecuted Journalists to Receive Awards for Their Work - VOA

U.S. Department of Defense

Marines as the Biggest Backer of DADT - Washington Post opinion

United States

START: The Democrats' Treaty Slump - New York Times

Europeans, Russia Urge U.S. Senate to Ratify START Treaty - Voice of America

Ex-Eastern Bloc Nations Tell U.S. Senate to Ratify New START - Washington Post

Gates Urges Ratification of U.S.-Russia Arms Treaty - AFPS

TSA Grants Airline Pilots an Exception to Screenings - New York Times

Clues to Stubborn Secret in CIA's Backyard - New York Times

The T.S. of A Takes Control - Washington Post opinion

Africa

Sudan's NCP Threatens to Reject Referendum Result - Reuters

Somalia: Mogadishu Mayor Sets Out to Rebuild the City - Washington Post

Army Storms Rebel Outpost in Madagascar - Reuters

Madagascar PM Says Mutiny Ends Without Bloodshed - Associated Press

Zambia Balances Chinese Investment, Workers' Resentment - New York Times

Official Campaigning Underway for Ivory Coast's Presidential Run-Off - VOA

Americas and Caribbean

Gates Visit Underscores Strong Relationship With Chile - AFPS

Gates Notes Value of Chile's Disaster Response Capabilities - AFPS

Health Care Officials in Haiti say Cholera Easily Treated - Voice of America

Cholera's Second Fever: An Urge to Blame - New York Times

Asia Pacific

Security Firm Says North Korea Building Reactor - Voice of America

North Koreans Unveil Vast New Plant for Nuclear Use - New York Times

U.S. Alert: North Korean Uranium Enrichment Program - Washington Post

U.S. Envoy In Asia Amid New North Korea Nuclear Concern - Reuters

Top U.S. Envoy on North Korea to Visit Asia - Associated Press

China's Billions Reap Rewards in Cambodia - Washington Post

Europe

No Sign of Imminent Militant Attack on German Reichstag - Associated Press

Irish Prime Minister Says Budget Plans Are Already in Place - New York Times

The Hunt for Jobs Sends the Irish Abroad, Again - New York Times

Russia's Dictatorship of Law - New York Times editorial

Middle East

Middle East Peace and Midterm Maneuvers - New York Times

Freeze Must Include Jerusalem, Abbas Says - Associated Press

Abbas: No Talks Without East Jerusalem Building Freeze - Reuters

Israel Troops Get Suspended Sentence on Gaza Abuse - Reuters

Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood Reports More Arrests - Voice of America

Rights Group Cautions Egypt on Election Harassment - Associated Press

Clues to Stubborn Secret in CIA's Backyard

Sun, 11/21/2010 - 6:30am

In the mid-90's I pondered the Kryptos sculpture through a window of a CIA dining facility and was intrigued enough to wander out into the courtyard to take a closer look. Being the Marine that I am, I thought okay, some NSA bubba will solve this, now back to real business - and up to now I thought the riddle had been solved. Apparently not, at least according to John Schwartz at The New York Times.

And from CIA's HQ Tour site:

"Unbreakable codes. International intrigue. Even the CIA's artwork has secrets. Kryptos, a sculpture at Agency headquarters, has baffled code crackers around the world with its secret message. The copperplate and granite sculpture symbolizes both the history of cryptography and the significance of intelligence gathering. Mystery continues to surround this work of art -- no one has ever fully deciphered Kryptos' coded message."

Georgia in NATO, Done Deal?

Sat, 11/20/2010 - 3:15pm
So says, or very close to saying, the Georgian embassy in the U.S. Via e-mail from Natia Zambakhidze of the Embassy of Georgia:

Georgia "Will Become a Member of NATO," Declares NATO As Lisbon Summit Concludes

The Government of Georgia welcomes the NATO Lisbon Communiqué as a definitive step forward in the country's integration into the Alliance. NATO has made a clear and unambiguous commitment to Georgia's path towards membership. "At the 2008 Bucharest Summit we agreed that Georgia will become a member of NATO and we reaffirm all elements of that decision, as well as subsequent decisions,"* the Communiqué states.

The Government also is pleased that NATO, while pursuing improved ties with Russia, refuses to compromise on Georgia's sovereignty and territorial integrity. "We reiterate our continued support for the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Georgia within its internationally recognized borders," the Communiqué notes. This message also was delivered unambiguously by United States President Barack Obama.

The Government of Georgia welcomes NATO's clarion call for Russia to finally implement the 2008 ceasefire agreements. "On this firm basis, we urge Russia to meet its commitments with respect to Georgia, as mediated by the European Union on 12 August and 8 September 2008," the Communiqué states, adding. "We continue to call on Russia to reverse its recognition of the South Ossetia and Abkhazia regions of Georgia as independent states."

The Lisbon Communiqué takes note as well of Georgia's continued and successful reforms: "We strongly encourage and actively support Georgia's continued implementation of all necessary reforms, particularly democratic, electoral and judicial reforms, as well as security and defense sector reforms, in order to advance its Euro-Atlantic aspirations."

Georgia's vital role as a NATO partner also is underscored by the Lisbon Communiqué, which highlights Georgia's essential contributions in Afghanistan. As did President Obama, the Alliance noted that Georgia is one of the highest per-capita contributors in troop numbers there—making clear that Georgia is as much a provider as a consumer of NATO security.*

*Italicized emphasis by SWJ.

My personal opinion - this is a very good thing. Russia's opinion - that is another matter.

20 November SWJ Roundup

Sat, 11/20/2010 - 5:10am
Afghanistan

NATO Wants Afghan Security Handover By The End Of 2014 - Reuters

Karzai to Meet NATO Over Pullout - BBC News

Biden: Afghans May Control Some Provinces as Early as January - AFPS

Embedded Marines Teaching Afghans to Fend for Themselves - Stars and Stripes

NATO Revises Goal for Police Mentoring Teams - Stars and Stripes

U.S. Tanks En Route to Southwestern Afghanistan - AFPS

Sen. Casey Targets Key Killer of U.S. Troops in Afghanistan - Philadelphia Inquirer

Afghan, Coalition Forces Find Several Weapons Caches - AFPS

Bicycle Bombs Kill at Least 3 in East Afghanistan - Associated Press

Bicycle Bomb Kills 3, Wounds 25 In East Afghanistan - Reuters

Afghanistan 'Surge' Troops Appreciate Support from Home - AFPS

Pakistan

U.S. Wants to Widen Area Where it Can Operate Drones - Washington Post

After Major Offensive, Pakistan Still Faces Serious Obstacles - Washington Post

10 NATO Tankers Torched in Pakistan - Press TV

Iraq

Can a Flawed Political Agreement be Implemented? - Los Angeles Times

Bomb Explodes Near Convoy of Iraqi Lawmakers - New York Times

Final Push Needed for Iraq Success, DOD Official Says - AFPS

Iran

Computer Worm Can Deal Double Blow to Nuclear Program - New York Times

TV Channel, Part Owned by Murdoch, Gets Threats in Iran - New York Times

Nigerian Officials Find Heroin in Shipment from Iran - BBC News

NATO Summit

NATO to Focus on Antimissile Defenses and Fighting Terrorism - Washington Post

NATO Stresses Global Role Despite Afghan Trauma - Reuters

Obama: NATO Leaders Agree on Missile Defense - VOA

NATO Leaders Agree to Build Missile Defense System - New York Times

NATO Leaders Agree to Europe Missile Defense Plan - Associated Press

NATO Seeks Missile Defense Agreement With Russia - Reuters

Obama Says NATO Leaders Back Him on START Treaty - Associated Press

Anti-NATO Summit Demonstrations Plan For Saturday - VOA

U.S. Department of Defense

USMC Whistleblower: Clearance Removal is Retaliation - Washington Post

Does America Need to Cut Defense Spending? - Washington Post

United States

Cost and Goals at Center of Arms Treaty Debate - New York Times

Split Over U.S.-Russia Nuke Treaty - Washington Post

A Dummy-Bomb Maker in an Unaccustomed Spotlight - New York Times

Airports Consider Congressman's Call to Ditch TSA - Associated Press

START Pact Should be Passed, Not Politicized - Washington Post editorial

Canada

Canadian Military Burns Ex-Colonel's Uniform - Associated Press

Africa

Detonator at Namibian Airport Was a Test Device - New York Times

Suspect Baggage in Namibia Was U.S. Test Mockup - Bloomberg

Namibia Suspicious Package Was a Security Test - Associated Press

Ivory Coast to Put Troops In Rebel Zones For Poll - Reuters

Nigeria Police: 2 Killed in Sect Attack on Mosque - Associated Press

Nigerian Officials Find Heroin in Shipment from Iran - BBC News

More Talks Between Government, Rebel Soldiers in Madagascar - VOA

Madagascar Army Rejects Use Of Force Against Rebels - Reuters

Even With Prevention, AIDS To Spread in South Africa - New York Times

Americas and Caribbean

Critics Say Mexican Revolution's Goals Are Elusive - Associated Press

Lawmakers Block Mexico's Crucial Drug War Reforms - Reuters

Mexico: 2 Bodies Hung From Bridge, Man Beheaded in Tijuana - Associated Press

Israeli Wanted by Colombia Released in Russia - Associated Press

Colombia Ex-spy Chief Hurtado Granted Panama Asylum - BBC News

U.N. Facilities, Peacekeepers in Haiti Test Negative for Cholera - VOA

U.N. Worries Its Troops Caused Cholera in Haiti - Associated Press

Cholera Protests Ebb in Haiti but Anger Remains - Associated Press

Haitians Plunge Into Rivers of Muck to Stem Cholera - New York Times

Haiti Cholera Outbreak Response 'Inadequate', Says MSF - BBC News

Haiti Cholera Response, Funding Called "Inadequate" - Reuters

Asia Pacific

China Resumes Rare Earth Shipments to Japan - New York Times

China's Nobel Fury Unmatched Since Soviet Days - Associated Press

North Korea Building New Nuclear Reactor, U.S. Says - Washington Post

N. Korea Seen Working on New Reactor - New York Times

Thai Protests Mark Six Months After Crackdown - New York Times

Thai Demonstrators Mark Crackdown Anniversary - Associated Press

Europe

France Rejects 'Bin Laden Talks' to Free Hostages - BBC News

France Lashes Out at al-Qaida Message on Hostages - Associated Press

Officials See Irish Rescue at 50 Billion Euros - New York Times

France: No Proof to Link Sarkozy to Karachi Bomb Probe - Reuters

Middle East

U.S. Prepared to Put Security Offer to Israel in Writing - VOA

Israel to Get Security Guarantees in Return for Freeze New York Times

U.S. Bars Palestinian Statehood Moves In U.N. Agencies - Reuters

Israel Strikes Gaza After Rocket Fire - Voice of America

Israel Planes Hit Gaza Targets After Rocket Fire - Reuters

A False Target in Yemen - New York Times opinion

South Asia

India Stocks Sink on Telecommunications Scandal - New York Times

This Week at War: The Paradox of Arms Control

Fri, 11/19/2010 - 7:22pm
Even if it passes, New START will only ensure that the U.S. remains dependent on nuclear weapons.

Here is the latest edition of my column at Foreign Policy:

Topics include:

1) Nuclear arms control will stop with New START

2) Can the Air Force save its Asian bases?

Nuclear arms control will stop with New START

This week, Sen. Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.) angered the White House when he resisted a ratification vote during Congress's lame duck session on the New START treaty with Russia. Ratification of the treaty is one of President Barack Obama's highest foreign-policy priorities. A debate and vote on the treaty will now very likely have to wait until the next Congress, which will include six additional Republican senators, making the likelihood of passage even lower. Obama is witnessing the paradox of arms control: to get New START ratified, Obama will have to become a hawk on strategic nuclear modernization and missile defense. Instead of being a stepping stone to a nuclear-free world, New START is, ironically, likely to make both the United State and Russia ever more reliant on nuclear weapons.

Obama and his advisors had placed all their money on persuading Kyl, the senator other Republicans look to on arms control, to support quick ratification. If Kyl supported the treaty, the Obama team figured, enough Senate Republicans would follow to get the 67 required votes. Kyl has now declared that there is insufficient time in the lame-duck session to properly consider the issue.

Obama attempted to purchase ratification votes during the lame-duck session by promising to add $4.1 billion in spending on nuclear-weapons maintenance, research, and support. With a vote now likely delayed until next year, Republican senators will pocket that commitment and then increase their demands. With their increased leverage, Kyl and his colleagues may require specific commitments from Obama on a new nuclear-capable, long-range bomber aircraft and specific funding for the next generation of ballistic-missile submarines.

GOP senators are also likely to require more clarity from Obama on his plans for missile defense. At the upcoming NATO summit meeting, heads of government are expected to declare missile defense a core NATO mission. But Russia still objects to any plan to station a powerful missile-defense radar in southeast Europe. The radar, which Moscow considers to be highly intrusive, may be a red line for Russia. But failing to commit to the radar and a new generation of missile interceptors may be red lines for Republicans voting on the treaty.

The White House argues that the United States needs the treaty to maintain on-site inspections of Russian nuclear forces. Even more important is the cooperation the United States currently gets from Russia on freezing advanced surface-to-air missiles sales to Iran and permitting the northern supply route for NATO forces in Afghanistan. Most analysts agree that the treaty makes only modest changes to the U.S.-Russian strategic nuclear balance. The larger issue for the senators considering ratification concerns Russian cooperation on a variety of other security issues.

Arms control advocates hope that a ratified New START treaty will lead to a follow-on agreement that will sharply reduce tactical battlefield nuclear warheads. Twenty years ago the United States unilaterally dismantled all but a handful of its tactical nukes. Russia, to compensate for its relatively feeble conventional forces, continues to maintain a large stockpile. Here, the paradox of arms control reappears: The Russians won't give up their tactical nukes unless they can rebuild their army and air force. But if Russia rebuilds its conventional forces, NATO won't give up its remaining tactical nukes. Better to maintain that arsenal than spend the money and political capital required to build up European conventional forces to deter a rebuilt Russian army.

New START is thus likely the end of the line for nuclear arms control. Paradoxes abound: To get it ratified, Obama will have to resemble a Cold War hawk. Both Russia and NATO will prefer their nuclear weapons to the expense of conventional military defense. And a decade from now, when the treaty is to expire, new nuclear-weapon states will likely have appeared, complicating the global security environment and making U.S.-Russian nuclear agreements an anachronism. Nuclear arms control will stop with New START.

Can the Air Force protect its Asian bases?

This week, the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission released its annual report to Congress. The commission was chartered in 2000 to investigate and report to Congress on the national security implications of the economic and trade relationship between the United States and China. This year's report includes a chapter on the expansion of China's air force and conventional missile capability and the growing threat they pose to U.S. military bases in East Asia. The commission concludes that Chinese air and missile forces now have the capacity to shut down, at least temporarily, five of the six U.S. air bases in the region. The issue for U.S. policymakers is whether U.S. efforts to defend these bases from missile attack can keep up with further growth in China's missile inventory. If the United States cannot keep up with Chinese missile deployments, Washington may eventually be forced to consider other strategies to maintain the credibility of U.S. security commitments to the region.

According to the commission, the combined Chinese conventional ballistic and cruise missile inventory now totals as many as 1,765 missiles. Although over 1,000 of these missiles are positioned near Taiwan, the commission concludes that 830 missiles are available for attacks on two U.S. air bases in South Korea and 430 missiles are available for attacks on the three U.S. air bases on Okinawa and mainland Japan. The U.S. air base on Guam, 3,000 kilometers from China, is currently out of range of all but a few Chinese missiles. The commission reported that an attack involving 30 to 50 missiles would be sufficient to overwhelm existing defenses of these bases, cratering runways and destroying the base's unprotected aircraft and facilities.

The commission recommended that Congress require the Pentagon to make "a list of concrete steps" to strengthen the ability of these bases to survive a missile attack. Concrete -- the steel-reinforced variety -- is one part of the answer, as are missile interceptor systems. But those planning the defense of these bases face the first-order question of missile defense -- can the United States build hardened aircraft shelters and missile interceptor batteries faster and cheaper than the Chinese can build additional offensive missiles of their own? If not, U.S. policymakers may have to look for a new approach.

The U.S. Navy is investigating whether a Star Wars-like, ship-based, free electron laser weapon might help it win the cost battle against missiles, a concept which is still hypothetical and costly. Losing the marginal-cost battle against adversary missiles could compel U.S. forces to retreat from vulnerable forward locations. That could be very damaging to U.S. diplomatic strategy.

The United States and China are not yet military adversaries. But the growth in Chinese missile forces shines a light on the high cost of U.S. weapons systems. The United States has traditionally looked to technology to overcome numerical disadvantages. Today, that approach seems to be failing. The missile problem discussed in the commission's report has exposed a vulnerability in the Pentagon's strategy in Asia.

There's no checklist for counterinsurgency

Fri, 11/19/2010 - 11:35am
Joshua Rovner and Tim Hoyt; assistant professor and professor, respectively, of strategy and policy at the U.S. Naval War College; are skeptical about a recent RAND study Victory has a Thousand Fathers. They explain why in their Foreign Policy opinion piece There's No Checklist for Counterinsurgency. BLUF: "State-building usually includes a period of ruthless competition for power, and some "bad practices" are usually necessary to end it. Efforts to stop the process in midstream in the name of COIN doctrine may prove tragic if they end up prolonging the conflict without settling the underlying political issues."

19 November SWJ Roundup

Fri, 11/19/2010 - 7:37am
Afghanistan

U.S. Deploying Heavily Armored Battle Tanks for First Time - New York Times

Unpopular Afghan War Presents Challenge to NATO - Los Angeles Times

'Eye-watering' Levels of Violence After Troops Leave - Daily Telegraph

U.S., NATO Troops to Stay in Afghanistan Beyond 2014 Handover - CNN News

NATO Fine-Tunes Afghan Exit Strategy at Summit - Associated Press

NATO to Back Gradual Withdrawal From Afghanistan - Reuters

U.S. to Use Iraq as Blueprint for Afghan Withdrawal - The National

NATO Lisbon Summit to Discuss New Afghan Plan - Voice of America

Suspicion Abounds Between Afghan and U.S. Troops - Washington Post

NATO Details Afghan Clash that Killed 5 Americans - Associated Press

U.S. Soldiers Achieve Gains in Paktika Province - AFPS

Afghan, Coalition Force Thwarts Insurgent Attack - AFPS

Senators Criticize Performance of U.S. Reconstruction Monitor - Washington Post

Afghanistan Watchdog Fails to Sway His Critics - Associated Press

Afghan Transition - New York Times opinion

Pakistan

Karachi Turns Deadly Amid Pakistan's Rivalries - New York Times

Amnesty Urges Release of Pakistani Christian Woman - Associated Press

Iraq

A Government Begins to Emerge - The Economist

Is Iraq's New Government Worth the Record 8-month Wait? - Foreign Policy

A Tenuous Deal in Iraq - Council on Foreign Relations

U.S. Says Iraq Pullout Won't Cause Dramatic Violence - Reuters

Iran

Computer Worm Was Perfect for Sabotaging Centrifuges - New York Times

Iran Touts New Air Defenses - Los Angeles Times

Ahmadinejad: Sanctions Won't Affect Iranian People - Voice of America

Russia: Iran Nuclear Plan 'Must be Peaceful' - BBC News

U.N. Committee Slams Iran Over Human Rights Record - Reuters

Iran Rights Envoy Assails U.N. Censure - Wall Street Journal

Why Give Iran a Reason Not to Fear a Military Attack? - Washington Post editorial

On War

Sgt. Giunta's Fair Fight - Washington Post opinion

Ghailani Terror Trial Fallout

Verdict Reignites Debate Over Proper Court for Terrorism Trials - New York Times

Verdict Dims Outlook for Civilian Trials of Terrorism Detainees - Washington Post

At Terror Trial, Big Questions Were Avoided - New York Times

Acquittal Shows Justice System's Strength - Washington Post editorial

The Ghailani Verdict - New York Times editorial

The Verdict on Holder - Wall Street Journal editorial

Justice Served in Ghailani Case - Los Angeles Times editorial

Osama bin Laden: Not Guilty - Washington Times editorial

A Terrorist Gets What He Deserves - New York Times opinion

Prosecuting Terrorists in Federal Court - New York Times opinion series

Nobel Peace Prize

Parts of Nobel Peace Ceremony May be Delayed - Washington Post

Winner Absent, Peace Prize May Not Be Handed Out Now - New York Times

WikiLeaks

Swedish Prosecutors Ask for Arrest Warrant for WikiLeaks Founder - VOA

Sweden Issues Warrant for WikiLeaks Founder - New York Times

Sweden Wants Questioning of WikiLeaks Chief in Rape Probe - Washington Post

Arrest Warrant for WikiLeaks Founder - Los Angeles Times

Wikileaks Founder Julian Assange Faces Arrest in Britain - Daily Telegraph

NATO

NATO to Unveil 'Strategic Concept' At Lisbon Summit - Voice of America

NATO Set for Crucial Lisbon Talks - BBC News

U.S., Allies Look to Take NATO from Cold War Relic - CNN News

NATO Must Continue Operations "Beyond our Borders" - Daily Telegraph

Europe and America, Aligned for the Future - New York Times opinion

U.S. Department of Defense

Mullen Addresses Policy, Strategy Issues at Harvard - AFPS

Gates, Virginia's Legislators to Meet on JFCOM - Virginian-Pilot

Webb Releases Holds, Suggests AFRICOM Move to Norfolk - Washington Post

McDonnell, Va. Delegation to Meet with Gates on Defense Cuts - Washington Post

After Webb Threat, Defense Officials Turn Over JFCOM Info - Virginian-Pilot

Reid Promises Vote on 'DADT' in Lame-duck Session - Stars and Stripes

Barack's Brokeback Barracks - Washington Times editorial

Cut a Hole in the Defense Doughnut - Washington Times opinion

United States

Foreign-policy Setbacks Deepen Obama's Election Wounds - Washington Post

U.S. Considering Combining Budgets - Stars and Stripes

Obama: Ratification of Nuclear Treaty Is Imperative - Voice of America

Obama Launches Blitz to Ratify Treaty - Wall Street Journal

Obama Forces Showdown With GOP on Arms Pact - New York Times

Obama Urges New START Ratification - AFPS

Russia Wonders Why U.S. Would Stop START - Washington Post

U.S.-Russian 'Reset' in Trouble as Nuke Pact Stalls - Associated Press

No Arms Treaty Means U.S. May Divert Satellites - Washington Times

Stratcom Nominee Cites Multiple Security Challenges - AFPS

Pat-Downs at Airports Prompt Complaints - New York Times

United Kingdom

Leak Exposes MoD Fury at 'Demoralising' Defence Cuts - Daily Telegraph

MoD Unprepared for Scale of Cuts it was Asked to Make - Daily Telegraph

David Cameron: MoD Has a Problem with Leaks - Daily Telegraph

Africa

Ham Testifies at Africom Confirmation Hearing - AFPS

Ham Worried About al-Shabab's Widening Reach - Stars and Stripes

Bail Denied in S. Africa for Nigeria Terror Suspect - Associated Press

Nigerian Militants Warn Of More Kidnappings - Reuters

Madagascar Military Negotiates with Mutineers - VOA

Coup Attempt Seems to Founder in Madagascar - New York Times

Madagascar Orders Camp Evacuation - BBC News

Evacuation Ordered in Madagascar After Coup Bid - Associated Press

Mass Break-out at Congolese Jail - BBC News

The Long Road to South Sudan's Secession Vote - Los Angeles Times opinion

Darfur's Doom - Washington Post opinion

Americas and Caribbean

Gates to Meet With Western Hemisphere Partners - AFPS

Mexico: Trying to Save Lives Amid Drug Violence - Washington Post

Mexico: A City Fogged in by Fear and Uncertainty - Los Angeles Times

TX Gov. Perry Backs Sending U.S. Troops into Mexico - Dallas Morning News

11 Alleged Gang Members Killed by Mexican Troops - Associated Press

Costa Rica Takes Nicaragua Dispute to World Court - Associated Press

Fidel Says Happy With Direction of Cuba - Associated Press

Politics, Haiti-style, Can be Chaotic - Washington Post

Cholera Clashes Spread in Haiti - BBC News

Violent Cholera Protests Spread to Haiti's Capital - Associated Press

Asia Pacific

China Condemns U.S. Congress For Security Report - Reuters

Chinese Woman Imprisoned for Twitter Message - New York Times

U.S. Sanctions Two North Korean Entities - Reuters

Satellite Appears to Show N. Korea Nuke Building - Associated Press

Satellite Images Support North Korea Reactor Claim - Reuters

Japan Is Pushing Organized Crime Out of Business - New York Times

Aung San Suu Kyi Warns Release is Not Evidence of Political Freedom - VOA

Young Activists Use Music, Graffiti to Push for Democracy in Burma - VOA

Family Killed with Impunity in the Philippines - CNN News

Thai "Red Shirt" Protesters Return to Bangkok's Streets - Reuters

Europe

France Told to Deal with bin Laden over Hostages - Agence France-Presse

Al-Qaida Says France Must Negotiate with Bin Laden - Associated Press

Germany Copes With Terror Alert - New York Times

Germany In Security Crisis Till Year-End - Reuters

Detonator Destined for Munich Found in Namibia Bags - Bloomberg

As Ireland Nears Bailout, Portugal Waits in Wings - New York Times

Irish Officials Acknowledge Need for Aid - New York Times

Ireland May be Facing Political Crisis - Washington Post

Middle East

Netanyahu: Israel, U.S. Close to Settlement Deal - Voice of America

Israel And U.S. Struggling to Conclude Settlement Pact - Reuters

Palestinian Militants Threaten Israel in Hebrew - Associated Press

Israel Hit by Long-range Grad Rocket Fired from Gaza - BBC News

Gaza Militants Fire Heavy Rocket Into Israel - Associated Press

Gulf States Hatch Plans to Fight al-Qaida - United Press International

Egypt Rebuffs U.S. Call for Foreign Monitors at Election - Associated Press

Egyptian Blogger Abdel Kareem Nabil Soliman Freed - BBC News

South Asia

Intelligence Chiefs of India, Canada Meet; Discuss BlackBerry - India Times

Rampant Graft Roils Indian Politics - Washington Times

India PM Quizzed on 'Scam' Claims - BBC News

Sri Lanka President Sworn In, Vows Economic Revival - Agence France-Presse

Sri Lanka's President Sworn in for Second Term - India Times

Bombs Lobbed at Bangladesh Chief Justice's Home - India Times

Why are our soldiers still involved in fair fights?

Fri, 11/19/2010 - 6:57am
Retired Generals Robert Scales (MG USA) and Paul van Riper (LtGen USMC) ask "why are our soldiers still involved in fair fights?" See their op-ed in today's Washington Post: Sgt. Giunta's fair fight. BLUF: "Every enemy has spotted us those domains where we are dominant and challenged us where we are weak: against small units, on unfamiliar ground."

Lord Ismay, Restated

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 9:12pm
The first NATO Secretary General, Lord Ismay, stated the organization's goal was "to keep the Russians out, the Americans in, and the Germans down".

A series of rephrasings of this famous quote follows:

The purpose of NATO is to keep the West in, the Russians out, and the isolationists (especially in Europe) down. (John Hulsman, HCSS)

Today; NATO's purpose is to keep the Americans in charge, the Europeans compliant, and the Brussels bureaucracy busy. (Stephen Walt, Harvard University)

The purpose of NATO is to attract the Russians Westward away from reactionary Slavophile tendencies; to keep the Americans in by helping them to manage the global challenges that they share with Europe; and to provide the security blanket that allows Germany and others to continue the integration that has made Europe an island of peace." (Joseph Nye, Harvard University)

To keep America engaged, the French inside, and Europe together. (Michael Cox, LSE)

NATO's purpose has become one locking in the security and durability of the West while bringing Russia in from the cold. (Charles Kupchan, Georgetown University)

NATO's present function is to keep the European Union weak, European welfare states strong, and the U.S. defense budget large. (Barry Posen, MIT)

NATO's purpose has become one of sustaining pretense. Thanks to NATO, the Americans pretend to have allies, Europe pretends to contribute to global security, and the Russians pretend to have an external enemy. (Andrew Bacevich, Boston University)

Today, NATO's purpose is to keep the Americans engaged, Europe in the lead, and Russia as a constructive partner. (Sean Kay, Ohio State University)

Keep the U.S. in, Mullah Omar out, Germany engaged, and Russia on a leash. (Daniel Korski, ECFR)

The purpose of NATO is to maintain the habit of close security and military co-operation between the U.S. and its European allies, to defend the member-states' territory and populations, and to build a more secure Europe by deterring aggressors, facilitating transition of authoritarian societies to democracy, and intervening against the worst violators of human rights. This may sound old-fashioned: where does the rise of China fit in? What about a more assertive Russia? I am not ignoring them -- I just think that some values and principles remain the same, and should remain the same, even if the rise of new actors limits NATO's options and forces it to return to its more regional roots." (Tomas Valasek, CER)

NATO's mission in the 21st century should be little different to that which it has always been: to unify the geographically vulnerable European peninsula with powers across the Atlantic to address the geopolitical threat of the ages: a Eurasian power gaining control of so much of the world's mega-continent as to be virtually insurmountable. He who controls Eurasia can control the world. NATO must engage in Eurasia to remain relevant." (Alexandros Petersen, Atlantic Council)

Keep the Americans engaged, keep the Germans (and all others) integrated and responsible, make Russia cooperative -- and have all contribute jointly to conflict prevention and crisis management beyond NATO's perimeter. (General Klaus Wittmann)

I would argue that the most significant and interesting aspect of NATO's role today is keeping the Europeans in. Many in the United States are concerned that, without an immediate threat as was posed by the USSR, our friends in Europe will allow their military capabilities to wither on the vine. NATO's contributions to stabilization efforts in Afghanistan are important, but most European populations appear ready to pull out and leave it to the Americans. NATO, it turns out, has been an important mechanism to ensure that our European allies remain committed to security operations in Afghanistan . The trick going forward will be translating that commitment to gain European participation in stability operations in failed and near-failing states around the world. This is where the third element -- keeping Al-Qaeda down -- comes into play. The attacks of September 2001 and July 2002 demonstrated that we cannot rely on defense, but must work to deny terrorist organizations the footholds and disgruntled populations they rely upon. Stability operations and engagement should be a major element of NATO's future raison d'íªtre, due to the link between security within NATO and preventing terrorist organizations from gaining a stronghold in failed and failing states". (Abraham Denmark, CNAS)

NATO's prime mission today should be twofold: 1. To keep Europe at peace. War is now unthinkable in Western Europe. NATO should aim to keep things this way. 2. To keep WMD terror at bay. WMD terror is now the greatest threat to the security of all NATO states. NATO should therefore have to dual mission of limiting WMD spread and defeating those terror networks that aspire to mass killing in the West. Keeping Germany down and Russia out are obsolete missions. They are self-executing. Keeping the U.S. in? Well, maybe. To keep the US in--in Europe , in the world, and in a sane place. When American's don't engage with allies they tend to go around the bend and start acting out. U.S. engagement with NATO has a constructively calming effect on the U.S. (Stephen Van Evera, MIT)

Lord Ismay's celebrated dictum, both pithy and accurate, cannot be updated for the times. Why? Because NATO, no matter what the NATO cheerleading squad proclaims, is an alliance in the wilderness: it has no compelling purpose. Even the evidence that NATO's many champions offer as proof of its success demonstrates this proposition. Consider three common explanations: 1) NATO has expanded to include many more members; ergo, it's thriving. So it has. But the expansion has increased its incoherence and disunity, as witness the divisions created by the Iraq war and the minority-do-the-heavy lifting mentality of the majority in Afghanistan. 2) NATO has transcended Europe and now has extra-European missions. Fine, but just what are these missions and why would the alliance choose as its continued reason for being the very issue (out of area operations) that has traditionally made for the most acrimony in its ranks? In Iraq, key NATO members opposed the war; in Afghanistan, the burdens of fighting are borne by a handful of members, some of who are leaving, or are indicating that they will because of collapsing public support at home for a mission that is becoming more dangerous and, despite the Obama administrations reassurances to the contrary, open-ended. 3) NATO, is not just an alliance, it's also a political club. This is pure pabulum (though it sounds nice), but let's pursue its claim for a moment anyway. If NATO is a political community, what values bind it and for what concrete ends. If there are certain common values, democracy say, what is the logic of restricting its membership to Europe ? Beyond a point, the claim that NATO is not principally a military alliances makes no sense, either in light of its Charter or its history. The broadening of its purposes by invoking political platitudes amounts to saying it can't meet any of the tests that make for an effective alliance. In the end, each of these three rationales is lame. An alliance that once served an important goal now is a adrift. It may endure, hold large meetings, issue reports, and release high-minded communiques, but it is fast becoming a shell. (Rajan Menon, City University of New York , City College of New York)

NATO was designed for a multi-polar world, but not one where it itself represents two of those poles. Back when Lord Ismay's unofficial motto held -- that NATO's purpose was to "keep the Americans in, Russians out, and Germans down" -- America presided over a unified Western world in which Europe was a junior partner. Today there remains a transatlantic alliance, but within the NATO context it appears more a dalliance. European members have a different vision, distinct priorities, and their own modus operandi from the U.S. At his retirement ceremony in late July, former commander of NATO forces in Afghanistan General Stanley A. McChrystal joked that he hoped to convince Italy to send more troops by pointing out how many pairs of Gucci shoes his wife owns. Current SACEUR James Stavridis frequently pops up on Twitter and other social media as part of a campaign to remind Europeans of NATO's relevance, consistently offering a heavy dose of bromides about common heritage, shared goals, and the need for an agile and flexible NATO in the face of emerging threats. But like the U.S. foreign policy establishment, NATO is searching for a new grand strategy every administration instead of every generation. NATO is clearly attempting to globalize itself through its massive out-of-area occupation in Afghanistan, and relationships with India , Japan and Australia But NATO's true legacy will not be its own expansion, but the replication of its regional security model. The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and many East Asian countries hope to emulate NATO's success in creating security clubs to manage their own affairs and bring about regional peace and stability such as Europe now enjoys. Neither the U.S. nor NATO are having any luck socializing revisionist rising powers to follow their lead, but in time they may witness ever more regions copying their model. The result may well be multiple NATOs for a multi-polar world.(Parag Khanna, New America Foundation)