DoD Report: Pakistan is Reason for Afghanistan Stalemate
DoD Report: Pakistan is Reason for Afghanistan Stalemate by Robert Cassidy – Real Clear Defense
The latest U.S. Department of Defense Report on “Enhancing Security and Stability in Afghanistan” reiterates that Pakistan’s sanctuary, support, and employment of insurgents and terrorists is a strategic impediment to ending that war well, or to ending it at all. The Pentagon is now preparing to send about four thousands more troops. A number of Coalition partners will probably send a commensurate number of additional troops. More troops and more actions will build advisory capacity and thus improve the Afghan security forces capacity. More capacity will, in turn, gain some tactical and operational momentum vis-à-vis the Taliban, the Haqqani network, and other Islamist militants that benefit from Pakistan’s support and sanctuary.
But more action and more troops in and of themselves will not gain strategic momentum. Strategic momentum requires a marked change in Pakistan’s strategic behavior. That requires a strategy which includes more regional cooperation and a much more coercive strategic approach to curb Pakistan’s machinations. This requires a sea change in strategic thinking to shock, compel, and instill fear in Pakistan’s security establishment to break it out of its ingrained strategic-cultural pathologies. Pakistan’s duplicitous incubation and export of proxy terrorists and insurgents is the most significant obstacle to peace in Afghanistan and South Asia.
Pakistan has nurtured and relied on a host of Islamist insurgents and terrorists for decades. The Inter-Services Intelligence Directorate (ISI) has maintained links between Al Qaeda, its longtime Taliban allies, and a host of other extremists inside Pakistan. It is only possible for Pakistan to become a non-pariah state among the community of states and a helpful partner to the Coalition and the U.S. if it significantly modifies its regional conduct and ceases its support of proxy terrorists and insurgents. America has doled out more than $33 billion in carrots to Pakistan in exchange for Pakistan’s treachery since 9/11. This miscarriage of trust and reliability is abhorrent…
Pakistan isn’t the only reason for our lack of progress in Afghanistan, but it is certainly the main reason. I’m surprised that our Congress continues to allow the Department of State to play footsie with Pakistan, while Pakistan continues to support the killing and maiming of U.S. service members and our coalition partners in Afghanistan. Furthermore, our quasi-friendly relationship with Pakistan hinders our relationship with India, which is exponentially of more value to the U.S. strategically than our relationship with Pakistan, a state sponsor of terrorism. Thousands of U.S. service members killed and wounded by terrorists and insurgents supported by Pakistan over the past 15 plus years, and we continue to acquiesce and accept their lame excuses on why they can’t stop it.
I’m glad the DOD finally admitted what most knew. Having said that, is it worth another nuclear standoff over this?
The fact that so many senior officials believe this to be the reason is the real reason, and shows that we have learned no strategic lessons from Vietnam or Afghanistan. Misframed, misunderstood, misfought, and then blame placeced everywhere else as we rationalize why our victories did not produce victory.
Should we be looking at Pakistan, Afghanistan, etc., through a different lens?
Thus, not through the lens of terrorists and/or terrorist sanctuaries. But, rather, through the lens of:
a. “Global competition” based on
b. “Differing political, economic, social and value orientation, institutions and norms.”
BEGIN QUOTE
… There are serious political competitions underway for regional and strategic dominance. These extend beyond military battlefields and are fought across a variety of domains – political, economic, informational, and cultural. Is the United States finally ready to compete? …
… Yet in virtually every theater of the world, local and regional competitions over ideas, economic systems, and societies affect America’s ability to protect and advance its interests.
END QUOTE
https://warontherocks.com/2017/01/welcome-to-the-competition/ (by Nadia Schadlow)
(Nadia Schadlow is now, I believe, a member of the National Security Council and, therein, Deputy Assistant to the President and Senior Director for National Security Strategy.)
BEGIN QUOTE
Last month, Trump gave Defense Secretary Jim Mattis the authority to set American troop levels in Afghanistan, but as commander in chief Trump must sign off on an overall strategy for the war.
Mattis has said the strategy he will recommend, which will be presented to Trump by mid-July, will take a broader “regional” approach, with no set timetable.
END QUOTE
http://smallwarsjournal.com/blog/us-senators-call-for-new-strategy-to-defeat-taliban-in-afghanistan
“Winning” or “losing” in Afghanistan/”defeating the Taliban”/”dealing with Pakistan,” etc., etc., etc., ad infinitum — AND ANYWHERE IN THE WORLD THAT WE MIGHT WISH TO DISCUSS THESE AND/OR OTHER NATIONAL SECURITY MATTERS — thus, to be understood more in terms of:
a. The global political, economic, social/cultural, etc. competition (for example, the U.S./the West versus Russia, China, Iran and AQ/ISIS),
b. Such as that noted by Nadia Schadlow above?
Bottom Line:
Thus, much as in the Old Cold War — also in this New Cold War — if one is not looking at the U.S./the West’s national security matters/problems more through this (a) “global competition” based on (b) “differing political, economic, social and value orientation, institutions and norm” lens, then one does not have the right focus, and thus does not have a proper understanding, of (a) the true nature of the threats that the U.S./the West faces today and/or (b) what needs to be done to adequately deal with these such threats. Yes?
(Given that, at the end of the Old Cold War, a “universal western values”/a western “end of history” world did not, as we had hoped, materialize, then why would one think that a “similar to the Old Cold War” world [global competition; based on differing political, economic, social/cultural institutions and norms] [a] would not emerge — as indeed it has — and [b] need to be dealt with?)