Small Wars Journal

Lessons of the Past Hint at Hurdles in Fight to Stop ISIS

Wed, 12/09/2015 - 1:53am

Lessons of the Past Hint at Hurdles in Fight to Stop ISIS by Anne Barnard, New York Times

Nine years ago, after the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah captured two Israeli soldiers in a risky cross-border raid, Israel declared it would crush the organization once and for all.

Instead, the ensuing war provided a textbook case of how overwhelming firepower can fail to defeat a determined or ideologically driven guerrilla force in the absence of a coherent and well-executed strategy — a cautionary tale, Middle East analysts say, for the powers now lining up to fight the Islamic State.

In 2006, Israel, wielding the region’s most powerful military and solid American support, leveled whole city blocks and village centers along with Hezbollah bunkers and offices. But Hezbollah remained standing, and soon it accumulated more political and military power than ever.

Today, the Islamic State, having developed a hybrid fighting force combining conventional military tactics, guerrilla abilities and far-flung attacks on civilians, faces a similarly lopsided fight. Arrayed against it, at least notionally, are both the United States and Russia, the regional archenemies Saudi Arabia and Iran, and even Hezbollah...

Read on.

Comments

From the seventh paragraph of this article:

"The region, and indeed the world, is littered with evidence that in asymmetrical conflicts, even the most powerful military responses can end up stoking the violence and opposition they seek to quell, especially without solutions to underlying conflicts."

To see the aspects of -- and apparent iron laws re: -- "asymmetric war," see Andrew Mack's 1975: "How Big Countries Lose Small Wars: The Politics of Asymmetric Conflict:"

http://web.stanford.edu/class/polisci211z/2.2/Mack%20WP%201975%20Asymm%…

"Lessons from the past" -- with perfect application to the present -- indeed?