Small Wars Journal

Biden Administration Foreign Policy Tracker: October

Mon, 10/03/2022 - 4:59pm

Access the foriegn policy tracker HERE. 

October 3, 2022 | FDD Tracker: September 1, 2022-October 3, 2022

Biden Administration Foreign Policy Tracker: October

David Adesnik

Senior Fellow and Director of Research

John Hardie

Russia Program Deputy Director

   

Trend Overview

Edited by David Adesnik and John Hardie

Welcome back to the Biden Administration Foreign Policy Tracker. Once a month, we ask FDD’s experts and scholars to assess the administration’s foreign policy. They provide trendlines of very positive, positive, neutral, negative, or very negative for the areas they watch.

Iran has erupted in protest after morality police inflicted fatal injuries on 22-year-old Mahsa Amini following her arrest for alleged violation of dress code laws. At the United Nations, President Joe Biden said he stands with “the brave women of Iran,” yet his administration continues to pursue a nuclear deal that would offer hundreds of billions of dollars in sanctions relief to the clerical regime in Tehran. Neither the regime’s deceptive response to Amini’s death nor Tehran’s stonewalling of nuclear inspectors seems to have led the White House to the realization that trusting the clerical regime only increases instability and oppression.

By contrast, the administration is siding firmly with the victims of Moscow’s invasion and atrocities. In September, a Ukrainian counteroffensive — enabled in part by U.S. military assistance — stunned both Moscow and foreign observers with its rapid liberation of Russian-held territory. Washington’s support for Kyiv remained steadfast even as Russian President Vladimir Putin has begun to rattle his nuclear saber. Regarding China, Biden’s impulse is apparently to guarantee the security of Taiwan amid Beijing’s intimidation, yet the White House staff once again walked back his comments in support of Taipei.

Please check back next month to see if the administration has moved toward a more consistent policy of aligning with democratic partners against authoritarian aggression.

Trending Positive

CYBER

By RADM (Ret.) Mark Montgomery and Annie Fixler

EUROPE

By John Hardie

RUSSIA

By John Hardie

TURKEY

By Sinan Ciddi

Trending Neutral

CHINA

By Craig Singleton

DEFENSE

By Bradley Bowman

INDO-PACIFIC

By Craig Singleton

INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS

By Richard Goldberg

ISRAEL

By David May

KOREA

By David Maxwell

SUNNI JIHADISM

By Bill Roggio

SYRIA

By David Adesnik

Trending Negative

GULF

By Hussain Abdul-Hussain

LATIN AMERICA

By Carrie Filipetti and Emanuele Ottolenghi

NONPROLIFERATION AND BIODEFENSE

By Anthony Ruggiero and Andrea Stricker

Trending Very Negative

IRAN

By Richard Goldberg and Behnam Ben Taleblu

LEBANON

By Tony Badran

China

By Craig Singleton

Previous Trend: Negative