We Can’t Win These Wars on Our Own

Here is soon to be retired US Army lieutenant colonel and Center for a New American Security senior fellow John Nagl’s latest for the Washington Post – We Can’t Win These Wars on Our Own.

…last year’s military successes in Iraq came at a very high price. The “surge” of five brigades and the extension of Army combat tours in Iraq from 12 to 15 months has strained the Army to the breaking point. Neither the Army nor the Marine Corps has a reserve of ground troops to handle other crises. Meanwhile, the Taliban is regaining strength in Afghanistan and the lawless border regions of Pakistan, and the opium production that funds their insurgency hit record highs last year. And the foreseeable consequences of a hasty U.S. withdrawal from Iraq — instability in the region, an empowered and crowing Iran, a chaotic Iraq wracked by humanitarian catastrophes — could easily reverse last year’s gains and provide a new home for terrorism in the Middle East. The fight is far from won.

For starters, we must shore up Afghanistan. Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates recently committed 3,000 more desperately needed Marines to Afghanistan, beginning next month. But it would take an increase of more than 100,000 soldiers and Marines to give NATO commanders in Afghanistan the force ratios that Gen. David H. Petraeus, the top U.S. commander in Iraq, has enjoyed. We don’t have the troops.

The best short-term solution is rapidly expanding the Iraqi and Afghan security forces to hold towns cleared by U.S. forces. Local forces, stiffened by foreign advisers, have historically been the keys to success in counterinsurgency warfare. As such, I’ve been among the serving officers and veterans who’ve urged the U.S. Army to create a standing Adviser Corps…