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Kilcullen on COIN "Persistent-Presence" vs. "Repetitive Raiding"

... Review of Dave Kilcullen's The Accidental Guerrilla: Fighting Small Wars in the Midst of a ... leaders banned even the word "insurgency," though busily losing to one. Scholars, warriors, and agitators, Dave and Bill laid the ...

Blog entry - May 7 2010 - 10:51am - 49 comments - 0 attachments

Losing Kilcullen

... Losing Kilcullen - Greg Grant, DoD Buzz Forget the Vietnam analogies. ...

Blog entry - Nov 13 2009 - 9:57am - 5 comments - 0 attachments

The Targeting Process: D3A and F3EAD

... practicing "tactical patience" by a BCT Cmdr when he is losing personnel. The second thing is that the failure to use "tactical ... handle on the WHY piece---they have tended to forgot what Kilcullen wrote in 2004/2005 about insurgencies. Begs the question was ...

Journal Article - Jul 16 2011 - 7:50am - 57 comments

COIN Metrics: What Not to Measure

... Kilcullen (I): Here's What Not to Measure in a COIN Campaign - Tom Ricks at ... statistics aren't telling you that you are winning or losing, but they are telling you something about what is going on in the area. ...

Blog entry - Feb 8 2010 - 1:36pm - 79 comments - 0 attachments

Thinking Critically about COIN and Creatively about Strategy and War

... and if we had just deepened or actually did research into Kilcullen's conflict ecosystem one would have had then the analysis tool to use ... One historical point: winning breeds arrogance while losing typically generates learned lessons, hence the validity of Galula's ...

Journal Article - Dec 14 2010 - 7:37pm - 83 comments

Taliban and Hells Angels: Same Difference

... such as Human Terrain Teams or even a Global CORDs (Kilcullen's recommendation in his new book) for Afghanistan can solve its ... Their perception/realization that they are in a losing situation and negotiating from a point of disadvantage. Unfortunately, ...

Blog entry - Jul 18 2010 - 6:08am - 66 comments - 0 attachments

The Ugly Truth: Insurgencies are Brutal

... currently this following comment seems to indicate we are losing rather badly against. Just a side note--not even the Human Terrain ... combat them. Well put my friend ---well put. Kilcullen's 2004 article on "conflict ecosystem" applies as effectively to ...

Journal Article - Aug 15 2010 - 6:17am - 72 comments

The US in Afghanistan: Follow Sun Tzu rather than Clausewitz to Victory

... Iraq program - implemented when the Iraqi insurgents were losing badly - and the supposed Taliban reconciliation program. However, ... insurgency. Think about it long enough and one hears Kilcullen's footsteps of "conflict ecosystem" getting closer to the truth than ...

Journal Article - Dec 11 2010 - 9:53am - 67 comments

The Jones Insurgency Model

... it as a warning sign that the government may well be losing the bubble on one or more of the critical causal perceptions at home. ... by Col. Jones In some aspects was this not what Kilcullen was talking about in one of his first articles where he went ... Insurgency Model "In some aspects was this not what Kilcullen was talking about in one of his first articles where he went ...

Journal Article - May 18 2010 - 11:00am - 57 comments

The War Over COIN (Updated)

... war. In his new book Counterinsurgency, David Kilcullen describes "Counterinsurgency" as an umbrella term that describes the ... with a winning strategy, but we're not going to tolerate losing in battle, nor should we. It took a combined arms effort to triumph in ...

Blog entry - Sep 16 2010 - 11:47am - 59 comments - 0 attachments