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... Dangerous Thresholds: Managing Escalation in the 21st Century - Forrest E. Morgan, Karl ...

Blog post - Sep 5 2008 - 6:59am - 0 comments - 0 attachments

... paragraph (1203 11 Feb), the equally or possibly more dangerous flip side of that is that the terms change so rapidly today that it's ... where different. Definitions and concepts below these thresholds (as in senior documents or JICs etc) are regularly used conceptually ...

Blog post - Feb 10 2011 - 7:44pm - 21 comments - 0 attachments

... that the AF/PAK strategy debate is devolving into dangerous oversimplification. The phrase "Afghanistan is not Iraq" has been ... messy problems using creativity and lowering accepted risk thresholds (creation of the OSS and employment in France and Burma is one ...

Blog post - Oct 12 2009 - 3:46am - 19 comments - 0 attachments

... amplifies things - and begs questions about quantitative thresholds and serious cost-benefit analysis of appropriate countermeasures and ... The short version is that least likely though most dangerous scenarios - say, bin Laden himself deploying a backpack nuke - ...

Blog post - Jun 11 2009 - 6:52pm - 1 comment - 0 attachments