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Understanding Iraq: Initial Assessment (Update Three: Model: Small Wars and the Theory of Games)

... Given the available information, I conclude that Iraq was in a state of near collapse prior to the American Invasion.  Our ... Enter the Neoconservatives. While the SWJ community may ponder on tactics pre surge, or whether the surge was decisive, one is ...

Blog post - Jan 24 2012 - 3:29pm - 41 comments - 0 attachments

SWJ / SWC Odds and Ends

... Our segment is part of a show scheduled to be broadcast on 15 April - Iraq: New Team, New Strategy, New Tensions ... ... counterinsurgency. Possibly too little too late, it may even be impossible. Americans don't speak the language, and don't ...

Blog post - Apr 13 2007 - 6:40am - 0 comments - 0 attachments

15 March SWJ Roundup

... Press Tribal Ties, Long Qaddafi's Strength, May Be Undoing - New York Times Gadhafi Intimidating, Detaining ... Long History as a Killer - Washington Post opinion Iraq 11 Killed as Car Bomb Detonated at Iraq Base - New York Times ...

Blog post - Mar 15 2011 - 6:36am - 0 comments - 0 attachments

DoD’s Combat Exclusion Policies Limit Commanders and Strain Our Current Forces

... and tired force” and noted that that 12- to 15-month deployments and the stress of repeated deployments play a role in the ... [12] Exceptions to the DoD Combat Exclusion Policy may be granted on an individual mission basis after review by U.S. Forces ...

Journal Article - Nov 20 2011 - 8:34am - 46 comments

A Tale of Two Design Efforts (and why they both failed in Afghanistan)

... and inform decision makers. Some references that may be helpful are: "Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence ... areas (pop centric COIN) and then suddenly BCTs had 15 plus enablers working in and around a Cmdr and his Staff--still no doctrinal ...

Journal Article - Jul 7 2011 - 4:24pm - 75 comments

A Combined Arms Response to "Death of the Armor Corps"

... your analysis. I do think it is well thought out though! May I start with a question- are you familiar with the Army's previous decision ... all kinds of holes but its what I came up with in the last 15 minutes and I am sure I am not the first to propose something similar. But ...

Journal Article - Jun 1 2010 - 5:36pm - 78 comments

Prine on Abrams and Primary Sources

... there is enough to suggest that Abram's alcohol problem may have affected his ability to command. There is evidence, at least at this ... search and destroy. Too, if Sorley is right that within 15 minutes of assuming command Abrams had changed "everything" then one would ...

Blog post - Jul 1 2011 - 6:06pm - 59 comments - 0 attachments

The Strategic Opportunity in our Senior Foreign Official Advisory Mission

... “What other organizations was I competing with who may not have our national goals as their priority?” ... operations. When the Army commenced operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, it did so with a set of assumptions on the part of our ... of command to the world of influence.” [15]   The Ministry Reform Advisor for the U.S. Army Peacekeeping and ...

Journal Article - Feb 15 2012 - 6:13am - 8 comments

The 2006 “Divorce” of US Army Reserve and Active Component Psychological Operations Units

... essay how and why the original divorce took place, which may be of some relevance in view of current discussions within DOD concerning ... them correctly. How many Reserve CA soldiers with JDs or 15 years in civil engineering or 10 years in local governance positions, get ...

Journal Article - Mar 2 2012 - 5:06am - 5 comments

Cordesman Announces Death of a Strategy in Afghanistan

... we paid enough, they would do our job and we could invade Iraq. It's not a surprise given that many in the Bush administration, to ... it. If there is a strategic "most stupid" scenario, that may be it. If it were only as bad as Vietnam, it would be progress. - ...

Blog post - Feb 28 2012 - 7:52pm - 7 comments - 0 attachments