Small Wars Journal

What President Trump’s Foreign Policy Will Look Like

Wed, 11/09/2016 - 1:48pm

What President Trump’s Foreign Policy Will Look Like by David Ignatius, Washington Post

Donald Trump proclaimed “America First” on his way to his head-spinning victory in Tuesday’s presidential election, and the success of that message will rock many foreign capitals where leaders have feared that Trump would alter the basics of U.S. foreign policy.

Making predictions about Trump’s foreign policy is difficult, given his lack of experience. But the most likely bet is that as president he will seek to do what he promised during the campaign in breaking from current U.S. approaches to Russia, the Middle East, Europe and Asia…

A Trump foreign policy, based on his statements, will bring an intense “realist” focus on U.S. national interests and a rejection of costly U.S. engagements abroad. It will likely bring these changes:

A move to improve relations with a combative, assertive Russia…

A joint military effort with Russia and Syrian President Bashar al-Assad to defeat the Islamic State…

A new push for European allies to pay more for their own defense…

An attempt to alter the terms of trade in Asia by renegotiating trade pacts and forcing China to revalue its currency…

Read on.

Comments

Outlaw 09

Tue, 01/10/2017 - 5:54am

PERFECT EXAMPLE OF THE LACK OF INTERNAL TRADE KNOWLEDGE BY TRUMP AND HIS TRANSITION TEAM....

Britain in 'front seat' for U.S. trade deal, top Republican says
http://reut.rs/2j2UZbp

As long as UK is a member of the EU no EU member can conclude a separate trade agreement outside of the EU otherwise heavily penalized via tariff and fines for the amount of trade conducted while a EU member.....

UK knows this and has been repeatedly told that by EU and maybe Trump does not know?????

The earliest UK can do a bilateral trade deal in the first quarter 2020.....THEN it depends on what the final agreement is between UK and EU meaning single market and or out of the single market and via WTO rules...

Outlaw 09

Tue, 01/10/2017 - 5:44am

Amid hacking row, pressure builds on Trump to soften pro-Russia rhetoric
http://reut.rs/2jcXq8R

BUT chastising Russia would endanger his flow of funds for his businesses....

Outlaw 09

Tue, 01/10/2017 - 12:58am

Комсомольская правда
Verified account
‏@kpru
Российские миллиардеры после победы Трампа разбогатели на $29 млрд http://www.kp.ru/online/news/2621530/ … #Трамп

Russian billionaires reportedly benefited from #Trump's electoral victory, to the tune of $29 billion. He's #MRGA.

THERE is a serious question being looked at by the SEC...when Trump tweeted his anger about say Boeing and or Lockheed Martin....seconds before the tweet there were definitely massive short sales recorded leading to equally massive stock earnings....

Outlaw 09

Thu, 01/19/2017 - 3:33am

In reply to by Bill C.

Bill C....ever thought you would see this......???

1. Russia is a “major threat” facing the United States and the rules-based liberal world order, says @SamanthaJPower →
http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/samantha-power-out… 

2. A major German newspaper is carrying a headline....."Is there now a "values war" between EU/NATO and Trump"?????

Outlaw 09

Tue, 01/10/2017 - 1:22am

In reply to by Outlaw 09

Bill C..perfect example of what I was saying above..via social media...

OMG the US Office of Government Ethics is trying to educate Trump on the laws of the land.

On twitter, since that's all he reads.

Good luck with that!

Outlaw 09

Tue, 01/10/2017 - 1:19am

In reply to by Bill C.

Bill C...do actually agree with you...we just come at the problem from two different directions....

What we now see with Trump is the flipping of what one assumes to be the societal norm into something not really norm for most Americans....

Take his new natsec advisor for communications who has been caught plagiarizing both her books and YES even her Columbia PhD...

THEN what is Trump's response..."well the attacks on her are political"...WHEN the incoming President of the US can no longer tell what is and or is not morally correct THEN we are all in serious trouble......

In Germany if you hold a political or government position..you are expected to leave immediately as it is seriously viewed as a failure in your character that you had to cheat your way to the position...AND by Trump..."it is a political attack"...not a single utterance of remorse that he had selected someone without running a background check....

Secondly,,a further example of this..Trump now gives his son-in-law a well US taxpayer paid job WHILE he is in the middle of trying to conclude a massive Chinese deal....SOME say this is "Kleptocracy" hard at work following the Russian oligarch model of which Trump thoroughly knows about with his countless dealings with Russian oligarchs.......

REMEMBER Trump claimed in front of countless rallies "he was going to drain the swamp"...WELL he is the swamp and it is growing larger not smaller....

FOR Trump..just every day business dealings hard at work...WHILE he had his rally supporters constantly chanting "drain the swamp" when he is the swamp himself.....

This son-in-law has been involved in many of Trump deliberately failed businesses and one needs to seriously look at his role in those crashes..WHERE Trump made millions in the failures....these real estate failures have been viewed by some as simple money laundering model for Russian black money transactions....

BTW..I differ with you on the racism...has always been there running smoothly and nicely just under the radar UNTIL a black man was elected then it broke into the open and is just as bad now but in different ways than the civil rights era of the 60s...subtle not blatant.....

Trump played this race card nicely for his supporters via a number of different dog whistles that were clearly stated....and fully understood by his voters....

Outlaw:

Is it time that we looked again at Robert Kaplan's 1994 "The Coming Anarchy?"

BEGIN QUOTE

Twenty years ago, in February 1994, I published a lengthy cover story in The Atlantic Monthly, "The Coming Anarchy: How Scarcity, Crime, Overpopulation, Tribalism, and Disease are Rapidly Destroying the Social Fabric of Our Planet." I argued that the combination of resource depletion (like water), demographic youth bulges and the proliferation of shanty towns throughout the developing world would enflame ethnic and sectarian divides, creating the conditions for domestic political breakdown and the transformation of war into increasingly irregular forms — making it often indistinguishable from terrorism. I wrote about the erosion of national borders and the rise of the environment as the principal security issues of the 21st century. I accurately predicted the collapse of certain African states in the late 1990s and the rise of political Islam in Turkey and other places. Islam, I wrote, was a religion ideally suited for the badly urbanized poor who were willing to fight. I also got things wrong, such as the probable intensification of racial divisions in the United States; in fact, such divisions have been impressively ameliorated.

END QUOTE

https://www.stratfor.com/weekly/why-so-much-anarchy

Note that Kaplan would write the above follow-up article:

a. In 2014 -- 20 years after his initial 1994 offering -- but

b. Before the current "disintegrations" that we are now seeing; for example, as per the return of racial tensions in the U.S., the Brexit, and the general trends/tensions associated with the alt-right and anti-neoliberalism movements (etc., etc., etc.).

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 3:36pm

Trump stated he was going to setup a hacking plan within 90 days after taking office..sorry he does not have that luxury anymore......

ZDNet
✔ @ZDNet MongoDB ransacked: Now 27,000 databases hit in mass ransom attacks
http://zd.net/2jkbpZt

Russian criminals hard at work is the first indication but behind Russian criminals stands the GRU/SVR.....

As Trump tweets the US FP is falling apart.....he cannot tweet fast enough to keep up.....

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 3:26pm

THIS is exactly why this incoming President is somewhere other than in the US .......AND we seriously here at SWC expect some kind of FP to come from him?????

Trump in gaggle at Trump Tower: "Confirmations are going great." They haven't started yet.

The Office of Government Ethnics which must issue certifications that the individual is free of conflicts has not issued a single certification and the RP wants to start Nomination confirmations??????

Trump's transition is running easily four to six weeks to late to take over smoothly the US government.....AND then he will tweet it was Obama's and Clinton's fault.....

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 3:21pm

http://foreignpolicy.com/2017/01/08/to-crush-isis-will-trump-send-u-s-t…

To Crush ISIS, Will Trump Send U.S. Troops Into Syria?

Trump has made some overblown promises. "Quickly" wiping out the Islamic State might be the biggest.

David Frum ‏@davidfrum · 8. Jan.

The US UK NATO commitment to defense of Poland & Baltics is clear. Only uncertainty: in case of conflict, whose side is next POTUS on?

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 2:55pm

Breaking: Jerusalem attacker was provoked by local mosque sermon decrying Trump plan to move USembassy to Jerusalem
http://toi.sr/2iUfg2F

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 2:47pm

Swedish FRA makes the NSA look like boyscouts:

"The Swedish Kings of Cyberwar"
http://bit.ly/2i9zQrw

Europeans are not half as bad as many in the US make them out to be especially Trump.....

Swedish IT university graduates are head and shoulders above US grads.....

Outlaw 09

Tue, 01/10/2017 - 5:13am

In reply to by Outlaw 09

BUT WAIT....Trump tweeted in 2015 that Steep has a great actress....so in little over a year she goes to being a misfit in Trump's eyes...

WHY she openly and publicly called him out for his public disrespect of a handicapped journalist at one of his rallies....

Does the man have the beginnings of Alzheimer's?????

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 3:06pm

In reply to by Outlaw 09

Garry Kasparov
✔ @Kasparov63

Trump has criticized: Republicans, Democrats, the Pope, US elections, CIA, FBI, NATO, Meryl Streep.
Trump hasn't criticized: Vladimir Putin.

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 2:59pm

In reply to by Outlaw 09

This proves that Trump has failed to accept the IC Russia Hacking/Influence Ops Report and has used his surrogates to deflect the lack that he has openly and publicly stated he accepts the impact of the report....THEY said he has accepted it....

BUT WAIT...THEN this today.......

NBC's @HallieJackson: “Who do you trust more, Julian Assange or the NSA?”

Trump's response and it is telling.... "We'll talk about that at another time."

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 2:43pm

Trump again uses Russian propaganda SIX Ds to divert MSM attention to his dodging of the Russian intel briefing and his refusal to actively and openly state himself that he accepts the IC Russian Report...........

Russian SIX Ds of Propaganda....Dismiss....Distort....Deflect...Dismay..ALL designed to create Doubt and Distrust.....

THIS is the Ds ....Deflect and Distort

Trump calls Meryl Streep 'overrated actress' as attack divides Americans http://reut.rs/2j0w0pf

NOW no one is talking about Russia.....Trump does this with ease and the entire US MSM falls for it time and time again....

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 3:13pm

In reply to by Outlaw 09

Russia calls US intelligence report "emotional" "witch hunt" & refers to other "such convulsions" in CIA history.

What emotional language ....appears they are extremely concerned about the fallout for their candidate Trump.......

Appears they now assume they were in fact caught wuth their hands in the cookie jar.....theey noramally do not overreact like this.....

BUT WAIT...the term "witch hunt" was first tweeted by Trump was it not???

AM News: Russian Foreign Ministry Say Russian Hackers ‘Hacked Obama’s Brain’; Caucasian Knot Editor Threatened
http://www.interpretermag.com/russia-update-january-9-2017/#15894

Kremlin Gaslighting: US intelligence report on Russia influence op: Amateurishly emotional, doesn't deserve reading. Assumes Trump disagrees

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 2:33pm

Donald J. Trump Verifizierter Account 
‏@realDonaldTrump
Having a good relationship with Russia is a good thing, not a bad thing. Only "stupid" people, or fools, would think that it is bad! We.....

From another former CIA field agent.......

Evan McMullin ‏@Evan_McMullin
In Trump's mind, "having a good relationship with Russia" means turning a blind eye to, if not facilitating, Putin's assault on democracy.

Evan McMullin
A message from @realDonaldTrump's Russian partners about US intel services. Trump is an active participant in their misinformation campaign.

Russian Embassy, UK Verifizierter Account 
‏@RussianEmbassy
US Intel. report:a pathetic attempt at tainting Americans’ vote by innuendo couched in Intel new-speak (originally not for public)

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 2:20pm

Did the Russians woo/groom Flynn, a disgruntled senior US intelligence official, as their direct conduit to manipulate US National Security?

After he was fired, Flynn was found swooning about Putin, criticizing Obama openly as having lost Putin's respect.

Flynn still has not stated just how much he receieved for guiving a speech at the Headquarters of the Russian GRU and his trip for a Russia Today celebration....where he sat close to Putin.....

REMEMBER Flynn was censored for leaking highly classified Information to Pakistan which some say caused the death of two Americans and an AFG COL...THIS leak led his next General promotion to be held up for over a year as his "fine for leaking"..AND he was then fired as the DIA Director for "cause" by the now Obama ODNI Clapper....

NOW...check the comment from Flynn.."about no respect from Russia"..YOU will see that same exact comment made recently by Trump and his Chief of Staff Preibus.....

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 2:05pm

How on earth was Trump losing money on his casinos while competitors were making bank?

Next time you hear Trump claim the entire casino industry was hit by the "bad economy" remember this chart @svdate @alexburnsNYT

Trump's casino's lost a MINUS 89 percent....all others averaged win percentages from 6ß to over 3240 percent with the Dow Jones Casino Index average 160 percent

But he had a different excuse in 2007: too much debt So, in other words, he over leveraged his Casinos

Trump registered *8* companies in Saudi Arabia while campaigning for POTUS making an estimated 500M USDs.....

Outlaw 09

Tue, 01/10/2017 - 2:01pm

In reply to by Outlaw 09

Wow. Sen. Wyden asks Comey whether FBI has investigated relationships between Trump associates & Russians. Comey won't say.

Spencer Ackerman

@attackerman
Comey says, re FBI investign Trump/Russia contacts, "I wd never comment on investigations whether open or not in a public forum" EYES EMOJI

Comey: evidence that hacking directed at state level orgs, campaigns and rnc, but old domains of rnc. info was harvested from there

SO RNC was in fact hacked...BUT WAIT not a single email has been released on the RNC...so what do they fear being released.....

Comey: There were intrusions at state-level voter registration databases. Purpose of intrusions not clear, but "no doubt" Russians took info

FBI Director Comey says there was successful penetration of GOP groups/campaigns, esp on the state level, and on some RNC domains

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 3:39pm

In reply to by Outlaw 09

Not one lawyer/advisor in his employ was able to convince him that to run for POTUS was a bad idea? The mind boggles...

If you were laundering billions for the Kremlin's top spy-mafia gang, you'd keep your tax returns to yourself too.

REMEMBER Trump still has not released his tax records for a single year....

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 2:36pm

There are 100,000+ professional journalists in US. MAYBE *5* are chasing down Trump-Putin collaboration

When the Russian mobster who made Trump president messages you on LinkedIn...
QUOTE
Felix Sater tweeted the author and stated the things you are writing about me are qwrong if you scatch deeper.....wished him and his Family a good Christmas and a NY....highly unusal for a so called Russian investor to do this and not massively push back....and not a subtle threat????

Felix Sater started funneling Russian money to Trump in 2000-when US banks stopped loaning to Trump

Here is New York Times reporting the $12.7 M "off the books" payment from Putin to Trump campaign CEO and not one debate question about this
AUGUST 14 2016

Manafort is still advising Trump-media completely botched following up on his $12M Ukraine ledger payment

Ivanka vacationed with Putins gf this summer. I am still trying to find confirmation that Manafort visited S. Korea Dec/16

Paul Manafort also lives in Trump Tower–again, none of this is a coincidence

Did Manafort pay for his Trump Tower digs with dirty Russian money he was accused of laundering into US real estate?

NOTICE it went extremely quiet for Manafort after the Ukrainian payments were made public ......

After these announcements the Trump campaign stated Manafort was no longer working for them BUT after the election they stated he was still working for them.....

Busted along with Trump partner for sex trafficking–Soviet-born money launderer, major Trump investor, Maskevich

Israeli paper ran a detailed investigation on the sex trafficking ring (Russian, underage) Trump's partner ran

Fugitive Russian mobster Aruif Trump denied knowing was busted for running an illegal gambling, money laundering ring right out of Trump Tower when arresgted by the FBI he had the telephone numbers of Trump and Trump's main Office on him....

Russian mobster/Trump BFF Alimzhan Tokhtakhounov who ran a gambling operation out of Trump Tower.

Meanwhile Tevfik Arik–Putin's pal who brought Trump millions of dollars–was busted in Turkey for running an underage prostitution

KEY NOTES.....
Trump's other partners on SoHo deal? Putin pals Tevfik Arif, ex Deputy Head Soviet Ministry of Commerce and a Soviet emigre, Tamir

Now Sapir sold electronics to KGB agents from his Manhattan storefront and his business partner also happens to be tight with Putin

Kazakh-born Soviet official turned real estate tycoon, Tevfik Arif ran Bayrock/Sapir out of Trump Tower.

Sater worked for him.

Here is Trump with Felix Sater at opening of Trump SoHo which was built with Russian money, brought to Trump by none other than Sater

NOTE.......

Trump denied knowing this person who helped bring millions of Russian dollars to him and is suspected by FBI of being a Russian spy.....
Sergei Millian.......Head of the Russian American Chamber of Commerce....

Outlaw 09

Tue, 01/10/2017 - 2:04pm

In reply to by Outlaw 09

Guess this information appears to be part and parcel of the ongoing FBI investigation into Trump...Trump surrogates and Russian ties....

Spencer Ackerman

@attackerman
Comey says, re FBI investign Trump/Russia contacts, "I wd never comment on investigations whether open or not in a public forum" EYES EMOJI

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 3:31pm

In reply to by Outlaw 09

Maybe no smoking gun, but the strong smell of cordite lays heavy in the morning air..or as some have said in the past..."how I love the smell of naplam in the morning".....

MAYBE this is all what the outgoing NV Senator Reid was referring to when he chastised the FBI for not releasing an unnamed something......

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 1:37pm

Bill C...AND John gets more support from this.........

Here is the smoking gun: US Treasury fined Trump's casinos $10 million for "significant, long standing anti-money laundering violations"

$10M money laundering fine levied on Trump was LARGEST PENALTY FinCen-Financial Crimes Enforcement Network-ever levied against a Casino

If Congress pursues Trump's Russia ties/grooming, his casino money laundering investigation holds key answers

Fresh look into the casino books would reveal how far back his Russian ties go, activities money laundering supported

Trump's stock greenmailing practices were so odious, specific laws were passed to block him

Trump was notorious for a stock purchase practice called greenmailing
Feds fined him $750K for hiding stock purchases

NOTE
Didn't Martha Stewart go to jail for less?

We know Trump was getting tax benefits for losing people's investments, but now we have this laundering angle

A coincidence that Trump- projects financed with dirty foreign money–SoHo, Baja, Tampa, Ft Lauderdale, Toronto–all ended in failure?

Oh and just *5 days* before the election another Trump project financed by a Russian billionaire pal of Putin went bust in Canada

Here's NYT on the Trump SoHo fraud lawsuit that Trump settled to hide the dirty Russian money trail via Bayrock
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/06/us/politics/donald-trump-soho-settlem…

NOTE...this settled a FEDERAL CRIMINAL CASE.....

Bayrock-Sapir's signature deal-Trump SoHo-was financed with dirty Kazakh money (more: https://twitter.com/khanoisseur/status/806710053902262274 …)

Despite glitzy Trump SoHo promos, heavily featuring Ivanka, the deal soured. Trump was sued for fraud.
90% of deposits were returned.

Trump SoHo slipped into foreclosure (Trump still got tens of millions in dirty money), another Russian oligarch poured $95M into him

While the Russians were nursing Trump back into financial health, they were also grooming a man who would become his campaign CEO-Manafort

Pro-Putin Trump adviser who gets little scrutiny?
Richard Burt-who helped Putin with oil pipeline Obama opposed

While Richard Burt was helping Putin undermine Obama he was also shaping Trump's Russia alignment

IMPORTANT.....
Remember the Trump server secretly communicating with Russia's Alfa Bank?

Guy who shaped Trump's Russia alignment–Richard Burt–advises Alfa

Father of Sater, whose Bayrock brought tens of millions of Russian dollars to Trump, worked for Semion @olgaNYC1211

NOW SEE THE TIE IN.....???????

Manafort, claimed the lawsuit, was bankrolled by a Russian mobster (and Putin pal) on FBI's Ten Most Wanted List, Semion Mogilevich

Turns out, Sater worked for Mogilevich and…this next is dizzying

Felix Sater started funneling Russian money to Trump in 2000-when US banks stopped loaning to Trump @citynightcap

One of the most underreported stories: How Russian money powered Trump's financial comeback, helped him win the White House @Suburb_Flamingo

While US media snoozed, Financial Times did reported on how dirty money flowed into Trump @SamSanderson123 @summerbrennan @Suburb_Flamingo

3rd lien on Trump DC Hotel for unpaid bills-familiar story-Trump/brood + Russian financiers cut ribbons, then cut ties with obligations

Spy magazine, April 1991: "Trump referred to those involved with his Resorts deal as 'OC' -- organized crime". cc @Khanoisseur

After fall of USSR, hundreds of KGB officers entered Russian mafia–which made Brighton Beach, Brooklyn–where Sater lived–its US HQ @thoensen

Danny Leung, VP Foreign Marketing at Trump's casino was ID'd by US Senate as member of organized crime/money laundering outfit 14K Triad

Trump also denied he knew LiButti, racist mobster for whom Trump removed black casino staff

Trump denied knowing mobster LiButti who caused him $850K in fines. Video of them together surfaced last month @m_deandream

Trump rails against companies that hoard cash overseas, but he owns stock in 22 out of Top 30 companies that have most cash stashed overseas

Oh look-Trump has a financial stake in parent of company Carrier he just gave $7 million taxpayer dollars .........250,000 USDs to be exact

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 1:00pm

BREAKING: President-elect Trump's son-in-law, Jared Kushner, will be named to position of Senior Advisor to the President, aide tells NBC.

Kusher is currently trying to close a very big deal with China...AND there is no conflict of interests...AND Trump wanted to drain the swamp BUT in the end started his very own Russian kleptocracy.....

ALL paid for by the US taxpayers...those same Trump voters who believed he would "drain the swamp"........

SO will the Trump FP favor China over the US because of his son-in-law's business dealings.....

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 1:06pm

In reply to by Outlaw 09

Adding a 13.B - Putin ordered Litvinenko murder.

BLUF.....THIS is the important piece of the puzzle......

If this is common knowledge among IC why sit on it until Jan. 9th? Timing devalues alleged information.

Have you seen how Obama treats IC leakers?

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 12:57pm

Bill C....I have had my differences with John over his comments on Clinton..but in the end he was right...I know him for his reputation as a NSA CI type who worked Europe very effectively for years and someone who holds a PhD in history and who has written a number of very good history books AND who speaks four language all well...he does not beat around the bush and defends the security of the US to the end.....AND he knows the FSB/GRU very very very well.....

When he writes about Trump and the below Trump/Russian mob information/FSB/GRU then it is coming from IC circles and his personal knowledge....he is virtually challenging Trump to sue him......

John Schindler Verifizierter Account 
‏@20committee

Trump, the Russian Mob, and the FSB https://storify.com/Ayei_Eloheichem/trump-the-russian-mob-and-the-fsb

Kicking off with the below tweet - see whole thread - it's time to have an official CI Tweetstorm on this issue

Only so many hints this counterspy can drop, peeps.
1 more: Mogilevich is, ahem, close with RIS+Putin.

Mogilevich met with Bin Ladens Men to sell nuclear material in 2001 Also look into the Bogatin bros Taiwanchik Trincher

Mogilevich, one of FBI's most wanted people...Oh oh. I wonder if Trump won't end up in jail actually.

Another classic IC joke:

Q: What do you call a big-time Russian businessman, a high-ranking Russian spy, and a Russian mob boss?

A: Yuri

There's an old IC joke about Russian organized crime:

"Who do you think organized them?"

Trump being in bed with ROC = in bed with FSB

Not long after Sasha Litvinenko told reporters about Putin's close links to Mogilevich, FSB gave him atomic tea. Another coincidence.

Also, Mogilevich has a very cozy relationship with Putin & his special services, going back to KGB days. They help each other non-stop

The real issue is how Mogilevich made the Trump Org one of his overseas subsidiaries, de facto, back in the 1990s. FBI knows this too

There are literally dozens of Russian OC scams, some gargantuan, that we know were based at Trump properties -- quite a coincidence

Yaponchik/Ivankov -- for 3 years until the FBI caught up with him -- was dividing his time between Trump Tower & Don's Taj Mahal Casino

In 1992, Mogilevich sent a capo to NYC to run his US show. That was Yaponchik AKA Vyacheslav Ivankov, who was murdered in Moscow in 2009

Mogilevich launders money in the West, including the USA, on a gargantuan scale; he is clever and good at this. FBI knows all about it.

Mogilevich is the biggest mob boss in Russia -- maybe the world -- and his capos+footprints are all over the Trump Org since early 1990s

You need to understand real estate finance, and Russian organized crime AND Russian intelligence...if you do, the picture is quite clear.

Moreover, actually grasping what the Trump Org does -- which Don works hard at anyone getting a look at -- requires a lot of knowledge

MSM has been reluctant to seriously explore Trump's Kremlin ties because Don loves suing everyone. And his Russia mafia pals kill peopleP RUSSIA

ALERT
BREAKING:
WELCOME TO THE RUSSIAN WEBSITE OF DONALD J TRUMP
http://donald-trump.ru

The drip drip drip of coming IC leaks will be a death by a thousand cuts and Trump does not believe he can be touched......

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 12:23pm

In reply to by Bill C.

Bill C..of all people I am surprised you bring up Bannon....

If you notice it has gone extremely quiet around him as it should because he really wants people like you and me and others to totally forget he is a white surpreamcist...of the alt right type....OR that is at least what he has played the Trump voting masses for from Brietbart.com which then feeds say Infowars....if you look closely a number of rascist articles from Breitbart.com and many concerning Muslims were carried by the Klansman of the KKK and The Stormer of the US Nazi Party.....

AND he is opening two offices one in France and one in Germany to work for the neo right or far right...groups such as Le Pen and the German AfD.....
PBS is in fact correct..there is a shift afoot and it is one of a shift from neoliberalism to neonationalism ...with a side order of authoritiarianism....

Some here in Europe call it fascism with a smile and via democracy.....

If one really looks at Putin's moves...they are all about the destruction of what he sees as neoliberal US world dominance plain and simple.....

AND along with that US influence in NATO...EU and the ME.....

IF you notice we have comments from Conway and Preibus and other Trump surragotes but nothing from Bannon....BUT if we look at the latest series of Trump tweets you do see his handiwork including the exact words Bannon would use if he could tweet.......

Bill C.

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 10:34am

From last Friday's (Jan 6th's) PBS Newshour -- the "Shield and Brooks" section -- David Brooks speaking here:

"But the thing that should most concern us is a shift in American foreign policy. We have had a bipartisan belief in American foreign policy based on the post-World War II institutions that believed in democratic global world, which Russia and the Soviet Union was often seen as hostile to. And most Republicans and Democrats have always basically believed in this world order.

Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin and maybe Marine Le Pen do not agree with this basic structure of the world. They seem to have no respect for the institutions that were created after World War II, and they see a potential alliance of populists around the world who would fight Islam and restore a certain semblance of traditional values.

And so we could be seeing a pivot in American foreign policy that may be on the mind of Donald Trump, certainly seems to be on the mind of Steve Bannon, his ideologist. And this is a piece of that larger shift."

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/shields-brooks-trumps-disdain-intelligen…

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 6:43am

UNTIL Trump clearly...cleanly and massively denies and separates himself from the "alt right" white supremacists of the Brietbart.com and Infowars types he will be forever associated directly to white supremacists...KKK and neo Nazi's...AT least that is what the Russia neo right think......since he has not disassociated himself from them....he also needs to distance himself from Bannon who is setting up Breitbart.com similar operations for the French and German elections.......

#Dugin found an American partner―White Nationalists To Hold Conference With Russian And European Far Right
http://www.buzzfeed.com/rosiegray/amer
ican-white-nationalists-to-hold-conference-with-russian#3cozver 

NOTICE just how the Russian influence operations still are ongoing inside the US WHILE Trump has not personally and directly publicly stated Russia hacked and influence his election....he let's his surrogates do it...so he does not have to go on record and say it himself...the core question is why is that????

BUT WAIT...the marketing money from Google and Apple also flow to the neo right sites and Russian propaganda sites as well.....

Google and #Apple are happy to support Russian propaganda that aim to bring down Western democracy.

Using western money to defeat the west ...interesting to say the least....

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 5:39am

Kadyrov vowed: "I'm Slave for Allah, Soldier for Putin". Kadyrov troops are 1000% at Putin's disposal for ANY requirement.

Currently Chechnya is a keg of gunpowder ready to go off......

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 5:33am

This reflects the current Mexican FP trend towards Trump....after a twitter rant yesterday against the Trump Wall...by Fox... who openly called out Trump's lying that Mexico is going to pay for a racist Wall.....

Vicente Fox Quesada

@VicenteFoxQue
After intel report.We'r all obliged to restore Hillary's credibility,honor & reputation.Would she have won without Russian support to trump.

Couple the Russian influence/hacking operation with the last minute NYC FBI leaked info about so called hidden emails just before the election WHICH has never been fully answered by the FBI director whose on search warrant was the weakest even seen....

Some pollers are saying votes for Clinton shifted by 31% against her...after the FBI "leak" WHICH the Trump surrogates virtually stated they knew was coming...

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 5:25am

The U.S. has had 'virtually zero' help from the Kremlin to fight IS in Syria, says Pentagon chief Ash Carter.

https://themoscowtimes.com/news/pentagon-chief-slams-kremlin-help-in-fi… 

Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump Jan 7
Having a good relationship with Russia is a good thing, not a bad thing. Only "stupid" people, or fools, would think that it is bad! We.....

Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump
have enough problems around the world without yet another one. When I am President, Russia will respect us far more than they do now and....

Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump
both countries will, perhaps, work together to solve some of the many great and pressing problems and issues of the WORLD!

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 5:34am

Amazingly Trump still has not quite figured out just how his own tweets are getting him into FP problems..even before he is President....first China...then Mexico...back to China....kind of like ping pong....

Chinese state tabloid warns Trump, end one China policy and China will take revenge:
http://reut.rs/2i7HYsP

Trump and his surrogates need to sit up and pay attention to the Chinese MSM as "it speaks for the government" in a very direct way....nothing is hidden from you...the question is does Trump and his surrogate read Chinese and or Chinese printouts of the news....

That is what the daily intel briefings are all about....

BUT WAIT.......

Trump once said he would buy Xi a Big Mac. Chinese state just bought their own, thank you, in the form of a controlling stake in McDs here in China...

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 5:15am

Interestingly people are now pulling out the old KGB manuals and lo and behold...nothing really changed from the 80/90s....just the technology....

Very interesting on how Russia recruits American traitors.
Inside the KGB Playbook to Recruit Americans
http://thebea.st/2jnT01Y
 

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 5:09am

The Office of Gov. Ethics 'only considers a trust blind if its underlying assets have been sold.' Trump must divest.

http://www.cnbc.com/2017/01/07/us-ethics-office-struggled-to-gain-acces… 

WHY is it so hard for Trump to fully and completely understand what it takes to be President...what is it he is trying to actually hide in his business dealings.....

Without understanding this cannot fathom what his FP will be...for business interests or for the US ....

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 5:01am

In a Fox interview between Wallace and Trump's chief of staff Priebus....Wallace asked the simple question...."Who hacked the DNC" or was the CoS blaming the DNC for the hack which a number of Trump surrogates as well as Trump have done....?

Priebus referred to the Russians initially as an "foreign entity"....

Wallace asked him the simple question FIVE times.."Who was the primary here? Which was?

Reince Priebus desperately avoiding the word "Russia" and Wallace would not stop until Priebus finally stated.....

QUOTE
Thing is.....Russia....

This was the same tact that Conway took when she was on TV ....AND REMEMBER Priebus claimed Trump accepted the IC conclusions...NHICH we know from his own tweets he has not accepted......BECAUSE Trump himself has not stated it....

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 12:53am

Someone has to take his twitter account completely away from Trump.....AND from someone who bashed Clinton for her emails.....

Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump 2h
2 hours ago

Dishonest media says Mexico won't be paying for the wall if they pay a little later so the wall can be built more quickly. Media is fake!

Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump 11h
11 hours ago

Before I, or anyone, saw the classified and/or highly confidential hacking intelligence report, it was leaked out to @NBCNews. So serious!

WHAT Trump does not fully understand yet with Twitter....it is like talking to someone....

1. His tweets on Mexico paying for the Wall he promised was pushed back on by the former Mexico President forcefully who stated Trump is lying to the US taxpayers because Mexico will never pay for a racist monument WHICH accurately reflects what the current Mexican President has also stated....

So using Twitter for FP backfired and Trump is trying to counter his failure with his tweet....and impress is voters that he is holding to his promise of a Wall BUT not telling them it is on their tax dollar....

3. Reference his second tweet....WHAT Trump has fully and completely missed...in his total disrupting of the US IC he is now reaping the "slow leaks...a thousand deaths by a thousand cuts"....

BUT WAIT..he should be understanding this as he has told us "that he is smart about hacking".....

REMEMBER while the Trump Chief of Staff stated Trump "accepted" the hacking briefing WE have not heard Trump himself openly state he fully accepts the IC report...UNTIL that happens Trump is still on record for not accepting Russian hacking and influence operations....

ACTUALLY....Conway did everything possible in her interview to "DEFLECT" the Russian hacking and influence operations report as now impacting the election AND she never pushed back and stated Trump accepted the IC Russian report as did his Chief of Staff.......

Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump 13h
13 hours ago

Kellyanne Conway went to @MeetThePress this morning for an interview with @chucktodd. Dishonest media cut out 9 of her 10 minutes. Terrible!

SO in reality Trump still believes he is correct in stating Russia was not behind the hacking and influence operations.....

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 12:56am

This is the core FP problem created by Trump himself with his many anti Muslim public comments and tweets.....

Taken from proTrump social media (twitter) accounts that reflects the Trump comments....

QUOTE
And meanwhile I'm sure 10,000 online fingerwagging Muslims would be the instant magic wake-up call to make ISIS repent and close shop.

Tell those average Muslims to get on social media to denounce Islamic terror--- Silence is consent!
UNQUOTE

WHAT many Trump supporters and non Trump supporters do not fully and completely understand...MANY more Muslims have been killed by IS than Christians and US citizens....

Comment from a former CI operative type....maybe Trump should have talked with him before he made his anti Muslim statements....

Muslims fight against jihadism every day....and pay with their lives
I've had the enormous privilege of collaborating with Muslim spooks in the fight against jihadists. They are ruthless in a way we cannot be.

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 12:30am

She left DoD because the Obama WH was refusing to pay close attention to Russian activities and policies....she is considered by many to be the leading former DoD specialist on Russia and it's activities.....

Trump would do well to read her recent articles on Russia and this one hits home as it accurately reflects actually what will happen....AND she speaks Russia and Trump only speaks business English and twitter....

Why #Trump Would Be Crazy to Give #Putin What He Wants
by @EvelynNFarkas
politi.co/2ixu9Fv
 

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 12:23am

Social media picked up the Russian hacking and influence operations months before the FBI and IC but the US MSM largely ignored their warnings....ever wonder why?

Russia's government-owned news operation aggressively backed #DonaldTrump, worked with #WikiLeaks:
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2017/jan/8/rt-russias-government-ow… 

WHY..simple they track Russian sources and speak Russian.....and they watch Russian propaganda outlets like Russia Today.....Sputnik....Interfax like hawks...AND they are very well versed on "fake news" and point it out immediately when it occurs BUT US MSM..only now picking it up.....

REMEMBER the Russian influence operations using fake news and social media is also part and parcel of the US IC released report...largely ignored by Trump and his transition team...

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 12:11am

AND yet we wonder and debate what Trump's FP will be when we have already seen his business dealings hard at work in his interest...so why would he then make a FP decision that damages his own businesses.....

The conservative American Interest detailed article on all the shady business and other deals of Trump with Russia.
http://www.the-american-interest.com/2016/12/19/the-curious-world-of-do… 

"Curious world".........????

there was a list of 142 companies inside Russia that carry the name Trump and or potentially Trump business dealings and yet it never made the US MSM...why is that?

The documents were Russian and issued actually by an official Russian business office thus not fake....yet not a single mention in US MSM....until now and through a conservative media outlet.

Outlaw 09

Mon, 01/09/2017 - 12:00am

Russian propaganda works on the SIX Ds principle....that when one reads something should also ask the simple question WHY is it being stated......

Dismiss.....Distort....Deflect....Dismay....ALL designed to create Doubt and Distrust.

WHICH of the above Russian SIX Ds is being used by the Trump Chief of Staff Priebus in this article.....
1. Deflect
2. Distort
3. Dismiss

THE core question is why does he use Russian propaganda principles at all??

Baffling logic from Trump CoS Priebus: real scandal is not Russian cyber ops, it's DNC's crummy security.

http://www.foxnews.com/transcript/2017/01/08/priebus-details-trump-brie… 

Outlaw 09

Sun, 01/08/2017 - 12:54pm

Donald J. Trump
Verified account
‏@realDonaldTrump
"@FoxNews: "We certainly don’t want intelligence interfering with politics and we don’t want politics interfe… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/817542630682796033 …"

He means AMERICAN intelligence. Our new President is fine with Russian intelligence interfering with our politics.

Nice Chekist corner Team Trump has backed itself into ....

http://www.cnn.com/2017/01/08/politics/kellyanne-conway-russia-hacking-…

QUOTE:
BLUF...it was the fault of the DNC that the US got hacked by the Russian GRU.....

Washington (CNN)Top Donald Trump aide Kellyanne Conway deflected questions about Russia's hacking of Democratic operatives Sunday, while insisting those hacks did nothing to tilt the presidential race's outcome.
Conway, Trump's campaign manager and soon-to-be senior White House adviser, acknowledged that "Russia, China and others" have attempted to hack American government and political groups, to CNN's Jake Tapper on "State of the Union."

But she didn't directly criticize Russia at all, even after Trump received a briefing from top figures in the US intelligence community Friday laying out how Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered a comprehensive cyber campaign against Democrat Hillary Clinton.

Instead, she repeatedly turned the conversation to whether the Russian hacks of emails that were then published by WikiLeaks affected the outcome of the race -- and claimed they did not.

"Any attempt, any aspiration to influence our election failed. They were not successful in doing that," Conway said.

Tapper played several clips of Trump himself citing WikiLeaks on the campaign trail.

"Obviously, he thought it was going to have an effect on the election," Tapper said.

"Well, it had an effect on his debate answer," Conway responded. "And it had an effect on the Clinton campaign because it was quite embarrassing to watch a host of advisers question her judgment, question whether she would ever find her voice ... why she was testing 84 slogans to find out who she was and what she'd run on -- this guy had 'make America great again' and never changed."

"I know that's very embarrassing. I'm sure Dems calling Chelsea Clinton a spoiled brat -- that's very uncomfortable. But that's what was hacked," she said. "The (Republican National Committee) -- apparently there was an attempted hack on the RNC, I'm informed but they had sufficient cybersecurity firewalls in place."

She compared Trump citing WikiLeaks on the campaign trail to Clinton pointing to Republican senators and governors who were critical of Trump's campaign.

Conway said Democrats and the Obama administration are only complaining about the Russian hacks now that Clinton has lost the election.
"Everything changed when the election result was not what they had anticipated," she said.

In a separate interview on "Fox News Sunday," Reince Priebus -- the Republican National Committee chairman and Trump's incoming chief of staff -- was more direct in acknowledging that Russia was behind the hacks of Democratic operatives.

But he also blamed the Democratic National Committee for being hacked.
"We have bad actors, including the Russians," Priebus said. "But we also have a problem when we have a major political institution that allows foreign governments into their system without any defenses and training."
UNQUOTE

REMEMBER...it was in fact Trump himself who asked the Russians to find those missing Clinton emails..SEEMS he forgot about that public...
statement...

THIS Trump spokesperson says one thing about the briefing and the new Trump chief of Staff says something else.....

BUT Trump himself has not publicly stated he was wrong and in fact his best friend Putin ordered the hacking and influence operations against the US...

 

Outlaw 09

Sun, 01/08/2017 - 12:29pm

Welcome to 21st Century Diplomacy, people. Mexico's former President responds to Trump. International relations conducted in 140 characters.

He pointed out the following.....in 140 characters....

1. Trump lost the general election by 2.9M votes and then the massive IC report when he stated he did not believe the IC
2. Trump needs to be honest with the American taxpayer as Mexico is not paying for a racist monument...